Articles

NBA System of the Week - 03/05/26

by Al McMordie

Thursday, Mar 05, 2026

Since COVID-19, the NBA has been scheduling a lot of games where two teams play each other back-to-back.  Some of those 2-game series are home-and-home, while others are played at the same venue for both games.  Last season, there were 55 such series, and we've had 37 already this season.As a handicapper, the schedule is one of the more important tools to put in the toolbox.  And back-to-back regular season meetings offer many good situations for a handicapper to mine.One of my favorite situations applies in a game being played tonight, on Thursday.What we want to do is play on any double-digit road underdog in the regular season which lost SU/ATS to its opponent in the two teams' previous game.This system has cashed 60% (39-26-2 ATS) since 1990.And although there's nothing wrong with 60%, we can improve our numbers by focusing on the teams that were blown out in the previous game.  If our road underdog lost by 25 (or more) points, then our 39-26-2 ATS system zooms to 9-2 ATS, 82%.Tonight, this system fits the Brooklyn Nets, who are 12.5-point road underdogs at Miami.  On Tuesday, the Heat wiped out the Nets, 124-98, in a game also played in Miami.Look for Brooklyn to keep the margin in this re-match much closer.Good luck, as always,Al McMordie

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 03/05/26

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Mar 05, 2026

The Thursday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball League has nine games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Washington Wizards host the Utah Jazz as a 2.5-point favorite with the total set at 243.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Orlando Magic play at home against the Dallas Mavericks as an 8.5-point favorite with an over/under of 229.5. Two NBA games start at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Miami Heat are home to play the Brooklyn Nets as a 12.5-point favorite with a total of 225.5. The Houston Rockets host the Golden State Warriors on Amazon Prime Video as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 215.5. Two NBA games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Timberwolves play at home against the Toronto Raptors as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 226.5. The San Antonio Spurs are home to take on the Detroit Pistons as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 227.5. The Phoenix Suns host the Chicago Bulls at 9:10 p.m. ET as an 11.5-point favorite with a total of 224.5. Two games conclude the NBA card at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Denver Nuggets play at home against the Los Angeles Lakers on Amazon Prime Video as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 240.5. The New Orleans Pelicans travel to Sacramento to face the Kings as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 234.5. The National Hockey League has eight games on its slate. Four NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Utah Mammoth plays in Philadelphia against the Flyers as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Buffalo Sabres are on the road against the Pittsburgh Penguins on ESPN as a -115 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The New York Rangers are home to challenge the Toronto Maple Leafs as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Florida Panthers as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5.Two NHL games start at 8:07 p..m. ET. The Tampa Bay Lightning are on the road to battle the Winnipeg Jets as a -185 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Nashville Predators play at home against the Boston Bruins as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Ottawa Senators visit the Calgary Flames at 9:07 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Los Angeles Kings are home to play the New York Islanders on ESPN at 9:37 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule tips off at 4:30 p.m. ET with 46 games involving Division I opponents. Three NCAAB games are on major national television. Temple hosts Tulane on ESPN2 at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 144.5. Michigan State plays at home against Rutgers on FS1 at 8:00 p.m. ET as an 18.5-point favorite with a total of 141.5. South Florida plays at Memphis on ESPN2 at 9:00 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 160.5. Matchweek 29 in the English Premier League concludes with one match. Tottenham is at home against Crystal Palace on the USA Network at 3:00 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. 

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2026 NCAA Tournament: SEC Bubble Teams

by Nelly's Sports

Wednesday, Mar 04, 2026

The SEC has been the top conference in college basketball this season and it hasn’t been particularly close. A recent surge from Florida gives the conference a serious national title threat but the strength of the conference is the depth, with all 16 teams considered top 100 caliber squads. Currently the league projects to average 10 NCAA Tournament teams in most scenarios and seven teams should feel like they have already done enough: Florida, Alabama, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Georgia. The win by Georgia over Alabama this week puts the Bulldogs into that position from a recent bubble placement. These four remaining teams still look like viable tournament teams if things go well in the remaining games to close the regular season and next week’s SEC tournament, but there may not be room for all four.  Missouri 20-10 Overall, 10-7 SEC Best Wins: (H) Florida, (H) Auburn, (A) Texas A&M, (H) Vanderbilt, (H) Tennessee Remaining Game(s): (H) Arkansas Missouri has a nice collection of quality wins and head-to-head wins over two of the fellow teams on this list, Auburn and Texas A&M, could be helpful as well. The win over Florida in the SEC opener should be enough to keep Missouri on the right side of the bubble in any scenario but it isn’t a sure thing yet.  Missouri just lost by 16 points at Oklahoma this week for a problematic result, and the Tigers have SEC losses to LSU and Ole Miss, as well as a head-to-head loss with Texas who could also be on the bubble. A non-conference loss to Notre Dame also hurts the overall resume while Missouri has occasionally suffered complete blowout losses, as half of the team’s 10 losses have come by double-digit margins. That means the NET rating for Missouri is likely to be worse than the other bubble teams on this list.  The finale this weekend hosting Arkansas isn’t a must-win game but the first SEC tournament game for the Tigers is likely to be against a lesser team that could create the risk of another bad loss for Missouri. The SEC tournament seeding is currently in flux as Missouri could land anywhere from 5th to 10th as the Tigers can’t feel comfortable yet.  Texas 18-11 Overall, 9-7 SEC Best Wins: (N) NC State, (A) Alabama, (H) Vanderbilt, (H) Georgia, (A) Texas A&M Remaining Games: (A) Arkansas, (H) Oklahoma Winning at Texas A&M last weekend puts the Longhorns at 9-7 in SEC play, guaranteed to finish at least .500 in conference play. Texas won only one of its five quality non-conference games however and losing a head-to-head game with Auburn won’t be helpful if the bubble tightens, though Texas beat Missouri in the only meeting, and split with Texas A&M for comparison games with the other teams on this list. Texas had a bad home loss to Mississippi State early in the SEC season but does have four wins against possible NCAA Tournament teams in the SEC. Texas has looked the part of a tournament team on offense but this is one of the lesser defensive teams in the conference.  The SEC Tournament seems likely to matter for Texas unless the Longhorns can score an upset win at Arkansas this week in addition to holding off Oklahoma in the home finale this weekend. Texas currently projects to finish as the #8 or #9 seed in the SEC tournament with an extra game required for the #9 seed against the #16 team before facing the #8 seed in the format.  Texas A&M 20-10 Overall 10-7 SEC Best Wins: (A) Auburn, (A) Texas, (A) Georgia, (H) Kentucky Remaining Games: (A) LSU Texas A&M doesn’t have a high-end win like Missouri and Texas have while comparing similar records and results for the SEC bubble teams. The Aggies are also holding a negative trajectory in the past month, going 3-6 S/U since the start of February. The home win over Kentucky this week was a critical result as the Aggies had lost three off our home dates in February.  Head-to-head losses to Missouri and Texas and February won’t be helpful though the Aggies won at Texas in January to split that series. A two-point win at Auburn could also be valuable on Selection Sunday as well as the Aggies have a very suspect non-conference profile, going 1-3 S/U vs. top 100 teams with only a win over Florida State. Head-to-head losses to SMU from the ACC and UCF from the Big XII could also be damaging comparison results against fellow bubble teams.  Texas A&M must avoid an upset loss to LSU on the road in the regular season finale and this is a team that could wind up in a SEC tournament game vs. one of the other teams on this list in a potentially meaningful outcome.  Auburn 16-14 Overall 7-10 SEC Best Wins: (N) St. John’s, (H) NC State, (H) Arkansas, (A) Florida, (H) Texas, (H) Kentucky Remaining Games: (A) Alabama Bruce Pearl has been fighting for his former team and now his son’s team in the media, but his efforts would be better served not aimed at Miami, OH and their perfect season, but rather at some of the other bubble teams in the SEC and other major conferences. Auburn will have the problem of simply having a much worse conference record than most of those teams as Auburn can’t finish better than 8-10 in league play.  Auburn has a huge trump card however with a 76-67 win at Florida, for one of the strongest results any team in the country can claim all season. Auburn has a head-to-head win over Texas as well and a couple of nice non-conference results as the Tigers played a dramatically tougher non-conference schedule than every other team on this list. Auburn beat St. John’s and NC State in non-conference play and lost to Houston, Michigan, Purdue, and Arizona, though only one of those four losses was a competitive finish.  Auburn shouldn’t be punished for a 9-4 non-conference record compared with the stronger records through lighter paths of most other bubble teams around the country. Auburn had a NCAA Tournament position in good hand until recent weeks, with a 2-7 run since late January and notable losses to Mississippi State, Oklahoma, and Mississippi.  Auburn still will have a resume worthy of NCAA Tournament consideration even if they lose at Alabama this weekend to slide to 7-11 in SEC play, but the Tigers will need to make a run next week to get some positive attention after going from last season’s #1 position in the SEC tournament to this season’s spot in the bottom six. 

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World Baseball Classic Betting Preview

by Sean Murphy

Wednesday, Mar 04, 2026

The 2026 World Baseball Classic is shaping up to be one of the most talent-loaded international tournaments we’ve seen. With pool play spread across Tokyo, San Juan, Houston and Miami — and the semi-finals and final back in Miami — this event blends playoff intensity with early-season unpredictability. From a betting perspective, that combination is exactly what makes it compelling. According to current pricing at BetMGM, the market is relatively top-heavy — but not without opportunity if you’re willing to think a step ahead of the public money.United StatesThe USA sits at the top of the board around +110, and that price tells you everything about how the market views this roster. Star power, pitching depth, and motivation after falling short in 2023 all factor in. From a betting standpoint, though, backing a favorite in a short tournament format always requires discipline. The WBC isn’t a 162-game grind — it’s closer to a high-variance sprint. One rough start from a frontline arm or one bullpen meltdown and you’re suddenly navigating knockout baseball. If you’re betting USA, you’re betting talent ceiling. The question is whether the price still carries value, or whether public liability will push it into negative territory before first pitch. Futures bettors who like the U.S. might want to lock in before that happens.Japan The defending champions, Japan, are sitting in the +300 to +350 range. Japan doesn’t just show up for this tournament — they understand it. The roster construction, the bullpen management, the situational baseball — it consistently translates in WBC play. While the U.S. may win the talent argument on paper, Japan often wins the execution argument on the field. From a value perspective, +325 on a team that has historically handled this format extremely well is hard to ignore. If you believe tournament experience matters, Japan is the sharper futures look relative to the price.Dominican RepublicThe DR is right there with Japan on the odds board. As always, the roster is loaded with explosive bats and arms capable of overpowering lineups. The betting angle here is variance. The DR can look unbeatable when the lineup gets rolling — but tournament chemistry and pitching roles matter in short events. If everything clicks, they’re good enough to win it all. If it doesn’t, an early upset isn’t impossible. At similar odds to Japan, you’re essentially choosing structure and consistency versus offensive firepower.Mid-tier value and dark horses Venezuela at around +1400 is where things start to get interesting for futures players looking for upside. There’s enough major-league talent to compete deep into knockout rounds, and if they navigate pool play cleanly, that ticket gains equity quickly. Then there’s Canada at long odds. Canada won’t attract heavy futures money, but in a short tournament format, one hot stretch can flip an entire pool. Instead of an outright, a more strategic angle could be targeting pool advancement markets.Betting strategy The biggest mistake bettors make with the WBC is treating it like the MLB postseason. It’s not. Pitch counts are managed differently. Bullpens are leveraged aggressively. Players are often in early-season form. That increases volatility. Rather than just betting the outright winner, consider layering exposure: A position on one of the top three A long-shot ticket with upside Game-to-game plays once starters/rotations are confirmed Live betting could also be particularly valuable. Momentum swings fast in international play, and books sometimes lag adjusting to bullpen depth and managerial tendencies.In a tournament built on short bursts and national pride, it won’t always be the most talented roster that cashes — it’ll be the one that adapts quickest to the format.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 03/04/26

