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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 07/08/2024

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Jul 08, 2024

The Monday sports card features MLB action. There are seven games on the MLB schedule. The Pittsburgh Pirates host the New York Mets at 12:35 p.m. ET. The Pirates lost for the third time in their last four games in a 3-2 loss at home to the Mets yesterday. The Mets have won two games in a row. Pittsburgh turns to Mitch Keller to face New York’s Christian Scott. The Pirates are a -115 money-line favorite with the total set at 8.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Washington Nationals play at home against the St. Louis Cardinals at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals have lost two of their last three games after their 8-3 loss to the Cardinals yesterday. The Cardinals have won three of their last four games. Mitchell Parker gets the ball for Washington to pitch against Miles Mikolas for the Nationals. Washington is a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.The Cleveland Guardians travel to Detroit to play the Tigers at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Guardians have won two of their last three games after their 5-4 victory against San Francisco on Sunday. The Tigers are on a three-game winning streak after a 5-1 win at Cincinnati yesterday. Cleveland taps Gavin Williams to make his second start of the season against Keider Montero for Detroit. The Guardians are a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Cincinnati Reds are at home against the Colorado Rockies on FS1 at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Reds are on a three-game losing streak after their loss to Detroit yesterday. The Rockies were on a three-game winning streak before their 10-1 loss to Kansas City on Sunday. Andrew Abbott takes the mound for Cincinnati to battle against Ryan Feltner for Colorado. The Reds are a -192 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Minnesota Twins play in Chicago against the White Sox at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Twins won for the third time in their last four games after a 3-2 victory against Houston yesterday. The White Sox lost for the fifth time in their last seven games in a 7-4 loss to Miami on Sunday. Chicago turns to Christopher Flexen to pitch against Minnesota’s Chris Paddack coming off the injured list who is likely their starting pitcher. The Twins are a -185 money-line road favorite with a total of 9.5. The Texas Rangers are in Los Angeles against the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET. The Rangers are on a three-game winning streak after their 13-2 victory against Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Angels lost for the sixth time in their last seven games in a 5-0 loss in Chicago against the Cubs yesterday. Texas turns to Sonny Gray to face Los Angeles’ Davis Daniels. The Rangers are a 0142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5.The Atlanta Braves visit Arizona to play the Diamondbacks at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Braves won their second straight game with a 6-0 victory against Philadelphia yesterday. The Diamondbacks have won two in a row after a 9-1 victory against San Diego yesterday. Chris Sale takes the mound for Atlanta to pitch against Yilber Diaz for the Diamondbacks. The Braves are a -198 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 07/07/2024

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Jul 07, 2024

The Sunday sports card features MLB and CFL action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Three MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET. St. Louis travels to Washington with Kyle Gibson taking the hill for the Cardinals to face D.J. Herz for the Nationals. The Cardinals are a -125 money-line road favorite with the total set at 9 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Atlanta hosts Philadelphia with the Braves tapping Reynaldo Lopez to pitch against the Phillies’ Michael Mercado. The Braves are a -180 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. New York plays in Pittsburgh with Sean Manaea taking the mound to go against Luis L. Ortiz for the Pirates as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. Three MLB games start at 1:40 p.m. ET. Cleveland plays at home against San Francisco with the Guardians turning to Carlos Carrasco to battle against Hayden Birdsong. The Guardians are a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. Miami is at home against Chicago with Edward Cabrera taking the hill for the Marlins to challenge Jonathan Cannon for the White Sox as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Detroit is at Cincinnati with the Tigers turning to Tarik Skubal to duel against the Reds’ Graham Ashcroft. The Tigers are a -135 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Minnesota Twins host the Houston Astros at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Twins send out Simeon Woods Richardson to face the Astros’ Spencer Arrighetti. Minnesota is a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Chicago Cubs play at home against the Los Angeles Angels at 2:20 p.m. ET. Hayden Wesneski gets the ball for the Cubs to face Jose Soriano for the Angels. Chicago is a -145 money-line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 9. The Texas Rangers are at home against the Tampa Bay Rays at 2:35 p.m. ET. The Rangers send out Nathan Eovaldi to pitch against the Rays’ Zack Littell. Texas is a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Kansas City Royals visit Colorado to play the Rockies at 3:10 p.m. ET. Brady Singer gets the ball for the Royals to go against Ryan Feltner for the Rockies. Kansas City is a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 10. The Baltimore Orioles play in Oakland against the A’s at 4:07 p.m. ET. The Orioles send out Grayson Rodriguez to battle against the A’s Mitch Spence. Baltimore is a -192 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. Four more MLB games begin at 4:10 p.m. ET. San Diego hosts Arizona with Dylan Cease getting tapped by the Padres to duel against Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks. The Padres are a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. Seattle plays at home against Toronto with the Mariners turning to George Kirby to face the Blue Jays’ Jose Berrios. The Mariners are a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. Los Angeles is home against Milwaukee with Justin Wrobleski making his debut for the Dodgers to go against Dallas Keuchel for the Brewers. The Dodgers are a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN features the New York Yankees hosting the Boston Red Sox at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Yankees tap Luis Gil to pitch against the Red Sox’s Kutter Crawford. New York is a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Week 6 in the Canadian Football League concludes with one game. British Columbia travels to Hamilton on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET. The Lions are on a three-game winning streak after their 24-21 victory against Edmonton as a 6.5-point favorite back on June 27th. The Tiger-Cats have lost their first four games of the season after their 24-22 upset loss at Ottawa as a 1-point road favorite on Sunday. British Columbia is a 4-point road favorite with an over/under of 53.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, CFL, Euro 2024 and Copa America 2024 Previews and Odds - 07/06/2024

