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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB and Champions League Previews and Odds - 09/10/26

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Sep 10, 2026

The Thursday sports card features NFL, MLB, and UEFA Champions League action.  Week 1 in the National Football League continues with one game. The Los Angeles Rams plays the San Francisco 49ers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground Melbourne, Australia, on Netflix at 8:35 p.m. ET. The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite with the total set at 48.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Major League Baseball has five games scheduled. The Atlanta Braves host the Tampa Bay Rays at 12:15 p.m. ET. The Braves send out Martin Perez to pitch against the Rays’ Nick Martinez. Atlanta is a -122 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Houston Astros at 1:05 p.m. ET. Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Phillies to pitch against Cristian Javier for the Astros. Philadelphia is a -184 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Seattle Mariners are at home to take on the Texas Rangers on Peacock at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Mariners have won two of their last three games after their 3-2 victory against the Rangers on Wednesday. Seattle has a 68-78 record which puts them in third place in the AL West, six games behind the Houston Astros. The Rangers had won two games in a row before that loss. With a 72-74 record, Texas is in second place in AL West, two games behind the Astros. The Mariners turn to Logan Gilbert to face the Rangers’ Jacob deGrom. Seattle is a -131 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The New York Yankees host the Colorado Rockies at 7:05 p.m. ET. Max Fried takes the hill for the Yankees to duel against Ryan Feltner for the Rockies. New York is a -346 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Chicago to play the White Sox at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Pirates turn to Jared Jones to challenge the White Sox’s Hagen Smith. Both teams are priced as a -110 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Matchday 1 in the UEFA Champions League concludes with six league phase matches. Two matches start at 12:45 p.m. ET. AS Roma plays at Fenerbahce on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. PSV Eindhoven plays at home against Shakhtar Donetsk as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Four matches conclude the UCL card at 3 p.m. ET. Bayern Munich is at home to battle Bodo/Glimt as a -3.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 4.5. Como hosts RB Leipzig on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Manchester United plays at home against Sabah FK as a -2.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Lens is on the road to challenge Slavia Prague as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. All six Champions League matches are available on Paramount+.                                         

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2026 NFL Super Bowl Futures: Three Teams Worth Betting

by Vegas Writer

Wednesday, Sep 09, 2026

The NFL futures market opens the 2026 season with an unmistakable favorite, but recent history reminds bettors that selecting a Super Bowl champion requires much more than identifying the league’s most talented roster. Injuries, playoff seeding, quarterback performance and matchups ultimately determine whether a preseason contender survives three or four postseason games.The Los Angeles Rams sit atop the DraftKings board at +500 after reaching last season’s NFC Championship Game. Buffalo and Baltimore form the next tier at +1000, followed by defending champion Seattle at +1200. Kansas City, Philadelphia, New England and the Los Angeles Chargers are among the other leading contenders. DraftKings' current Super Bowl LXI odds reveal an unusually compressed second tier, creating legitimate debate once bettors move beyond the Rams.Championship futures should be evaluated differently from regular-season win totals. A team can exceed expectations, win 11 games and still possess a fatal postseason weakness. Successful Super Bowl candidates generally require an elite quarterback, a defense capable of generating pressure without excessive blitzing, dependable coaching and enough roster depth to withstand injuries.Conference strength also matters. The AFC remains loaded with Allen, Jackson, Burrow, Mahomes, Herbert and Maye. Any AFC champion will probably survive multiple games against elite quarterbacks. The NFC’s path may be slightly cleaner, but the Rams, Seahawks, Eagles, Lions, Packers and 49ers ensure that nothing will be handed to its representative.The objective is not simply to pick the best team. It is to identify where championship probability exceeds the implied probability attached to the price. My futures card therefore contains three different investments: a longshot with a young quarterback and division-winning upside, a sleeper built around defense and coaching, and the league’s deepest roster as my outright prediction.Odds fluctuate significantly between sportsbooks, making line shopping essential before investing in any season-long ticket.LONGSHOT: Jacksonville Jaguars (+3000)Jacksonville is not the rebuilding project its price might suggest. The Jaguars went 13-4 last season, won the AFC South and finished 7-2 at home before suffering a narrow 27-24 Wild Card loss to Buffalo.The market appears to be treating that turnaround as a probable outlier. I see a young team capable of building on those gains in its second season under Liam Coen.Trevor Lawrence finally produced the campaign Jacksonville anticipated when it selected him first overall. He surpassed 4,000 passing yards and established a franchise record with 38 total touchdowns - 29 passing and nine rushing. His late-season improvement was particularly encouraging because it demonstrated greater comfort within Coen’s offense.A healthy Travis Hunter could provide Jacksonville with another explosive weapon after his rookie season was shortened by a knee injury. Hunter recorded 28 receptions for 298 yards in seven appearances, including eight catches for 101 yards against the Rams. His return raises the ceiling of an offense that already proved capable of winning close games.The Jaguars also produced a franchise-record 22 interceptions last season. Turnovers can fluctuate, but that aggressiveness gives Jacksonville a chance to steal possessions against superior AFC opponents.This bet is not without risk. The Jaguars must prove they can defeat experienced playoff teams, and Lawrence threw two interceptions in the loss to Buffalo. However, Jacksonville’s current price implies only about a 3.2% championship probability. That is too low for a defending division champion with a franchise quarterback.SLEEPER: Denver Broncos (+1900)Denver is my favorite value investment outside the top tier.The Broncos finished 14-3, captured the AFC West and reached the AFC Championship Game despite losing Bo Nix to a fractured ankle during the Divisional Round. That résumé suggests Denver should be priced alongside the primary contenders, not below several teams it outperformed.Defense provides the foundation. Denver established a franchise record with 68 sacks, allowing coordinator Vance Joseph to create pressure while maintaining structure behind the rush. Nik Bonitto and Jonathon Cooper attack from the edges, while All-Pro cornerback Pat Surtain II gives the Broncos the coverage flexibility needed against the AFC’s elite quarterbacks.Nix is the variable that determines whether Denver can finish the job. He threw for 3,931 yards with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions last season while leading the NFL with seven game-winning drives. Those numbers were solid rather than spectacular, but his command should continue improving in Sean Payton’s offense.The addition of Jaylen Waddle is particularly significant. Waddle gives Denver a receiver who can stress defenses vertically and create easy yards after the catch. All five starting offensive linemen also return, providing continuity for a quarterback coming back from injury.At this price, Denver does not need Nix to become an MVP. It needs him to protect the football, capitalize on favorable field position and deliver several high-level postseason performances. The defense can handle much of the remaining burden.Betting recommendation: Denver to win Super Bowl LXI at +1800 or better.PREDICTION TO WIN IT ALL: Los Angeles Rams (+500)The price is short, but the Rams are the NFL’s most complete team and my prediction to win Super Bowl LXI.Los Angeles went 12-5 last season and reached the NFC Championship Game, losing 31-27 to eventual champion Seattle. That team already possessed an elite offense. Matthew Stafford won MVP after leading the league with 4,707 passing yards and a franchise-record 46 touchdown passes, while Puka Nacua remained one of football’s most dangerous receivers.The Rams then transformed their defense by acquiring Myles Garrett, who led the NFL with a record 23 sacks last season, and bringing Aaron Donald out of retirement. Donald will miss the opener while completing his return, but Los Angeles can afford to be patient. The goal is to have him prepared for the second half of the season and playoffs.Even a reduced version of Donald alongside Garrett, Byron Young, Kobie Turner and Jared Verse gives defensive coordinator Chris Shula an overwhelming collection of pass rushers. Los Angeles should be able to pressure quarterbacks with four defenders, allowing the secondary to keep additional help in coverage.Sean McVay and Stafford supply the proven postseason partnership. The running-back combination of Kyren Williams and Blake Corum provides balance, while the Rams’ offensive versatility prevents opponents from selling out to stop Stafford.There are legitimate concerns surrounding age, health and the pressure attached to such an expensive roster. The NFC West also includes Seattle and San Francisco, making the race for home-field advantage demanding.Nevertheless, no other contender matches Los Angeles’ combination of quarterback play, offensive design and defensive star power. Super Bowl LXI will also be played at SoFi Stadium, giving the Rams an opportunity to win another championship in their own building.Official prediction: Los Angeles Rams to defeat the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl LXI.