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Mar 04, 2026

The Wednesday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball League has six games on its docket. The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to New York to play the Knicks on ESPN at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with the total set at 222.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Two more NBA games tip off at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Philadelphia 76ers host the Utah Jazz as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 241.5. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Charlotte Hornets as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 215.5. The Portland Trail Blazers play in Memphis against the Grizzlies at 8:10 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 237.5. The Milwaukee Bucks are at home against the Atlanta Hawks on ESPN at 9:40 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 230.5. The Los Angeles Clippers host the Indiana Pacers at 10:40 p.m. ET as a 12.5-point favorite with an over/under of 224.5. The National Hockey League has five games on its slate. Two NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Detroit Red Wings play at home against the Vegas Golden Knights as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The New Jersey Devils are home against the Toronto Maple Leafs as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Three games conclude the NHL card at 10:07 p.m. ET. The Carolina Hurricanes are on the road against the Vancouver Canucks as a -278 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The New York Islanders visit Anaheim to take on the Ducks with both teams priced as -110 money-line favorites with an over/under of 6.5. The Seattle Kraken host the St. Louis Blues as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule tips off at noon ET with 38 games involving Division I opponents. Eleven NCAAB games are on major national television. Butler plays at home against Creighton on FS1 at 6:00 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 155.5. Three more NCAAB games on major national television start at 7:00 p.m. ET. Arkansas is home against Texas on ESPN2 as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 165.5. Providence hosts Marquette on Peacock as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 162.5. California plays at Georgia Tech on ESPNU as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 156.5. Ohio State is on the road to face Penn State on Peacock at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 153.5. Three NCAAB games on major national television begin at 8:00 p.m. ET. Wisconsin plays at home against Maryland on FS1 as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 153.5. Villanova travels to DePaul on Peacock as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 135.5. St. Louis is at home to battle Loyola-Chicago on the CBS Sports Network as a 24.5-point favorite with a total of 155.5. Two NCAAB games on major national television start at 9:00 p.m. ET. Houston hosts Baylor on ESPN2 as a 15.5-point favorite with an over/under of 141.5. Notre Dame plays at home against Stanford on ESPNU as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 145.5. New Mexico is home to face Colorado State on the CBS Sports Network at 10:00 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 149.5. Matchweek 29 in the English Premier League continues with five matches. Four EPL matches start at 2:30 p.m. ET. Chelsea plays at Aston Villa on the USA Network as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Arsenal is on the road at Brighton and Hove Albion as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Fulham hosts West Ham United as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Manchester City plays at home against Nottingham Forest as a -1.25 goal-line favorite at BetOnline with an over/under of 3. Newcastle United is home to challenge Manchester United at 3:15 p.m. ET in a pick ‘em matchup (at BetOnline) with a total of 3. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 03/03/26

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Mar 03, 2026

The Tuesday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball League has 10 games on its docket. Three NBA games tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Detroit Pistons travel to Cleveland to play the Cavaliers as a 1.5-point road favorite with the total set at 225.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Charlotte Hornets host the Dallas Mavericks as a 12.5-point favorite with an over/under of 230.5. The Orlando Magic plays at home against the Washington Wizards as a 15.5-point favorite with a total of 227.5. Two NBA games start at 7:40 p.m. ET. The New York Knicks play in Toronto against the Raptors as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 223.5. The Miami Heat are home against the Brooklyn Nets as a 12.5-point favorite with a total of 227.5. Three NBA games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. The San Antonio Spurs are on the road to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on NBC as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 231.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Chicago to face the Bulls as a 10.5-point road favorite with a total of 227.5. The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Memphis Grizzlies as a 13.5-point favorite with an over/under of 238.5. The Los Angeles Lakers play at home against the New Orleans Pelicans at 10:40 p.m. ET as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 237.5. The Phoenix Suns play in Sacramento against the Kings on NBC at 11:10 p.m. ET as a 10.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 225.5. The National Hockey League has 11 games on its slate. Five NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Boston Bruins are home against the Pittsburgh Penguins as a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Nashville Predators as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Florida Panthers are on the road against the New Jersey Devils on TNT, with both teams priced as -110 money-line favorites with a total of 5.5. The Buffalo Sabres play at home against the Vegas Golden Knights as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Washington Capitals are home against the Utah Mammoth as a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Winnipeg Jets host the Chicago Blackhawks at 8:07 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Two more NHL games begin at 9:07 p.m. ET. The Dallas Stars travel to Calgary to challenge the Flames as a -120 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Edmonton Oilers play at home against the Ottawa Senators as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning plays in Minnesota against the Wild on TNT at 9:37 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. Two more games conclude the NHL card at 10:07 p.m. ET. The Colorado Avalanche are on the road against the Anaheim Ducks as a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Montreal Canadiens visit San Jose to battle the Sharks as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule tips off at 6:00 p.m. ET with 53 games involving Division I opponents. Five NCAAB games are on major national television. Two of these games tip off at 7:00 p.m. ET. Texas Tech is at home against TCU on FS1 as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 148.5. Texas A&M hosts Kentucky on ESPN2 as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 159.5. Two NCAAB games on major national television start at 9:00 p.m. ET. Cincinnati plays at home against BYU on ESPN2 as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 152.5. Kansas plays at Arizona State on FS1 as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 151.5. UCLA is home against Nebraska on FS1 at 11:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 143.5. Matchweek 29 in the English Premier League begins with four matches. Three EPL matches start at 2:30 p.m. ET. Bournemouth hosts Brentford as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Everton plays at home against Burnley as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Leeds United is home against Sunderland as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Liverpool is on the road against Wolverhampton on the USA Network at 3:15 p.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. 

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview and Picks

by Matt Fargo

Monday, Mar 02, 2026

We snagged a top ten with Nicolai Højgaard who finished T6 after making the cut on the number and going 66, 65 over the weekend but it was a very disappointing card from a less than stellar field. Shane Lowry had the Cognizant Classic in his grasp but double bogeys on 16 and 17 saw a three-shot lead turn into a two-shot deficit and Nico Echavarria took advantage with a huge birdie on 17 to win by two to capture his third PGA Tour win. The Florida swing continues with the third signature event of the season as this week it is the highly regarded Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida.Formerly known as the Bay Hill Invitational, the name changed in 2007 recognizing Palmer who took over the property. This will be the third signature event over the last four weeks and while the field goes up in strength immensely from last week, the Arnold Palmer Invitational is a limited field to 72 players with the cut at top 50 and ties similar to the Genesis Invitational two weeks ago. Bay Hill is a par 72 that stretches to 7,466 yards and while it is especially long, it plays even longer due to doglegs and extremely thick rough that eats up balls. It is annually one of the tougher tracks in difficulty and has been ranked No. 8, No. 10 and No. 10 the last three years. Over the last years of this event, only two players have finished lower than -17 and those were Rory McIlroy at -18 in 2018 and Scottie Scheffler at -15 in 2024. Because of the length, distance is important but not close to the biggest factor at the Arnold Palmer Invitational as over the last 15 years, the winner has finished inside the top ten in Driving Distance only four times with eight outside the top 30. Driving Accuracy is even less important which is surprising because of the difficulty of the rough as of those last 15 winners, 12 were ranked outside the top 25 in accuracy. We have to key on SG: Tee-To-Green, Proximity: 200+ Yards and SG: Approach with SG: Around-The-Green being important as well. While course history meant little last week at PGA National, it is very important this week as eight of the last nine winners of the Arnold Palmer Invitational have a T15 or better finish in a previous Bay Hill start with Kurt Kitayama being the only exception in 2023 as he was actually a debutant. Of the 72 players in the field this week, 42 have at least one T15 since 2016 so we will be relying on course history heavily as well. We also take into consideration similar courses in setup and difficulty and correlating events this week are the Truist Championship at Quail Hollow Club, the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village and the Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course).  We are back to a limited signature event field with the best of the best as 38 of the top 40 are in play this week with only Aaron Rai and Marco Penge sitting out. Because this is just the third year of it being a signature event and not a typical full field, only five previous winners of the Arnold Palmer Invitational are playing including defending champion Russell Henley along with Kitayama, Scheffler, McIlroy and Jason Day. Justin Thomas is making his season debut and first start since finishing 69th at the Procore Championship last September prior to his back surgery as is Sungjae Im who is back from a wrist injury. Nine first timers will be teeing it up this week.  The forecast is similar to last week with temperatures in the mid 80s throughout the week with no rain expected while winds will not be a big factor at 10-15 mph. From a statistical standpoint, it is iron play being most important again this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational with our top four key categories being:Strokes Gained: Tee-To-GreenProximity: 200+ YardsStrokes Gained: ApproachStrokes Gained: Around-The-GreenEach bet is Win/Top Five/Top Ten. The typical recommendation is 50%/25%/25% with odds, payouts and results based on a $1000 unit (easy round number for bookkeeping) on each of the following players. The payouts are listed right below the odds which are all from DraftKings:Matt FitzpatrickOdds: Win 2,600 ~ Top Five 450 ~ Top Ten 205Payout: Win 1,300.00 ~ Top Five 112.50 ~ Top Ten 51.25Fitzpatrick has been playing at a high level and we have been on him a couple times with a top ten to show for it with the putter letting him down in three of his four starts. He is ranked No. 5 in SG: Tee-To-Green, No. 18 in Proximity: 200+ Yards and No. 4 in SG: Approach so his ball striking is spot on. His success at Bay Hill is the best in the field without a win as he has seven T22 or better in his last nine starts including four top tens. He has never lost strokes putting at Bay Hill so if that sticks, look out.Hideki MatsuyamaOdds: Win 3,000 ~ Top Five 490 ~ Top Ten 220Payout: Win 1,500.00 ~ Top Five 122.50 ~ Top Ten 55.00Matsuyama nearly picked up a win at the WM Phoenix Open but lost in a playoff and he has been excellent around that as well. He has three other T13 or better and while his latest start at The Genesis Invitational resulted in a T28, it was his normally elite approach game that let him down. He is ranked 16th or better in all four key categories including No. 2 in Proximity: 200+ Yards. He has not been in contention here since 2016 but does have four T25’s the last five years including a T12 in 2024. Ludvig ÅbergOdds: Win 4,000 ~ Top Five 680 ~ Top Ten 305Payout: Win 2,000.00 ~ Top Five 170.00 ~ Top Ten 76.25Åberg is the one outlier of the card that does not have a T15 at Bay Hill but he does have three 25s in three starts so he is comfortable and his T22 last year came after a win. His 2026 season got off to a similar start like 2025 as he started slow with an illness as he withdrew from the American Express and then missed the cut at the Farmers Insurance Open. He has a T20 in his last start at the Genesis Invitational and has gained strokes in all categories his last two starts after an abysmal showing at Torrey. Shane LowryOdds: Win 4,900 ~ Top Five 750 ~ Top Ten 325Payout: Win 2,450.00 ~ Top Five 187.50 ~ Top Ten 81.25We had Lowry circled for this event and had he won last week, we probably would be off him but his implosion is giving us value and his motivation will be peaking. He was great last week with the exception of those last two holes especially and it was his second T8 in three starts. He is ranked No. 21 in SG: Tee-To-Green, No. 10 in Proximity: 200+ Yards and No. 12 in SG: Approach and while way down the list in SG: Around-The-Green, he was plus the last two years at Bay Hill where he finished solo 3 and solo 7. Sahith TheegalaOdds: Win 9,800 ~ Top Five 1,325 ~ Top Ten 550Payout: Win 4,900.00 ~ Top Five 331.25 ~ Top Ten 137.50Theegala has gotten his game back after an awful 2025 season and his odds are still reflecting that. He opened T31 at the Sony Open in Hawaii and then came back with a T8, T7 and T18 and after struggling around and on the greens at Pebble Beach, he bounced back with a T22 at The Genesis Invitational. His struggles at Pebble were surprising as he is No. 36 in SG: Around-The-Green. He missed the cut here last year but that was last year and he was T6 in 2024 and T14 in 2023 so he has the course fit. Results through the Cognizant Classic (4 Tournaments):Win: -8,000.00Top Five: +325.00Top Ten: +875.00

