Articles

Seth Lugo: Poster Boy for the State of MLB Pitching in 2024

by Team Del Genio

Saturday, Jul 13, 2024

If there is a pitcher who embodies the state of Major League pitching in 2024, it is Seth Lugo. The right-hander has been outstanding this season with an 11-2 record, a 2.17 era, and a 1.03 whip. He has fourteen quality starts this season with five in a row going into his start on Saturday at Boston against the Red Sox.After throwing six shutout innings against Cleveland the previous Sunday, he has not allowed an earned run in two straight outings. He has a 1.46 era and a 1.00 whip in his last four starts. He induces a lot of fly balls. This season, 37.6% of the batted balls against him are fly balls to the outfield, which is up over his 35.2% career average. The danger of these fly balls is that the more that are hit into the outfield, the more that will clear the fence. Lugo gave up 19 home runs last year pitching for San Diego which was the most he had ever given up. Of course, he has spent most of the middle seasons of his career pitching out of the bullpen. Last year, he averaged 1.17 home runs allowed per nine innings, which was not much higher than his 1.05 homers per nine inning rate for his career. Yet the 13.3% fly ball-to-home run rate he gave up was the second-highest mark in his career. If there was a pitcher who could benefit from a less lively baseball coming into this year, it was Lugo. The baseballs this season seem “dead” when compared to previous years with the biggest impact being fewer home runs. The home run-to-fly ball rates are down all across the league. For Lugo, the changes are drastic. He has a 7.4% home run-to-fly ball ratio this year is the lowest mark in his career, beating his HR/FB ratio of 10.0% in 2018 when he was pitching for the New York Mets. He has only given up nine home runs, and his 0.70 home runs per nine innings allowed is the lowest of his career. Yet Lugo is not just benefitting from the changes in the baseball this year. With the influence of analytics calling on pitchers to throw as hard as possible down the center of the plate and then rely on their stuff to create movement and deception, Lugo’s diverse arsenal makes him one of the trickiest pitchers to face. The 34-year-older has always been somewhat of what used to be called a junk-baller. He was throwing five different pitches when he joined the Mets in 2016. He had a four-seam fastball that moved differently than his two-seam fastball. He had a conventional curve ball, slider, and changeup as off-speed pitches. In 2017, he added a sweeper but eventually stopped using it. Last year in San Diego when he signed as a starting pitcher, he added a sweeper and a slurve. This year, he brought back that cutter for an eighth pitch. Lugo scouts what pitches opposing hitters prefer to see and then offers the opposite type of pitch. Lugo's batted ball analytic projections are not favorable since he does not strike out enough batters to offer him a margin for error, yet that may even be changing. He struck out ten Guardians in his last start, and he has 30 strikeouts in his last four starts over 24 2/3 innings. If Lugo continues to miss more bats, he will be very tough to beat in the second half of the season.Good luck - TDG.

Read more

Big 12 Media Days: College Football Is In the Air (Part 2)