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2026 NFL MVP Futures: Three Quarterbacks Worth Betting

by Vegas Writer

Wednesday, Sep 09, 2026

The NFL MVP market looks wide open entering the 2026 season, but history gives bettors a clear starting point: focus almost exclusively on quarterbacks. A quarterback has captured the award in 18 of the past 20 seasons and every year since Adrian Peterson won it in 2012. Unless a running back produces a historic campaign, the winner will likely direct one of the league’s highest-scoring teams to a top playoff seed.Josh Allen opens as the favorite after finishing third in last season’s voting, while two-time winner Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert and Drake Maye comprise the next group. Maye nearly won the 2025 award, losing to Matthew Stafford by only five voting points after throwing for 4,394 yards and 31 touchdowns. Stafford returns to defend his trophy, although consecutive MVP awards are extremely difficult to secure.The challenge is identifying the quarterback whose statistics, team success and season-long narrative will intersect. Elite numbers alone are insufficient. The eventual winner probably needs at least 12 victories, a division championship and a realistic opportunity to secure his conference’s No. 1 seed. Durability matters just as much because missing even two or three games can effectively eliminate a player.Price also matters. Allen possesses the shortest odds, but Buffalo must navigate an improved AFC East. Burrow has MVP-level talent, but his injury history adds considerable risk. Patrick Mahomes is returning from major knee surgery, and Stafford must share attention with a loaded Rams roster.That combination creates opportunities farther down the board. My portfolio includes one quarterback capable of making a dramatic leap at a substantial price, another whose second-year development could propel him into the league’s statistical elite, and a proven young star who came extraordinarily close last season.Odds referenced below were available at DraftKings entering Week 1, but should be compared across sportsbooks.LONGSHOT: Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars (+2200)Lawrence is the type of MVP longshot worth considering because his path does not require an unrealistic transformation. He needs to build upon Jacksonville’s offensive progress, lead the Jaguars to the AFC South championship and approach 4,500 passing yards with approximately 35 touchdowns.The former No. 1 overall pick has always possessed elite physical tools, but consistency and protection have prevented his production from matching his reputation. Jacksonville now offers him greater offensive stability and enough explosive talent to manufacture the statistical breakout voters have anticipated.The AFC South also presents an attainable route to 11 or 12 victories. Houston remains formidable, but Jacksonville does not have to survive a division as deep as the AFC North. If Lawrence wins the South and the Jaguars challenge for a top-two AFC seed, his candidacy will receive immediate credibility.This wager carries obvious volatility. Lawrence must significantly increase his touchdown production while avoiding the midseason inconsistency that has followed him throughout his career. Nevertheless, he possesses the talent, starting security and team ceiling required of a legitimate longshot.SLEEPER: Caleb Williams, Bears (+1200)Williams may already be too prominent to qualify as a traditional longshot, but he remains my favorite sleeper among quarterbacks outside the initial group of AFC favorites.His first season with Ben Johnson produced a substantial breakthrough: 3,942 passing yards, 27 touchdowns and only seven interceptions. More importantly, Williams led Chicago to an 11-6 record, an NFC North championship and its first playoff victory since the 2010 season. His seven game-winning drives tied Bo Nix for the NFL lead.That creates an obvious Year 2 progression. Williams no longer has to learn Johnson’s terminology or adjust to an entirely new offense. Chicago can expand the system, increase its tempo and place more responsibility on a quarterback who already demonstrated improved decision-making.The concern is potential team regression. The Bears repeatedly escaped close games last season, and the NFC North remains extremely demanding. Williams probably needs Chicago to win the division again while improving his production to roughly 4,300 yards and 35 total touchdowns.However, that is a realistic ceiling. His arm talent, improvisational ability and late-game reputation give him the spectacular plays and narrative moments MVP voters remember.PREDICTION: Drake Maye, Patriots (+1000)Maye is my prediction to win the 2026 NFL MVP.He nearly captured the award last season, receiving 23 first-place votes compared with Stafford’s 24 and finishing only five total voting points behind him. Maye completed an NFL-leading 72% of his passes while generating 4,394 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and just eight interceptions. He also added 450 rushing yards and four scores.Those are already MVP-caliber numbers. The addition of A.J. Brown gives Maye a true boundary playmaker capable of converting contested throws into explosive completions. Brown should also command safety attention, creating better opportunities for New England’s tight ends and secondary receivers.Maye’s mobility strengthens his candidacy. He does not need designed rushing volume comparable to Allen or Jackson, but another 400-plus yards on the ground could push him beyond 5,000 total yards. If his passing touchdowns rise into the upper 30s, the statistical résumé will be difficult to dismiss.New England’s schedule will be more demanding, but that could actually improve Maye’s narrative. Critics questioned the Patriots’ strength of schedule last season. Producing similar numbers against better competition while leading New England to another AFC East title would eliminate that argument.Allen and Jackson are deserving favorites, but Maye offers the better intersection of price, upward trajectory and voter momentum. He was one first-place vote away last season—and his supporting cast has improved.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, NFL, and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 09/09/26

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Sep 09, 2026

The Wednesday sports card features NFL, MLB, and UEFA Champions League action.  The National Football League kicks off its 2026-27 regular season with one game. The Seattle Seahawks host the New England Patriots on NBC/Peacock at 8:20 p.m. ET as a 3-point favorite, with the total set at 44.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Major League Baseball has 15 games scheduled. The Detroit Tigers play at home against the Minnesota Twins at 1:10 p.m. ET as a -131 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Toronto Blue Jays travel on the road against the Athletics at 3:05 p.m. ET. The St. Louis Cardinals play in San Francisco against the Giants at 3:45 p.m. ET as a -126 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners are at home to take on the Texas Rangers as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The San Diego Padres host the Washington Nationals as a -193 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Baltimore Orioles play at home against the Cleveland Guardians at 6:35 p.m. ET as a -111 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Miami Marlins are at home to face the New York Mets at 6:40 p.m. ET as a -123 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros as a -160 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Boston Red Sox play at home against the Los Angeles Angels at 6:45 p.m. ET as a -217 money-line favorite with a total of 9.5. The New York Yankees are at home to challenge the Colorado Rockies at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -249 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Atlanta Braves host the Tampa Bay Rays at 7:15 p.m. ET as a -123 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Three more MLB games begin at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Chicago White Sox play at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Peacock as a -159 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Arizona Diamondbacks play in Kansas City against the Royals as a -115 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Milwaukee Brewers are at home to battle the Chicago Cubs as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -292 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Matchday 1 in the UEFA Champions League continues with six league phase matches. Two matches start at 12:45 p.m. ET. Barcelona plays at home against Feyenoord Rotterdam as a -2.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 4.5. Stuttgart is at home to play Viking FK on the CBS Sports Network as a -2.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Four matches conclude the UCL card at 3 p.m. ET. Liverpool hosts Atletico Madrid as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Paris Saint-Germain plays at home against Slovan Bratislava as a -3.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 4.5. Arsenal is on the road to take on Napoli as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Sporting CP plays at home against Galatasaray on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. All six Champions League matches are available on Paramount+.                                        