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/02/26

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Mar 02, 2026

The Monday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action. The National Basketball League has four games on its docket. The Houston Rockets travel to Washington to play the Wizards at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 15.5-point road favorite with the total set at 222.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Boston Celtics play in Milwaukee against the Bucks at 7:40 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 214.5. The Denver Nuggets are on the road to play the Utah Jazz at 9:10 p.m.  ET as a 10.5-point road favorite with a total of 243.5. The Los Angeles Clippers visit Golden State to face the Warriors on Peacock at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Clippers ended a three-game losing streak with a 137-117 victory against New Orleans on Sunday. The Warriors lost for the second time in their previous three games in a 129-101 loss at home against the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. Los Angeles is a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 219.5. The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. The Nashville Predators host the Detroit Red Wings at 2:07 p.m. ET as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Columbus Blue Jackets play in New York against the Rangers at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs play at home against the Philadelphia Flyers at 7:37 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. Two NHL games drop the puck at 10:07 p.m. ET. The Dallas Stars are on the road against the Vancouver Canucks as a -192 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Carolina Hurricanes visit the Seattle Kraken as a -192 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Colorado Avalanche play in Los Angeles against the Kings at 10:37 p.m. ET as a -185 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule tips off at 6:00 p.m. ET with 18 games involving Division I opponents. Two NCAAB games are on ESPN. Duke is on the road against North Carolina State at 7:00 p.m. ET. The Blue Devils are on a six-game winning streak after their 77-51 victory at home against Virginia on Wednesday. The Wolfpack lost for the fourth time in their previous five games after a 96-90 loss at Notre Dame on Saturday. Duke is a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 148.5. McNeese State travels to Nicholls State on the CBS Sports Network at  7:30 p.m. ET. The Cowboys are on a seven-game winning streak after a 66-63 victory at New Orleans on Saturday. The Colonels are on a two-game winning streak after a 68-60 victory against Southeast Louisiana on Saturday. McNeese State is an 11.5-point road favorite with  an over/under of 144.5. Arizona is at home against Iowa State on ESPN at 9:00 p.m. ET. The Wildcats are on a four-game winning streak after an 84-61 victory against Kansas on Saturday. The Cyclones lost for the second time in their previous three games after an 82-73 loss at home against Texas Tech on two days ago. Arizona is a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 147.5. 

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2026 CBB Conference Tournament Guide: (Champ Selections Included)