by Vegas Writer

Saturday, Jul 13, 2024

LAS VEGAS -- Had the pleasure of being credentialed for all of the events taking place in Las Vegas the next two weeks, including a couple of days inside Allegiant Stadium for the Big 12 Media Days, along with watching USA Basketball a couple of times, and a bit of time at the NBA Summer League.Have some thoughts with this now 16-team league and where it's headed with the inclusion of four Pac-12 castoffs, that being Utah, Colorado, Arizona and Arizona State.The Utes might be the favorites to get things done, but don't be surprised to see Oklahoma State play the spoiler role for everyone, and Kansas State to make some noise.Stacked as it may seem, I don't know if this league is as good as commissioner Brett Yormack made it out to be on Day 1 of the Media Days.He placed the league in the Top 3 of all conferences, and I suppose it's hard to argue when you have 16 teams in your league, but I don't know how much better it is than the ACC.One thing is for sure as we reach the middle of July, I can smell College Football and couldn't be any more pleased with its arrival!Part 2 of my capsule look at the 16 teams in the Big 12 starts today, with last year's straight-up, against the spread and over/under numbers in alphabetical order):ARIZONA (10-3 SU, 11-2 ATS, 8-5 Under) - The Wildcats did an amazing job in winning 10 games, and appeared to be a program back on track. Unfortunately, as Arizona bolted for the Big 12, coach Jedd Fisch bolted for Washington and the Big 10. Back for the 'Cats are offensive playmakers quarterback Noah Fifita and wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan, who combined for 1,402 yards and 10 touchdowns last season. This dynamic air attack could thrive under first-year coach Brent Brennan, considering what he was able to accomplish at San Jose State."I think that's the unknown part for us joining the Big 12, is the new venues that we haven't played in yet, that our players haven't felt the crowd at some of these places or what that feels like on game day, because I think having a great home crowd kind of can impact the team," Brennan said. "I'm also excited for all these teams to come to Arizona Stadium and feel the ZonaZoo and feel our crowd and our fans and the city of Tucson and how they rally for the U of A."BAYLOR (3-9 SU, 3-8-1 ATS, 6-6 O/U) - The Bears were sitting on top of the Big 12 just two years ago, having won the conference and the Sugar Bowl en route to finishing No. 5 in the Associated Poll. Since then, life's been tough. Baylor has turned in a 9-16 mark the past two seasons, including last year's disappointing 3-9 finish. The Bears are also a less-than-impressive 6-12 against Big 12 teams the past two seasons. Needless to say, coach Dave Aranda opens the season on the hot seat. Having roughly 20 starters back will help get him started."I've seen the media poll and kind of where we are predicted to finish (12th), and so I'm excited to prove that wrong," Baylor coach Dave Aranda said. "I think in the past, past couple years, we've done that pretty successfully, both ways. So excited to get to work and to prove that we're a better team than what we are perceived as."BYU (5-7 SU and ATS, 7-5 Over) - The Cougars made their Big 12 debut last season, and had some highlight moments during Big 12 play. Nonetheless, it wasn't up to BYU standards, and with the conference up to 16 teams, and a wealth of offensive weapons across the league, the pressure is on defensive coordinator Jay Hill to strengthen a defense. The Cougars should get an offensive boost from transfer quarterback Gerry Bohanon."We've been through quarterback battles before and competition, that's at every position," BYU coach Kalani Sitake said, confirming Bohanon and Jake Retzlaff will compete. "We knew that we needed to get better at a lot of different positions, and we needed to play the best. I can't tell you that there's a deadline other than when we know, we will know. And when the player takes it - and we have a good amount of players that can play. We have four quarterbacks that have played college football. You mentioned Gerry Bohanon and Jake Retzlaff. There's also Treyson Bourguet and McCae Hillstead. They're on our team. All four of them had played college football and started games. That gives me a lot of confidence, knowing that a lot of things can happen in college football."COLORADO (4-8 SU, 7-4-1 ATS, 6-6 O/U) - There may not be another coach in a bigger spotlight this season than Deion Sanders. Be it off-field issues or on-field pressure, Coach Prime is set for a polarizing season in his second year leading the Buffs. The big question has to be