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 09/08/26

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Sep 08, 2026

The Tuesday sports card features MLB and UEFA Champions League action.  Major League Baseball has 15 games scheduled. The Baltimore Orioles host the Cleveland Guardians at 6:35 p.m. ET as a -131 money-line favorite with the total set at 8.5 (all odds from DraftKings, unless indicated otherwise). Three more MLB   games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Miami Marlins play at home against the New York Mets as a -136 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Detroit Tigers are home to take on the Minnesota Twins as a -143 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros on TBS as a -150 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Boston Red Sox play at home against the Los Angeles Angels at 6:45 p.m. ET as a -149 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The New York  Yankees are at home to face the Colorado Rockies at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -344 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Atlanta Braves host the Tampa Bay Rays at 7:15 p.m. ET as a -117 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Three MLB games start at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Chicago White Sox play at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates as a -149 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Milwaukee Brewers are at home to challenge the Chicago Cubs as a -217 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Kansas City to battle the Royals as a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9.5. Three MLB games begin at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners host the Texas Rangers as a -128 money-line favorite at BetOnline with a total of 7.5. The Toronto Blue Jays play on the road against the Athletics as a -187 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The San Diego Padres play at home against the Washington Nationals as a -194 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The San Francisco Giants are at home to play the St. Louis Cardinals on Peacock at 9:45 p.m. ET as a -113  money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -339 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Matchday 1 in the UEFA Champions League begins with six league phase matches. Two matches start at 12:45 p.m. ET. AEK Athens plays at home against LASK Linz as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Aston Villa is on the road to play Club Brugge on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.  Four matches conclude the UCL card at 3 p.m. ET. Borussia Dortmund is at home to take on Villarreal on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Manchester City visits FC Porto as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Lille is at home to face Real Betis as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Real Madrid hosts Inter Milan as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. All six Champions League matches are available on Paramount+. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, CFL and MLB Previews and Odds - 09/07/26

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Sep 07, 2026

The Monday Labor Day sports card features NCAAF, MLB, and CFL action.Week 1 in NCAAF college football concludes with one game between FBS opponents. SMU travels on the road to play at Florida State on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 3-point road favorite, with the total set at 52.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Major League Baseball has 11 games scheduled. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:05 p.m. ET. Philadelphia hosts Atlanta on Peacock with the Phillies sending out Jesus Luzardo to pitch against the Braves’ Grant Holmes. The Phillies are a -171 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. Miami plays at home against New York, with Eury Perez getting the ball for the Marlins to duel against the Mets’ Jonah Teng. The Marlins are a -118 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Two MLB games start at 1:35 p.m. ET. Boston is at home to take on Los Angeles, with the Red Sox tapping a starting pitcher yet to be named to challenge the Angels’ Grayson Rodriguez. The Red Sox are a -181 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Baltimore hosts Cleveland with Trevor Rogers taking the mound for the Orioles to face Joey Cantillo for the Guardians. The Orioles are a -126 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Two MLB games begin at 2:10 p.m. ET. Kansas City plays at home against Arizona, with the Royals turning to Noah Cameron to pitch against a Diamondbacks starting pitcher yet to be named. Milwaukee is at home to play Chicago, with Robert Gasser getting the ball for the Brewers to duel against Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. The Brewers are a -126 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Detroit Tigers host the Minnesota Twins at 3:10 p.m. ET. The Tigers turn to Troy Melton to take on a Twins starting pitcher yet to be determined. The San Diego Padres play at home against the Washington Nationals at 5:10 p.m. ET. Nick Pivetta takes the hill for the Padres to face Jake Irvin for the Nationals. San Diego is a -203 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The San Francisco Giants are at home to challenge the St. Louis Cardinals on NBC and Peacock at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Giants tap Logan Webb to pitch against the Cardinals’ Michael McGreevy. San Francisco is a -131 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds at 9:10 p.m. ET. A starting pitcher yet to be named by the Dodgers will battle Chase Burns for the Reds. Los Angeles is a -156 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5.  The Toronto Blue Jays play on the road against the Athletics at 10:05 p.m. ET. The Blue Jays send out Dylan Cease to duel against the Athletics’ Jacob Lopez. Toronto is a -206 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Week 14 in the Canadian Football League concludes with two games on the CBS Sports Network. The Toronto Argonauts are on the road in Hamilton to play the Tiger-Cats at 2:30 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 58.5. The Calgary Stampeders play at home against the Edmonton Elks at 6:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 59.5. 

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Harry's Best NFC Player Props for 2026-27

by Harry Gagnon

Sunday, Sep 06, 2026

On Sunday on BigAl.com I released my best AFC Player Props for the 2026-27 NFL season and here I am ready to roll with my favorite ones in the National Football Conference. I've got my best player prop for running back, wide receiver, but lets start with my favorite at the quarterback position.BEST NFC QB PROP: Chicago Bears Caleb Williams OVER 24.5 TD Passes -120The Bears offense made great strides last year and now you could say they have one of the most loaded offenses in the NFC. Williams had 27 a season ago (7 more than his rookie season) and 2nd year TE Colston Loveland looked like a seasoned veteran with grabbing 6 of those. The Bears have talent at WR also with R Adunze, Luther Burden III, and now rookie receiver from LSU.BEST NFC RB PROP: Detroit Lions Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 11.5 Rushing TDS -160Well, there's a reason why Gibbs is everyone's number 1 pick in their fantasy football drafts. Gibbs has double digit rushing TDS in all 3 season he's played and has a combined 29 rushing scores in the last 2 years combined. Plus, with David Montgomery in Houston now, all those rushing TD's will be for Gibbs.BEST NFC WR PROP: Minnesota Vikings Justin Jefferson OVER 89.5 Receptions -110In Arizona, Kyler Murray wouldn't look your way if you were a receiver that he didn't trust so now in Minneapolis he's got a guy that pound for pound could be the best receiver in the game. Jefferson has 3 seasons so far of 100+ receptions and he's had 140 or more targets in 4 of his last 5 years in the league.There you have it gang, my Top Player Props in the NFC and the AFC !!! Good luck to all this NFL campaign and let's cash together on BigAl.com 