by William Burns

Sunday, Mar 01, 2026

MARCH IS HERE! .. & you know what that means. Let the madness begin! Last season, I created a preview, diving into each and every single Conference Tournament. I’m back at it again in 2026 as I’m expecting another phenomenal month of basketball. (Odds via. DraftKings Sportsbook.)Article is Complete.*Player scoring averages are from March 1-3 stats. -----------------------------------------------------Atlantic Sun Conference: (March 4, 6-8) - Jacksonville, Florida5 Players To Watch Out For: Collin Parker (Austin Peay / Forward) - 18.1 PTS, 3.2 AST, 6.1 REBJ.R. Konieczny (Florida Gulf Coast / Forward) - 15.6 PTS, 2.1 AST, 6.4 REBShelton Williams-Dryden (West Georgia / Forward) - 20.8 PTS, 1.5 AST, 9.0 REBCamren Hunter (Central Arkansas / Guard) - 19.7 PTS, 2.7 AST, 4.2 REBJack Karasinski (Bellarmine / Forward) - 21.3 PTS, 1.1 AST, 4.8 REBWhat To Expect:What a difference a year makes. Last season, Austin Peay, Central Arkansas & Queens NC were all at the bottom of the standings, expected to go one and done inside the conference tourney. All three of them. This year, they are the top three contenders inside the A-Sun. With a few new faces like Bellarmine, Stetson & West Georgia (who’s not eligible for NCAA Tournament - transition year.) I expect a really fun tourney, with four teams at +500 or better to win it. Last year, I had Lipscomb winning this tournament and that’s exactly what happened. This year, I’m going to ride with FGCU, who have fantastic odds + the Eagles are one of the hottest teams within the conference right now. Burns' Selection: (UPSET WARNING) Florida Gulf Coast (+1600)  Odds To Win:Austin Peay ( +205)Central Arkansas (+250)Queens NC (400)Lipscomb (+475)Florida Gulf Coast (+1600)Eastern Kentucky (+4000)Bellarmine (+5500)Jacksonville (+5500)West Georgia (+8000)Stetson (+30000)North Florida (+40000)North Alabama (+40000) -----------------------------------------------------America East Conference : (March 7, 10, 14) - Campus Sites5 Players To Watch Out For: Gus Yalden (Vermont / Forward) - 16.8 PTS, 2.2 AST, 5.9 REBAmir Lindsey (Albany / Guard) - 17.5 PTS, 4.9 AST, 3.3 REBTJ Hurley (Vermont / Guard) - 14.7 PTS, 1.4 AST, 3.5 REBAngel Montas (UMASS Lowell / Guard) - 15.2 PTS, 1.8 AST, 5.2 REBJah’Likai King (UMBC / Guard) - 14.0 PTS, 1.5 AST, 3.5 REB What To Expect:The change from one season to another is absolutely massive in College Hoops. Bryant, who won this tournament (and was the favorite,) a year ago, has the worst odds to win it this season. There’s really only two teams that the oddsmakers expect to have much of a chance in this year’s verision. UMBC, a school that everyone remembers as it was the first #16 seed to ever beat a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. & Vermont, the preseason favorites. UMBC is very consistent on both sides of the ball and doesn’t turn the ball over. Vermont plays a very similar style to UMBC, just slightly worse so far this year with limited turnovers and great defensive rebounding. With UMBC’s home court advantage, it’s hard to see it losing. Burns' Selection: UMBC (-270) Odds To Win:UMBC (-270)Vermont (+220)NJIT (+1600)UMASS Lowell (+2000)Albany NY (+4500)Maine (+13000)New Hampshire (+18000)Bryant (+20000)-----------------------------------------------------American Athletic Conference: (March 11-15) - Birmingham, Alabama5 Players To Watch Out For:  Izaiyah Nelson (South Florida / Forward) - 15.8 PTS, 1.2 AST, 9.8 REBJordan Riley (East Carolina / Guard) - 23.6 PTS, 2.5 AST, 6.0 REBKenyon Giles (Wichita State / Guard) - 19.4 PTS, 1.5 ASTM 2.6 REBWes Enis (South Florida / Guard) - 16.5 PTS, 2.4 AST, 3.7 REBDavid Green (Tulsa / Forward) - 16.5 PTS, 1.6 AST, 4.6 REBWhat To Expect:What a disastrous season it’s been for the preseason favorite, Memphis. Going into the year, the Tigers were the clear favorite to win this conference. Now, going into the Conference Tournament, they have the sixth best odds. While it’s too early to count them out, it’s highly unlikely the way things have been going and I’m shocked that there hasn’t been a coaching chance. USF has elite players everywhere and should be in the NCAA Tournament already (at least one more win wouldn’t hurt.) Tulsa has been the shock of the conference, owning a very dangerous offense (4th in 3pt shooting at 39.7% + 13th in FT shooting at 78.3%!) The Shockers of Wichita State are always a threat at this time too. They're in the top five in offensive rebounding this season! Those are the teams that the oddsmakers think have the best chance, and I’m with them. Burns' Selection: USF (-120) Odds To Win:South Florida (-120)Tulsa (+270)Wichita State (+370)UAB (+2200)North Texas (+6500)Memphis (+8000)Florida Atlantic (+12000)Charlotte (+12000)Temple (+15000)Tulane (+30000)-----------------------------------------------------Atlantic 10 Conference: (March 11-15) - Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 5 Players To Watch Out For:  Rafael Castro (George Washington / Center) - 15.7 PTS, 1.8 AST, 8.8 REBTarence Guinyard (Duquesne / Guard) - 16.9 PTS, 4.7 AST, 3.4 REBDerek Simpson (Saint Joseph’s / Guard) - 13.7 PTS, 5.2 AST, 5.2 REBRobbie Avila (Saint Louis / Center) - 12.6 PTS, 4.1  AST, 4.5 REBTerrence Hill (VCU / Guard) - 14.1 PTS, 2.8 AST, 2.6 REBWhat To Expect: All season long, St. Louis has been the top team in the conference. But, a possible bid stealer could be up for grabs in this tournament. The Billikens did not finish the season too well, dropping three of its last six. But, St. Louis/VCU should pretty much be locks to make the NCAA Tournament already. That leaves room for teams like Dayton, George Washington, George Mason, Saint Joseph’s and even Davidson to possibly win this tournament. Obviously, the Billkens remain the favorite. But, Dayton’s got one of the best defenses in the country while GW is fantastic offensively. GMU began the season 18-1 and is great on both sides. VCU plays fast and wants to score with lots of three pointers. This could be the best tournament of them all.  Burns' Selection: VCU (+180) Odds To Win:Saint Louis (+130)Virginia Commonwealth (+180)Dayton (+750)Saint Joseph's (+1100)George Washington (+1600)Davidson (+2500)George Mason (+3500)Duquesne (+6000)Rhode Island (+8000)Richmond (+20000)Fordham (+20000)Saint Bonaventure (+25000)Loyola Chicago (+50000)La Salle (+50000)-----------------------------------------------------Atlantic Coast Conference: (March 10-14) - Charlotte, North Carolina8 Players To Watch Out For: Cameron Boozer (Duke / Forward) - 22.7 PTS, 4.0 AST, 10.2 REBMikel Brown Jr (Louisville / Guard) - 18.2 PTS, 4.7 AST, 3.3 REBRyan Conwell (Lousiville / Guard) - 18.7 PTS, 2.6 AST, 4.7 REBThijs De Ridder (Virginia / Forward) - 15.9 PTS, 1.6 AST, 6.3 REBBoopie Miller (SMU / Guard) - 19.4 PTS, 6.6 AST, 3.6 REBMalik Reneau (Miami / Forward) - 19.0 PTS, 2.1 AST, 6.6 REBDarrion Williams (NC State / Forward) - 14.0 PTS, 2.8 AST, 4.8 REBJuke Harris (Wake Forest / Guard) - 21.7 PTS, 1.7 AST, 6.7 REBNeoklis Avdalas (Virginia Tech / Guard) - 12.3 PTS, 4.7 AST, 3.2 REBWhat To Expect:Just like last season, Duke has crushed its competition this year inside the ACC and looked nearly unstoppable throughout the regular season. Now, it’s always interesting to see what happens in these tournaments as anything can happen. But, I just don’t see anything else happening than the Blue Devils cutting down the nets. UVA looked shaky against VT in the final reg season game. But, the Cavs do possess a fantastic defense just like always. Louisville has been fantasitic this year. However, it doesn’t seem to perform too well against the top teams. UNC would have a great chance if Caleb Wilson didn’t injure himself in practice. The Tar Heels still could turn some heads. Clemson is my pick if Duke goes down early. The Tigers began the season 20-4 and definitely have looked stronger again in the final three games. This tournament is about taking down Duke and barring anything crazy, that probably won’t be the case. Burns' Selection: Duke (-350) Odds To Win:Duke (-350)Virginia (+650)Louisville (+950)Miami FL (+2000)North Carolina (+2200)Clemson (+4000)NC State (+5000)Florida State (+13000)SMU (+15000)Virginia Tech (+20000)California (+25000)Stanford (+30000)Wake Forest (+80000)Syracuse (+80000)Pittsburgh (+80000)-----------------------------------------------------Big 12 Conference: (March 10-14) - Kansas City, Missouri8 Players To Watch Out For: AJ Dybantsa (BYU / Guard) - 24.7 PTS, 3.8 AST, 6.7 REBDarryn Peterson (Kansas / Guard) - 19.9 PTS, 1.8 AST, 4.2 REBChristian Anderson (Texas Tech / Guard) - 19.2 PTS, 7.8 AST, 3.7 REBBrayden Burries (Arizona / Guard) - 16.0 PTS, 2.6 AST, 5.0 REBKingston Flemings (Houston / Guard) - 16.5 PTS, 5.4 AST, 3.9 REBCameron Carr (Baylor / Guard) - 19.0 PTS, 2.7 AST, 5.5 REBMilan Momcilovic (Iowa State / Forward) - 17.0 PTS, 1.0 AST, 3.1 REBPJ Haggerty (Kansas State / Guard) - 23.3 PTS, 3.9 AST, 5.3 REBWhat To Expect:In recent years, there’s been a lot more consistency within the Big 12, leading to one of the best conference tournaments out there. Although the same might happen this season, the split between the best teams and the lesser teams within this conference has been immense. I’m big on Arizona right now. with the size and strength down low, as well as the big time shot makers. Houston was my preseason #1 team and with the defensive pressure and turnover %, they should be threats to go deep in the NCAA Tournament. But, the Cougs will need their freshman to step up huge in big spots. Iowa State can most definitely win this tournament. The Cyclones did finish the season quite cold. But, they are really efficient and have threats all over the place. I’d pick one of those teams to win this tournament, for sure. But, there are teams like Kansas, Cincinnati, and TCU who most definitely can make some noise. Baylor is well coached, but has had an off-year. Texas Tech/BYU have fallen off a bit towards the end of the season as injuries have played a part. Burns' Selection: Arizona (+100) Odds To Win:Arizona (+100)Houston (+200)Iowa State (+700)Kansas (+800)Texas Tech (+1700) Cincinnati (+4500)TCU (+6000)BYU (+10000)West Virginia (+18000)UCF (+40000)Baylor (+40000)Colorado (+50000)Arizona State (+60000)Oklahoma State (+80000)Kansas State (+80000)Utah (+100000)-----------------------------------------------------Big East Conference: (March 11-14) - New York City8 Players To Watch Out For:  Zuby Ejiofor (St. John’s / Forward) - 16.0 PTS, 3.5 AST, 7.1 REBTyler Perkins (Villanova / Guard) - 13.7 PTS, 1.6 AST, 5.5 REBNigel James (Marquette / Guard) - 16.4 PTS, 4.8 AST, 3.5 REBDuke Brennan (Villanova / Forward) - 12.3 PTS, 2.0 AST, 10.5 REBBryce Hopkins (St. John’s / Guard/Forward) - 13.3 PTS, 2.0 AST, 6.0 REBMichael Ajayi (Butler / Forward) - 16.3 PTS, 3.2 AST, 11.1 REBJaylin Sellers (Providence / Guard) - 18.1 PTS, 1.6 AST, 4.0 REBSilas Demary (UCONN / Guard) - 11.1 PTS, 6.5 AST, 4.6 REBWhat To Expect: What has happened to the Big East? Not long ago, we had 11 teams from this conference make “March Madness” (2011.) Now, we’re on the verge of seeing just three teams from the Big East play beyond the conference tournament. Even with the loss to Marquette to finish the regular season, UCONN should not be looked down on. Dan Hurley didn’t win B2B championships for no reason. The Huskies could definitely win this and win it all. Don’t overlook St. John’s either. Coached by Rick Pitino, the Red Storm have talent everywhere and are extremely deep. I can’t help but like these odds on the Wildcats of Villanova though. They are extremely experienced and shot over 70% in their last game of the regular season. Marquette just won B2B games for the first time since November. & Creighton has been horrible down the stretch. Anything could happen, but expect one of those top three teams (UCONN, St. Johns, Villanova) to end up victorious at MSG. I’ll take the best odds. Burns' Selection: Villanova (+650) Odds To Win: Connecticut (+100)St. John's (+185) Villanova (+650)Seton Hall (+1400)Creighton (+4000)Marquette (+6000)Providence (+8000)Bulter (+10000)DePaul (+11000)Georgetown (+13000)Xavier (+25000)-----------------------------------------------------Big Sky Conference: (March 7-11) - Boise, Idaho5 Players To Watch Out For: Quinn Denker (Northern Colorado / Guard) - 18.9 PTS, 7.0 AST, 5.2 REBMoney Williams (Montana / Guard) - 19.6 PTS, 5.0 AST, 4.2 REBTerri Miller (Portland State / Forward) - 18.9 PTS, 3.5 AST, 5.6 REBJaylin Henderson (Portland State / Guard) - 17.9 PTS, 6.0 AST, 4.1 REBIsaiah Moses (Eastern Washington / Guard) - 17.9 PTS, 4.0 AST, 3.0 REBWhat To Expect:Rarely will you see a conference tournament draw