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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, Euro 2020, and Copa America Previews Odds - 06/20/2021

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Jun 20, 2021

The Sunday sports card features games in the NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, Euro 2020, and the Copa America.Two games are on the NBA docket. Phoenix hosts the Los Angeles Clippers in the opener of the Western Conference finals on ABC at 3:35 PM ET. The Suns have won seven games in a row after completing their four-game sweep against Denver with their 125-118 road victory as a 6-point favorite last Sunday. The Clippers won four straight games to eliminate Utah in six games with their 131-119 upset victory as a 2.5-point underdog on Friday. Phoenix is a 4-point favorite, with the total set at 221.5 (all odds from BetOnline).Game 7 of the NBA Eastern Conference semifinals series between Atlanta and Philadelphia takes place on TNT at 8:35 PM ET. The 76ers forced the seventh game of this series with their 104-99 victory as a 2.5-point road favorite on Friday. The Hawks have lost three of the last five games in this series. Philadelphia is a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 216. The semifinals of the NHL playoffs continue with Game 4 of the Vegas/Montreal series on the NBC Sports Network at 8:08 PM ET. The Canadiens took a 2-1 lead in this series with their 3-2 victory on Friday. The Golden Knights are a -174 money line road favorite with a total of 5.Sixteen games are on the MLB slate. Pittsburgh hosts Cleveland at 1:05 PM ET as a -127 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Toronto visits Baltimore as a -198 money line road favorite with a total of 10. The New York Mets play at Washington as a -125 money line road favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The New York Yankees play at home against Oakland on TBS as a -130 money line favorite with a total of 9.5. Boston travels to Kansas City at 2:10 PM ET as a -133 money line road favorite with an over/under of 9.5. Houston hosts the Chicago White Sox as a -140 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. St. Louis visits Atlanta in the first game of their seven-inning doubleheader after their rainout on Saturday. The Chicago Cubs are at home against Miami at 2:20 PM ET as a -138 money line favorite. Minnesota visits Texas at 2:35 PM ET as a -113 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Milwaukee plays at Colorado at 3:10 PM ET as a -131 money line road favorite with a total of 12.San Francisco hosts Philadelphia at 4:05 PM ET as a -121 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Los Angeles Angels are at home against Detroit at 4:07 PM ET as a -157 money line favorite with a total of 9. San Diego plays at home against Cincinnati as a -150 money line favorite with a total of 8. Tampa Bay travels to Seattle as a -152 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. St. Louis plays Atlanta in the second game of their doubleheader on ESPN at 7:08 PM ET. One game takes place in the WNBA. New York visits Los Angeles on ESPN at 4 PM ET. The Euro 2020 continues with two matches to conclude the group stage of Group A at noon ET. Wales plays Italy on ESPN2. The Welsh have four points after defeating Turkey, 2-0, on Tuesday. The Italians have six points with their 3-0 win against Switzerland on Tuesday. Italy is a -1 goal line favorite with a total of 2.25. The match takes place at the Stadio Olympic in Rome. Switzerland plays Turkey on ESPN. The Swiss have one point in Group A. Turkey has yet to earn a point with two losses. Switzerland is a -0.75 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.75. The Baku Olympic Stadium in Baku, Azerbaijan, is the site. Two matches take place in the Copa America. Ecuador plays Venezuela on Fox at 5 PM ET. The Ecuadorians come off a 1-0 loss to Colombia last Sunday. The Venezuelans settled for a 0-0 draw with Colombia on Wednesday. Ecuador is a -0.75 goal line favorite with a total of 2.Colombia faces Peru on FS1 at 8 PM ET. Columbia has four points in this tournament with their win and draw against Ecuador and Venezuela. Peru lost to Brazil by a 4-0 score on Wednesday. Colombia is a -0.75 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.25.