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AFC Win Totals: Three Teams Stand Out For Over Plays

by Vegas Writer

Sunday, Sep 06, 2026

Diagnosing AFC win totals this season could be especially challenging because the conference is loaded with legitimate contenders, improving young teams and several franchises undergoing major transitions. There may be only a narrow separation between a division champion and a team that misses the playoffs, making strength of schedule, quarterback health and performance in one-score games increasingly important. The AFC’s established powers still set the standard, but none enters the season without concerns. Coaching changes, roster turnover and difficult schedules could make it harder for last year’s best teams to duplicate their records. Meanwhile, emerging clubs with talented young quarterbacks and upgraded defenses are positioned to close the gap quickly. The conference’s depth also creates a mathematical problem for bettors: every victory one competitive AFC team earns becomes a loss for another. Even a strong roster can finish below its projected total if it plays in a rugged division or draws an unforgiving slate of conference opponents. Several teams also carry tight numbers in the seven-to-nine-win range, where one injury, turnover or late-game decision can determine an entire wager. With so many evenly matched teams and few obvious rebuilding projects, evaluating these totals requires more than comparing rosters. Bettors must account for schedule difficulty, coaching continuity, regression and each team’s realistic margin for error. That being said, here are my three strongest AFC win-total projections for the 2026 season - ALL OVERS - with the order reflecting confidence and betting value.1. Jacksonville Jaguars Over 8.5 wins Projected record: 10-7 Jacksonville does not need to duplicate last season’s surprising 13-4 record; it only needs nine victories. The Jaguars return 20 starters from a team that finished in the top 10 on both offense and defense, while Trevor Lawrence enters his second season in Liam Coen’s system. Travis Hunter’s anticipated Year 2 improvement provides additional upside.Regression is reasonable after Jacksonville benefited from favorable results in close games, but a four- or five-win collapse is being baked into this number. The Jaguars possess quarterback stability, roster continuity and enough defensive talent to remain in the AFC South race. Over 8.5 is my strongest AFC win-total position, although the current price around -140 is approaching its limit. Current Jacksonville outlook and odds2. Buffalo Bills Over 10.5 wins Projected record: 12-5 Josh Allen has led Buffalo to at least 11 victories in six consecutive seasons, making this one of the NFL’s most dependable regular-season profiles. The promotion of Joe Brady creates less offensive disruption than a typical coaching change because Allen already knows the system.Buffalo also upgraded Allen’s receiving corps by acquiring DJ Moore, who joins Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid. Defensively, Bradley Chubb adds another proven pass-rushing threat opposite Greg Rousseau. The improved supporting cast, favorable schedule and weak rebuilding teams in Miami and New York give Buffalo a legitimate path to four or five divisional victories. Bills roster and offseason additions3. Cincinnati Bengals Over 10.5 wins Projected record: 11-6 This is the most aggressive selection, but plus money around +115 makes it attractive. Cincinnati was 5-3 with a healthy Joe Burrow last season, and its elite offensive core remains intact with Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Chase Brown.The difference is a reconstructed defense. Cincinnati added Dexter Lawrence II, Jonathan Allen and Bryan Cook after finishing 29th in yards allowed per pass and 31st in yards allowed per rush. Those additions should prevent the defense from wasting so many strong offensive performances. Cincinnati also benefits from the AFC North’s only significant coaching continuity and one of the league’s most favorable schedules. The offensive line and Burrow’s durability remain the principal concerns, but the ceiling is 12 or 13 victories.

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NFC Win Totals: Roster Depth And Injury Risk Dictate Top Three Totals