that has this many title contenders of less than +1000. The Big Sky looks like it’s going to host one of the most intriguing tourney’s this season and I’m all here for it. Montana State brings in a balanced style of play with very effective shooting. Portland State is much more defensive heavy and actually got the #1 in this draw + the hypothetical best path. UNCO is the hottest team entering this tournament, having just smashed Montana (9-1 L10) and will search for efficient shots all over the court. Eastern Washington is also really hot. But, the Eagles statistically aren’t as great as some of the other contenders. Montana, who plays kind of like Northern Colorado, was the preseason fav, but hasn’t been playing its best lately. I think that this bracket sets up well for a Portland State team that can use its defensive advantages to win late games in March. Burns' Selection: Portland State (+400) Odds To Win:Montana State (+340)Portland State (+400)Northern Colorado (+425)Eastern Washington (+475)Montana (+700)Weber State (+850)Idaho (+950)Idaho State (+3500)Sacramento State (+20000)Northern Arizona (+30000)-----------------------------------------------------Big South Conference: (March 4, 6-8) - Johnson City, Tennessee 5 Players To Watch Out For:  Rob Martin (High Point / Guard) - 14.9 PTS, 3.5 AST. 1.8 REBToyaz Solomon (UNC Ashville / Forward) - 16.3 PTS, 1.9 AST, 7.3 REBTerry Anderson (High Point / Forward) - 15.8 PTS, 1.4 AST, 5.7 REBKameron Taylor (UNC Ashville / Guard) - 18.8 PTS, 3.1 AST, 5.0 REBDel Jones (Radford / Guard) - 17.1 PTS, 3.5 AST, 3.6 REB What To Expect: The Big South hasn’t really changed from a season ago. High Point, who I successfully picked to win last year, remains the team to beat with thebest record. Winthrop isn’t too far behind though this year and is expected to give the Panthers a run for their money in this year’s tournament. Some of the teams from 3-7 in the “odds to win” list, down below, could very well do some damage too. In these mid-major conference tournaments, it’s all about peaking at the right moment, and letting the madness carry a team to unseen heights. However, I don’t see an upset here. I’m sticking with High Point to get back to the Big Dance. Burns' Selection: High Point (-160) Odds To Win:High Point (-160)Winthrop (+290)Radford (+1300)UNC Asheville (+1600)Longwood (+2800)Presbyterian (+3000)Charleston Southern (+3000)USC Upstate (+6500)Gardner-Webb (+50000)-----------------------------------------------------Big 10 Conference: (March 10-15) - Chicago, Illinois8 Players To Watch Out For: Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan / Forward) - 14.7 PTS, 3.2 AST, 7.2 REBNick Boyd (Wisconsin / Guard) - 20.1 PTS, 4.0 AST, 3.7 REBBennett Stirtz (Iowa / Guard) - 20.2 PTS, 4.4 AST, 2.5 REBBruce Thornton (Ohio State / Guard) - 20.1 PTS, 3.9 AST, 5.2 REBJeremiah Fears (Michigan State / Guard) - 15.5 PTS, 9.1 AST, 2.4 REBPryce Sandfort (Nebraska / Forward) - 17.9 PTS, 2.0 AST, 4.9 REBTrey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue / Forward) - 13.4 PTS, 2.7 AST, 8.7 REBBraden Smith (Purdue / Guard) - 14.9 PTS, 8.7 AST, 3.7 REBWhat To Expect:Other than maybe the SEC, I think that this is the conference tournament that I’m most excited about this season. I could see about eight/ten teams winning it all and chopping down the nets and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a ton of upsets. Michigan is the favorite and for good reason. It's been the best team record wise and statistically all year. But, the Wolverines did lose to Wisconsin earlier in the season. Watch out for the Badgers who have wins against Michigan, Illinois, MSU, UCLA & Purdue this year. Talking about those other teams, Michigan State is one of the best teams defensively in the nation and has fantastic rebounding. Illinois is led by the most efficient offense in the country. Purdue can win March Madness if it’s playing the right way with excellent all-around play. Everyone seems to be leaving out Nebraska as a team that could be great this March too. The Cornhuskers have been poor after beginning the season 20-0. But, they are still 5th in defensive efficiency and have shown signs of dominance on the offensive side. This should be fun. Burns' Selection: Wisconsin (+3500) Odds To Win:Michigan (-135)Illinois (+425)Michigan State (+600)Purdue (+900)Nebraska (+1100)Wisconsin (+3500)UCLA (+3500)Ohio State (+7000)Iowa (+8000)Indiana (+18000)Washington (+30000)Minnesota (+30000)USC (+50000)Rutgers (+50000)Penn State (+50000)Oregon (+50000)Northwestern (+50000)Maryland (+50000)-----------------------------------------------------Big West Conference: (March 11-14) - Henderson, Nevada 5 Players To Watch Out For:  Josiah Davis (CSUN / Guard) - 15.7 PTS, 7.4 AST, 4.6 REBHamad Mousa (Cal Poly / Guard/Forward) - 20.4 PTS, 1.9 AST, 6.3 REBJoshua Ward (CSUF / Guard) - 14.5 PTS, 3.4 AST, 4.4 REBJurian Dixon (UC Irvine / Guard) - 15.9 PTS, 2.4 AST, 3.6 REBAidan Mahaney (UC Santa Barbara / Guard) - 15.1 PTS, 2.7 AST, 1.9 REBWhat To Expect: This is a very difficult conference tournament to predict, as there are so many different styles of play and things could get really interesting this season. The Anteaters of UC Irvine, who played in the NIT last year, are the favorites this time around. They rank inside the top 25 of the country in defensive efficiency & have the #1 two-point shot defense in the nation. Hawaii will be off the islands for this tournament and that might be concerning. But, the Rainbow Warriors also have a top 50 defense and are elite on that side of the ball as well (with a win over UCI already this year.) UC Santa Barbara finished the regular season really poorly, but remains a top 100 offensive side in D1. UC San Diego was the Big West representative last season and despite the new coaching staff, it finished the regular season as perhaps the hottest team in the conference. The Tritons are efficient inside the paint, and also have a really solid defense. CSUN has beaten UCSD & UCSB twice, Hawaii, & lost by just one against UCI. The Matadors play really fast and that can overwhelm their opponents at times.  Burns' Selection: UC Irvine (+165) Odds To Win:UC Irvine (+165)Hawaii (+220)UC San Diego (+700)UC Santa Barbara (+800)CSUN (+1500)UC Davis (+2200)Cal State Fullerton (+2200)Cal Poly (+10000)-----------------------------------------------------Coastal Athletic Association: (March 6-10) - Washington, DC5 Players To Watch Out For: Cruz Davis (Hofstra / Guard) - 20.3 PTS, 4.6 AST, 3.8 REBErik Pratt (Stony Brook / Guard) - 19.3 PTS, 3.7 AST, 4.9 REBKavion McClain (Monmouth / Guard) - 17.6 PTS, 5.9 AST, 3.3 REBJlynn Counter (Charleston / Guard) - 15.9 PTS, 5.6 AST, 5.1 REBPatrick Wessler (UNC Wilmington / Forward) - 13.5 PTS, 1.1 AST, 9.5 REBWhat To Expect:With the number one record in the conference all season long, the Seahawks of UNC Wilmigton are not getting the respect that they probably deserve by the oddsmakers. Instead, Hofstra is the “favorite” to come out of this conference, with three more conference defeats and five more overall. Looking at UNCW, it does a fantastic job on the defensive end, holding opponents to an effective FG% of 47.1% (23rd best in the nation) as well as a 3pt % allowed of 29.4% which is top 10. Not only that, but the Seahawks can shoot the lights out themselves. As the oddsmakers have acknowledged, Hofstra is KenPom’s top rated team in the conference. It’s got an even stronger defensive presence, with an effective FG% against of 46.1%. The Pride have  a top five 2pt % allowed in the country at 44.1% as well. Charleston has won five straight games while William & Mary plays faster than any team in the country offensively. Delaware was the “Cinderella story” last year, making it from the first round of the gauntlet to the finals. But, the Blue Hens are not in this conference anymore & I expect defending champs UNCW to get back to the dance.  Burns' Selection: UNC Wilmington (+260) Odds To Win:Hofstra (+195)UNC Wilmington (+260)Charleston (+500)William & Mary (+900)Monmouth (+950)Towson (+1500)Drexel (+2000)Campbell (+2500)Stony Brook (+3500)Elon (+8000)Hampton (+10000)North Carolina A&T (+13000)Northeastern (+30000)-----------------------------------------------------Conference-USA: (March 10-14) - Huntsville, Alabama5 Players To Watch Out For: Teagan Moore (Western Kentucky / Guard) - 18.4 PTS, 2.0 AST, 5.5 REBMostapha El Moutaouakkil (Jacksonville State / Guard) - 19.4 PTS, 1.3 AST, 7.1 REBKeith Palek (Missouri State / Forward) - 17.8 PTS, 3.5 AST, 6.5 REBBrett Decker (Liberty / Guard) - 16.9 PTS, 1.1 AST, 2.6 REBCorey Stephenson (FIU / Guard/Forward) - 17.8 PTS, 1.6 AST, 6.3 REB What To Expect:With no clear favorite in the Conference-USA Tournament this season, there’s going to be a lot of teams competing for the title. #1 ranked Liberty stumbled to the finish line, winning only two of its past five games. But, the Flames do have a great offense, ranking #2 in effective field goal percentage in the country. Sam Houston State also dropped its last two games of the regular season. The Bearkats shoot the 3pt shot at 38.4% which is 14th best in the nation. Kennesaw State’s best player has been suspended indefinitely since January, but remains a top team. WKU, like Kennessaw, plays really fast and attempts a lot of foul shots. Keep an eye out for Middle Tennessee State who’s the hottest team in the conference, winning five straight games to end the year. Burns' Selection: Liberty (+275) Odds To Win: Sam Houston (+215)Liberty (+275)Western Kentucky (+700)Kennesaw State (+850)Middle Tennessee State (+950)Louisiana Tech (+1100)Missouri State (+2500)Jacksonville State (+2800)Florida International (+3000)New Mexico State (+3500)-----------------------------------------------------Horizon League: (March 2-4, 8-10) - Campus Sites (Round 1 & 2) - Indianapolis, Indiana (Quarterfinals-Finals)5 Players To Watch Out For: Brody Robinson (Oakland / Guard) - 17.0 PTS, 6.8 AST, 2.6 REBOrlando Lovejoy (Detroit Mercy / Guard) - 15.4 PTS, 3.7 AST, 3.5 REBTuburu Naivalurua (Oakland / Forward) - 14.3 PTS, 1.9 AST, 6.0 REBMarcus Hall (Green Bay / Forward) - 13.9 PTS, 2.5 AST, 5.4 REBMichael Cooper (Wright State / Guard) - 13.2 PTS, 2.3 AST, 2.7 REBWhat To Expect:This is the only conference tournament to begin on Monday, which means it’s the first to tip-off. As the #1 seed in the draw/bracket, Wright State awaits the winner of the Cleveland State/IUPUI game to play in the opening round. The Raiders rely on great offense, with excellent 3pt shooting. RMU is an even better 3pt shooting team than Wright St, shooting at 38.2% on the year. Not only that, but the defending conference tourney champions are a top 15 offensive rebounding % team in the country as well. I really don’t see any other team winning this tournament other than those two, barring multiple upsets along the way. Burns' Selection: Robert Morris (+320) Odds To Win:Wright State (+200)Robert Morris (+320)Oakland (+425)Green Bay (+1000)Detroit Mercy (+1000)Northern Kentucky (+1400)Youngstown State (+1600)Purdue Fort Wayne (+4500)Milwaukee (+6500)IUPUI (+50000)Cleveland State (+50000)-----------------------------------------------------Ivy League: (March 14-15) - Ithaca, New York5 Players To Watch Out For:  Nick Townsend (Yale / Forward) - 16.5 PTS, 4.1 AST, 7.5 REBCooper Noard (Cornell / Guard) - 18.5 PTS, 1.9 AST, 3.4 REBJake Fiegen (Cornell / Guard) - 16.8 PTS, 2.2 AST, 5.1 REBEthan Roberts (Penn / Guard/Forward) - 16.9 PTS, 2.3 AST, 3.9 REBRobert Hinton (Harvard / Guard) - 17.1 PTS, 2.1 AST, 4.7 REBWhat To Expect:Over the past couple of seasons, it’s been the Yale show in the Ivy League. The back-to-back champions are back at it again, looking for its third title in as many years. If we take a look at the four teams though, there could definitely be an upset or two in this three game tournament. Yale does have elite shooting, with the 3rd best three point percentage in the country. It combines that with solid defense. Cornell could be considered even better offensively than Yale this season, ranking 8th in effective field goal percentage and owning top 15 numbers in both 3pt and 2pt percentage shooting. The Big Red have struggled defensively though, leading to high scoring shootouts. But, they will play Yale in the first round and could very well pull off an upset, like it did just two weeks ago. Harvard is more defensive minded and plays at the 356th tempo in the country. The Crimson also rank 2nd nationally in free throw percentage which is very important at this time of the year. Pennsylvania is a bit of a weird one. It actually ranks 2nd in free throw percentage allowed this season, but