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Jul 06, 2024

The Saturday sports card features MLB, CFL, Euro 2024, and Copa America 2024 action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox on FS1 at 1:05 p.m. ET as a -175 money-line favorite with the total set at 9 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Minnesota Twins play at home against the Houston Astros at 2:10 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Chicago Cubs are at home against the Los Angeles Angels at 2:20 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Three MLB games throw out the first pitch at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Tampa Bay Rays travel to Texas to play the Rangers as a -115 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The New York Mets play in Pittsburgh against the Pirates as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. The Washington Nationals are at home against the St. Louis Cardinals as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Baltimore Orioles are in Oakland to play the A’s at 4:07 p.m. ET as a -180 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. Four MLB games start at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners host the Toronto Blue Jays as a -120 money-line favorite at BetOnline with an over/under of 8.5. The Cleveland Guardians play at home against the San Francisco Giants as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Cincinnati Reds are at home against the Detroit Tigers. The Chicago White Sox visit the Miami Marlins as a -162 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7. Two MLB games are featured on Fox’s regional coverage at 7:15 p.m. ET. The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies as a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers play at home against the Milwaukee Brewers as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Kansas City Royals play in Colorado against the Rockies at 9:10 p.m. ET as a -180 money-line road favorite with a total of 10.5. The San Diego Padres are at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:40 p.m. ET as a -122 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Week 5 in the Canadian Football League continues with one game. The Montreal Alouettes host the Calgary Stampeders on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 49.5.The knockout stage of the Euro 2024 continues on Fox with the final two matches in the quarterfinals. England challenges Switzerland at noon ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). The Netherlands face Turkey at 3:00 p.m. ET as a -1 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5.The Copa America concludes the knockout stage quarterfinals on FS1 with two matches. Colombia battles Panama at 6:00 p.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Brazil plays Uruguay at 9:00 p.m. ET in a pick ‘em match with a total of 2.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, CFL, Euro 2024 and Copa America 2024 Previews and Odds - 07/05/2024

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Jul 05, 2024

The Friday sports card features MLB, CFL, Euro 2024, and Copa America 2024 action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Chicago Cubs host the Los Angeles Angels at 2:20 p.m. ET as a -198 money-line favorite (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Pittsburgh Pirates play at home against the New York Mets at 6:40 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line favorite with the total set at 8. The St. Louis Cardinals travel to Washington to play the Nationals at 6:45 p.m. ET as a -185 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The New York Yankees are at home against the Boston Red Sox at 7:05  p.m. ET as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Three more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Miami Marlins host the Chicago White Sox as a -112 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Cleveland Guardians play at home against the San Francisco Giants. The Cincinnati Reds are at home against the Detroit Tigers as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:20 p.m. ET as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Texas Rangers play at home against the Tampa Bay Rays at 8:05 p.m. ET. Two more MLB games start at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Twins are at home against the Houston Astros as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Kansas City Royals play in Colorado against the Rockies as a -200 money-line road favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 10.5. Three MLB games begin at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Baltimore Orioles are in Oakland to play the A’s as a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The San Diego Padres host the Arizona Diamondbacks as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Seattle Mariners play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home against the Milwaukee Brewers at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -190 money-line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 8. Week 5 in the Canadian Football League continues with one game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers host the Ottawa Redblacks at 8:30 p.m. ET as a 2-point favorite with a total of 44. The knockout stage of the Euro 2024 continues with two matches in the quarterfinals on Fox. Germany faces Spain on Fox at MPHArena in Stuttgart, Germany at noon ET in a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). France challenges Portugal at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany at 3:00 p.m. ET in a pick ‘em match with a total of 2.The Copa America continues its quarterfinals with one match. Canada plays Venezuela on FS1 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas at 9:00 p.m. ET in a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, CFL and Copa America 2024 Previews and Odds - 07/04/2024

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Jul 04, 2024

The Thursday, July 4th holiday sports card features MLB, CFL, and Copa America 2024 action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The New York Mets travel to Washington to play the Nationals at 11:05 a.m. ET, as a -120 money-line road favorite with the total set at 9 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The St. Louis Cardinals play in Pittsburgh against the Pirates at 12:35 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. The New York Yankees host the Cincinnati Reds at 1:05 p.m. ET as a -180 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Houston Astros are in Toronto to play the Blue Jays at 1:07 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Three more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:10 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Guardians play at home against the Chicago White Sox as a -265 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Boston Red Sox visit Miami to play the Marlins as a -166 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Minnesota Twins are at home against the Detroit Tigers as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Philadelphia Phillies play in Chicago against the Cubs at 2:20 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line road favorite. The Texas Rangers host the San Diego Padres at 2:35 p.m. ET as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Oakland A’s play at home against the Los Angeles Angels as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Baltimore Orioles are in Seattle to play the Mariners at 4:10 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7. The Atlanta Braves are at home against the San Francisco Giants at 7:20 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Two more MLB games start at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Tampa Bay Rays travel to Kansas City as a -130 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Milwaukee Brewers play in Colorado against the Rockies as a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 10.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:10 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Week 5 in the Canadian Football League begins with one game. The Toronto Argonauts are in Saskatchewan to play the Roughriders at 9:00 p.m. ET. The Argonauts had their two-game winning streak end in a 30-20 loss to Montreal as a 3-point underdog last Friday. The Roughriders have won their first three games of the season after their 36-20 victory against Hamilton as a 2-point favorite two Sundays ago. Toronto is a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 48.The Copa America begins the quarterfinals with one match. Argentina challenges Ecuador at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, on Fox at 9:00 p.m. ET. Argentina swept their three group stage matches after a 2-0 victory against Peru last Saturday. Ecuador finished with four points in the group stage after a 0-0 draw against Mexico on Sunday. Argentina is a -1 goal-line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 2. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 07/03/2024