with his son, quarterback Shedeur Sanders, who was sacked an NCAA-worst 56 times last season and in many eyes didn't necessarily live up to expectations. Transfers inward on the offensive line will help. But will the distractions surrounding the boisterous coach take away from the program?"I don't talk about culture that much so that wasn't me," Sanders said. "But I do talk about the consistency thereof of the goal and being consistent in whatever you do. So if you have a team that's got to be a little more physically tough, you've got to develop that. If you've got to be mentally tough, strategically satisfying, from the coaching staff's point of view, you've got to understand that. But culture, everybody's on this word, this word, and I don't understand this word one bit, and somebody gotta help me understand what that word, 'culture,' means. An environment, understanding of winning, you want that. I feel like I'm a winner. I know I'm a winner."HOUSTON (4-8 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, 5-7 Under) - A coaching change has taken place, with Willie Fritz taking over for Dana Holgorsen, hoping to fix the four-win Cougars and breathe life into the offense. Good news for Fritz is he retains quarterback Donovan Smith, who threw for 2,801 yards and 22 touchdowns last season. Smith's problem is turning the ball over, so if he plans on using his legs and being a dual-threat quarterback, he'll need to protect the ball."We've got a good stable of (running) backs," Fritz said. "I'm very impressed with those guys this spring. One of the things that we're going to do is play a lot of guys the first few weeks, kind of figure out the rotation ... which guys should be playing 50, 60 snaps, which guys should be playing 10, 20. And that'll be decided after a couple weeks because I haven't done a lot of live-action with these guys."KANSAS (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, 7-5-1 Over) - Easy to say this team has been rejuvenated under coach Lance Leipold, having won nine games a year ago behind an electric offense. And back from last year's dynamic unit is quarterback Jalon Daniels, who missed a lot of last season, but still turned in 2,439 all-purpose yards and 25 total touchdowns. The Jayhawks could be dangerous if they start on the right foot."He continues to learn as a quarterback," Leipold said of Daniels. "I think it's well documented when he's on the field we're a lot better football team. We can be pretty explosive. And he's the leader there. I feel very good about our quarterback room as a whole. ... I'm excited to see what Jalon will do this season for us. He's doing everything that doctors, trainers, strength coaches are having him do, and I can't wait to get to August."UCF (6-7 SU, 5-7-1 ATS, 7-6 Under) - The powerful Knights impressed me in their debut season as a Big 12 member, despite an overall mark of 6-7. UCF still closed the campaign with a stellar 3-1 mark over the final month. In an always physical conference, I expect to see the Knights' ground-and-pound game led by running back RJ Harvey thrive. Harvey tallied 1,416 yards on the ground, and will be joined by dual-threat quarterback KJ Jefferson who transferred in from Arkansas. Jefferson had 2,107 yards and 19 touchdowns last year in the SEC."He definitely fits what we like to do," UCF coach Gus Malzahn said. "He's a dual-threat guy. He throws a great deep ball. You're talking about one of the more experienced quarterbacks in all of college football. Two years previous to last year, he was one of the better players, offensive players in the SEC. Last year they changed offenses, they lost some playmakers around him and all that."WEST VIRGINIA (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, 8-5 Over) - Amazing what a hot seat will do for a coach. I wasn't sure Mountaineers coach Neal Brown was making out of the season last year, but he proved the Big 12 media wrong, as they had West Virginia ranked last in the preseason poll, but the Mountaineers won nine games. Now they bring back skill-position players quarterback Garrett Greene and running backs CJ Donaldson and Jaheim White on offense, while their defense has been upgraded with a solid transfer-in grab."The identity piece for us is something that we really spent a lot of time on really over the last 19 months of who we need to be to be successful in West Virginia," Brown said. "Feel like we found that. And our team has bought into it. And more importantly, the leadership of our team is we're going to be a tough unit that is really disciplined. They play smart football, and we do those things with an underdog mentality with a chip on our shoulder."