struggles itself. The Quakers shoot the three ball at the 16th best rate in NCAAB, but are much stronger defensively. I like Yale to fight through Cornell and win the final to get back to the dance. Burns' Selection: Yale (-110) Odds To Win:Yale (-110)Cornell (+330)Harvard (+475)Pennsylvania (+650) -----------------------------------------------------Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference: (March 5-8, 10) - Atlantic City, New Jersey5 Players To Watch Out For: Kevair Kennedy (Merrimack / Guard) - 18.5 PTS, 4.2 AST, 4.6 REBBrandon Benjamin (Fairfield / Forward) - 13.9 PTS, 1.2 AST, 10.2 REBGavin Doty (Siena / Guard) - 17.5 PTS, 2.3 AST, 7.0 REBCJ Anthony (Iona / Guard) - 14.4 PTS, 5.4 AST, 3.1 REBAsim Jones (Quinnipiac / Guard) - 12.7 PTS, 3.9 AST, 2.3 REB, 48% 3ptWhat To Expect:Only three year’s ago, we had the St. Peter’s magical run to the elite eight as a #15 seed. It was something breathtaking to watch and has forever changed the way people think about teams of the MAAC. This conference isn’t to be taken lightly, whoever comes out of it. Merrimack is the favorite after receiving the #1 seed in this conference tournament. The Warriors are a phenomenal FT shooting team (79%) and they have great defensive numbers. If we take a look at this year’s Peacocks of St Peter’s, the press that they use could cause some havoc. They create a ton of turnovers and also have really strong defense. Marist might even own the best defense of the bunch, but comes in banged up. I’m leaning a different direction as I think Siena’s versatility and its big three are good enough to beat anyone in this conference. But, I wouldn’t be surprised if Merrimack gets through as I believe that the Warriors could have a real shot at a March Madness upset if they do. Burns' Selection: Siena (+330) Odds To Win: Merrimack (+310)Siena (+330)Marist (+475)Saint Peter’s (+650)Quinnipiac (+650)Fairfield (+1100)Mount Saint Mary's (+1500)Iona (+1800)Sacred Heart (+5000)Manhattan (+16000)-----------------------------------------------------Mid-American Conference: (March 12-14) - Cleveland, Ohio5 Players To Watch Out For:  Tavari Johnson (Akron / Guard) - 20.2 PTS, 5.2 AST, 3.0 REBLeroy Blyden (Toledo / Guard) - 16.2 PTS, 4.5 AST, 3.9 REBPeter Suder (Miami Ohio / Guard) - 14.8 PTS, 3.9 AST, 4.7 REBJackson Paveletzke (Ohio / Guard) - 17.5 PTS, 5.2 AST, 3.0 REBJavontae Campbell (Bowling Green / Guard) - 18.8 PTS, 5.1 AST, 4.6 REBWhat To Expect: Miami Ohio has been the talk of all of College Hoops over the past month, as nobody saw this coming. For the first time since 2020, a team has finished the regular season with a perfect record. It hasn’t always been pretty. But, the RedHawks have found a way each and every game. They are clutch and shoot very effectively, at #6 in the country. Akron, though, beat Miami OH in last year’s final and is the favorite going into the tournament. The Zips rank just behind the Redhawks with the #7 effective FG%. Both teams play fast and everyones hoping for those teams to meet up in the final once again. But, don’t count out Toledo, who gave both of those teams quite a bit of trouble, and played both on the road. With the perfect record on the line, it’s hard not to cheer for the RedHawks. But, I’m hoping Akron gets it done to reach the NCAA Tournament as well as I know the Zips could cause some havoc this March.  Burns' Selection: Akron (-115) Odds To Win:Akron (-115)Miami Ohio (+190)Toledo (+1500)Kent State (+1600)Bowling Green (+2200)Massachusetts (+4000)Buffalo (+5500)Ohio (+7500)-----------------------------------------------------Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference: (March 11-14) - Norfolk, Virginia  5 Players To Watch Out For:  Cedric Taylor (Howard / Guard) - 17.4 PTS, 3.4 AST, 6.7 REBBryce Harris (Howard / Guard) - 17.5 PTS, 2.5 AST, 6.7 REBAlfred Worrell (Morgan State / Guard) - 17.4 PTS, 1.2 AST, 3.8 REBAnthony McComb (Norfolk State / Guard) - 17.0 PTS, 1.4 AST, 4.3 REBGage Lattimore (NC Central / Guard) - 17.2 PTS, 2.5 AST, 4.0 REBWhat To Expect: As one of the “lesser conferences” is NCAA, this tournament isn’t followed by nearly as many people. Having said that, the teams in the MEAC are sometimes fighting for more than just a spot in the big dance. But, they are also fighting for glory and maybe even a first ever championship for their school. That’s what makes every tournament so special and unique. Howard is the big favorite going into this year’s version. The Bison have a great defense and have won six straight games since losing to Yale in OT. Norforlk State gets to play this tournament at home (not on campus though,) which is always a plus. The Spartans are 9-4 at home this year and could be dangerous. Morgan State is a bit of a surprise team that’s done really well down the stretch including beating Howard. I like the favorite, but anything could happen, like always.  Burns' Selection: Howard (-300) Odds To Win:Howard (-300)Norfolk State (+600)Morgan State (+1200)NC Central (+1600)MD East Shore (+2200)South Carolina State (+5000)Delaware State (+10000)-----------------------------------------------------Missouri Valley Conference: (March 5-8) - St. Louis, Missouri5 Players To Watch Out For: Jaquan Johnson (Bradley / Guard) - 17.4 PTS, 3.5 AST, 3.9 REBChase Walker (Illinois State / Forward) - 13.6 PTS, 2.1 AST, 5.3 REBQuel’Ron House (Southern Illinois / Guard) - 14.7 PTS, 3.3 AST, 3.4 REBDrew Scharnowski (Belmont / Forward) - 10.9 PTS, 2.6 AST, 6.0 REBJavon Jackson (Murray State / Guard) - 16.0 PTS, 2.8 AST, 2.3 REBWhat To Expect:Last season, Drake was near the top of the short-list of expected MVC Tourney winners. This time around, the Bulldogs don’t really even have a chance. UNI is the second slowest playing team in the country. It also ranks top 25 in defensive efficiency. Belmont has a top 40 offensive efficiency in the nation with the #1 effective FG%, shooting threes at 41.1% & twos at 61.1% on the season. Illinois State just beat Belmont on the last day of the year. The Redbirds are one of the most well-rounded in the conference, great on both sides of the ball. Bradley is always a contender as well with a fantastic turnover ratio. UIC dominates the offensive glass and Murray State will play fast and execute offensively. Expect one of the most competitive tournaments to take place here in St. Louis. Burns' Selection: Belmont (+155) Odds To Win:Belmont (+155)Northern Iowa (+475)Illinois State (+500)Bradley (+750)Illinois Chicago (+850)Murray State (+1000)Southern Illinois (+1800)Valparaiso (+3500)Indiana State (+7500)Drake (+20000)Evansville (+20000) -----------------------------------------------------Mountain West Conference: (March 11-14) - Las Vegas, Nevada5 Players To Watch Out For:  Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (UNLV / Guard) - 21.0 PTS, 2.5 AST, 3.1 REBMason Falslev (Utah State / Guard) - 15.9 PTS, 2.9 ATS, 5.7 REBJaden Henley (Grand Canyon / Guard) - 17.6 PTS, 2.9 AST, 5.7 REBTomislav Buljan (New Mexico / Forward) - 12.2 PTS, 1.3 AST, 10.3 REBCorey Camper (Nevada / Guard) - 17.1 PTS, 2.4 AST, 4.4 REBWhat To Expect: I’m very excited for this Mountain West Tournament. Utah State has already clinched, while the rest of the field try and make it two teams from the MWC in March Madness. I could see about eight different teams winning this tournament & I’m not even joking. Considering what we saw last year, anything can happen. USU is great offensively and uses a ton of guys off the bench. San Diego State has been sub-par down the stretch. But, it’s got a top 25 defense and also has a ton of talent on the bench. GCU could never really win many games in a row. However, the Lopes also have a top 25 defense and have looked great over their past two contests. Boise started the year with maybe the worst loss in NCAA history. Since, it’s played solid basketball, ranking in the top 10 in FT %. UNLV gets to play at home and it’s one of the  hottest teams coming in. The Rebels have a strong offense and could beat anyone on their day. I’m not huge on New Mexico. But, the Lobos & Aztecs could meet up and that’s going to be an enormous game. Don’t count out CSU or Nevada just yet either.  Burns' Selection: San Diego State (+330) Odds To Win:Utah State (+220)San Diego State (+330)Grand Canyon (+475)Boise State (+550)New Mexico (+650)Nevada (+1900)Colorado State (+2500)UNLV (+4500)Wyoming (+7000)Fresno State (+20000)San Jose State (+60000)Air Force (+80000)-----------------------------------------------------Northeast Conference: (March 4, 7, 10) - Campus Sites5 Players To Watch Out For: Darin Smith (Central Connecticut State / Forward) - 20.4 PTS, 1.2 AST, 5.2 REBJay Rodgers (Central Connecticut State / Guard) - 11.3 PTS, 7.0 AST, 2.2 REBMalachi Davis (Long Island / Guard) - 14.5 PTS, 3.4 AST, 3.5 REBShilo Jackson (Le Moyne / Forward) - 15.9 PTS, 2.2 AST, 8.0 REBBernie Blunt (Mercyhurst / Guard) - 17.4 PTS, 2.3 AST, 2.9 REB What To Expect: As it has been over the past couple of seasons, CCSU & LIU are the two favorites to come out of the Northeast Conference. Last season, St. Francis PA made a miracle run to the Big Dance and although the Red Flash didn’t make this tournament, that’s definitely something to watch out for again in the NEC. New in the conference this season, Mercyhurst is one of the best teams in the country at keeping control of the ball, top 10 in turnovers per game. Central Connecticut State finished the year probably the hottest of any team and they are excellent from the FT line. The favorite, Long Island is great defensively and shoots at a very high percentage. In a battle between the top two, it’s very difficult to beat a team three times, and LIU might just have to do that (vs. CCSU)  to get into the dance this season. Burns' Selection: Central Connecticut State (+400) Odds To Win:Long Island (-200)Central Connecticut State (+400)Mercyhurst (+600)Le Moyne (+1200)Stonehill (+6000)Wagner (+15000)Fairleigh Diksinson (+16000)Chicago State (+50000)-----------------------------------------------------Ohio Valley Conference: (March 4-7) - Evansville, Indiana5 Players To Watch Out For: Aaron Nkrumah (Tennesse State / Guard) - 17.6 PTS, 2.9 AST, 5.6 REBJohnathan Lawson (Little Rock / Guard) - 16.2 PTS, 4.0 AST, 4.0 REBJadis Jones (Lindenwood / Guard) - 15.3 PTS, 2.6 AST, 8.5 REBAndrija Bukumirovic (UT Martin / G/F) - 13.7 PTS, 1.0 AST, 7.8 REBDavion Cunningham (Moreheard State / Guard) - 11.6 PTS, 2.0 AST, 4.1 REBWhat To Expect:In a conference with only eight teams making the tournament, this definitely is one to watch out for. There is no team that stands out as a clear favorite, meaning every single team that made it  has a chance. & when I say every team, I mean every single team. Eastern Illinois, the final team to secure a spot, causes absolute havoc on the defensive end, ranking top 40 in turnovers created and top 50 in 3pt % defense. Little Rock opened the year as the favorite to win this conference. At the top of the seeds, Tennessee State plays really fast and will use a heavy-pressure, high press defense to force turnovers. UT Martin has a ton of European players and employs a unique style of basketball. SIUE won this tournament last year and it’s also one of the best defensive teams in the country. This one’s going to be very fun. Burns' Selection: UT Martin (+370) Odds To Win:Tennessee State (+220)UT Martin (+370)Southeast Missouri State (+400)Morehead State (+400)SIU Edwardsville (+1100)Lindenwood (+1600)Little Rock (+3500)Eastern Illinois (+6500)-----------------------------------------------------Patriot League: (March 3, 5, 8, 11) - Campus Sites5 Players To Watch Out For: Austin Benigni (Navy / Guard) - 18.1 PTS, 4.4 AST, 3.4 REBNasir Whitlock (Lehigh / Guard) - 20.8 PTS, 3.2 AST, 3.6 REBJalen Cox (Colgate / Guard) - 17.6 PTS, 5.1 AST, 5.2 REBAidan Kehoe (Navy / Center) - 15.4 PTS, 2.4 AST, 11.0 REBMichael McNair (Boston / Guard)  17.0 PTS, 2.2 AST, 5.2 REBWhat To Expect:All season long, Navy has been the team that everyone’s been trying to catch. The Midshipmen are in the midst of their best season of basketball over the past decade and they are trying to get back to the Big Dance for the first time since 1998. Colgate has been to the tournament pretty recently and Lehigh is quite hot coming in. But, Navy’s simply been untouchable this year, winning 17 of 18 conference games. I don’t see any team giving the Midshipmen many problems in this tournament. Burns' Selection: Navy (-120) Odds To Win:Navy (-120)Colgate (+360)Lehigh (+800)Boston (+850)American (+900)Loyola Maryland (+4500)Lafayette (+7500)Holy Cross (+12000)Bucknell (+14000)Army (+20000)-----------------------------------------------------Southeastern Conference: (March 11-15) - Nashville, Tennessee8 Players To Watch Out For:  Darius Acuff Jr (Arkansas / Guard) - 22.2 PTS, 6.4 AST, 3.0 REBThomas Haugh (Florida / Forward) - 17.2 PTS, 2.0 AST, 6.1 REBLabaron Philon (Alabama / Guard) - 21.5 PTS, 4.8 AST, 3.2 REBOtega Oweh (Kentucky / Guard) - 18.2 PTS, 2.7 AST, 4.6 REBTyler Tanner (Vanderbilt / Guard) 19.2 PTS, 5.2 AST, 3.5 REBAlex Condon (Florida / Forward/Center) - 14.8 PTS, 3.6 AST, 7.6 REBJa’Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee / Guard) - 18.0 PTS, 5.6 AST, 2.9 REBTahaad Pettiford (Auburn / Guard) - 15.2 PTS, 3.6 AST, 2.9 REBWhat To Expect: Among the best conferences in College Basketball, Florida’s ready to fight for another title. The defending champs have an even stronger front court (much more experience,) with dangerous guards once again. Arkansas, though, might just have the best player in the conference in Darius Acuff. Florida, Arkansas & Alabama love to push the pace and rank in the top 25 in tempo. They combine that speed with excellent offense, all ranking top 10 in offensive efficiency. Vanderbilt’s a tad slower, and also has a top 15 offensive rating. Tennessee takes a much slower approach, relying on tough defense to make opponents take shots that are much more difficult. UGA/A&M push the pace as well, while Knetucky relies on size to out muscle teams. Expect fireworks and a lot of points to be scored throughout this week.  