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jul 03, 2024

The Wednesday sports card features MLB action. Fifteen games are on the schedule.Three MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. Cleveland hosts Chicago with Gavin Williams taking the mound for the Guardians to pitch against Erick Fedde for the White Sox. The Guardians are a -185 money-line favorite with the total set at 8.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Boston travels to Miami with the Red Sox tapping Brayan Bello to face the Marlins’ Trevor Rogers. The Red Sox are a -148 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Pittsburgh plays at home against the Cardinals with Jared Jones taking the ball for the Pirates to go against Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals. The Pirates are a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 8.The New York Mets play in Washington against the Nationals at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Mets send Christian Scott to the hill to battle the Nationals’ Mitchell Parker. New York is a -135 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The New York Yankees are at home against the Cincinnati Reds at 7:05 p.m. ET. Carlos Rodon gets the starting pitcher assignment for the Yankees to challenge Andrew Abbott for the Reds. New York is a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Houston Astros are in Toronto against the Blue Jays at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Astros turn to Ronel Blanco to duel against the Blue Jays’ Yusei Kikuchi. Houston is a -112 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves host the San Francisco Giants at 7:20 p.m. ET. Chris Sale gets the ball for the Braves to face Jordan Hicks for the Giants. Atlanta is a -205 money-line favorite with a total of 8.Two MLB games start at 8:05 p.m. ET. Texas plays at home against San Diego with the Rangers sending out Jon Gray to pitch against the Padres’ Adam Mazur. The Rangers are a -148 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. Philadelphia visits Chicago with Zack Wheeler taking the hill for the Phillies to battle against Shota Imanaga for the Cubs. The Phillies are a -130 money-line road favorite. Two more MLB games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. Minnesota is at home against Detroit with the Twins sending out David Festa to face the Tigers’ Keider Montero. The Twins are a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 9. Tampa Bay plays in Kansas City with Ryan Pepiot getting the ball for the Rays to duel against the Royals’ Michael Wacha. Both teams are priced as a -110 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5.The Milwaukee Brewers are in Colorado to play the Rockies at 8:40 p.m. ET. The Brewers tap Colin Rea to pitch against the Rockies’ Dakota Hudson. Milwaukee is a -162 money-line road favorite with a total of 11.5. The Los Angeles Angels travel to Oakland to play the A’s at 9:40 p.m. ET. Davis Daniel takes the mound for the Angels to face Joey Estes for the A’s. Los Angeles is a -115 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.Two games conclude the MLB card at 10:10 p.m. ET. Seattle hosts Baltimore with the Mariners turning to Logan Gilbert to pitch against the Orioles’ Dean Kremer. The Mariners are a -166 money-line favorite with a total of 7. Los Angeles plays at home against Arizona with Gavin Stone getting the ball for the Dodgers to battle against the Diamondbacks’ Jordan Montgomery. The Dodgers are a -166 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5.

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2024 Conference USA Football Preview