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, CFL and Copa America Previews and Odds - 07/13/2024

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Jul 13, 2024

The Saturday sports card features MLB, CFL, and Copa America action.Major League Baseball has 16 games on its schedule. The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Detroit to play the Tigers at 1:10 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line road favorite with the total set at 9.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Pittsburgh Pirates play in Chicago against the White Sox at 2:10 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The St. Louis Cardinals host the Chicago Cubs in the opening game of their doubleheader at 2:15 p.m. ET. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Oakland A’s as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Baltimore Orioles are at home against the New York Yankees on FS1 as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Six MLB games start at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Milwaukee Brewers host the Washington Nationals as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Cincinnati Reds play at home against the Miami Marlins as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Texas Rangers are in Houston to play the Astros as a -122 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The New York Mets are at home against the Colorado Rockies as a -225 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Cleveland Guardians visit Tampa Bay to play the Rays as a -112 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. The Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.Two MLB games for Fox’s regional coverage begin at 7:15 p.m. The Minnesota Twins play in San Francisco against the Giants as a -118 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves are in San Diego to play the Padres with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 7. The Cardinals play the Cubs in the second game of their doubleheader at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners travel to Los Angeles to play the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Arizona Diamondbacks play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.Week 6 in the Canadian Football League continues with one game. The British Columbia Lions are at home against the Saskatchewan Roughriders on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 52. The third-place consolation match in the Copa America begins at 8:00 p.m. ET. Uruguay battles Canada on FS1 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Uruguay lost their semifinal match to Colombia by a 1-0 score on Tuesday. Canada lost to Argentina, 2-0, in their semifinal match on Tuesday. Uruguay is a -1 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