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NBA Basketball: Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game 7 Preview, Odds and Prediction - 06/19/2021

by Al McMordie

Saturday, Jun 19, 2021

Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game 7 Preview, Odds and Prediction - 06/19/2021  Game Time:  8:35 pm, Saturday, June 19, 2021  Venue:  Barclays Center  Where to Watch:  TNT Network; NBA League Pass Regular Season record: Brooklyn: 48-24 (2nd, Eastern Conference) Milwaukee:  46-26 (3rd, Eastern Conference)  Opening Odds: DraftKings:  Brooklyn -1.5, 215; Moneyline:  Brooklyn -122; Milwaukee +100 Bet365:  Milwaukee -1, 216; Moneyline:  Milwaukee -115; Brooklyn -105 BetRivers:  Brooklyn -1.5, 215; Moneyline:  Brooklyn -122; Milwaukee +100  Key Injuries: Brooklyn:  Kyrie Irving (ankle) Out; Spencer Dinwiddie (ACL) Out Milwaukee:  Donte DiVincenzo (ankle) Out; Jordan Nwora (thigh) Out  Starting Lineups:  Brooklyn: G James Harden G Joe Harris F Kevin Durant F Jeff Green C Blake Griffin  Milwaukee: G Jrue Holiday G Khris Middleton F Giannis Antetokounmpo F PJ Tucker C Brook Lopez  Statistical Leaders:  Brooklyn: Points:  Kevin Durant (26.9) Rebounds:  James Harden (8.5) Assists:  James Harden (10.9)  Milwaukee: Points:  Giannis Antetokounmpo (28.1) Rebounds:  Giannis Antetokounmpo (11.0) Assists:  Jrue Holiday (6.1)  Coaches:  Brooklyn:  Steve Nash (1st season) Milwaukee:  Mike Budenholzer (3rd season)  Recent Form:  These two teams met on Thursday night for Game 6 in Milwaukee. Milwaukee was favored by 4.5 points, and the total was 220.  The Brooklyn Nets entered that game with a 3-2 series lead, so it was an elimination game for the Bucks.  But Milwaukee sprinted out to an 18-5 lead in the first quarter, and finished the quarter with a 26-19 lead.  In the 2nd quarter, the Nets’ James Harden (who is battling a hamstring injury) came alive, but Milwaukee closed the half strong — helped by a pair of 3-point buckets by Khris Middleton — to take a 59-48 lead into the half.  The teams traded punches in 3rd quarter.  Kevin Durant was big for Brooklyn, while Middleton continued to play well for Milwaukee, and the Bucks finished the 3rd quarter with a 78-67 edge.  Brooklyn could never mount a comeback, and when the final gun sounded, the Bucks earned a 104-89 victory. The Bucks covered the 4.5-point number, and it went under the total.  Middleton had a playoff career-high 38 points, while Giannis Antetokounmpo added 30.  For Brooklyn, Kevin Durant had 32 points, while James Harden contributed 16 points, on 5-for-9 shooting.  Milwaukee has won 7 of its last 10 games, straight-up, and is 5-5 against the spread.  The Bucks are 7-2-1 under the total over their last 10 games.  Brooklyn is 6-4 straight up over its last 10 games, and is 7-3 ATS. The Nets are 6-3-1 under the total over their last 10 games.  Neither team has shot a high percentage in this 2nd round playoff series.  Outside of the Nets shooting 52.1 percent in Game 2, each team has shot below 50 percent in each game.  Game 3 was the lowest for each team, as the Nets shot just 36.2 percent, while the Bucks weren’t much better, at 37.8 percent.  In Game 6, the Nets made 36-of-81, for 44.4 percent, while Milwaukee was 37-of-82, for 45.1 percent.  Series History:  Brooklyn and Milwaukee have met nine times this season, including six in this second round of the playoffs, and three in the regular season. Milwaukee has a 5-4 record this season, but is 4-5 ATS.  Seven of the nine meetings this season have gone under the total.  One key trend to note:  the home team has won all nine contests this year. Going back further finds Milwaukee is 21-9 straight-up, and 17-12-1 ATS since 2014.  Sixteen of the last 30 games have gone under the total.  Statistical Comparison:  Brooklyn's strength of its team is its offense.  It ranks #1 in offensive efficiency, and has a 119.00 adjusted offensive rating. Milwaukee's offense is also efficient, but ranks lower, at #7, with a 117.67 adjusted offensive rating.  On defense, Milwaukee has the advantage.  It ranked #10 in the NBA this season, with a 112.34 adjusted defensive ranking.  Brooklyn was one of the league's worst defensive teams in 2020-21, as it ranked #24, with an adjusted defensive ranking of 114.76.  Only the Portland Trail Blazers had a worse defense among the 16 NBA Playoff teams this season.  Of the remaining Playoff teams, the Philadelphia 76ers rank highest (#2) on defense, with an adjusted defensive rating of 108.66.  Margin of victory is, perhaps, the most important predictor of success, and Milwaukee has the edge here, with a 5.89 scoring margin (#3 in the NBA), while Brooklyn is 7th in the NBA, at 4.50.  Game 7 Preview:  This game on Saturday night is a winner-take-all Game 7.  