by Matt Fargo

Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024

2024 Conference USA Conference Preview Regular Season Win Totals Liberty: 10.5Jacksonville State: 7.5Western Kentucky: 7.5FIU: 4.5Louisiana Tech: 4.5Middle Tennessee: 4.5New Mexico State: 4.5Sam Houston: 4.5UTEP: 4.5Kennesaw State: 2.5 Coaching Changes Middle Tennessee: Rick Stockstill Out ~ Derek Mason InNew Mexico State: Jerry Kill Out ~ Tony Sanchez InUTEP: Dana Dimel Out ~ Scotty Walden In Liberty Flames 13-1 ~ 8-0 C-USA ~ 8-4-0 ATS ~ 7-5-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 8 Liberty entered the FBS in 2018 and it has yet to endure a losing season, putting together a 53-23 record following a 13-1 mark last season. The Flames blew through the regular season undefeated and then defeated New Mexico St. in the C-USA Championship Game before losing to Oregon 45-6 in the Fiesta Bowl. Only two of the victories were by single digits so they dominated throughout and are the clear cut favorites to repeat this season and try and get a shot in the CFP although based on the bowl game last year, they may not be able to compete with the big boys. Second year head coach Jamey Chadwell is a hot commodity after leading Coastal Carolina to a 31-7 record prior to taking over at Liberty so another big season and he will be gone. Returning is quarterback Kaidon Salter who broke the school record with 44 touchdowns but he does lose four of his top five receivers. However, The Flames were the No. 1 rushing team and will rely on that again. Defensively, they were just average but that is all they needed and they should be better with eight starters back. Liberty played a very easy schedule last season and it is easy again in 2024, listed as the weakest slate in the country. The only nonconference test is at Appalachian St. and the two toughest C-USA games are at home. Jacksonville State Gamecocks 9-4 ~ 6-2 C-USA ~ 8-3-1 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 5/Defense 4 The Gamecocks entered their first season at the FBS level in 2023 and it was a surprisingly resounding success as they finished 9-4 which included a win over Louisiana 33-30 in overtime in the New Orleans Bowl, becoming the first team ever to win a bowl game in its first season moving up to D-1. It could be a challenge getting to nine wins again with the way the schedule is set up but an overall very weak conference will lend a hand in the success. Head coach Rich Rodriguez has had success throughout his career with only four losing campaigns in his 17 FBS seasons so the success last year should not be all that much of a surprise. Jacksonville St. had 15 starters back last season but it only has nine coming back this season and loses a lot in key areas. The offense was adequate last season but the Gamecocks have to replace their quarterback, three top running backs and two top receivers. There will be a quarterback battle between Logan Smothers, who saw decent action last season, and Connecticut transfer Zion Turner. The defense led the way with a strong pass rush and third down defense but the majority has to be replaced. They have two tough nonconference games against Coastal Carolina and at Louisville and they have to travel to both Liberty and Western Kentucky. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 8-5 ~ 5-3 C-USA ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 9/Defense 5 It was a third straight winning season for the Hilltoppers despite bringing back only 10 starters and the 8-5 record could have been better as two of the losses were by three points on the road. Western Kentucky has had winning seasons in 10 out of the last 13 following a 4-32 stretch from 2008-2010 which were three of its first four years at the FBS level. The Hilltoppers return their most starters since 2020 and the offense should be better with nine starters back following an inconsistent season where they were No. 53 overall and No. 48 in scoring. Western Kentucky does lose quarterback Austin Reed and top receiver Malachi Corley but three receivers with starting experience that combined for 1,244 yards are back and it got T.J. Finley from the transfer portal who threw for 3,439 yards with 24 touchdowns and eight interceptions at Texas St. after stops at LSU and Auburn. The running game will have to improve to take some pressure off after finishing No. 119 last season. The Hilltoppers return only five players on defense from a unit that was No. 110 overall and No. 94 in points allowed. They get Eastern Kentucky but the other three nonconference games are Alabama, Toledo and Boston College. They do not face Liberty or Jacksonville St. until the final two weeks which could be a big edge if healthy. FIU Panthers 4-8 ~ 1-7 C-USA ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 6 It was another disappointing season for the Panthers which suffered their fifth straight losing season as they were two wins away from bowl eligibility with four games left but lost all four of those, getting outscored 166-70 to finish 4-8. Florida International head coach Mike Macintyre is in his third season and while he is a well-known name mainly because of his time in Colorado from 2013-2018 but he has not had a ton of success with a career record of 54-81 in 11 seasons. While it is not a complete rebuild, the Panthers have 14 starters coming back and they are No. 3 in experience in C-USA, but the talent is not where it should be coming from where they come from. They were bad on both sides in 2023 with the passing offense ranking of No. 59 being the only unit to finish inside the top 100. Quarterback Keyone Jenkins is very talented but he needs to be more efficient and accurate as he had an 11:11 TD:INT ration while completing just over 58 percent of his passes. The running game needs to improve behind a weak offensive line. The defense allowed 34 or more points seven times including 40 of more four times. The schedule is tame with tough trips to Indiana and Florida Atlantic and while most of C-USA is just as bad as the Panthers, the have to go to both Liberty and Jacksonville St. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 3-9 ~ 2-6 C-USA ~ 3-9-0 ATS ~ 6-5-1 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 5/Defense 5 A winning record and a bowl invite were pretty much guarantees for Louisiana Tech not so long ago as from 2011-2020, the Bulldogs had only one losing season that included eight bowl games (they turned down an invitation in 2012) but they have gone 3-9 in each of the last three seasons. Head coach Sonny Cumbie is in his third season after taking over for Skip Holtz and his job could be on the line should he put together another similar season in Ruston. He had success as offensive coordinator at TCU and Texas Tech and brought in the Air Raid offense which has had success, just not consistently. The Bulldogs were still average at No. 67 in total offense and No. 76 in scoring offense and now have to replace their quarterback, three top receivers and leading running back as well as both offensive tackles. There is not much experience at quarterback and there will likely be a short leash. While there was a lack on consistency on offense, the defense was bad most of the time as Louisiana Tech was No. 109 overall and No. 117 in scoring and they really stumbled down the stretch. This unit also has to replace six starters which may not be a bad thing. The Bulldogs have two tough nonconference games at NC State and Arkansas but in C-USA, they catch a break and miss Liberty entirely which is like a win. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 4-8 ~ 3-5 C-USA ~ 8-3-1 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 4/Defense 3 Former Middle Tennessee head coach Rick Stockstill took this program to a bowl game ten times in his 18 seasons but it was not good enough as he was fired after a 4-8 finish last season. He had a losing record only seven times but he won more than eight games only once when the Blue Raiders went 10-3 in 2009 so now it will be up to former Vanderbilt head coach Derek Mason to try and advance the program. He was just 27-55 in seven seasons with the Commodores but coaching in the SEC on a perennial poor team and coaching in C-USA are two different things. The bad news is that it looks to be a rebuilding season as they have only seven starters back overall. Offensively, at least they get their quarterback, leading receiver and leading rusher back but they have to replace four starters along the offensive line although there is some experience. Middle Tennessee was No. 62 in total offense last season so that could be hard to replicate if the line does not progress. The Blue Raiders were not as good on defense and this is another situation where a lack of returnees from a bad unit may not be a horrible thing. They have a tough nonconference slate with games against Mississippi, Memphis and Duke and within the conference, they get Liberty and Western Kentucky at home. New Mexico State Aggies 9-4 ~ 6-2 C-USA ~ 4-8-0 ATS ~ 5-6-1 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 5/Defense 3 New Mexico St. was the surprise of the conference last season as it opened with a bad loss at home against Massachusetts but then went on a 10-2 run which included a win at Auburn and made it to the C-USA Championship Game but lost to Liberty 49-35 before losing to Fresno St. 37-10 in the New Mexico Bowl. That was only the third bowl game for the Aggies since 1960 but it was the second in two years and now, they have to do it without head coach Jerry Kill who proved what a good coach he is by winning 17 games in his two years after the program won a combined 26 games in the previous 10 seasons. Tony Sanchez takes over after going 20-40 at UNLV from 2015-2019 in his only other head coaching experience and he is walking into a tough situation with New Mexico St. bringing back only eight starters. The biggest loss is at quarterback with Diego Pavia coming off a great season and there is little to no experience at the position. The Aggies also lost their top six receivers that accumulated 2,275 yards. Defensively is where they really overachieved as they had only four starters back and that drops to three for this season after finishing No. 46 in scoring defense. They have games at Texas A&M and a rematch at Fresno St. and the C-USA schedule is fairly frontloaded which is not ideal. Sam Houston Bearkats 3-9 ~ 2-6 C-USA ~ 6-5-1 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 4 San Houston St. was the other of the two teams entering C-USA and the Bearkats did not have the same success that Jacksonville St. had. They started very slow as the offense could not get going, managing more than 16 points only once in their first six games while starting 0-8. Sam Houston did win three of its last four games to produce some momentum heading into this season which is expected to be better. Head coach K.C. Keeler has a proven track record here and he will have this team ready but the Bearkats might still be a year away although anything can happen in this conference. Sam Houston ended up No. 119 in total offense and No. 118 in scoring offense and had a much better second half where is averaged 28.9 ppg over the final six games. A new quarterback will be taking over and it will be either Hunter Watson, a JUCO transfer who won a National Championship, or Jase Bauer, a transfer from Central Michigan. Overall, eight other starters are back including four along the offensive line. The defense kept some of the losses close but now they have to replace seven starters, each line needing multiple replacements. The nonconference schedule is sneaky hard with Rice, UCF and Texas St. and the only team they miss in the conference is Middle Tennessee. UTEP Miners 3-9 ~ 2-6 C-USA ~ 6-6-0 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 4/Defense 5 It has been an up and down stretch for UTEP which had a 2-34 stretch in 2017-2019 and was slowly starting to improve but bottomed back out at 3-9 last year and head coach Dana Dimel was let go after six seasons. UTEP hired Scotty Walden from Austin Peay where he went 26-14 in four seasons and he brought over a lot of his coaching staff and also lured a bunch of his players to join him which could give this team some cohesion early in the season considering the Miners only have nine of their own starters coming back. UTEP could not score last season as it averaged just under 20 ppg which was No. 119 in the country as they scored 14 or fewer points in six of their 12 games. Walden knows offense, his Austin Peay team was No. 14 in total offense in the FCS last season and this will be an improved unit despite the top four receivers moving on as the portal is helping out. The entire offensive line has to be replaced but two starters from Austin Peay will begin the process. Defensively, the Miners were very solid and they do have to replace some key players but the secondary will be the strength once again. Nebraska, Colorado St. and Tennessee make up 3/4 of the nonconference slate and while they only take on two of the top three teams in C-USA, both of those are on the road. Kennesaw State Owls 3-6 ~ 0-0 Ind ~ 2-4-0 ATS ~ 0-0-0 O/UReturning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 9 Kennesaw St. is the newcomer to the conference in 2024 after having some success at the FCS level, albeit not in the last couple years. Last season was a throwaway one for the Owls as they played only nine games and redshirted numerous players after four games to give them that extra year which will eventually put them in a good place, just likely not this season. This program has only been around for nine years so the fact that seven of those resulted in winning seasons shows the coaching staff can take credit for that led by Brian Bohannon who has been here from the very start. Because of the redshirts, there is a lot of experience as the Owls are the fourth most experienced team in the conference but taking a step up is no easy task. Offensively, they run a pistol offense which can benefit them with the competition not having much experience going against that but there is not much experience at quarterback which can hurt early on. There is plenty of depth at running back and receiver to help make up for that. The defense can help carry them for a while with nine starters back on a unit that allowed just 17.9 ppg but again, they move up. The nonconference schedule is not horrible but the schedule makers did them no favors as four C-USA games are against teams coming off a bye.