Read more

CFL Football System of the Week

by Al McMordie

Friday, Jul 12, 2024

The Canadian Football League is unusual in that it has an odd number of teams.  Although this hasn't always been the case, it has since the founding of the Ottawa Redblacks in 2014.  And that expanded the number of teams from eight to nine.  The upshot is that there will always be one team which is not in action in any given week.For our system of the week, we are going to use the CFL schedule to our advantage.  What we want to do is simply play against any unrested team when it is matched up against a rested opponent.Since 2006, our rested teams have cashed 55.1% (134-109-7 ATS).Let's break our system down further to see how it does in various categories:Home:  87-82-4 ATSAway:  47-27-3 ATSFavorite:  80-74-6 ATSUnderdog:  53-34-1 ATSPK:  1-1 ATSDouble-Digit Favorite:  10-9-2 ATSDouble-Digit Underdog:  6-3 ATSWith Revenge:  37-27-2 ATSInto Revenge:  52-33-2 ATSOff Win:  65-55-7 ATSOff Loss:  67-54 ATSFoe Off Win:  77-60-3 ATSFoe Off Loss:  57-49-4 ATSOff Back-to-Back Wins:  27-31-4 ATSOff Back-to-Back Losses:  42-27 ATSFoe Off Back-to-Back Wins:  41-32-1 ATSFoe Off Back-to-Back Losses:  30-27-2 ATSConference Game:  73-61-5 ATSNon-Conference Game:  61-48-2 ATSWinning Team:  66-56-6 ATSNon-Winning Team:  68-53-1 ATSFoe Winning Team:  74-56-4 ATSFoe Non-Winning Team:  60-53-3 ATSThis system does its best work when our rested team is NOT a home favorite.  With those two criteria filtered out, our 134-109-7 ATS system moves to 70-46-4 ATS.  Also, this system does well when we eliminate rested teams off back-to-back wins, and avoid going against unrested teams off back-to-back losses.  With those two criteria filtered out, our system has gone 84-56-2 ATS since 2006 (including 50-30-1 ATS if home favorites are also eliminated).This week, our rested team is Edmonton, which is a 3-point home favorite vs. Ottawa.  The Elks do come into this game off back-to-back losses, while Ottawa is off a single loss.  So, those don't serve as negative factors.  But the Elks are a home favorite, and home favorites are a mediocre 64-63-3 ATS.  Still, I would only look at Edmonton in this game because of the rest factor.  Good luck, as always,Al McMordie

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 07/12/2024

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Jul 12, 2024

The Friday sports card features MLB and CFL action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. Detroit hosts Los Angeles with the Tigers sending out Tarik Skubal to take the mound to pitch against the Dodgers’ James Paxton. The Tigers are a -135 money-line favorite at BetMGM with the total set at 8. Philadelphia plays at home against Oakland with Ranger Suarez taking the ball for the Phillies to face Hogan Harris for the A’s. The Phillies are a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8 (all other odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Tampa Bay Rays are at home against the Cleveland Guardians at 6:50 p.m. ET. The Rays tap Taj Bradley to go against the Guardians’ Carlos Carrasco. Tampa Bay is a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 8.The New York Yankees travel to Baltimore to play the Orioles at 7:05 p.m. ET. Gerrit Cole takes the mound for the Yankees to battle Cade Povich for the Orioles. New York is a -130 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. Three more MLB games start at 7:10 p.m. ET. Cincinnati hosts Miami with the Reds sending out Carson Spiers to take on the Marlins’ Yonny Chirinos. The Reds are a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 9.5. New York plays at home against Colorado with Sean Manaea taking the mound for the Mets to challenge Tanner Gordon for the Rockies. The Mets are a -238 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Kansas City plays at Boston with the Royals turning to Cole Ragans to duel against a Red Sox starting pitcher yet to be named. Three MLB games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. Houston is at home against Texas with Hunter Brown getting the ball for the Astros to pitch against Andrew Heaney for the Rangers. The Astros are a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Chicago hosts Pittsburgh with the White Sox tapping Garrett Crochet to battle against a Pirates starting pitcher yet to be determined. Milwaukee plays at home against Washington with Freddie Peralta pitching for the Brewers and going against Jackson Rutledge for the Nationals. The Brewers are a -225 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The St. Louis Cardinals are at home against the Chicago Cubs at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Cardinals tap Sonny Gray to duel against the Cubs Kyle Hendricks. St. Louis is a -200 money-line favorite at BetMGM with a total of 8.The Seattle Mariners are on the road against Los Angeles against the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET. Bryan Woo gets the ball for the Mariners to go against Tyler Anderson for the Angels. Seattle is a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Two more MLB games start at 9:40 p.m. ET. Arizona hosts Toronto with the Diamondbacks turning to Ryne Nelson to duel against the Blue Jays’ Yariel Rodriguez. The Diamondbacks are a -125 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. Atlanta visits San Diego with Spencer Schwellenbach taking the hill for the Braves to face Randy Vasquez for the Padres. The Braves are a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Minnesota Twins play in San Francisco against the Giants at 10:15 p.m. ET. The Twins tap Joe Ryan to pitch against the Giants’ Kyle Harrison. Minnesota is a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 7.5.Week 6 in the Canadian Football League continues with one game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers play at home against the Calgary Stampeders at 8:30 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 48.