by Vegas Writer

Sunday, Sep 06, 2026

Predicting NFC win totals this season was particularly difficult because the conference features a complicated mix of established contenders, ascending young teams and franchises undergoing significant change. Several clubs possess double-digit-win talent, yet few enter the year without legitimate questions involving quarterback play, coaching transitions, defensive regression or roster depth.The conference’s strongest divisions should create additional volatility. Talented teams will repeatedly take wins from one another, while a handful of softer schedules could inflate the records of clubs that may not be substantially better. That makes schedule strength, travel, rest disadvantages and the location of key divisional games critical when evaluating each number.The NFC also includes several teams lined in the seven-to-nine-win range, where the margin between cashing an Over and losing the wager may be one fourth-quarter possession. Records in one-score games, turnover differential and injury luck are rarely stable from season to season, creating regression risks for last year’s biggest overachievers and potential value on teams that underperformed their underlying numbers.Quarterback health will ultimately shape the conference, but coaching continuity and offensive-line stability could be just as important. With so many teams clustered near the middle, bettors must look beyond last season’s standings. The best opportunities will come from identifying sustainable strengths, misleading records and teams whose schedules do not match their public perception.That being said, here are my three strongest NFC win-total projections come from the NFC West, where roster strength - and injury risk - create the clearest market positions.1. Los Angeles Rams Over 11.5 wins Projected record: 13-4 The number is enormous, but Los Angeles might have the NFL’s most complete roster. Matthew Stafford is coming off an MVP season in which he passed for 4,707 yards and a league-leading 46 touchdowns. Puka Nacua accumulated 129 receptions for 1,715 yards, while Davante Adams scored an NFL-high 14 receiving touchdowns despite missing the final three regular-season games.The defense has become potentially terrifying. The Rams acquired reigning Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett after his record-setting 23-sack season—and Aaron Donald has now returned from retirement. Garrett, Donald, Kobie Turner and Jared Verse give Sean McVay a defensive front capable of closing games without blitzing.The Rams went 12-5 last season and reached the NFC Championship Game before making these defensive upgrades. With Stafford, Nacua, Adams, Kyren Williams and Blake Corum sustaining an elite offense, Los Angeles has a realistic path to 13 victories. Rams outlook and Garrett addition Donald’s return2. San Francisco 49ers Under 10.5 wins Projected record: 9-8 San Francisco went 12-5 last season, but asking this roster to reach 11 victories again ignores its health and scheduling risks. George Kittle is attempting to return less than eight months after tearing his Achilles, while Nick Bosa is coming back from an ACL injury complicated by knee tendinitis and patellar-tendon discomfort. Both might play early, but immediate availability does not guarantee peak performance.The 49ers also face extensive travel, beginning with their opener against the Rams in Melbourne. Most importantly, they play in a division containing the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks and a loaded Rams roster. That creates four games against legitimate conference-title contenders.Christian McCaffrey, Brock Purdy, Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel provide substantial offensive upside, but this is an aging, top-heavy roster carrying more durability risk than most projected double-digit winners. Ten victories would still cash the Under. Bosa and Kittle injury updates3. Seattle Seahawks Over 10.5 wins Projected record: 11-6 Regression from last season’s 14-3 championship run is likely, but Seattle can decline by three victories and still cash this Over. Mike Macdonald’s defense returns its core, including Devon Witherspoon, Leonard Williams, Ernest Jones IV and Nick Emmanwori, giving the Seahawks one of the conference’s highest defensive floors.Sam Darnold has now quarterbacked consecutive 14-win seasons, and his partnership with Jaxon Smith-Njigba should remain the offensive centerpiece. Smith-Njigba produced 119 receptions and an NFL-leading 1,793 receiving yards during his Offensive Player of the Year campaign.Kenneth Walker III’s departure and Zach Charbonnet’s ACL recovery weaken the backfield, but Seattle invested a first-round selection in Jadarian Price, who averaged 6.0 yards per carry and scored 11 rushing touchdowns at Notre Dame last season. Seattle’s roster continuity and defensive identity should keep it above 10 wins despite the difficult division.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, CFL, MLB and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/06/26

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Sep 06, 2026

The Sunday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, CFL, and EPL action.Week 1 in NCAAF college football continues with three games between FBS opponents. Washington hosts Washington State on NBC at 4:00 p.m. ET as a 23.5-point favorite, with the total set at 51.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Two NCAAF games kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET. Mississippi plays Louisville on a neutral field at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee, on ABC as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 54.5. Notre Dame takes on Wisconsin at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin, on NBC as a 20.5-point favorite with a total of 46.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games scheduled. The Milwaukee Brewers travel to Cincinnati to face the Reds at 12:10 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Atlanta Braves on NBC at 1:10 p.m. ET as a -110 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET. The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home to take on the Los Angeles Angels as a -198 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Boston Red Sox travel to Baltimore to face the Orioles as a -136 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. Three MLB games start at 1:40 p.m. ET. The Chicago Cubs play in Miami against the Marlins as a -149 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The New York Mets host the San Francisco Giants as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Cleveland Guardians play at home against the Detroit Tigers as a -168 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Two MLB games begin at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road in Kansas City to battle the Royals as a -120 money-line road favorite with a total of 10. The Houston Astros are at home to challenge the Arizona Diamondbacks as a -112 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Texas Rangers host the Tampa Bay Rays at 2:35 p.m. ET as a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The St. Louis Cardinals visit Colorado to play the Rockies at 3:10 p.m. ET as a -131 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 11. Two more MLB games begin at 4:10 p.m. ET. The New York Yankees play in San Diego against the Padres on Peacock with both teams priced as a -110 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Seattle Mariners play at home against the Athletics as a -196 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Sunday Night Baseball on Peacock and the NBC Sports Network features the Chicago White Sox at home playing the Minnesota Twins at 6:20 p.m. ET. The White Sox are a -149 money-line favorite with a total of  8.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Washington Nationals at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -226 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Matchweek 3 in the English Premier League concludes with two matches on the USA Network. Manchester United travels to Everton at 9:00 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Arsenal plays at home against Chelsea at 11:30 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Week 14 in the Canadian Football League continues with one game. The Saskatchewan Roughriders are at home to take on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 56.5.

