Articles

NCAAF Inside the Boxscores Week 1 (Part 2)

by Matt Fargo

Tuesday, Sep 06, 2022

Inside the Boxscores is a weekly feature from Matt Fargo that has been widely recognized as one of the best summations in college football. He takes an in-depth look at each game and pulls out the most pertinent information that will help you handicap games in the future. College football is filled with quirky plays, misleading scores and surprise endings. Fargo takes you inside the action.Wyoming 40, Tulsa 37Wyoming took a 7-0 lead two plays into the game is it had a sack/fumble that was recovered in the endzone for a touchdown but Tulsa rallied to take the lead on three separate occasions including possessing a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter before the Cowboys came back to force overtime. Their points were also bolstered by special teams as they blocked a punt for a touchdown. Wyoming was outgained 521-399 but it ran 17 fewer plays and it was basically level at the yard per play average (6.0 to 6.2). The Cowboys showed good balance on offense but were just 5-15 on third down and while the defense gave up a ton of passing yards, they allowed only 61 yards rushing on 32 carries (1.9 ypc). BYU 50, South Florida 21This game was delayed for over two and a half hours because of the weather and South Florida came out flat. BYU scored on a 75-yard touchdown run on the first play from scrimmage and before you knew it, the Cougars built a 38-0 lead and coasted from there. BYU scored on five of six offensive possessions in the first half, with the four touchdown drives all being 65 or more yards, as well as adding on an interception for a touchdown. South Florida started slow on offense as well as it totaled 80 yards in its first six possessions that included that interception, a turnover on downs and four punts. BYU outgained the Bulls 575-293 as it ran 13 more plays and had the ball for nearly 10 minutes longer. Nevada 38, Texas St. 14After winning the turnover battle 5-0 in its opener against New Mexico St., Nevada again took advantage with a 4-0 takeaway edge and it scored 21 points off those turnovers. Those three touchdown drives were all on short fields of 35, 45 and 20 yards. Texas St. won the yardage battle 277-274 as the defense played very well when it was not pinned deep in its own territory and it allowed only 130 yards rushing and 144 yards passing. The Bobcats were able to take advantage of the middle in the passing game, throwing for 289 yards but there was constant pressure in the backfield which hindered the deep passing game as they could not run the ball, rushing for -12 yards on 25 carries (-0.5 ypc). James Madison 44, Middle Tennessee St. 7The Dukes first game as an FBS member was a resounding success. After a scoreless first quarter, James Madison turned it on by scoring 37 unanswered points as it dominated on both sides of the ball. The Dukes outgained Middle Tennessee St. 548-119 as they dominated the time of possession by close to 14 more minutes and ran 24 more plays from scrimmage. They were balanced on offense, passing for 287 yards while rushing for 261 yards and they were just as good on defense, allowing just 107 yards through the air while holding the Blue Raiders to 12 yards rushing on 28 carries (0.4 ypc). Prior to its touchdown drive, Middle Tennessee St. had 20 yards of offense in its first 10 possessions. Ohio 41, Florida Atlantic 38Florida Atlantic controlled the game early before Ohio took over in the second half and the Bobcats had to withstand a ferocious rally from the Owls. Florida Atlantic took the opening kickoff and drove 75 yards for a score to take a 7-0 lead and never trailed in the first half, taking a 17-13 lead into the break. Ohio scored touchdowns on three of its first four possessions of the second half to take a 17-point lead but the Owls scored three late touchdowns and got the ball with 1:37 remaining in the game but turned the ball over on downs with 32 seconds to go. It was almost a dead even game with Florida Atlantic winning the yardage battle 478-476, nearly equal first downs with both rushing and passing fairly similar. Southern California 66, Rice 14It took a little while for USC to take control of this game as it was tied 7-7 after one quarter but then used two long touchdown drives on offense and returned an interception 93 yards for a touchdown to pull away. After building a 17-point halftime lead, the Trojans had two more interception returns for touchdowns in consecutive possessions to start the third quarter as the defense completely dominated the half. USC outgained Rice 538-280 and in seven second half possessions on defense, the Trojans allowed only 52 total yards. USC rushed for 208 yards on 28 carries (7.4 ypc) while completing 83 percent of its passes for 330 yards and scored on seven of its first eight offensive possessions. Coastal Carolina 38, Army 28This was a back and forth game for most of it until Coastal Carolina took the lead for good late in the third quarter, eventually building a 10-point lead with the defense making a late stand. The Chanticleers outgained the Black Knights 437-344 as they ran 23 more plays and had over a 12-minute advantage in time of possession. The Army offensive numbers are a bit skewed as of those 344 yards, three came from big gains, as the Black Knights had plays of 73, 70, and 54 yards, accounting for 57 percent of the offense. Coastal Carolina was exceptional at stopping the Army run game, allowing only 202 rushing yards as a lot of that can be given credit to the offense that kept its defense off the field. Florida 29, Utah 26Utah led for most of this game until it counted as it allowed the go ahead touchdown with 1:25 remaining and came up just short in a late rally. Neither team had more than a six-point lead in the game and they finished only five yards apart with Florida winning the yardage battle 451-446. The Gators opened the game by driving deep into Utah territory but fumbled the ball and the Utes went just 25 yards on five plays to take the lead until Florida tied it up and eventually took a one-point lead into halftime. The Gators had to punt on their first possession of the second half but then had two 75-yard touchdown drives to take the lead and picked off a pass in the endzone after Utah drove to the six-yard line. Kentucky 37, Miami (OH) 13Miami took the opening kickoff and drove 75 yards to take an early 7-0 lead and the teams went back and forth the entire first half while the Wildcats clung to a three-point lead at halftime. They broke it open by returning the second half kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown and then recovered a fumble two plays later which led to an eight-yard touchdown drive to go up 17 points and never looked back. The defense came through by allowing only three second half points and overall they outgained the RedHawks 353-290. The offense was very efficient in the passing game as they threw for 303 yards with a 14.4 completion average but the rushing offense needs work after 50 yards gained on 26 carries (1.9 ypc). Liberty 29, Southern Mississippi 27Liberty won a thrilling four-overtime game with a stop on the final play for the two-point victory. After a scoreless first quarter, Southern Mississippi struck first with a field goal before Liberty scored 10 points off two interceptions as the offense had just 28 yards on those two scores. The Golden Eagles tied the game early in the third quarter and then took the lead in the fourth quarter on a 22-yard interception return for a touchdown. After trading touchdowns, the Flames then went 81 yards and forced overtime with a touchdown with 36 seconds left. Liberty outgained Southern Mississippi 447-391 but needed 15 more plays to do so. Penalties hurt both sides with Liberty hit with 12 and the Golden Eagles with 10. Tulane 42, Massachusetts 10Tulane never trailed and it took the lead for good midway through the second quarter as after the Minutemen tied the game at 7-7, the Green Wave took the ensuing kickoff and drove 77 yards to take a seven-point lead. They picked off a pass three plays later and scored another touchdown three plays after that. Tulane only allowed three more points the rest of the way and the defense locked down in the second half, allowing just 65 total yards. The Green Wave outgained Massachusetts 369-217 as they held the Minutemen to only 17 yards passing on four completions and while they did allow 200 yards rushing, that was on 58 carries so the 3.4 ypc average allowed was solid. The offense was not great but showed balance. Alabama 55, Utah St. 0Alabama pitched the shutout and it could not be contained on either side of the ball. The Tide outgained Utah St. 559-136 and had a 30-7 first down edge in basically what was three quarters from their starters. The Tide scored on their first nine offensive possessions including five of seven touchdown drives that were 60 yards or longer and they did not punt until late in the third quarter. Defensively, they were just as good as Utah St. opened the game with a 25-yard drive that resulted in a punt and that was the longest drive allowed until an Aggies 39-yard possession early in the fourth quarter. Overall, Alabama forced 10 punts and forced Utah St. to turn it over on downs twice but had no takeaways. Mississippi St. 49, Memphis 23A lengthy weather delay halted this game for about two hours but it was a Bulldogs domination before and after. Mississippi St. scored on its first two possessions with touchdown drives of 75 and 88 yards to take a 14-0 lead after the first quarter. After Memphis tacked on a field goal which was aided by a Bulldogs interception, Mississippi St. tacked on two more touchdowns to pull away. The Bulldogs outgained the Tigers 547-294 as they ran 83 plays compared to just 51 for Memphis as they controlled the clock for over 22 more minutes. The passing game was solid but Mississippi St. ran for just 97 yards on 34 carries (2.9 ypc) and while the defense gave up just 129 yards rushing, it was on a 6.1 ypc clip. SMU 48, North Texas 10After a three and out to open the game, the SMU offense took over with scores on five of its next six possessions with those five scoring drives all generating at least 51 total yards. The Mustangs jumped ahead 14-0 before North Texas tacked on a field goal and then after the Mean Green cut the lead to 24-10 late in the second quarter, SMU threw a 75-yard touchdown pass on the next play to start a 24-point unanswered run to close out the game. SMU outgained the Mean Green 576-422 and while that yardage variance seems closer than expected, it ran 15 fewer plays and had the ball for 10 minutes less and had a yard per play advantage of 8.7 to 5.2. North Texas was a combined 7-21 on third and fourth down. Ohio St. 21, Notre Dame 10The marquee game of the night lived up to its billing as it was a one possession game until late in the fourth quarter when Ohio St. sealed the win by going 95 yards on 14 plays in 7:06 to make it an 11-point lead. Notre Dame held the potent Ohio St. offense in check for most of the game as it allowed only 10 points and 211 yards through close to 45 minutes before the Buckeyes regained the lead with 17 seconds remaining in the third quarter. The Irish allowed just 395 yards to Ohio St. which was a win in itself but the offense generated only 253 yards as they had just 177 yards through the air although it was at a 17.7 completion averaged and they rushing for 76 yards on 30 carries (2.5 ypc). South Carolina 35, Georgia St. 14South Carolina had its hands full for over a half but pulled away late thanks to special teams. It was a scoreless first quarter and the Gamecocks were setting up for a field goal early in the second quarter but faked it to pick up the first down and eventually found the end zone. They tacked on a pair of field goals to take a five-point lead into halftime but Georgia St. picked off a pass on the second play of the third quarter and converted that into a touchdown for their first and only lead. South Carolina scored the final 23 points to pull away thanks to a pair of blocked punts returned for touchdowns. South Carolina was actually outgained 311-306 as it could not run on offense and it could not stop the run defensively. Syracuse 31, Louisville 7Syracuse took a 10-0 lead following a 31-yard field goal and after forcing a punt, it went 87 yards on five plays capped off by a 55-yard touchdown pass. It took Louisville just 3:44 to cut the lead back to three points but then it was all Syracuse the rest of the way. The Orange scored another touchdown on their next possession and then after three straight punts, they pulled away with a pair of touchdowns in the fourth quarter set up by a pair of takeaways. Despite the lopsided score, the Orange only outgained Louisville 449-334 and their 6.8 yards per play average was not far better than the 6.2 for the Cardinals. Louisville had 167 yards wasted because of turnovers and failed fourth downs. Texas 52, ULM 10The Longhorns were never in danger but they did not dominate like the final score shows. They outgained ULM 383-259 as they benefitted from good field position which can definitely skew offensive numbers as not as good as they could have been had they had a longer field. Of their six offensive scoring possessions, five started at their own 36-yard line or better. Texas also got touchdowns from the defense and special teams from an interception and a blocked punt. The Longhorns defense was outstanding as they did not allow a drive of more than 37 yards until late in the fourth quarter on the Warhawks lone touchdown effort that went 83 yards, accounting for over 30 percent of their total offense. Oregon St. 34, Boise St. 17It did not start great for Oregon St. as it fumbled on its first possession and went three and out on its second one then the offense got going as it scored a pair of touchdowns on relatively short fields thanks to an interception and good field position after a punt. The Beavers scored twice in the second quarter starting with a field goal after recovering a fumble at the Boise St. six-yard line and then after throwing their own interception, they got it back after another fumble and went 98 yards for a touchdown so there were 17 points scored off turnovers. Overall, Oregon St. outgained Boise St. 470-311 thanks to a potent passing game that averaged 19.5 yards per completion. The Broncos had five turnovers overall. Washington 45, Kent St. 20The season started the wrong way for Kent St. as it received the opening kickoff and threw an interception on their first play which led to a short field and Washington converted four plays later to take a 7-0 lead. The Huskies forced a punt and went 90 yards to double the lead and Kent St. had no answers of defense as Washington scored on its first six possessions including five touchdowns with four of those drives totaling 74 or more yards. Kent St. did cut the lead to 18 points early in the fourth quarter but it was too late. The Huskies won the yardage battle 525-340 as the defense was nothing special expect for three interceptions and they allowed the Golden Flashes to convert 10-17 on third down. Western Kentucky 49, Hawaii 17Hawaii got blasted at home for a second straight week as a promising start went south quickly. The Warriors got the opening kickoff and went three and out but they recovered the ensuing muffed punt at the three-yard line yet went backward and had to settle for a field goal. After getting nothing on their first two possessions, the Hilltoppers tacked on a pair of touchdowns on a long drive and an interception return before Hawaii was able to cut the lead back to four points but then Western Kentucky took over with 21 unanswered points to put the game away early in the fourth quarter. The Warriors were only outgained 412-360 but they had five turnovers that led to 24 points as well as 12 penalties. Florida St. 24, LSU 23LSU started the scoring with a field goal to take a 3-0 lead after the first quarter but Florida St. scored the next 17 points then the Tigers offense finally woke up. They were able to cut the deficit to seven points following an 82-yard touchdown drive and then after yielding another touchdown, LSU once again put together a solid drive of 75 yards to make it a seven-point game again. Then it got crazy. The Tigers forced a punt and muffed it for the second time in the game which set up a short field but the Seminoles fumbled at the one-yard line and LSU went 99 yards for the apparent tying score but had the extra point blocked. The numbers were fairly even across the board as turnovers and special teams were the difference. Clemson 41, Georgia Tech 10It was a very slow start for both teams as the first four possessions for Clemson resulted in three punts and a fumble and the first four Georgia Tech drives resulted in four punts with the last one being costly. The Tigers blocked it which set up a five-yard touchdown drive and then after a missed Yellow Jackets field goal, Clemson went 67 yards on eight plays to take a 14-0 lead. Georgia Tech scored the next 10 points but then the Tigers defense stepped up as they allowed only 45 total yards on 21 plays the rest of the way. Another blocked punt late set up another touchdown that put it away. Clemson outgained the Yellow Jackets 386-237 as the offense picked it up late and the defense was great, allowing only 3.6 yards per play. 