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Way-Too-Early NFL Predictions & Future Bets to Make:

by William Burns

Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024

Although it's still just early July, it's never too early to start thinking about football. That being said, let's take a look at this upcoming NFL season.  Teams I Expect to Improve:  Cincinnati Bengals (9-8 in 2023-24) - While the Bengals were very unfortunate last season when their Quarterback Joe Burrow went down with an injury. They'll have him back this season and they should be labelled as Super Bowl contenders once again. Yes, they lost Joe Mixon to the Houston Texas in Free Agency. However, this team is still extremely talented and having Burrow back greatly improves their chances of another playoff appearance and perhaps more. // Projection: 11-6 Los Angeles Chargers (5-12 in 2023-24) - Los Angeles also had plenty of injuries last season. Mike Williams went out early in the season and Keenan Allen missed four weeks as well. Although they'll be without both of them this season again, they are much improved in the trenches. New head coach Jim Harbaugh has added a few new pieces and he'll look to keep winning like he did in Michigan last season. Even with limited receiving options, QB Justin Herbert is more than capable of making things happen. // Projection: 8-9 New York Jets (7-11 in 2023-24) - Same with the Bengals, the Jets also had a Quarterback injury cause a rough season. Unluckily for them, theirs happened to be in week 1 of the regular season to a guy by the name of Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers is back this season and ready to roll as the Jets look to get to the postseason. If you don't remember, many people were very high on NYJ going into last year before the injury happened. They picked up a fantastic tackle in Olu Fashanu in the draft. Expect some improvement. // Projection: 10-7Teams I Expect to Fall-Off:  Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7 in 2023-24) - Pittsburgh picked up another winning season under HC Mike Tomlin last year. Don't get me wrong, he's one of the best coaches in this league right now. But, the Steelers are not a team that I expect to do all that well this season. They happen to be in what I believe to be the NFL's toughest division. With their last eight games of the season against BAL, CLE, CIN, CLE, PHI, BAL, KC, CIN, I just don't see them matching their number from last year. Expect a slight fall off. // Projection: 7-10 New Orleans Saints (9-8 in 2023-24) - New Orleans managed to do alright last season despite not having the best Quarterback play. Well, they might have to worry about the same things this year. Simply put, Derek Carr is not the answer for them. They did draft Spencer Rattler in the 5th round which could turn out to be the steal of the draft. But, don't expect him to start the season or even play all that much in his first season. // Projection: 7-10 Tennessee Titans (6-11 in 2023-24) - You may be thinking - Why am I expecting a 6-11 team to fall off? Well, I don't see them winning even five games this season. Tennessee lost their superstar running back in Derek Henry over this offseason, a move that everyone saw coming. They did manage to get Tony Pollard which should help them not be awful in that department. However, overcoming the loss of Henry and not improving offensively will be a problem. Nice addition to get L'Jarius Sneed from Kansas City though. // Projection: 4-13Five Future Bets to Make: 1. ) Indianapolis Colts - OVER 8.5 WINS (-105) 2. ) Indianapolis Colts - To Make The Playoffs - YES (+140)3. ) Shane Steichen - To Win Coach of the Year - YES (+1600) These top three are all about the Colts. I'm very high on Indianapolis this season. After a season where they finished 9-8 without their starting QB, I believe that they can accomplish things this year. New Head Coach Shane Steichen is going to do wonders for this football team as Anthony Richardson is one of the best up and coming stars. He proved that he's going to be special in just a few weeks last year. The win total is way too low considering the division that they are in. They will make the playoffs and perhaps even win the division. Getting Laiatu Latu in the 1st & Adonai Mitchell in the 2nd round was massive as well. Expect a big year for Steichen and this Indianapolis team. 4. ) Cleveland Browns - OVER 8.5 WINS (-135) While the Browns finished 11-6 last season with Joe Flacco under center for 5 games, they should be able to go "over" this mark quite easily. They'll have Deshaun Watson back and although he probably won't be as good as he was in Houston for those few years, he's more than capable at QB. The Browns will also be hoping that Nick Chubb returns sooner than later. That is probably what's causing this lower line. However, I do expect him to return at some point this season and get back to a decently high level once again.  5. ) New York Giants - UNDER 6.5 WINS (-135) New York simply isn't that good. They lost their superstar running back in Saquon Barkley during the offseason. Not only did they lose him. But, they lost him to their division rival in the Philadelphia Eagles. It's going to be a rough season for them as they are still leaning to having Daniel Jones take snaps behind center again. Yes, they added who I believe to be an insane talent in Malik Nabers. But, he's going to do nothing if they can't get him the ball. Don't expect very many wins from the G-Men this season.  Burns' Super Bowl Prediction:  Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers Score: 23-17 49ers. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, Euro 2024, and Copa America 2024 Previews and Odds - 07/02/2024

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024

The Tuesday sports card features MLB, Euro 2024, and Copa America 2024 action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Three MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox as a -205 money-line favorite, with the total set at 9.5 (all MLB odds from DraftKings). The Boston Red Sox travel to Miami to play the Marlins as a -166 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Pittsburgh Pirates play at home against the St. Louis Cardinals as a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The New York Mets play in Washington against the Nationals at 6:45 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. The New York Yankees are at home against the Cincinnati Reds at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -198 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Houston Astros at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves play at home against the San Francisco Giants at 7:20 p.m. ET as a -185 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Detroit Tigers are in Minnesota to play the Twins at 7:40 p.m. ET as a -112 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Two MLB games start at 8:05 p.m. ET. The Chicago Cubs are at home against the Philadelphia Phillies on TBS as a -130 money-line favorite. The Texas Rangers host the San Diego Padres as a -118 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Kansas City Royals play at home against the Tampa Bay Rays at 8:10 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Milwaukee Brewers visit Colorado to play the Rockies at 8:40 p.m. ET as a -122 money-line road favorite with a total of 11.5. Two more MLB games begin at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Angels play in Oakland against the A’s as a -112 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Baltimore Orioles are in Seattle against the Mariners as a -118 money-line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -192 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The knockout stage of the Euro 2024 continues with the final two matches in the round of 16. The Netherlands play Romania on FS1 at noon ET as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Austria faces Turkey on Fox at 3:00 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.The Copa America 2024 continues with two matches at 9:00 p.m. ET. Brazil battles Columbia at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, on FS1 as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Paraguay goes against Costa Rica at Q2 Stadium in Austin, Texas, on FS2 as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, Euro 2024 and Copa America 2024 Previews and Odds - 07/01/2024