It will be broadcast on the TNT Network, and can also be seen on NBA League Pass.  Brooklyn opened as a 1.5-point home favorite at DraftKings, with a total of 215.  Brooklyn opened as a moneyline favorite of -122, with Milwaukee at +100.  Currently, at DraftKings, the point spread has Brooklyn as a 1-point favorite, while the over/under line is 215.  And Brooklyn is -114 on the moneyline, while Milwaukee's moneyline odds are -106.  Historically, the higher seeds have done quite well in Game 7s in NBA history, as they’re 109-31 (77.9%) over the previous 140 games. And, since 1991, the higher-seeded teams have gone 54-18 straight-up, and 40-31-1 ATS.  With respect to the over/under, Game 7s have generally been lower-scoring affairs, and the under is 42-29-1 since 1991.  Brooklyn has played three previous Game 7s in its franchise’s NBA history, and has a 1-2 record.  Most recently, Brooklyn was involved in a Game 7 vs. Toronto in the 2014 playoffs.  That was one of the rare times a road team was victorious, as Brooklyn won, 104-103, as a 3-point road underdog.  Kevin Durant has played in four Game 7s, and has a 3-1 record.  Meanwhile, James Harden also has a 3-1 record in his career Game 7s.  Milwaukee has been in the league much longer than Brooklyn, and has played in 10 previous Game 7s.  Unfortunately for Bucks fans, their team has not had great success in these games, as the Bucks have gone 2-8.  Indeed, the last time Milwaukee reached the NBA Finals was in 1971, when Kareem Abdul Jabbar led it to the NBA title (Brooklyn has never won an NBA title, but did get to the NBA Finals in 2003, when it lost (as the New Jersey Nets) to the San Antonio Spurs).  Milwaukee’s last Game 7 occurred in 2018, when it played Boston.  The Celtics were a 5-point home favorite, and blew out Milwaukee, 112-96.  That was the only Game 7 in the careers of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton.  Coach Mike Budenholzer has never coached a Game 7 as a Bucks coach, but he did when he manned the sideline for the Atlanta Hawks.  In 2014, Budenholzer’s eighth-seeded Hawks lost, 92-80, as a 6-point road underdog, to the top-seeded Indiana Pacers.  The oddsmakers have opened the betting odds for this Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 7 near Pk’em, so most anticipate a closely-contested matchup.  After falling behind 2-games-to-none earlier in this series, the Bucks have taken three of the last four games.  And they blew a 17-point, 3rd quarter lead in the one game they lost, so the Bucks clearly have momentum, and are brimming with confidence.  Still, that blown Game 5 should serve as a reminder of just how much talent remains on the Brooklyn side, even without an injured Kyrie Irving.  Kevin Durant poured in 49 points in that Game 5, had 17 rebounds, 10 assists, three steals, and two blocks!  Even more impressive was the fact that Durant played all 48 minutes. And a hobbled James Harden also gave everything he had, as he played 46 minutes (but only had five points, eight assists, and three rebounds, on 1-of-10 shooting).   Milwaukee was able to right itself in Game 6.  But that game was at Fiserv Forum.  As noted earlier, the higher-seeded teams have dominated Game 7s in NBA history, so it’s hard to bet against the Brooklyn Nets, given they will have home court advantage.  I expect both coaches to lean heavily on their starters, and de-emphasize their bench players.  Durant, Harden, Antetokounmpo, Middleton and Holiday should all play north of 40 minutes.  But if you're looking for possible X factors, Milwaukee's Bryn Forbes (11 points in Game 6) or Brooklyn's Bruce Brown (16 points and 11 rebounds in Game 3) could come up big.  Notable quotes:  Kevin Durant (after Game 6):  We were down four a couple of times and they pushed it, I mean they responded after every run we made and we got to give them credit for that….[We] just couldn’t get over the hump.  Steve Nash (after Game 6):  We weren’t well tonight offensively….Just not a great game from us….[But] we’ve got a Game 7 on our home floor.  Trends:  Milwaukee: 16-25 ATS on the road 17-33 ATS when not favored by more than 8 points, including 1-5 ATS as an underdog 4-8 ATS on the road off a home win  Brooklyn: 25-17 ATS at home 12-15 ATS off a loss 22-13 ATS vs. winning teams  Prediction:  Brooklyn Nets win by 10 Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.  I cashed 2 of 3 in the NBA last night (I'm now 306-240 his Basketball season), with winners on the Philadelphia 76ers and the 76ers/Hawks under.  Don't miss my Over/Under Winner in tonight's game at the Shop Picks page.  Or, better yet, go to the Subscriptions page to join for a week or month to get all of my award-winning selections.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA and Euro 2020 Previews and Odds - 06/19/2021