Read more

Champions League Futures

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Sep 06, 2022

The Champions League group stage is upon us and it is time to dive in and take a closer look at which teams are true contenders here to go deep in the tournament possibly even winning it all, and to see who are just frauds who may look like they have a chance on the surface but really just don’t cut it. There were a lot of big moves made this summer, some teams getting much stronger than they were last year and others left in a much weaker position overall. Let’s take a look at the top favorites to win the tournament and see who really does have a good chance. To Win Outright Manchester City +250: Man City is coming off of another great campaign in the Premier League, winning another title last season and they also had a lot of success in Champions League as well. They made it all the way to the semi-finals before losing to Real Madrid who went on to win the whole thing, but Man City has been a very dominant team in Europe over the past few years. They did lose some talent in the transfer window with the exits of Raheem Sterling and Gabriel Jesus, but as always they did their best to fill the hole and ended up signing Erling Haaland who has already made his impact on the team with 10 goal scored in his first 6 league matches with the team. They have had a few slip ups to start the season but they are still unbeaten in their 6 matches so far and they have looked very good in their 4 wins. It is clear that this team has not taken a step back from last year and considering how much depth they have on their bench at every position, they are by far one of the strongest teams in the competition and will be looking to repeat their deep run last year but this time complete it going all the way to the title. They also have one of the weaker groups to play in and should have no issues getting through the group stage. This is a team that really can beat anyone in Europe on a day they bring their best effort. Paris Saint-Germain +500: PSG is coming off of another successful campaign last year as they won their French Ligue 1 title and did go deep into Champions League as well, but they were eliminated by the eventual champions, Real Madrid, in the round of 16. PSG is another team that just continues to get stronger every year, they did lose some midfield talent in the transfer window but they are so deep at that position that it should not be an issue to fill in the holes that were left. They also have one of the strongest attacking trios of all the teams between Messi, Mbappe, and Neymar, and they have already been in midseason form to start the season with the amount of goals this team has been scoring. The decision Mbappe made to stay with PSG had a very big impact on the team and really boosted their chances of going deep in this tournament as they have one of the best squads on paper. That has also turned into reality with the way they have been playing in their first few matches, and there is no doubt that they are also a team that can beat anyone in Europe when bringing their best effort. They do play in a very tough group as they have some good quality teams in Juventus and Benfica to get through, but those teams will be good tests for them and they should still have no trouble making it out of the group as they are by far the superior team in there. They should have a much deeper run than they did last season. Liverpool +550: Liverpool is coming off of a good year in both Champions League and the Premier League, but this is a team that suffered the cruel fate last season of always being a bridesmaid and never a bride. They finished their Premier League season in 2nd place, just 1 point behind the title champions Man City, and they lost to Real Madrid in the Champions League finals 1-0 as well. They have been a dominant team in Europe over the past few years but those seasons are long gone now and this is not the same Liverpool team that we have seen the last few years. Liverpool made some big changes in the transfer window, including their biggest loss in Sadio Mane leaving for Bayern Munich and so far, the impact of that move has been very apparent. They tried to replace Mane by acquiring Darwin Nunez from Benfica but that signing has just brought more problems to this team. Mane left a big hole in the starting XI as a big part of the Liverpool attack is feeding Mo Salah the ball and with a competent forward like Mane who really controls the pace of the game, their attack has been left in shambles. It has only gotten worse with the insertion of Nunez into the lineup as the team has 2 very good and high maintenance strikers now who both need touches on the ball, and they still do not have a solid midfielder or forward to take over that role and compensate for them, making their attack more fluid into the box. They have been in awful form to start the Premier League season already, but they are not going to get any better with the current state of things and this is definitely a team that has been left off in a much worse position than they were last season. They will not be making another deep run in Champions League this season and they will start to be in a downturn moving forward. Bayern Munich +650: Bayern Munich is coming off of another great campaign in their league last season, winning yet another title but they have also been the dominant force in that league for over a decade now. They had a deep run in Champions League last season but fizzled out in the quarter-finals, losing to a Villarreal side that is not even one of the dominant forces in their own league let alone Europe. Bayern has looked very good to start this season but they have not had a real test yet as they are by far the best team in their league, but they have made a lot of big changes to their squad that will be key when facing some tougher opponents. They had a huge loss with the exit of Robert Lewandowski to Barcelona and they tried to replace him with Sadio Mane from Liverpool. Mane is a very good piece to add and he will help add some consistency to this team with the way they form their attack but, he is nowhere near the kind of goal scorer Lewandowski is and when push comes to shove against these tougher opponents in UCL, their attack is not going to cut it against some of these elite defenses. Bayern is also a team that has struggled with their defense over the last few seasons as they give up a lot of goals. They did spend a lot of money to fix up their defense for this season but they have not been tested against a good quality team yet and their defense still does not compare to some of the other elite teams in Europe. Bayern always has the possibility of making a deep run because of their strong attack and how many goals they can score, but they were stunted by a Villarreal side last year that is not an elite team but does have a very good defense, and Bayern will likely run into similar troubles with some of these top defenses in the competition. This is not a team that is going the distance to the finals. Real Madrid +1000: Real Madrid is the team that is probably coming off of the most successful season as they won their La Liga title last year but also came away with the Champions League title as well. They did not make any big changes to their starting squad in the transfer window but they did win both their league title and Champions League title, and when coming off of a great season like that why fix what isn’t broken? Well they took that to heart and this core group is still very much the same and still playing at an extremely high level as they were last year. It is amazing to see the odds this high for the defending champions of the competition and they were a team that probably had the hardest road to the finals with some of the teams they had to knock out, but they still got the job done. Benzema and Vinicius have already been scoring a ton of goals in their first few matches and this team is in midseason form already, ready to repeat what they did last season. Even with the little moves they made in the transfer window, they still have one of the best teams in the competition and should be ahead of some of these other teams favored to win the tournament over them. After the year they had last season and the way they have come out this season, this is still a very dangerous team that has a chance to go all the way and win the title like they did last year. Barcelona +1400: Barcelona is a team that has been struggling over the last few seasons ever since Messi left and really started the downfall of this team. They have still finished in the top 4 of their league without him but they have not been able to keep up with some of the best in the league. That has all changed now though as they have rebuilt this squad and spent a lot of money in doing so by bringing in a ton of quality players. It is not just the quality of players they have brought in though, they were having troubles paying everyone they signed and there were players on this team that were willing to take pay cuts just to play for the team this season because that is the kind of passion these players have for both the club and winning with the club. That shows that this team has a very strong core of quality players that all want to be there and win together, and they have signed so much talent in the transfer window that they really should be one of the favorites to win Champions League. One of their biggest signings in the summer was acquiring Robert Lewandowski from Bayern Munich and that has really put their attack into full gear, but they also signed a lot of supporting midfielder talent that will help this attack form much better and cut through defenses the way they have been doing in their first few matches of the season. This is definitely one of the stronger teams in Europe right now and they have a very good chance of winning this tournament and even winning their league title this year as well. They are by far the biggest darkhorse on the board and there is too much value to turn them down because this is a team that can go the distance. RecommendationsThere are a lot of good options here for betting on Champions League futures and it is still very early in the competition as the group stage is just starting but, there is definitely enough to go on here when picking a team and it is definitely not too early to see which teams are stay away teams. Liverpool and Bayern Munich are definitely teams to stay away from with the current state they are in; they just do not have the talent at all positions to go all the way. The best way to bet the Champions League here for futures would be to take Barcelona at +1400 as they are a team that is very undervalued and could easily end up in the semi-finals at least. The next team would be PSG at +500 as their team is just too good all around and they will still be thinking about the way they exited to Real Madrid last year. My 3rd team to take on this list is Man City at +250 as they are the favorites for obvious reasons and continue to have a very stacked team that can go all the way with their talent. And finally, Real Madrid at +1000 would be the last team I consider, this is no knock on them as they do still have a very good team and are the defending champions but, they are my least favorite as playing all of those extra matches to the finals last season likely put a bit of a toll on them and while other powerhouses were spending money in the transfer window to make their clubs better to beat Real Madrid, Real really did not make any major moves to improve their team. These are my best suggestions for finding value on outright winners in the Champions League and remember to always bet responsibly!

Read more

NFL Season Long Player Props

by ASA, Inc.

