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This Week in Baseball
by Matt Fargo - 05/12/2011
The baseball season is in full swing and Matt Fargo will be examining teams that are making moves up or falling hard and how they can make us some money by either playing on or against. This week he takes a look at the teams that will be providing some good value on their side.
Detroit Tigers 20-18 +0.62 Units
The Tigers have not made a ton of money as they are barely in the black for the season. However, it is about their current play that is making Detroit turn some heads. The Tigers got off to an average start but then a seven-game losing streak put them at 12-17, eight games behind the red hot Indians. Since then, Detroit has won eight of its last nine games and has cut into the deficit by 3.5 games. The Tigers 11 road wins are tied with a few teams for second most in baseball.
The Tigers have played five fewer games at home than on the road but starting on Friday, they begin a five-game homestand. This includes three games with Kansas City, which is no longer a pushover, and a big series there could push them into solo second place in the division. Detroit was a -130 or higher favorite eight times in its first 12 games it was favored but it has been a chalk of that amount only once in the last eight times it has been listed as the favorite. That shows we can still buy low.
Cincinnati Reds 20-17 -1.21 Units
With profits in the red, Cincinnati can arguably be a team that is far from hot and should be avoided. The Reds started the season 5-0 before going on a 9-15 run that put them below .500 for the first time since May of last season. However, they have won six of their last eight games with both losses coming by a single run. Cincinnati was the second most profitable team in baseball last year and the value remains on their side this season despite a small profit loss thus far.
The Reds start a huge home series on Friday against St. Louis, another team that is playing very well. The Cardinals remain a public betting team so Cincinnati should see plenty of good lines. Following that, the Reds host the Cubs and Pirates for two games each and both of those teams have been decent on the road meaning good numbers could come Cincinnati's way again. This seven-game homestand is one where they can make a move in the National League Central so keep an eye on the Reds in the upcoming week.