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Jul 01, 2024

The Monday sports card features MLB, Euro 2024, and Copa America 2024 action.Major League Baseball has three games on its schedule. The Houston Astros visit Toronto to play the Blue Jays at 3:00 p.m. ET. The Astros won for the ninth time in their last ten games with a 10-5 victory in New York against the Mets in 11 innings on Sunday. The Blue Jays lost for the second time in their last three games in an 8-1 loss at home to the New York Mets yesterday. Hunter Brown takes the mound for Houston to pitch against Yariel Rodriguez for Toronto. The Astros are a -148 money-line road favorite with the total set at 9 (all baseball odds from DraftKings). The New York Mets play in Washington against the Nationals at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Mets were on a four-game winning but have now lost two games in a row after their loss at home to Houston yesterday. The Nationals lost for the fifth time in their last six games in a 5-0 loss at Tampa Bay on Sunday. New York taps David Peterson to face Washington’s MacKenzie Gore. The Mets are a -185 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Milwaukee Brewers are in Colorado to play the Rockies at 8:40 p.m. ET. The Brewers won for the sixth time in their last seven games with a 7-1 win against the Chicago Cubs on Sunday. The Rockies ended a five-game losing streak with a 5-4 victory in 14 innings on the road against the Chicago White Sox yesterday. Bryse Wilson gets the ball for Milwaukee to battle against Austin Gomber for Colorado. The Brewers are a -162 money-line road favorite with a total of 11. The knockout stage of the Euro 2024 continues with two matches in the round of 16. France challenges Belgium at Merkur Spiel-Arena in Dusseldorf, Germany on FS1 at noon ET. The French finished with five points in Group D after a 1-1 draw against Poland on Tuesday. Belgium settled for a 0-0 draw with Ukraine on Wednesday to complete Group E with four points. France is a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2 (all soccer odds from BetMGM).Portugal goes against Slovenia at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany on Fox at 3:00 p.m. ET. Portugal took first place in Group F with six points even after their 2-0 upset loss to Georgia on Wednesday. Slovenia earned their third straight draw in Group C in their scoreless match with England on Tuesday. Portugal is a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5.The Copa America 2024 continues with two matches at 9:00 p.m. ET. Panama plays Bolivia at Orlando City Stadium in Orlando, Florida on FS2. Panama earned their first points in the tournament with their 2-1 victory against the United States on Thursday. Bolivia lost their second straight match in this event in a 5-0 loss to Uruguay on Thursday. Panama is a -1 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.The United States Men’s National Team hosts Uruguay at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri on FS1. The Stars and Stripes have three points in group play from their 2-0 victory against Bolivia in their opening match. Uruguay has won its two group stage matches after following up their 2-0 victory against Panama with their five-goal win against Bolivia. This is a pick ‘em match with a total of 2.5.

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The Champions League Final Was Destined to be Low-Scoring

by Hollywood Sports

Sunday, Jun 30, 2024

I expected a lower-scoring affair in the UEFA Champions League finals match between Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid — and Real Madrid came away with a 2-0 victory to win the European club championship. Tactics make fights (and soccer matches) -- and both of these sides preferred to play in a defensive midblock position. They both preferred to counter-attack against press-high opponents. Neither of the head coaches was going to be anxious to blink and embrace an attacking mode. Dortmund head coach Edin Terzic is content to park the bus with his ten players and lean on his outstanding goaltender Gregor Kobel. Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti was likely to have his team attack -- but only cautiously to not give Dortmund counter-attack opportunities. Perhaps the talents of Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, and Rodrygo up top could create scoring opportunities. But, part of Ancelotti's approach was likely to goad Dortmund into a counter-attack -- from which they can perhaps counter with their Big Three getting better scoring chances with a better tactical advantage. It set up to be a cagey affair -- and I did not expect the approach from either side to change if they gave up the opening goal until late into the match. The tactical concern with getting aggressive immediately after surrendering a goal was going to be that it plays into the counter-attacking strength of their opponent. Both of these sides saw their attack decline when playing away from home. Dortmund generated 2.45 expected Goals (xG) when playing at home in the Bundesliga -- but that mark dropped to 1.73 x when playing on the road. Real Madrid averaged 25.1 xG at home in La Liga -- but that clip dropped to 1.74 xG on the road in the Spanish top flight. Both teams also play good defense and could hang on to a 1-0 or 2-0 lead. Dortmund used these defensive tactics against PSG in the semifinals -- and they held them (and Kylian Mbappe) scoreless. In their 12 Champions League matches this season, they had given up only nine goals -- and they generated six clean sheets. In their six Knockout Stage matches, they conceded only five goals. Real Madrid led La Liga with an expected Goals Allowed age of 1.03 -- and in their last 20 matches since the beginning of January, their xGA dropped to 0.9 xGA. Los Blancos also had the veteran Thibault Courtois as their goalkeeper in this one -- not only is he one of the best in the world, but he also made nine saves against Man City in a spectacular Champions League Final in 2022. Only six combined goals had been scored in the last five Champions League Finals -- and the last four had seen 1-0 final scores. In the last 16 UCL Finals, 11 of these matches finished Under 2.5 -- and 5 of the last 6 UCL Finals finished Under 2. For these reasons, our UEFA Champions League Total of the Year was on the under. The match was still scoreless at half-time. Dani Carvajal broke the game open for Real Madrid by scoring in the 74th minute. With Borussia Dortmund now needing to play more aggressively, Vinicius was able to score a second goal nine minutes later. Fortunately, Los Blancos kept their clean sheet the rest of the way without scoring a third goal. Best of luck — Frank.