Tuesday, Sep 06, 2022

NFL Offensive Player PropsJameis Winston - Over 3750.50 Passing Yards Contrary to popular belief, Jameis has been very productive over the first years of his career. During his five years in Tampa, he surpassed 4,000 yards twice and 5,000 yards once. He sat behind Brees for a year and tore his ACL early last season after a hot start for the Saints. He has the best supporting cast of his career with a great O-line, and great receivers. New Orleans will have a powerful offense and 4,000 yards should be easy for Winston to hit if he remains healthy.  Daniel Jones - Under 3650.50 Passing Yards Jones has been a disappointment in the first three years of his NFL career. The Giants have not helped their young QB at all and have been a bad organization from roster construction to coaching changes. Jones barely eclipsed 3,000 yards in his rookie season in 2019, and has not surpassed that total the past two years. This may be the year that the wheels fall off all together.  Aaron Jones - Over 750.50 Rushing YardsThe Packers lost Davante Adams this offseason, which allows for Green Bay to become a much more run heavy team. Many may see the emergence of A.J. Dillion as bad news for Aaron Jones, but that is quite the opposite. Dillion taking more bruising runs between the tackles allows Jones to remain fresh and slice and dice to a more efficient season. With 17 games, Jones would only need about 45 rushing yards per game to hit the over, which seems very achievable.  Elijah Mitchell - Under 950.50 Rushing Yards  San Francisco has always used a bevy of running backs in years past, but Mitchell seems the clear cut number one back for 2022. The situation seems ripe for Mitchell, but the 49ers have not had a 1,000 yard rusher since Frank Gore back in 2014. Shanahan rides the hot hand with his running backs, so if Mitchell gets dinged up (like he did last year) or struggles, the coaching staff will plug in the next man up.  Drake London - Over 764.50 Receiving Yards London was the first receiver off the board in the 2022 draft with a class that was absolutely stacked at the position. Rookie receivers have excelled in recent years, and there are plenty of targets that will flow London’s way. The Falcons will be playing from behind a lot this season and the sheer volume alone will be enough to propel the former USC standout to a near 1,000 yards season.  Jaylen Waddle - Under 925.50 Receiving Yards Waddle had a great rookie year catching over 100 balls. His depth of target was extremely low however, which allowed him to narrowly reach 1,000 yards. The addition of Tyreek Hill is going to eat into Waddles target share, and the coaching change to Mike McDaniel is going to make the Dolphins a more run heavy team. We haven't seen enough from Tua yet to think he can support two 1,000 yards receivers. 

Read more

If You're Getting Your Handicapping From TV or Radio Hosts, Get Ready to Go Broke!

by Wayne Root

Tuesday, Sep 06, 2022

If caught my attention yesterday when a radio hosts sports wannabe handicapper was talking about how strong LSU’s late drinking fest in Baton Rouge was and the affect it would have on their game. He said the venue was an incredibly solid strong home venue.  NOTE: They we’re playing in New Orleans at the Superdome and Florida St won outright. So much for that information. Lol  An ESPN Handicapper was attempting to explain that if Buffalo went from -2 to -2.5 and -3 against the Rams that it indicated “sharp money”. Yes, that could be true. But he didn’t know. He had no idea. What if 80% of the tickets written on Buffalo were all from public money? That would have had the point spread going from -2 to -2.5 to -3. The exact same outcome as his “sharp money”  example. He wanted to be right but he had no clue.  There are counter tickets (public bets). There are betting apps (could be anyone). There’s the back room numbers where the actual dollars are added then sided and the numbers are adjusted. There’s a sector of huge offshore sports books where some of the biggest bets are made and are monitored by us. This is real informative. It follows the money. Not an ESPN opinion.  Another factor is the straight bets vs money line bets. The sports books don’t want to get sided so sometimes the lines move and other times they won’t change them if they’re in a favorable position.  Towards the end of the season, the point spread for that specific game must be calculated and measured against all the future bets the sports books have exposure.  In reality, the ESPN hosts that looks like he walked out of GQ is there for his look and speaking ability. Even if he’s played the game his opinions are slanted, taunted and not really his. The teleprompter queues the information entered and and loves to put in a “false narrative” that the Buffalo point spread is really moving. “Stay tuned after this word from Coors Beer, we’ll be right back.” And off to a commercial.  PS: You were part of their commercial; not for Vegas Inside Sharp Betting Information; but for SportsCenter much needed content.  If the information you demand is critical for your own pockets, come back to me all week long. 

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 09/06/2022

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Sep 06, 2022

The Tuesday sports card features action in MLB and the UEFA Champions League.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The New York Mets travel to Pittsburgh to play the Pirates at 6:35 PM ET. Taijuan Walker takes the ball for the Mets to pitch against Mitch Keller for the Pirates. New York is a -215 money line road favorite, with the total set at 8.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Tampa Bay Rays host the Boston Red Sox at 6:40 PM ET. The Rays turn to Drew Rasmussen to pitch against the Red Sox’s Rich Hill. Tampa Bay is a -155 money line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Philadelphia Phillies are at home against the Miami Marlins at 6:45 PM ET. Aaron Nola takes the hill for the Phillies to pitch against Jesus Luzardo for the Marlins. Philadelphia is a -225 money line favorite with a total of 7. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 7:05 PM ET. New York plays at home against Minnesota on TBS, with the Yankees tapping Gerrit Cole to pitch against the Twins’ Joe Ryan. The Yankees is a -195 money line favorite with an over/under of 7. Toronto is at Baltimore with Mitch White pitching for the Blue Jays against Kyle Bradish for the Orioles. The Blue Jays are a -115 money line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Chicago Cubs host the Cincinnati Reds at 7:40 PM ET. The Cubs turn to Wade Miley in their starting rotation to battle against the Reds’ Justin Dunn. Chicago is a -170 money line favorite. The St. Louis Cardinals are at home against the Washington Nationals at 7:45 PM ET. Jose Quintana takes the hill for the Cardinals to pitch against Paolo Espino for the Nationals. St. Louis is a -250 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Two MLB games start at 8:10 PM ET. Cleveland travels to Kansas City with the Guardians tapping Shane Bieber to pitch against the Royals’ Kris Bubic. The Guardians are a -190 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. Houston plays at home against Texas with Framber Valdez tapped to pitch for the Astros against Glenn Otto for the Rangers. The Astros are a -265 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Milwaukee Brewers play at Colorado against the Rockies at 8:40 PM ET. The Brewers turn to Brandon Woodruff to pitch against the Rockies’ Chad Kohl. Milwaukee is a -190 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Los Angeles Angels are at home against the Detroit Tigers at 9:38 PM ET. Mike Mayers takes the ball for the Angels to duel against Eduardo Rodriguez for the Tigers. Los Angeles is a -145 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. Three MLB games begin at 9:40 PM ET. San Diego hosts Arizona, with the Padres tapping Joe Musgrove to pitch against the Diamondbacks’ Merrill Kelly. The Padres are a -165 money line favorite with a total of 7. Atlanta visits Oakland with Kyle Wright taking the mound for the Braves to pitch against Cole Irvin for the A’s. The Braves are a -215 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7. Seattle is at home against Chicago, with the Mariners tapping Logan Gilbert to pitch against Johnny Cueto for the White Sox. The Mariners are a -150 money line with a total of 7. The Los Angeles Dodgers play at home against the San Francisco Giants at 10:10 PM ET. Tyler Anderson takes the hill for the Dodgers against a starting pitcher that has yet to be named for the Giants. Matchday 1 in the UEFA Champions League has eight group stage matches. Two matches start at 12:45 PM ET. Chelsea travels to Dinamo Zagreb as a -1 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Borussia Dortmund plays at home against Copenhagen as a -1.5 goal line favorite with a total of 3.5. Six matches conclude the UCL card at 3 PM ET. AC Milan plays at RB Salzburg as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Real Madrid visits Celtic as a -1 goal line road favorite with a total of 3. RB Leipzig hosts Shakhtar Donetsk as a -2 goal line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Manchester City plays at Sevilla as a -1.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 3. Paris Saint-Germain is at home against Juventus as a -1.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 3. Benfica plays at home against Maccabi Haifa as a -2 goal line favorite with a total of 3. All eight Champions League matches are available on Paramount+. The CBS Sports Network’s “The Golazo Show” is an NFL Red Zone-inspired show that presents live updated highlights of all eight games. 