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Harry's Best AFC Offensive Props for 2026-27

by Harry Gagnon

Saturday, Sep 05, 2026

Well everyone the NFL is finally here and the season starts on a rare Wednesday game that pits a rematch of the Super Bowl and Thursday with a explosive NFC West game in Australia. We all love to bet the spreads but I'm also a player prop guy so here are 3 of my best this season in the American Football Conference. Lets start with what most people would say is the most important position in the NFL and that is quarterback. HARRY'S BEST AFC QUARTERBACK PROP :Cincinnati Bengals Joe Burrow OVER 4000+ Passing Yards +110Obviously the team is loaded on offense so we just got to keep Burrow who is currently healthy, injury free which wasn't the case last year (played 8 games). The season before last he had the best season of his career with over 4900 yards. The duo of J. Chase and T. Higgins might just be the best in the league and will be the reason Burrow goes over 4000 yards for the 4th time in 6 seasons.HARRY'S BEST AFC RUNNING BACK PROPHouston Texans David Montgomery OVER 7.5 Rushing TD's -105This Texans squad is thrilled to have a guy like Montgomery who has a knack for getting into the endzone. The Texans had just 9 rushing TDS last year so Montgomery should certainly be around the goal line improve that number. This is his 3rd team and he had 8+ TDS in all 3 seasons in Detroit before coming to the AFC and the Lonestar State.HARRY'S BEST AFC RECEIVING PROPLas Vegas Raiders Brock Bowers OVER 6.5 Receiving TD's -115Even though the Raiders were a mess, Bowers still managed to find paydirt 7 times even with Geno Smith at the helm. Now he has veteran Kirk Cousins taking snaps and #1 draft pick Fernando Mendoza waiting to get his chance.Those are my TOP 3 Player Props in the AFC and don't worry I'll be giving my best 3 in the NFC on BigAl.com in the coming days. Best of luck this season ladies and gentlemen !!!!!!

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UEFA Champions League Futures (2026/27 Season)