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Jun 19, 2021

The Saturday sports card features games in the NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, and the Euro 2020.Game 7 of the NBA Eastern Conference semifinals series between Milwaukee and Brooklyn takes place on TNT at 8:35 PM ET. The Bucks have won three of their last four games with a 104-89 home victory as a 5-point favorite on Thursday. Brooklyn is a 1-point favorite with the total set at 215 (all odds from BetOnline).The NHL playoff semifinals continue with Game 4 of the series between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders on the USA Network at 8:08 PM ET. Tampa Bay took a 2-1 lead in the series with their 2-1 victory at Nassau Coliseum on Thursday. The Islanders have lost their last two games after winning their four previous games. The Lightning are a -124 money line road favorite with an over/under of 5.Sixteen games are on the MLB docket. The New York Yankees host Oakland at 1:05 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 9.5. The New York Mets play at Washington in the first game of their seven-inning doubleheader. The Chicago Cubs play at home against Milwaukee at 2:20 PM ET as a -112 money line favorite. San Francisco is at home against Philadelphia at 4:05 PM ET as a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Toronto visits Baltimore as a -165 money line road favorite with a total of 10. Cleveland plays at Pittsburgh as a -126 money line road favorite with an over/under of 9. Minnesota travels to Texas. Boston is at Kansas City at 4:10 PM ET as a -120 money line road favorite with a total of 10.5. The second game of the Mets/Nationals doubleheader starts at 6:05 PM ET. Fox has regional coverage of three games at 7:15 PM ET. San Diego hosts Cincinnati as a -180 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Houston plays at home against the Chicago White Sox as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 8. Atlanta is at home against St. Louis as a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. Milwaukee visits Colorado at 9:10 PM ET as a -107 money line favorite with a total of 10.5. The Los Angeles Angels are at home against Detroit on FS1 at 10:07 PM ET as a -205 money line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers plays at Arizona at 10:10 PM ET as a -215 money line road favorite with a total of 9. Tampa Bay travels to Seattle as a -135 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.Three games are on the WNBA docket. Connecticut plays at Chicago on CBS at 2 PM ET. Indiana visits Washington at 7 PM ET. Minnesota plays at Dallas at 8 PM ET.The Euro 2020 continues with three matches. France plays Hungary on ESPN at 9 AM ET at Ferenc Puskas Stadium in Budapest, Hungary. Les Bleus defeated Germany, 1-0, in their opening match on Tuesday. The Hungarians come off a 3-0 loss to Portugal on Tuesday. France is a -1.5 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5.Germany faces Portugal on ESPN at noon PM ET at the Allianz Arena in Munich. The Germans are a -0.25 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Poland takes on Spain on ABC at 3 PM ET at the Estadio de la Cartuja in Seville, Spain. The Poles lost to Slovakia, 2-1, on Monday in their opening Euro match. The Red Fury settled for a 0-0 draw with Sweden on Monday. Spain is a -1.25 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5.

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