Read more

NCAAF Inside the Boxscores Week 1 (Part 1)

by Matt Fargo

Monday, Sep 05, 2022

Inside the Boxscores is a weekly feature from Matt Fargo that has been widely recognized as one of the best summations in college football. He takes an in-depth look at each game and pulls out the most pertinent information that will help you handicap games in the future. College football is filled with quirky plays, misleading scores and surprise endings. Fargo takes you inside the action. Oklahoma St. 58, Central Michigan 44Central Michigan outgained Oklahoma St. 546-531 but those overall numbers are skewed. The Cowboys dominated the first half and after opening the second half with a touchdown to take a commanding 51-15 lead, most of the starters left the field and the Chippewas put up late garbage points and numbers. Over the next seven possessions, Central Michigan scored four touchdowns that accumulated nearly half of its total yardage output while the Cowboys punted on six of their final seven drives not counting the last kneel down possession that ended the game. Oklahoma St. had the ball for over 12 minutes less and ran 15 fewer plays which gave it a 7.3 to 6.2 yard per play advantage. Pittsburgh 38, West Virginia 31Pittsburgh won a back and forth game thanks to a 56-yard interception return for a touchdown with 2:58 remaining. West Virginia had one last opportunity and drove down to the Panthers 28-yard line before turning it over on downs. The Mountaineers won the yardage battle 404-384 as each team dominated one aspect. West Virginia had 190 rushing on 33 carries (5.8 ypc) while the Panthers had just 76 yards rushing on 38 carries (2.0 ypc) but Pittsburgh threw for 308 yards (19.3 yards per completion) compared to the Mountaineers passing for 214 yards (9.3 yards per completion). Pittsburgh scored 14 points off two turnovers, the other being a fumble resulting in only a 35-yard drive. Tennessee 59, Ball St. 10It was all Tennessee from the start as the Volunteers scored on six of seven first half possessions and nine of its first 10 before calling off the troops in the fourth quarter. The Volunteers outgained Ball St. 569-343 and took advantage early as they jumped out to a 17-0 first quarter lead thanks to an interception on the first play of the game and two fourth down stops that led to three scoring drives totaling only 103 yards and Ball St. managed only 86 total yards on its first seven possessions. The Cardinals could not run the ball, gaining only 74 yards on 27 carries (2.7 ypc) and overall, it committed 12 penalties for 83 yards, four of which led to first downs. Tennessee was a perfect 7-7 inside the redzone. Missouri 52, Louisiana Tech 24Louisiana Tech had the only points in the first quarter on a 33-yard field goal and then Missouri woke up by scoring 21 unanswered points. The Tigers returned an interception for a touchdown and used a short field on the other two scoring drives that accumulated just 77 total yards. The Bulldogs responded with a one-play, 75-yard touchdown pass to cut the deficit to 11 points but then Missouri tacked on 17 straight points to pull away. The Tigers outgained Louisiana Tech 558-344 with the rushing game being the difference as they had 323 yards on the ground on 50 carries (6.5 ypc) while holding the Bulldogs to eight yards rushing on 22 carries (0.4 ypc). Missouri did commit 10 penalties for 100 yards. Penn St. 35, Purdue 31The numbers were very even in this back and forth game that came down to the final minute. Penn St. built a 21-10 halftime lead that was culminated by a recovered fumble with 30 seconds remaining and turned it into a two-play, 82-yard touchdown drive in 28 seconds. Purdue came out of the second half and scored on two long touchdown drives to retake the lead while Penn St. went ahead again early in the fourth quarter. The Nittany Lions had a chance to make it a two-possession game but Purdue intercepted a pass for a 75-yard touchdown to take another lead but Penn St. was able to get the ball one last time with 2:22 left and went 80 yards on eight plays for the game-winning score. Minnesota 38, New Mexico St. 0The Golden Gophers completely dominated this game as they outgained New Mexico St. 485-91 while winning the first downs 31-6 and taking the time of possession by 29 minutes. Minnesota scored on its first six possessions which were all 59 yards or more and it did not punt until there was less than five minutes remaining in the game. Over half of the Aggies yards came on one possession in the third quarter as they went 54 yards but it resulted in an interception, the only time the whole game they crossed midfield. The Gophers were efficient in all aspects as they dominated the ground game (5.2 ypc to 1.8 ypc), completed 70 percent of their passes while allowing only 33 percent and went 11-14 on third down. Michigan St. 35, Western Michigan 13Michigan St. outgained the Broncos 430-334 but this game was still up for grabs late in the fourth quarter. Western Michigan fell behind 21-3 at halftime but was able to score 10 points in the third quarter to make it a one possession game and got the ball back early in the fourth quarter but were forced to punt and Michigan St. went 91 yards on eight plays to make it a 15-point game. The Spartans then made a fourth down stop near midfield and scored on a 43-yard touchdown pass to ice the game. Western Michigan won the time of possession by close to 15 minutes which resulted in 17 more plays yet overall managed just 4.6 yards per play compared to 7.7 yards per play for Michigan St. Old Dominion 20, Virginia Tech 17Points were a premium as both teams made crucial mistakes but it was Virginia Tech that stumbled too much. The Hokies jumped ahead 7-0 early in the first quarter and after three punts to open the game, Old Dominion picked off a pass which led to a field goal and then two possessions after that, the Monarchs returned a fumble 25 yards for a touchdown to take a lead into halftime. The Hokies responded with 10 third quarter points, the touchdown coming by way of a fumble recovery at the Old Dominion 10-yard line and scoring three plays later. The Monarchs went 74 yards on nine plays for the game winning touchdown with 33 seconds left. The Hokies had five turnovers while committing 15 penalties. Duke 30, Temple 0This game was never in doubt as Duke outgained Temple 500-199 and the scoring margin could have been a lot bigger as the Blue Devils were just 1-9 on third down which led to six field goal attempts that resulted in three makes and three misses. Duke was very efficient in the passing game, offensively going 24-30 for 328 yards and a 13.7 average completion rate while on defense, it allowed under 50 percent completions for 114 yards and 3.9 yards per attempt. Temple managed only 65 yards rushing on 29 carries (2.2 ypc) but somehow managed six rushing first downs, half of its overall total. The Owls did not cross midfield until the second half as they had just 35 total yards in the first half. Indiana 23, Illinois 20Illinois outgained Indiana 448-362, had nine more first downs and controlled the clock for over 13 more minutes but had four turnovers. After falling behind 16-10 at halftime, the Illini intercepted a pass two plays into the second half that turned into the go ahead touchdown. They made it a four-point game late in the fourth quarter and after holding the Hoosiers to 85 total yards on their first six second half possessions, Indiana went 75 yards in 12 plays to score the game winning touchdown with 23 seconds remaining. The Illinois offense sputtered late as it got into Indiana territory on four straight possessions but resulted in just one field goal as it had a fumble, and interception and a turnover on downs at the Indiana four-yard line. TCU 38, Colorado 13Colorado dominated the first half as it outgained the Horned Frogs 197-62 but it could manage only two field goals in five possessions as it turned it over on downs twice. The Buffaloes trailed 7-6 at the half as the lone TCU score came on a 60-yard punt return touchdown but then TCU took over. The Horned Frogs scored on their first five second half possessions, racking up 323 yards on those drives while the defense allowed 71 yards on the first four Colorado possessions of the half before the Buffaloes went 75 yards on eight plays for a garbage touchdown with just over a minute left. TCU did not have to throw much as it ran at will with 275 yards rushing on 30 carries (9.2 ypc) and overall averaged 7.8 yards per play. Ole Miss 28, Troy 10Mississippi jumped ahead 21-0 as Troy could get nothing going on offense as it managed only 59 total yards on its first five possessions before going 47 yards in its final first half drive that resulted