Early Season MLB MVP Race
Pete Alonso (10-1) National League MVPOvershadowed by his rival NY slugger, Alonso has had arguably the second hottest start to the 2025 season. Tied for fourth in the NL with 37 RBIs, 9 HRs, and a top ten batting average of .301, Alonso is fourth in the NL MVP odds so far. At the current pace, he would finish with roughly 123 RBIs and 30 HRs. Those gaudy slugging numbers mixed with a stellar average would keep Alonso in the MVP mix all year, assuming Shohei Ohtani doesnt hit 54 homers again like he did last year. Shohei is well behind his 2024 pace, specifically in RBIs. He only has 30 at the current moment, and his lack of dual threat ability hurts his MVP candidacy. The Mets have the second most wins in baseball, which certainly plays a role in voting as well. When looking for NL players who could dethrone the three time MVP winner, Alonso checks all the boxes. Freddie Freeman (18-1) National League MVPWith Shohei Ohtani playing a DH role right for Los Angeles, it leaves the door open for teammate Freddie Freeman. Freeman missed some time this year due to injury, but has lit it up in the games he has played. He is leading the NL in average by a wide margin at .371 while having 9 HRs and 34 RBIs. On top of that, Freeman has the second best NL OBP with a staggering .430. In fact, the Dodges have 3 of the top 4 OBP leaders in the NL. Will Smith, Freeman, and Ohtani all get on base over 40% of the time. Based on that, it's shocking LA doesn't have a larger lead in the NL West. Regardless, Freddie has some of the best individual hitting stats in all of baseball, and combined with his stellar glove at the one bag, he is an MVP candidate. If Ohtani remains on a modest pace while only playing as a DH, we will have a new NL MVP in 2025. Alex Bregman (60-1) American League MVPCurrently Aaron Judge is -1500 to win the AL MVP, which is insane considering we are barely a quarter of the way through the season. Yet, with so much of the season remaining, there has to be value elsewhere in the AL, even if it is completely contingent on Judge getting injured. Breman is hitting .303 with 11 HRs and 35 RBIs while handling third base duties for the Red Sox. He ranks top six in all three major categories in the AL and is a huge reason Boston is in 2nd in the AL East. Bregman is on pace for 37 HRs and 118 RBIs. Should Judge miss significant time this season, there will be a mad scramble for the next best AL hitter. Bregman has as good a case as any, and only a sprinkle on him will pay dividends on his long odds. He has the third highest odds currently, but anyone not named Judge is considered a longshot at this point.
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