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Identifying Underlay Bets in Horse Racing -- The Case of Sierra Leone at the Belmont

by Hollywood Sports

Sunday, Jun 30, 2024

Successful handicapping in horse racing involves identifying overlay and underlay values to the betting odds — and reacting accordingly. We want overlays — horses that offer more value than their odds indicate. We should be cautious when it comes to investing in underlay horses since the betting value in those events is not commensurate with the odds.That’s the easy part. The hard part when handicapping horse races is to accurately evaluate and identify these overlay and underlay horses. When handicapping the Belmont Stakes, I concluded that the betting favorite Sierra Leone was an egregious underlay with his morning line odds at 9:5. While the betting action that Saturday went against that horse, Sierra Leone remained the betting favorite at 2:1 when the race started — and I considered him still of underlay value. Sierra Leone was considered the premier closer in this race — and perhaps my feelings would have been different for him if this was 1 1/2 miles. But the 156th running of the Belmont Stakes was temporarily moved to the Saratoga Race Course in Saratoga Springs, New York with Belmont Park undergoing a two-year renovation. This race was only 1 1/4 miles at Saratoga, a 1/4 mile shorter than the traditional 1 1/2 mile race at Belmont. His two losses were by a nose including at the Kentucky Derby — but he demonstrated some immaturity in how he attacked that race. Trainer Chad Brown changed his jockey since the Derby — Flavien Prat was now riding him. And there was been an equipment change. Some pundits may see these changes as solving problems. Admittedly, sometimes “adding the blinkers” works — but more often than not, these tinkerings are indicative of a bigger problem. Generally, I think changes like this add risk — and adding risk does not make sense for a 2-1 favorite. The most important race for Sierra Leone was the Kentucky Derby — so the fact that these problems were not identified before then is a problem Brown needs to take responsibility for himself. Furthermore, Sierra Leone’s best Beyer figure was just 99 — and there were three other horses with higher speed figures in their career. While these speed numbers need to be taken with a grain of salt, they are an objective way to measure the potential best efforts of the horses in the field. Sierra Leone finished in third place in the race. Dornoch won the race and rewarded his supporters at 17-1 closing odds for some very nice overlay value. Mindframe finished in second place after closing at 6-1 odds. His 103 Beyer figure was the best in the field, but I was hesitant to invest in horse racing for just the third time — and the first time in a graded stakes race. Interestingly, the other two horses with Beyer figures higher than Sierra Leone and in the 100s, Mystik Dan and Seize the Day, finished last and second-to-last. Sometimes the Beyer speed numbers present horses that have already peaked with their performance. Seize the Day who registered a 100 while winning the Preakness Stakes three weeks prior. His previous highest Beyer figure was 88 — so the Regression Gods may be making an appearance. How much did Seize the Day benefit from the wet track that day? There were clear skies for the Belmont. It was his third race in five weeks — so fatigue was a concern. Fatigue was also a factor for #3 Mystik Dan who is the only horse to compete at both previous legs of the Triple Crown this year. Mystik Dan won the Kentucky Derby — and he had a reputation as a mudder before finishing second at the Preakness. Mystik Dan did not run the best technical race at the Derby but benefited from the large field and some bad trips from his top competition. I suspected the Preakness States field was relatively weak — and not beating Seize the Grey that day was an indictment.  My handicapping did not all come out roses for the Belmont Stakes. My Best Bet was on #5 Antiquarian who was coming off winning the Peter Pan at 6-1 odds on May 11th. At 12-1 morning line odds, I thought Antiquarian was a nice overlay. I wrote at the time: “I think this race shapes up for another underdog to upset the favorites” — and I got that part right. Arcangelo won the Belmont Stakes last year at closing odds in the 7-1 range — and that was also off winning the Peter Pan in his previous start. Granted, the Belmont was at a different track with a different distance — but a recent winner coming into the third leg of the Kentucky Derby certainly has precedent. Antiquarian’s previous race was a sixth place at the Louisiana Derby — but he had to break through the gate to begin that race which put him at a competitive disadvantage given that expenditure of energy. There was a lot to like. Antiquarian was lightly raced with this being just his fifth career start. He had steadily improved from race-to-race — and the distance did not appear to be a problem. He was trained by Todd Pletcher who has won the Belmont Stakes four times in his career. He was being ridden by John Velazquez who is one of the best jockeys in the business. Alas, Antiquarian faded late and finished in fifth place. But in a choice between being wrong about a 2-1 betting favorite or a horse at 12-1 odds I’ll take the overlay every time. Best of luck — Frank.

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