in a field goal. The second half was bad for both teams as the Rebels scored a touchdown to open the half but their next five possessions ended with three turnovers and two punts while gaining only 57 yards. The Trojans had more production as they had six drives that totaled 220 yards but scored only one touchdown as they had a fumble, an interception and turned it over on downs three times. The Rebels had 266 yards rushing on 44 carries (6.0 ypc) while holding Troy to 60 yards on 33 carries (1.8 ypc). North Carolina 63, Appalachian St. 61The wildest game of the weekend took place here as exactly half of the 124 points were scored in the fourth quarter. Appalachian St. jumped ahead first and took a 21-7 lead early in the second quarter before North Carolina ran off 34 consecutive points to take a 20-point lead heading into the fourth quarter before the Mountaineers rallied. They scored touchdowns on all five possessions in the quarter and had a chance to take the lead with 31 seconds left after a touchdown but missed the two-point conversion. That forced an onsides kick which the Tar Heels ran in for a touchdown but the Mountaineers responded again with a quick score but failed another two-point try to tie. Appalachian St. won the yardage battle 649-567. Rutgers 22, Boston College 21Boston College led pretty much throughout as it scored the first touchdown and had a 21-12 lead midway through the third quarter before Rutgers made it a one possession game with a field goal to end the quarter. The Eagles were able to get the ball two more times in the fourth quarter but were forced to punt both times after gaining only two total yards. After the first punt, the Scarlet Knights got the ball at their own four-yard line and were able to go 96 yards in 12 plays for the go ahead touchdown. Boston College was forced to punt the second time from its own 10-yard line with 1:51 left and never got it back. Rutgers had 212 yards rushing (5.0 ypc) and Boston College managed just 29 yards rushing (1.0 ypc). NC State 21, East Carolina 20East Carolina threw an interception on its second play of the game but the defense forced a three and out and the offense recovered by going 70 yards on seven played to take the 7-0 lead. The NC State defense took over by forcing five punts, one blocked for a touchdown, and grabbing another interception on the next six Pirates drives to close the first half while the offense had two long drives to take a two-touchdown lead. Then it was the East Carolina defense that held its own as it did not allow a second half point and in five possessions, forced two punts, had an interception, recovered a fumble at the one-yard line and had a fourth down stop at the three-yard line. East Carolina missed an extra point and a game winning field goal with nine seconds left. Maryland 31, Buffalo 10Maryland outgained Buffalo 446-268 despite running 12 fewer plays as it nearly doubled up the Bulls in yards per play at 7.3 to 3.7. Buffalo did have more first downs (18-16) with half of those coming via the rush despite gaining only 108 yards on 38 carries (2.8 ypc). The Terrapins offense was inconsistent as they had three touchdown drives of 75 yards or more but also punted five times including four three and outs and additionally turned it over on downs and had an interception. The defense was much better as it did allow a 75-yard touchdown drive and an 85-yard field goal drive but forced seven punts where they allowed only 19 total net yards and Buffalo was just 5-18 on third and fourth down combined. Michigan 51, Colorado St. 7This game was never in doubt thanks to the Michigan defense that did not allow the Rams to cross midfield until late in the third quarter and allowed only 97 total yard up to that point. Colorado St. did generate 122 yards in garbage time where it managed its only score and while the Wolverines offense did score 51 points, scoring on eight of 10 possessions, they only had 440 total yards and a lot of those came late when the game was already decided as 190 yards were on their final three possessions. Michigan was forced into three field goals and finished the day just 3-10 on third down attempts as it struggled in long down spots. The running game was fine though as the Wolverines had 234 yards rushing on 40 carries (5.9 ypc). UCLA 45, Bowling Green 17The setting was ideal for Bowling Green as UCLA had no home field edge with a morning start and no fans and the Broncos took advantage early as they blocked an opening punt for a touchdown and built a 17-7 lead early in the second quarter until the Bruins took over. After that opening block debacle, UCLA got into Bowling Green territory on its last 13 possessions although it did score only seven times as it missed two field goals, threw an interception and turned it over on downs. Still, the Bruins outgained Bowling Green 626-162 so they did dominate overall, especially on the ground where they had 269 yards rushing on 45 carries (6.0 ypc) compared to 37 yards rushing on 25 carries (1.5 ypc) for the Falcons. Arkansas 31, Cincinnati 24Arkansas built two-touchdown leads on three separate occasions but the game was not decided until late. Cincinnati cut those leads to a touchdown each time as it put together scoring drives of 75, 71 and 75 yards, the last coming with 5:49 left which was plenty of time to get the ball back. The Razorbacks were able to pick up three first downs, two on third down conversions, and ran out the clock. Despite never holding a lead, Cincinnati was only outgained 447-427, had one more first down, 24-23, and held the ball longer but could not convert early in the game. The Bearcats were inside the Arkansas 30-yard line three times but missed two field goals and threw an interception which played into the first half shutout. Georgia 49, Oregon 3The Bulldogs started right where they left off as they outgained Oregon 571-313 with both sides executing nearly flawless. Offensively, the passing was outstanding with 439 yards on 14.6 yards per completion and while they rushed for only 132 yards, they did so at a 5.3 ypc clip. The defense was every much as impressive as Georgia nearly pitched a shutout with a bend and do not break result, allowing Oregon into the redzone only twice after allowing a combined 145 yards in over 13 minutes but giving up just the field goal and stopping the Ducks on fourth down at the two-yard line. Overall, the Bulldogs doubled up Oregon in yards per play at 9.2 to 4.6 and the one real negative was seven penalties for 75 yards. Oklahoma 45, UTEP 13Any doubts on Oklahoma were put to rest early as the Sooners took the opening kickoff 75 yards in five plays for a touchdown and overall, they scored three touchdowns on three first quarter possessions totaling 223 yards of offense. UTEP did score the next 10 points but Oklahoma took over again with 21 unanswered points before they traded fourth quarter field goals. As expected, the Sooners dominated on the ground, rushing for 259 yards on 38 carries (6.8 ypc) while holding the Miners to 28 yards rushing on 31 carries (0.9 ypc). Oklahoma was outpassed 288-233 but UTEP had over double the attempts and the Sooners had a big edge in completion average at 15.5 to 9.3 while throwing two touchdowns and allowing none. Arizona 38, San Diego St. 20Arizona jumped out an early 10-0 lead and increased that to 24-10 at halftime as it scored on four of six possessions but did commit two turnovers on the other two drives. The Wildcats took the opening kickoff of the second half 75 yards in five plays to increase the lead to 21 points and coasted the rest of the way. The only other San Diego St. touchdown came on an Arizona punt that was kicked into a lineman and picked up by the Aztecs for a touchdown. The Wildcats outgained San Diego St. 461-232 and had the first down edge 25-14 as the rushing yards were almost identical at 170-162 favoring San Diego St. but Arizona held the Aztecs to just 62 yards through the air on a mere seven completions. Houston 37, UTSA 35Houston escaped UTSA in triple overtime despite getting outgained 441-346 yet it held nearly an 11-minute advantage in time of possession. After a scoreless first quarter, the Cougars stopped UTSA on fourth down on its own 42-yard line and went 58 yards on 11 plays to take the 7-0 lead before the Roadrunners scored three consecutive touchdowns to take a 21-7 lead into the fourth quarter. Houston took its first possession 75 yards for a touchdown and then picked off a pass and scored one play later to tie the game. The Cougars forced a punt and drove 77 yards while taking up over 10 minutes and took the lead on a field goal with 23 seconds left but UTSA went 55 yards to send it to overtime with a tying field goal. 