Burns' Selection: Florida (-180) Odds To Win:Florida (-180)Arkansas (+600)Alabama (+850)Vanderbilt (+1000)Tennessee (+1100)Georgia (+3500)Texas A&M (+3500)Kentucky (+4500)Texas (+6000)Oklahoma (+10000)Missouri (+15000)Auburn (+18000)Mississippi (+60000)South Carolina (+80000)Mississippi State (+80000)LSU (+80000)-----------------------------------------------------Southern Conference: (March 6-9) - Asheville, North Carolina5 Players To Watch Out For: Kahmare Holmes (Wofford / Guard) - 19.3 PTS, 2.7 AST, 5.6 REBBaraka Okojie (Mercer / Guard) - 19.5 PTS, 5.4 AST, 3.1 REBDylan Faulkner (Furman / Forward) - 17.3 PTS, 1.8 REB, 8.6 REBJadin Booth (Furman / Guard) - 21.2 PTS, 2.2 AST, 3.7 REBCam Morris (East Tennessee State / Forward) - 14.1 PTS, 1.5 AST, 5.3 REBWhat To Expect:The SOCON tournament is always one of my favorites to watch. Upsets happen all of the time and I expect more to occur this time around. Chattanooga has struggled this year after being expected to finish near the top. ETSU has established itself as the #1 seed. That very matchup could happen on the second day of action. The (3)Samford/(6)Furman matchup is the one I’m most excited for in the opening round. Both of those teams could make a run at the title and I’m actually picking one of them to do so. Samford has won eight of its L9 games and takes excellent care of the basketball. Furman shoots nearly 60% with 2pt shots! Don’t sleep on Mercer, who’s been one of the most efficient offenses in the Southern this season. I’m not counting out ETSU as it could definitely be the team to represent this conference. But, given the path, I’ll go with Furman here. Burns' Selection: Furman (+425) Odds To Win:East Tennessee State (+185)Furman (+425)Mercer (+475)Samford (+550)Wofford (+800)West Carolina (+1000)UNC Greensboro (+3500)Chattanooga (+4000)The Citadel (+50000)Virginia Military (+90000)-----------------------------------------------------Southland Conference: (March 8-11) - Lake Charles, Louisiana5 Players To Watch Out For: Keon Thompson (Stephen F. Austin / Guard) - 18.1 PTS, 4.4 AST, 4.8 REBLarry Johnson (McNeese State / Guard) - 17.2 PTS, 1.4 AST, 5.3 REBJakevion Buckley (New Orleans / Guard) - 14.2 PTS, 5.7 AST, 4.8 REBTyshawn Archie (McNeese State / Guard) - 14.3 PTS, 2.9 AST, 1.9 REBLateef Patrick (Stephen F. Austin / Guard) - 15.5 PTS, 1.6 AST, 2.9 REBWhat To Expect:In a conference that only sends eight of twelve teams to the conference tournament, the Soutland is fairly top heavy this season with two teams in McNeese State & Stephen F. Austin expected to compete for a chance to represent the conference. Now, there’s a chance for a team like UTRGV, Corpus Christi & New Orleans to sneak in and upset the rest of the field. But, Stephen F. Austin is 27-4 this year (20-2 in conference) and has used its suffocating top ten perimeter defense to its advantage. One of its losses this year came against McNeese though, who owns the #1 defensive turnover % in the nation (2nd in turnovers forced per game.) The Cowboys, at 26-5 (eight straight wins,) have the luxury of having won this tournament last year. I’ve got McNeese again. Burns' Selection: McNeese State (+115) Odds To Win:McNeese State (+115)Stephen F. Austin (+125)UT Rio Grande Valley (+700)Texas A&M Corpus Christi (+1700)New Orleans (+3000)Nicholls State (+13000)Northwestern State (+20000)Houston Christian (+30000)-----------------------------------------------------SWAC Conference: (March 9-14) - Atlanta, Georgia 5 Players To Watch Out For: Quion Williams (Arkansas-Pine Bluff / Guard) - 17.5 PTS, 5.4 AST, 8.1 REBMichael Jacobs (Southern U / Guard) - 17.6 PTS, 5.2 AST, 3.7 REBJakobi Heady (Bethune Cookman / Guard/Forward) - 18.1 PTS, 1.8 AST, 5.0 REBTroy Hupstead (Texas Southern / Forward) - 14.6 PTS, 1.1 AST, 9.3 REBDontae Horne (Prairie View A&M / Guard) - 19.7 PTS, 2.9 AST, 4.5 REBWhat To Expect:The SWAC tournament is also very interesting, even if the winner only reaches the NCAA Tournament as a #16 seed. With no clear favorite this season, it’s definitely up in the air. On of the preseason favorites, Jackson State, could be without its best player in Daeshun Ruffin (23.3 PTS, 5.3 AST, 2.8 REB) which is why I didn’t include in “5 Players To Watch Out For.” He’s the SWAC Player Of The Year and if he’s a no-go, the Tigers could be in trouble early. Southern University has won consuecitve games and relies on its fast pace to overwhelm teams. The slight favorite, B-CU, is probably the best defensive team in the conference. If the Bulldogs of Alabama A&M don’t get many free throws, don’t expect too much out of them. Texas Southern pounds the paint and gets to the line quite a bit too. As a bit more of an all-around team, I like Southern to come out of this one. Burns' Selection: Southern U (+270) Odds To Win:Bethune Cookman (+185)Southern U (+270)Texas Southern (+750)Florida A&M (+750)Alabama A&M (+750)Arkansas-Pine Bluff (+1500)Grambling State (+2200)Alabama State (+3000)Jackson State (+3500)Prairie View A&M (+4000)Alcorn State (+20000)Mississippi Valley State (+50000)-----------------------------------------------------Summit League: (March 4-8) - Sioux Falls, South Dakota5 Players To Watch Out For: Carson Johnson (Denver / Guard) - 20.2 PTS, 3.0 AST, 1.7 REBNolan Minessale (St. Thomas MN / Guard) - 19.8 PTS, 4.4 AST, 4.3 REBJoe Sayler (South Dakota State / Guard) - 14.5 PTS, 2.3 AST, 3.5 REBIsaac Bruns (South Dakota / Guard) - 20.8 PTS, 1.3 AST, 5.1 REBPaul Djobet (Omaha / Guard) - 18.4 PTS, 2.1 AST, 6.3 REBWhat To Expect:Just like last season, the top three favorites to win this conference remain the same. Saint Thomas MN, NDSU & SDSU. Even with those teams being the favs a year ago, Omaha was able to come out of the conference tournament as the last team standing. Given that it leads the country in 2pt % at an absurd 63.9%,  I do believe that the Tommies are slightly favored for good reason though. North Dakota State is a complete basketball team that plays it’s own game and doesn’t let the opponent affect it. Given that the Mavericks of Omaha did it last year, we cannot count them out either. In fact, they split the season series with STMN so far. Burns' Selection: (UPSET ALERT) Nebraska Omaha (+1500) Odds To Win:Saint Thomas MN (+135)North Dakota State (+145)Denver (+1100)South Dakota State (+1200)Omaha (+1500)South Dakota (+2500)North Dakota (+3500)Oral Roberts (+13000)UMKC (+40000)-----------------------------------------------------Sun Belt Conference: (March 3-9) - Pensacola, Florida 5 Players To Watch Out For: DJ Hall (Texas State / Forward) - 15.3 PTS, 2.3 AST, 7.5 REBThomas Dowd (Troy / Forward) - 14.6 PTS, 2.1 AST, 10.1 REBChaze Harris (South Alabama / Guard) - 18.9 PTS, 4.7 AST, 4.6 REBAdam Olsen (South Alabama / Forward) - 16.7 PTS, 1.0 AST, 4.2 REBTylik Weeks (Southern Miss / Forward) - 18.8 PTS, 2.4 AST, 5.8 REBWhat To Expect:This conference is an absolute mess at the top of the standings. The #1-7 seeds are separated by just one game & why is that significant? Well, the team that got 7th (Arkansas State) will have to win three extra games to win the tournament, all in successive days. Ridiculously unfair.. but it’s the reality. Even despite the horrible bracket for lower ranked teams, I am expecting this SBC Tourney to get pretty interesting. If you’ve been following me this season, USA plays tremeoundous D & has a three point sniper that I went to High School with - Adam Olsen (mentioned above.) Ark St ranks among the fastest playing teams in the nation and dominates the offensive glass. Troy, the #1 seed, plays really close to the hoop and doesn’t take too many mid-range jump shots. Marshall is a fantastic shooting team, from both inside and outside, but lacks on D. App State is the exact opposite as Marshall. Things will get interesting, but it's going to be very difficult with this kind of bracket for a lower seed to pull through. Expect Troy to pull through. Burns' Selection: Troy (+170) Odds To Win:Troy (+170)Marshall (+270)Appalachian State (+500)Arkansas State (+1000)South Alabama (+1100)Coastal Carolina (+1400)Texas State (+3000)James Madison (+3000)Southern Miss (+9000)Old Dominion (+10000)Georgia Southern (+30000)Louisiana (+50000)Georgia State (+50000)Louisiana Monroe (+100000)-----------------------------------------------------West Coast Conference: (March 5-10) - Las Vegas, Nevada5 Players To Watch Out For: Graham Ike (Gonzaga / Forward) - 19.8 PTS, 2.5 AST, 8.4 REBPaulius Murauskas (St. Mary’s / Forward) - 18.9 PTS, 2.2 AST, 7.7 REBMikey Lewis (St. Mary’s / Guard) - 13.4 PTS, 2.1 AST, 2.7 REBAce Glass (Washington State / Guard) - 16.3 PTS, 2.3 AST, 3.1 REBChristian Hammond (Santa Clara / Guard) - 15.9 PTS, 2.4 AST, 2.9 REBWhat To Expect:In the final game of the regular season, Saint Mary’s was able to defeat Gonzaga to put some doubt in the Zags fans. Nonetheless, the Bulldogs are the favorites to win the WCC Tournament this season, like most years. Santa Clara is close enough to these top two teams to have a slight chance, having one of its best seasons in many years. Both the oddsmakers and I would be shocked to see any other team win this tourney given the lengthy bracket and having to play consecutive games day after day. If Santa Clara does its job and wins its first game, I do expect all three of these top teams to make the Big Dance whoever wins. The WCC final four should be a blast to watch whoever comes out on top. Burns' Selection: Gonzaga (-210) Odds To Win:Gonzaga (-210)Saint Mary's (+230)Santa Clara (+650)San Francisco (+12000)Oregon State (+17000)Seattle (+18000)Pacific (+25000)Washington State (+25000)Loyola Marymount (+80000)Portland (+80000)Pepperdine (+80000)San Diego (+100000)-----------------------------------------------------Western Athletic Conference: (March 11-14) - Las Vegas, Nevada5 Players To Watch Out For:  Dominique Daniels (Cal Baptist / Guard) - 22.6 PTS, 3.3 AST, 3.8 REBDior Johnson (Tarleton State / Guard) - 23.8 PTS, 1.5 AST, 3.2 REBJackson Holcombe (Utah Valley / Guard) - 15.6 PTS, 3.6 AST, 7.3 REBBradyn Hubbard (Abilene Christian / Forward) - 16.2 PTS, 1.7 AST, 4.6 REBEthan Potter (Utah Tech / Forward) - 16.3 PTS, 2.0 AST, 8.0 REBWhat To Expect: In the WAC, there’s no in between. Either you play slow, or you play fast. Utah Valley likes to push the tempo and is red hot at the moment, winning six consecutive games. The Wolverines are quietly one of the most complete teams in terms of mid-majors. Cal Baptist is also really hot, winning four straight contests. It’s great defensively and domiantes the glass, especially offensive. UTA loves to play at a really slow pace, with the #1 three point (perimeter) defense in the entire country. Don’t sleep on Utah Tech though, who’s beaten every team in the conference and did so in six consecutive games at one point this season. I like UT Arlington, to shock the rest of the conference. But, I wouldn’t be shocked if either Utah Valley or Cal Baptist come out of this tournament as well.  Burns' Selection: Texas Arlington (+1000) Odds To Win:Utah Valley (+105)California Baptist (+155)Texas Arlington (+1000)Utah Tech (+1300)Tarleton State (+4500)Southern Utah (+5000)-----------------------------------------------------Good Luck to ALL, and Happy Watching!William Burns