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Sep 05, 2026

The League Phase for the new Champions League season is set with the first matches starting on Tuesday, September 8. PSG is the defending champion of the competition and they have actually won it the last 2 straight seasons, but there has not been the same winner for 3 straight years since Real Madrid did it from 2015-2018. Now with the start of the competition just around the corner, it is time to see who has the best chance at taking home the Champions League Title this season.  To Win Outright Paris Saint-Germain +500: PSG is coming into this competition as the team with the best chance at bringing home the Champions League Title this season, according to the oddsmakers. PSG is the defending champion of the competition and they have won the title the last 2 straight seasons. They were one of the more dominant teams in all of Europe over the last 2 years, but they only beat Arsenal in penalties in the Champions League Final last season and they are due to start taking a step back this year. They are already off to a poor start in their domestic league and their defense has been awful to start the season as well, conceding a lot of goals in their matches. These players are starting to feel the fatigue from being so dominant for 2 full seasons, and playing in the World Cup this past summer is not going to help either. They still have a very talented team this season, but they did lose some of their quality and they do not have the best squad in this competition either. PSG is in line to take a step back this season with their fatigue as well as a poor defense, and now they also have to worry about clawing their way out of a hole in their own domestic league already. PSG has shown that they clearly have the quality to win this competition and they are not a team to be doubted, but there are much better options to go with this season as there will likely be a new champion. There is no real value in taking PSG at this price as the favorite when there are better squads in the competition and hungrier teams as well.  Arsenal +600: Arsenal is coming into this competition as the team with the next best chance at bringing home the Champions League Title this season, according to the oddsmakers. Arsenal is coming off of a very good season finally getting over the hump in their own domestic league. They are the Premier League champions from last year and they even made a trip to the Champions League Final, losing to PSG in penalties after a 1-1 draw. They once again have the best and deepest squad in the Premier League this season and they are going to be one of the better teams in the league again. That is going to translate to Europe as well with the success that they had last season. They are already in great form to start the new season with a great defense that is not going to concede many goals all year. Defense was a big strength for them last season as well, so their defense is going to once again carry them deep into this tournament, but they also have a lot of quality in their attack to find the back of the net with. This is going to be the competition that they are a lot more focused on winning this season as well. They already checked off the Premier League Title on their list and although they would love to win the title again this season, there will certainly be more of an emphasis on checking off this box this season, especially after getting so close in the Final last season. Arsenal has the quality as well as the depth to beat anyone in Europe and they have proven that over the last year. PSG has been the team in the way over the last 2 years, but if they really do take a step back this season, then Arsenal is going to sense blood in the water and will only be more motivated to get the job done here. Arsenal is going to be one of the better teams in this competition this season and they have the hunger to win it all. There is some good value in Arsenal at this price considering their hunger to win this competition and coming so close last season.  Barcelona +600: Barcelona is coming into this competition as the team with the next best chance at bringing home the Champions League Title this season, according to the oddsmakers. Barcelona has been the most dominant team in Spain over the last 2 years despite Real Madrid having a very talented squad. They have dominated the league, but they have also fallen short in this competition. They ended up going to the Champions League Quarter-Final last season where they were knocked out by a team from their own domestic league, losing to Atletico Madrid 3-2 on aggregate. They once again have one of the better teams in Spain with a very potent attack and a great defense as well. They have been in great form to start the season with their attack scoring a lot of goals, but their defense has not been conceding many goals either and their defense was a big strength for them last season. That defense was not as good in this competition though. They are certainly going to be more motivated on this competition this season after winning the La Liga Title the last 2 straight seasons, but they have not been able to prove themselves on the European stage during that time. Even when they won the league 2 years ago, they still got stopped by Inter Milan in the Champions League Semi-Final, their defense once again being a big problem for them. They certainly have the quality to be a threat in this competition, but they have not shown it over the last few years and as good as that defense has been, they have struggled against stronger attacks on the biggest stages. Barcelona winning this competition is asking for a lot considering how they have not won the Champions League Title in over a decade. There is no real value in taking Barcelona at this price as they are not a team that can be trusted in the later stages.  