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB, and CFL Previews and Odds - 09/05/2022

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Sep 05, 2022

The Monday Labor Day sports card features NCAAF, MLB, and CFL action.Week 1 of the college football season concludes with one game involving FBS opponents. Clemson plays Georgia Tech at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on ESPN at 8 PM ET. The Tigers are a 23.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 51 (all odds from DraftKings).Major League Baseball has 13 games on its schedule. The New York Mets play at Pittsburgh against the Pirates at 12:35 PM ET. Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Mets to pitch against Mitch Keller for the Pirates. New York is a -200 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:05 PM ET. Toronto is at Baltimore in the first game of their doubleheader, with the Blue Jays turning to Kevin Gausman to pitch against an Orioles starting pitcher yet to be determined. New York plays at home against Minnesota with Jameson Taillon on the mound for the Yankees against Chris Archer for the Twins. The Yankees are a -180 money line favorite with a total of 8. Toronto sends out Jose Berrios to pitch against a Baltimore starting pitcher yet to be named for the second game of their doubleheader at 4:05 PM ET. Two more MLB games start at 4:10 PM ET. Milwaukee travels to Colorado with the Brewers tapping Freddie Peralta to pitch against the Rockies’ Ryan Feltner. Milwaukee is a -155 money line road favorite with an over/under of 11. Boston plays at Tampa Bay with Michael Wacha pitching for the Red Sox against a starting pitcher yet to be determined for the Rays. The St. Louis Cardinals host the Washington Nationals at 4:15 PM ET. The Cardinals turn to Jack Flaherty to pitch against the Nationals’ Anibal Sanchez. St. Louis is a -255 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. Two MLB games begin at 6:40 PM ET. Seattle is at home against Chicago, with Marco Gonzales pitching for the Mariners against Lance Lynn for the White Sox. The Mariners are a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Arizona plays at San Diego with the Diamondbacks tapping Kyle Nelson to pitch against the Padres’ Blake Snell. The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers at 7:10 PM ET. Hunter Brown pitches for the Astros against Martin Perez for the Rangers. Houston is a -165 money line favorite with a total of 8. The Cleveland Guardians visit Kansas City to play the Royals at 8:10 PM ET. The Guardians send Triston McKenzie to the hill to pitch against the Royals’ Brady Singer. Cleveland is a -130 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Los Angeles Angels play at home against the Detroit Tigers at 9:38 PM ET. Jose Suarez takes the ball for the Angels against Tyler Alexander for the Tigers. Los Angeles is a -180 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home against the San Francisco Giants at 10:10 PM ET. The Dodgers tap Andrew Heaney to battle against the Giants’ Logan Webb. Los Angles is a -195 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Week 13 in the Canadian Football League concludes with two games. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats play at home against the Toronto Argonauts at 1 PM ET as a 1-point favorite with a total of 49.5. The Calgary Stampeders host the Edmonton Eskimos at 4:30 PM ET as a 12.5-point favorite with an over/under of 49.5.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB, CFL and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/04/2022