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 03/01/26

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Mar 01, 2026

The Sunday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball League has 11 games on its docket. The San Antonio Spurs travel to New York to play the Knicks on ABC at 1:10 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with the total set at 227.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Three NBA games tip off at 3:40 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers play in Brooklyn against the Nets as an 11.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 222.5. The Denver Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves on ABC as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 237.5. The Milwaukee Bucks are on the road against the Chicago Bulls as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 228.5. The Memphis Grizzlies visit Indiana to take on the Pacers at 5:10 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 238.5. Two more NBA games start at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Atlanta Hawks play at home against the Portland Trail Blazers as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 237.5. The Detroit Pistons play in Orlando against the Magic as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 220.5. Two NBA games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Boston Celtics are at home against the Philadelphia 76ers for Sunday Night Basketball on NBC at 8:10 p.m. ET as an 8.5-point favorite with an over/under of 221.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road against the Dallas Mavericks as a 15.5-point road favorite with a total of 231.5. The Los Angeles Clippers host the New Orleans Pelicans at 9;10 p.m. ET as an 8.5-point favorite with an over/under of 225.5. The Los Angeles Lakers play at home against the Sacramento Kings at 9:40 p.m. ET as a 12.5-point favorite with a total of 231.5. The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. The Vegas Golden Knights travel to Pittsburgh to challenge the Penguins on TNT at 1:07 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two more NHL games drop the puck at 4:07 p.m. ET. The Utah Mammoth are home against the Chicago Blackhawks as a -298 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Winnipeg Jets play in San Jose against the Sharks as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Minnesota Wild host the St. Louis Blues at 5:07 p.m. ET as a -245 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Florida Panthers are on the road against the New York Islanders on ESPN at 6:37 p.m. ET as a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Anaheim Ducks play at home against the Calgary Flames at 8:07 p.m. ET as a -170 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule tips off at noon ET with 23 games involving Division I opponents. Four NCAAB games are on major national television. South Florida is home against Tulane on ESPN2 at noon ET as a 14.5-point favorite with an over/under of 155.5. Purdue travels to Ohio State to battle the Buckeyes on CBS at 1:30 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 150.5. Bradley hosts Murray State on ESPN2 at 2:00 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 158.5. Michigan State plays at Indiana on CBS at 3:45 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 144.5. Matchweek 28 in the English Premier League concludes with four matches. Three EPL matches start at 9:00 a.m. ET. Brighton and Hove Albion plays at home against Nottingham Forest as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Fulham is home against Tottenham on the USA Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Manchester United hosts Crystal Palace as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Arsenal plays at home against Chelsea at 11:30 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5.

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Seattle's Defense Was as Dominating as Expected in the Seahawks' Super Bowl Victory

by Team Del Genio

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026

The best two units on the field in Super Bowl LX were destined to be the defenses of the Seahawks and Patriots. Either group had a strong opportunity to stifle their opposing offense, which would all but ensure an under for this game. The Patriots had averaged only 18 points per game in the postseason. The snowstorm in the 2nd Half of their 10-7 victory at Denver in the AFC championship game was under difficult scoring conditions, yet they had only scored more than 16 points once in their three playoff games. Second-year quarterback Drake Maye had not played as well in the postseason. The step up in competition, having to play three of the best defenses in the league, the Los Angeles Chargers, the Houston Texans, and the Broncos, played a role. But the offensive line had not held up to this challenge, with Maye getting sacked 15 times, with only four of those sacks coming from blitzes. Playing against the Seahawks' defense was not an easier assignment. Seattle was able to generate pressure on the quarterback despite playing in a 4-2-5 base defense. Seattle employed the fewest stacked boxes in the NFL, yet ranked in the top ten in sack rate. They led the NFL by holding opposing rushers to 3.8 yards per carry. The Seahawks also led the league by giving up explosive rushing plays of 15 or more yards in only 6.7% of opposing team rush attempts. Having the player flexibility to stop the run in a 4-2-5 defensive formation with two high safeties made it very difficult for opposing offenses, since the traditional posture against the pass remains dominant in slowing down the run. The Patriots might attempt to use their jumbo formation when they bring Thayer Munford Jr. as a sixth offensive lineman to help Rhamondre Stevenson or TreVeyon Henderson in the run game. Yet, against the jumbo six offensive linemen look, Seattle had only given up 28 rushing yards on 15 carries for a 1.9 yards per carry average, 29 yards after contact, and zero touchdowns. In the passing game, the Seahawks liked to use a cover-6 hybrid zone coverage look that uses cover-2 with a deep safety on one side of the field, with linebackers helping, and on the other side of the field uses a cover-4 look with two defensive backs sharing the zone coverage. Seattle used that defensive formation 21.6% of the time. This was a defensive look that Maye struggled against. He faced cover-6 in 70 of his dropbacks, the sixth most in the league. He completed only 60.0% of his passes against this formation, the fourth-worst in the league, and his 5.9 yards per attempt were the fifth-worst. He did not throw a touchdown against cover-6, yet threw three interceptions. His 54.1 passer rating against cover-6 was the third-worst in the NFL. He faced cover-6 on 19 passes in the playoffs. He completed 11 of those passes, but for only 128 yards with no touchdowns and an interception. His passer rating in the postseason against cover-6 was 56.5. The Seattle coaching staff will be well aware of these numbers. New England averaged 27.2 points per game, yet the Seahawks had played five straight road games under the total against opponents who average 24 or more points per game. Seattle had played eleven of their eighteen games under head coach Mike Macdonald against winning teams. They reached the Super Bowl in a 31-27 victory in the NFC championship game, and they had played six straight unders on the road after playing a game where 50 or more combined points were scored. The Seahawks also liked to play at a slow tempo as they average 28.6 seconds per play, ranking fourth-slowest in the NFL. Two methodical offenses, two great defenses, and two quarterbacks with schematic weaknesses coming into this game. The under seemed to be the play. These expectations were validated in Seattle’s 29-13 victory to win the Super Bowl. The final score appears much more threatening to the under than how the game played out. Neither team had scored a touchdown entering the fourth quarter, with the Seahawks winning, 9-0. Seattle would go on to score a defensive touchdown from a Drake Maye-intercepted pass. Maye ended the game with 27 completions from 43 passes for 295 yards and two touchdown passes, yet those numbers present a false impression regarding his effectiveness. In the first half, he completed only 6 of 11 passes for 48 yards, and he got sacked three times. He only had 60 passing yards going into the fourth quarter, where his team eventually would trail, 29-0. The Patriots scored the final 13 points in the game, with Maye breaking a Super Bowl record with 235 passing yards in a single quarter against a prevent Seattle defense playing against the clock.The play of the Seattle defense was one of the reasons why we won our NFL Total of the Year in the Super Bowl with the under.Good luck - Team Del Genio.

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Don't Blame the New England Patriots' Defense in their Super Bowl Loss

by Team Del Genio

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026

The best two units on the field in Super Bowl LX were destined to be the defenses of the Seahawks and Patriots. Either group had a strong opportunity to stifle their opposing offense, which would all but ensure an under for this game. The Patriots’ last five games had been their best defensive games of the season. Over that stretch, they had not given up more than 16 points, and they held those five opponents to 9.2 points per game. Getting defensive end Milton Williams back from an injury that kept him out for five games made a big difference. He had played the last four games after getting back on the field in their final regular season game against Miami. It made sense that this defense would continue to improve in the first year under head coach Mike Vrabel, given his defensive background. The transition from last year was made more difficult with the cancer diagnosis of first-year defensive coordinator Terrell Williams in the fall. Yet inside linebacker coach Zak Kerr stepped into that role and did a great job while Williams helped with game planning, and Williams was back with the team and cancer-free. Several schematic adjustments have unlocked this defense. After only blitzing 27.4% of the time in the regular season, the 19th lowest rate in the NFL, they had sent extra rushers 41.4% of the time in the postseason. They were also playing more disguised pre-snap looks as the season went on, and this was an area where they could make life difficult for the Seahawks’ Sam Darnold. While Darnold handled pressure better in the playoffs, his play declined when encountering disguised coverage pre-snap. In the regular season against disguised coverage, Darnold completed 65.4% of his passes with an 8.1 yards per attempt average, and three touchdown passes, but six interceptions. Yet in the playoffs against disguised pre-snap coverage, he had completed only 6-of-12 passes (50%) for 49 yards, a 4.9 yards per attempt average, and zero touchdown passes. Darnold’s play declined in the second half of the regular season after an outstanding start, yet he remained effective when throwing from play-action passes. Yet New England thrived when defending against play-action passes. Since the tenth week of the season, the Patriots were the number one DVOA defense against play-action passes. The Seahawks like to use out-breaking routes where the receiver cuts away from the center of the field, and they ranked fifth in DVOA efficiency with those passing schemes. Yet since the tenth week of the season through the playoffs, New England improved from 29th to seventh in DVOA in defending those routes. Given the season-ending injury to Zach Charbonnet, more was going to be asked of running back Kenneth Walker and Darnold in the passing game. The Patriots were an over team in Vrabel’s first season with a 13-6-1 mark, and the over is 64-56 in his head coaching career, going back to his first stint with Tennessee. Yet in his eight games in the playoffs as a head coach, his teams played six of those games under the number. We expected that postseason under trend to continue. The New England offense averaged 28.8 seconds per play, which was the third slowest tempo in the NFL.These expectations were validated in Seattle’s 29-13 victory to win the Super Bowl. The final score appears much more threatening to the under than how the game played out. Neither team had scored a touchdown entering the fourth quarter, with the Seahawks winning, 9-0. Seattle would go on to score a defensive touchdown from a Drake Maye-intercepted pass. The Seahawks gained only 335 yards of offense. Any chatter of Sam Darnold elevating his game to an elite level in the NFL should be tempered by his 19-of-38 passing performance for 202 yards. He limited his mistakes, yet it was the Seattle defense that dominated this game. Yet the Patriots’ defense could not have been asked to do much more when considering that they were responsible for only 22 of the Seahawks' points. The play of the New England defense was one of the reasons why we won our NFL Total of the Year in the Super Bowl with the under.Good luck - Team Del Genio.

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