Bayern Munich +600: Bayern Munich is coming into this competition as the team with the next best chance at bringing home the Champions League Title this season, according to the oddsmakers. Bayern is coming off of a great season as the Bundesliga champions and they have won their domestic league the last 2 seasons. They have been the dominant team in the Bundesliga for years, but there is not a lot of quality away from the top of that league. They have a very talented squad with a lot of quality in their attack and they tend to score a lot of goals, but their defense also concedes a lot as well. Their defense has been a big problem for them for years and was a big reason why they were kicked out of this competition last season. They have had some success in this competition with some deep runs over the years, but they have not won the competition since the 2019/20 season. They ended up going to the Champions League Semi-Final last season and lost to PSG who went on to win the whole thing, but they also lost that round 6-5 on aggregate with their defense once again being a major problem. They have been in great form to start their new season, but this team is the same very year and they have made no strides toward fixing that bad defense. They are always going to be a threat to go deep into this competition with the quality that they have, but their defense is always going to be a problem that gets in the way and that will eventually be their downfall as there are much better teams in the competition. There is no real value in Bayern Munich at this price with a bad defense that is going to be more of a liability the deeper they go.  Real Madrid +650: Real Madrid is coming into this competition as the team with the next best chance at bringing home the Champions League Title this season, according to the oddsmakers. Real Madrid has been a very interesting team over the last 2 seasons. They have a lot of quality in their squad with one of the better teams in all of Europe, but they have not been able to win their own domestic league in that time. They have finished in 2nd place behind Barcelona the last 2 straight seasons despite having the quality to be the best in the league. They still have all of that quality as well, so the pieces are there for this team to be great, they just need to put the pieces together which they have not been able to do. They ended up getting knocked out of Champions League last season in the Quarter-Final by Bayern Munich and they have fallen short in this competition over the last 2 years, but now they have hired a quality manager in Jose Mourinho and he is going to get this team on the right track. Real Madrid has had a lot of success in this competition over the years as well, being the winningest club in Champions League over the last 2 decades. They are going to have the hunger to get back to the promised land this season and they have some of the best players in the world to do it with. Real Madrid has the quality in their attack as well as on defense to be a true threat to win it all. There is some value in Real Madrid at this price considering their recent history in the competition as well as having one of the better squads in the world.  Manchester City +900: Man City is coming into this competition as the team with the next best chance at bringing home the Champions League Title this season, according to the oddsmakers. Man City has been one of the more dominant teams in the Premier League over the last few years. They dominated England over the last decade and some seasons were never close, but now they have not won the Premier League Title the last 2 seasons and they are undergoing a lot of changes this year. They still finished in 2nd place last season, but they are no longer that dominant team and now they are under new management with Pep Guardiola departing from the team. They still have the quality to be a great team and they have been in great form to start the new season, but their manager is still unproven. Maresca did turn Chelsea around the last 2 years, but he did not have them in a good spot last season when he left and Man City cannot be trusted as the same old team under him. Man City has also struggled a lot in this competition over the years, even when they were dominating England with Pep, only winning the 1 Champions League Title in his tenure there. They fell very short last season, getting knocked out by Real Madrid in the Round of 16, and they still have a lot to prove this year with their new manager. There are too many question marks surrounding this team this season. There is no real value in Man City at this price as they have been a team that has always struggled in this competition over the years, and there are much better options to go with as well.  Liverpool +1200: Liverpool is coming into this competition as the team with the next best chance at bringing home the Champions League Title this season, according to the oddsmakers. Liverpool is coming off of a poor season, finishing in 5th place and completely collapsing after having the best start to the season. They started to play better by the end of the season and salvaged a trip to Champions League in 5th place, but they were struggling a lot as a middle of the table team for a lot of the year. They still have a lot of quality in their squad, but they have also lost a lot of their quality and have a very different team now. Their attack has been very good, but they have not been in good form to start the season, struggling to get out ahead in their matches. Their defense has also been awful to start the season as they have been conceding a lot of goals and that defense has been a problem for them in recent years as they lack quality at the back and continue to concede many goals. Now they have hired a new manager this season, but they still have lots of work to do to get back to the top of their own league. They have not had a lot of Champions League success over the years either, last winning it in the 2018/19 season, and they also got kicked out last season by PSG in the Quarter-Final. Liverpool has a long way to go before they are a dominant team again like the days of Klopp and they still have lots to prove this season, already struggling in the Premier League. There is no real value in taking Liverpool at this price as they are not a true contender to win this season.  RecommendationChampions League has been dominated by PSG the last 2 seasons, but there is also a common trend over the last few years where the competition has been won by a team at the top of their own domestic league. That leaves a very small pool of teams that actually have the quality to win it all and even if a few smaller teams go on a run in the competition, the big clubs usually find their way to the end. Arsenal is coming off of a great season dominating the Premier League and they are certainly going to turn focus to this competition after going to the Final last year. Real Madrid has not been the dominant team in La Liga over the last 2 seasons, but that league is always a 2 horse race between them and Barcelona, so they are still a very dominant team in Spain and they certainly have the highest ceiling of any club in the competition with the quality that they have. Arsenal at +600 is the best option to go with here to win the Champions League this season, followed by Real Madrid at +650.

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