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Sep 04, 2022

The Sunday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, CFL, and EPL action.Week 1 of the college football season continues with one game involving FBS opponents. LSU hosts Florida State on ABC as a 3.5-point favorite with the total set at 52 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise).Major League Baseball has 16 games on its schedule. The Toronto Blue Jays visit the Pittsburgh Pirates on Peacock at 12:05 PM ET. Ross Stripling takes the hill for the Blue Jays against J.T. Brubaker for the Pirates. Toronto is a -210 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Cincinnati Reds host the Colorado Rockies in the first game of their doubleheader at 12:10 PM ET. The Reds turn to Nick Lodolo in their starting rotation to pitch against the Rockies’ German Marquez. Cincinnati is a -120 money line favorite with a total of 8. Three MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:35 PM ET. Baltimore plays at home against Oakland, with Spenser Watkins pitching for the Orioles against Adrian Martinez for the A’s. The Orioles are a -175 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Boston is at home against Texas with the Rangers pitching Dane Dunning against a starting pitcher yet to be named for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are a -125 money line favorite with a total of 9.5. Atlanta hosts Miami with Max Fried on the mound for the Braves pitching against Pedro Lopez for the Marlins. The Braves are a -265 money line favorite with an over/under of 7. Three MLB games start at 1:40 PM ET. New York plays at Toronto with the Yankees tapping Frankie Montas to pitch against the Blue Jays’ Shaun Armstrong. The Yankees are a -120 money line road favorite at Caesars with an over/under of 7. Detroit plays at home against Kansas City with Matt Manning pitching for the Tigers against the Royals’ Maximo Castillo. The Tigers are a -120 money line favorite with a total of 8. New York is at home against the Washington with the Mets pitching Carlos Carrasco against the Nationals’ Erick Fedde -295 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.The Chicago White Sox host the Minnesota Twins at 2:10 PM ET. The White Sox pitch Johnny Cueto against Twins’ Dylan Bundy. Chicago is a -125 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. St. Louis host the Chicago Cubs at 2:15 PM ET. Miles Mikolas take the mound for the Cardinals to pitch against Marcus Stroman for the Cubs. St. Louis is a -130 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Seattle Mariners visit the Cleveland Guardians at 2:40 PM ET. The Mariners tap George Kirby to pitch against the Guardians’ Cal Quantrill. Seattle is a -125 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Colorado Rockies travel to Cincinnati to play the Reds at 3:10 on the night cap of their doubleheader. Jose Urena takes the ball for the Rockies to pitch against Chase Anderson for the Reds. Both teams are priced at -110 with an over/under of 9.5. The San Francisco Giants are at home against the Philadelphia Phillies with the Padres turning to Carlos Rodon in their starting rotation to pitch against the Phillies Ranger Suarez. San Francisco is a -125 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Houston Astros visit the Los Angeles Angels at 4:07 PM ET. Jose Urquidy pitches for the Astros against Tucker Davidson for the Angels. Houston is a -170 money line road favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Milwaukee Brewers at 4:10 PM ET. The Diamondbacks turn to Zac Gallen in their starting rotation to pitch against the Brewers’  Jason Alexander. Arizona is a -155 money line favorite with a total of 7.5.MLB Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN has the Los Angeles Dodgers playing against the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers tap Ryan Period to pitch against the Padres’ Mike Clevinger. Los Angeles is a -165 money line favorite with an over/under of 9.Week 13 in the Canadian Football continues with one game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers play at Saskatchewan against the Roughriders at 6 PM ET. The Blue Bombers are a 3.5-point road favorites with a total of 44.5. Matchweek 6 in the English Premier League concludes with two matches on the USA Network. Brighton and Hove Albion are at home against Leicester City as a -0.5 goal line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 2.5. Arsenal plays at Manchester United at 11:30 AM ET in a pick ‘em contest with a total of 2.5. 

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/03/2022

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Sep 03, 2022

The Saturday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, and EPL action.Week 1 of the college football season continues with 33 games involving FBS opponents. Two games on national television kick off at Noon ET. Michigan hosts Colorado State on ABC as a 30.5-point favorite with the total set at 61 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Appalachian State plays at home against North Carolina on ESPNU as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 56.5. Six more televised NCAAF games start at 3:30 PM ET. Tulsa travels to Wyoming on FS1 as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 45.5. Arkansas plays at home against Cincinnati on ESPN as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 53.5. Houston visits UTSA on the CBS Sports Network as a 4-point road favorite with a total of 62. San Diego State is at home against Arizona on CBS as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5. Georgia plays in Atlanta against Oregon on ABC as a 16.5-point favorite with a total of 54. Oklahoma hosts UTEP on Fox as a 30-point favorite with an over/under of 57.5. BYU plays at South Florida on ESPNU at 4 PM ET as a 12-point road favorite with a total of 58.5. Utah plays at Florida on ESPN at 7 PM ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 51.5. Three more NCAAF games on national television begin at 7:30 PM ET. SMU travels to North Texas on the CBS Sports Network as a 10-point road favorite with a total of 67.5. Mississippi State is at home against Memphis on ESPNU as a 16.5-point favorite with an over/under of 57.5. Ohio State hosts Notre Dame on ABC at 7:30 PM ET as a 16-point favorite with a total of 59.Oregon State plays at home against Boise State on ESPN at 10:30 PM ET as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 56. Washington is at home against Kent State on FS1 as a 23-point favorite with a total of 60. Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Two games throw out the first pitch at 4:05 PM ET. The Philadelphia Phillies travel to San Francisco to play the Giants as a -120 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Boston Red Sox play at home against the Texas Rangers. Two more MLB games start at 6:10 PM ET. The Detroit Tigers are at home against the Kansas City Royals as a -115 money line favored with a total of 8. The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees as a -135 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Toronto Blue Jays play at Pittsburgh against the Pirates at 6:35 PM ET as a -165 money line road favorite at Caesars with a total of 8. The Cincinnati Reds are at home against the Colorado Rockies as a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Baltimore Orioles host the Oakland A’s at 7:05 PM ET as a -220 money line favorite at Caesars with a total of 8. The New York Mets play at home against the Washington Nationals at 7:10 PM ET as a -425 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.Three MLB games begin at 7:15 PM ET. The St. Louis Cardinals are at home against the Chicago Cubs as a -210 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. Fox’s regional coverage features two games. The Seattle Mariners play at Cleveland against the Guardians as a -160 money line road favorite at Caesars with an over/under of 7.5. The Chicago White Sox host the Minnesota Twins as a -135 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Atlanta Braves are at home against the Miami Marlins at 7:20 PM ET as a -190 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Milwaukee Brewers travel to Arizona to play the Diamondbacks at 8;10 PM ET as a -175 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Los Angeles Angels are at home against the Houston Astros as a -125 money line favorite with a total of 8. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres at 9:10 PM ET as a -210 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Matchweek 6 in the English Premier League has eight matches. Liverpool visits Everton on the USA Network at 7:30 AM ET as a -1.5 goal line road favorite (all soccer odds from BetMGM) with a total of 3. Six matches start at 10 AM, including Brentford playing at home against Leeds United on the USA Network as a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Manchester City is at Aston Villa on NBC at 12:30 PM ET as a -1.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 3. 

Read more

NFL Football Futures Bet: Buffalo Bills to Win 2023 Super Bowl

by Al McMordie

Saturday, Sep 03, 2022

The NFL season will kick off in five days, so I'm back with my crystal ball to forecast which team will hoist the Lombardi Trophy in February.  Last year was not a good one for me in this Super Bowl futures department, as I had the Baltimore Ravens to win the 2022 championship.  Unfortunately, the Ravens would suffer injury-after-injury, including losses to their entire backfield.  Although they got off to an 8-3 record -- good enough for the top spot in the AFC -- they lost their last six games of the season, primarily due to QB Lamar Jackson's late-season injury which caused him to miss the final four games.  The experience of the Ravens last season should serve as a reminder that futures bets are awfully hard.  Yes, it's true that I've had spectacular success on my futures bets over the years.  But the fact remains that long-term bets are often spoiled by injuries.  Still, that won't deter me from pulling the trigger on a team this season, and I'm going with Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills.  Currently, the Bills are +650 at PointsBet, and I think all the pieces are in place for Buffalo to finally break through to win its first championship.  Indeed, Buffalo was (in my opinion) the best team in the NFL last year.  Unfortunately, it left 13 seconds too many on the clock after it seemingly scored the game-winning TD against Kansas City.  Patrick Mahomes took advantage, and pulled a rabbit out of his hat for the Chiefs to tie the game.  And then KC proceeded to win in overtime, with Allen never touching the ball again.  One good thing did come out of that defeat, and that was the NFL changing its overtime rule for Playoff games.  Now, both teams will get at least one possession.However, the playoff format introduced last season will continue, and that is a key reason why I like Buffalo.  Now, only two teams in the league get an all-important bye into the quarterfinals.  So, it's critical to earn the #1 seed in the AFC and NFC conferences to reduce the number of games needed to win from four to just three.Buffalo has the decided advantage going into the season because it will enjoy an easier schedule than its biggest rival, Kansas City.  The Chiefs play in perhaps the most difficult division in football, and have to play the Los Angeles Chargers, Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders twice each.  In contrast, Buffalo's division rivals are the New York Jets, New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins.  And that's a key reason why Buffalo's Season Wins total has been posted at 11.5 wins, while Kansas City's is lower, at 10.5 wins.  If the Bills can snag the #1 seed, they'll surely be difficult to defeat at Highmark Stadium in the Playoffs, as they're 16-4 SU at home, and 12-6-2 ATS the past two seasons.  And they're 12-1 straight-up, and 8-4-1 ATS at home in the playoffs since 1981.  With last year's hard lesson always fresh in their mind, this post-season, the Bills won't snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.  Instead, I expect them to not leave any room for error (not even 13 seconds), and believe they'll absolutely steamroll their opponents.  Take the Bills at +650 to win the 2023 Super Bowl. Good luck, as always,Al McMordie

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, EPL and NCAAF Previews and Odds - 09/02/2022

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Sep 02, 2022

The Friday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, and EPL action.Week 1 of the college football season continues with five games involving FBS opponents. Two games kick off at 7 PM ET. Virginia Tech travels to Old Dominion on ESPNU as a 6.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 48 (all odds from DraftKings). Michigan State plays at home against Western Michigan on ESPN2 as a 21-point favorite with an over/under of 54.5. Duke hosts Temple at 7:30 PM ET as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 51. Indiana is at home against Illinois on FS1 as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 47. TCU plays at Colorado on ESPN as a 13.5-point road favorite with a total of 59.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Pittsburgh at 6:35 PM ET as a -245 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Cincinnati Reds are at home against the Colorado Rockies at 6:40 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 9.5. The Baltimore Orioles are at home against the Oakland A’s at 7:05 PM ET as a -155 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. Five MLB games throw out the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. The Seattle Mariners visit Cleveland to play the Guardians as a -140 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Detroit Tigers host the Kansas City Royals, with both teams priced as a -110 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The New York Mets play at home against the Washington Nationals as a -260 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Boston Red Sox are at home against the Texas Rangers as a -180 money line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees as a -130 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Atlanta Braves are at home against the Miami Marlins at 7:20 PM ET as a -180 money line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Minnesota Twins play at Chicago against the White Sox at 8:10 PM ET as a -135 money line road favorite with a total of 8. The St. Louis Cardinals host the Chicago Cubs at 8:15 PM ET as a -245 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Houston Astros travel to Los Angeles to play the Angels at 9:38 PM ET as a -150 money line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Milwaukee Brewers play at Arizona against the Diamondbacks at 9:40 PM ET as a -115 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home against the San Diego Padres at 10:10 PM ET as a -165 money line favorite with a total of 8. The San Francisco Giants host the Philadelphia Phillies at 10:15 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Week 13 of the Canadian Football League begins with Montreal playing at home against Ottawa at 7:30 PM ET. The Alouettes are a 4-point favorite with a total of 49.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/01/2022

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Sep 01, 2022

The Thursday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, and EPL action.Week 1 of the college football season kicks off with six games involving FBS opponents. Three games start at 7 PM ET. Tennessee hosts Ball State as a 35.5-point favorite, with the total set at 66.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Pittsburgh plays at home against West Virginia on ESPN as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 51.5. Oklahoma State is at home against Central Michigan on FS1 as a 21.5-point favorite with a total of 58.Two more NCAAF games begin at 8 PM  ET. Penn State travels to Purdue on Fox as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 53. Missouri plays at home against Louisiana Tech on ESPNU as a 20.5-point favorite with a total of 61.5. Minnesota hosts New Mexico State at 9 PM ET as a 36.5-point favorite with an over/under of 52.5. Major League Baseball has eight games on its schedule. The Seattle Mariners visit the Detroit Tigers at 1:10 PM ET. Logan Gilbert takes the ball for the Mariners against Eduardo Rodriguez for the Tigers. Seattle is a -155 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Chicago White Sox are at home against the Kansas City Royals at 2:10 PM ET. The White Sox turn to Johnny Cueto in their starting rotation to pitch against the Royals’ Daniel Mengden. Chicago is a -225 money line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 9. The Washington Nationals host the Oakland A’s at 4:05 PM ET. Paolo Espino takes the mound for the Nationals against Ken Waldichuk who got called up from the minors to get the start. Washington is a -115 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers play at New York against the Mets at 4:10 PM ET. The Dodgers tap Clayton Kershaw to battle against the Mets’ Chris Bassitt. Los Angeles is a -135 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Cleveland Guardians are at home against the Baltimore Orioles at 6:10 PM ET. Shane Bieber takes the hill for the Guardians to pitch against Kyle Bradish for the Orioles. Cleveland is a -180 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Boston Red Sox are at home against the Texas Rangers at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox tap Rich Hill to pitch against the Rangers’ Glenn Otto. Boston is a -165 money line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Atlanta Braves host the Colorado Rockies at 7:20 PM ET. Spencer Strider takes the ball for the Braves to pitch against Chad Kuhl for the Rockies. Atlanta is a -390 money line favorite with a total of 8. The MLB card finishes at 9:40 PM ET with the Milwaukee Brewers playing at Arizona against the Diamondbacks. The Brewers send Brandon Woodruff to the mound to duel against the Diamondbacks’ Merrill Kelly. Milwaukee is a -135 money line road favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 7.5. Matchweek 5 in the English Premier League concludes with Manchester United visiting Leicester City on the USA Network at 3 PM ET. The Red Devils are a -0.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 3. 

Read more

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2022 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.