Read more

Big 12 Media Days: College Football Is In the Air (Part 1)

by Vegas Writer

Thursday, Jul 11, 2024

LAS VEGAS -- Had the pleasure of being credentialed for all of the events taking place in Las Vegas the next two weeks, and after watching USA Basketball a couple of times, spent some time inside Allegiant Stadium for the Big 12 Media Days.Have some thoughts this now 16-team league and where it's headed with the inclusion of four Pac-12 castoffs, that being Utah, Colorado, Arizona and Arizona State.The Utes might be the favorites to get things done, but don't be surprised to see Oklahoma State play the spoiler role for everyone, and Kansas State to make some noise.Stacked as it may seem, I don't know if this league is as good as commissioner Brett Yormack made it out to be on Day 1 of the Media Days. He placed the league in the Top 3 of all conferences, and I suppose it's hard to argue when you have 16 teams in your league, but I don't know how much better it is than the ACC.One thing is for sure as we reach the middle of July, I can smell College Football and couldn't be any more pleased with its arrival!Part 1 of my capsule look at the 16 teams in the Big 12 starts today, with last year's straight-up, against the spread and over/under numbers in alphabetical order):ARIZONA STATE (3-9 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, 7-5 Under) - The Sun Devils turned in a second consecutive 3-9 season and will look to regroup under second-year coach Kenny Dillingham. First order of business, settle the quarterback debate under first-year offensive coordinator Marcus Arroyo - the team's third OC in as many years. The one positive certainty for Dillingham and Arroyo is returning running back Cameron Skattebo, who rushed for 798 yards and 9 TDs last season."One, I think our guys know each other's names," Dillingham said. "Sounds like a little thing, but they know each other, have relationships with each other."Two is pure strength. Last year we had two guys who could squat over 600 pounds. Now we have six. Last year we had, I think it was 44 guys on our team, squat 400 pounds, now we have upwards of 65, somewhere in the 70s, I believe. So our size and strength of our football team was something that we focused on. And now that we've kind of hit our summer goals from that perspective, I'm excited to see it translate to football."CINCINNATI (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS, 8-4 Over) - Two years after making the College Football Playoff, the Bearcats won just one game in Big 12 play. The 'Cats are still trying to find their footing in the Big 12, and could do so with sure-footed running back Corey Kiner, who ran for 1,047 yards last season. He and transfer quarterback Brendan Sorsby will be counted on to lift ignite Cincinnati's offense."One of the great things that we have going for us, I think, this year is bringing back several of our key players from last year's team, including our starting five offensive linemen coming back and really the two top reserve O linemen coming back," Cincinnati coach Scott Satterfield said. "We have Corey Kiner, 1,000-yard rusher, coming back. Our top receiver, Xzavier Henderson, coming back. We're excited about that."IOWA STATE (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS,7-6 Under) - The Cyclones were quietly a menace to Big 12 foes last year, finishing 6-3 in conference play, which came close to landing them in the title hunt. Loaded with talent on both sides of the ball, the 'Clones will be bolstered on offense by preseason all-Big 12 selections wide receiver Jayden Higgins and multi-faceted tight end/fullback Stevo Klotz."We've been able to get to the Big 12 Championship game. We've been able to win the regular season conference and we've been really close in a lot of other seasons," Iowa State coach Matt Campbell said. "I think as our young team coming off a rough year in 2022 and the way our team and football program responded last year, it was really fun to watch this football team come back to really the standard of who we are and what we've been and what we've been has been really special."KANSAS STATE (9-4 SU, 8-4-1 ATS, 7-6 Over) - Veteran quarterback Will Howard entered the transfer portal after the regular season in 2023, and dual-threat signal-caller Avery Johnson proved he was ready to answer the bell. Johnson threw for two touchdowns and ran for one in Kansas State's 28-19 win over North Carolina State in the Pop-Tarts Bowl."A wealth of experience and a wealth of knowledge with quarterbacks, and I've already seen, in a short period of time, just the second semester, the value of him being with Avery," Kansas State coach Chris Klieman said of co-offensive coordinator Matt Wells. "There's a great mesh there. There's a great comfort between the two guys. They are on the same page an awful lot."OKLAHOMA STATE (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS, 7-7 O/U) - The Cowboys might quietly be the most dangerous contender to league-favorite Utah, with an expected 20 returning starters smattered across the field. That includes the nation's leading rusher from 2023, Ollie Gordon, who ran for 1,732 yards. With a stacked line to emerge from, and veteran quarterback Alan Bowman also returning, coach Mike Gundy might find his Cowboys in the title game."After the first three games, we changed the concepts of what we were doing up front," Gundy said. "We changed the alignment of our tailback, particularly, what we thought Ollie Gordon would be best at. And we shoved all of our poker chips on the table, and we hit. It worked for us. We made the right decision. Ollie started running like crazy. We were better at blocking those schemes than we were the other ones in the first three games, and that was on the coaches. That was on me. I'm involved in the offense pretty heavily. Not on game day, but prior to getting to game day."TCU (5-7 SU and ATS, 8-4 Over) - The Horned Frogs followed their appearance in the 2022-23 College Football Playoff title game with a 5-7 campaign. TCU coach Sonny Dykes is hoping the competitiveness his team showed in the one-score games it went 0-4 will translate into wins."I think we've come a long way," TCU coach Sonny Dykes said. "I just think our attitude, the standard that these players set for each other and hold themselves to is different than last year's team. I just like the leadership of this group. To me, it's a team-oriented team. The guys care about each other. There's not a whole lot of talk about individual accolades or getting to the league or any of that kind of thing. And the guys want to win, and the guys want to lay it on the line for each other and lay it on the line for TCU."TEXAS TECH (7-6 SU and ATS, 8-5 Under) - The Red Raiders lost two of their top three receivers, leaving a vacancy coach Joey McGuire is hoping can be filled by five-star recruit Micah Hudson. Also back is explosive rusher Tahj Brooks, who ran for a nation's fourth-highest 1,538 yards last season."We've got to find ways to win games on the road. I'm fired up. We're going to get tested right off the bat against Washington State," Texas Tech coach Joey McGuire said. "It's going to be a big game for Texas Tech and Washington State. I want to be known as a tough football team that's very physical, that's going to play you every single snap."UTAH (8-5 SU, 6-6-1 ATS, 8-5 Under) - The Utes make the switch from the Pac-12, and bring a healthy résumé along with them, having won 26 conference championships in five different conferences. They most recently won two Pac-12 titles and appeared in a total of four championship games over 13 years in the league. Behind senior quarterback Cam Rising, Utah was the favorite to win the Big 12 crown in the preseason media poll. Rising, who had surgery on his knee in the offseason, threw for 3,034 yards on 249-of-385 passing, while connecting for 26 touchdowns and eight interceptions in 2022."We feel we've got a lot going for us on the offensive side of the ball," Utah coach Kyle Whittingham said. "Offensive line is solid. Tight end room is maybe as good as it's ever been at Utah since I've been there and added some real weapons on the outside at receiver. Defensively we should be solid. Played good defense at Utah a lot of years. That's been our calling card. Don't expect it to be any different this year."

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 07/11/2024

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Jul 11, 2024

The Thursday sports card features MLB and CFL action.Major League Baseball has 12 games on its schedule. Three games throw out the first pitch at 1:10 p.m. ET. Cincinnati hosts Colorado with Hunter Greene taking the ball for the Reds to face Austin Gomber for the Rockies. The Reds are a -198 money-line favorite with the total set at 9 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Detroit plays at home against Cleveland with the Tigers turning to Jack Flaherty to pitch against the Guardians’ newly acquired Spencer Howard. The Tigers are a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. New York is at home against Washington with David Peterson taking the mound for the Mets to go against MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals. The Mets are a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5.The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Milwaukee to play the Brewers at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Pirates send out Paul Skenes to battle against the Brewers Aaron Civil. Pittsburgh is a -130 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The San Francisco Giants host the Toronto Blue Jays at 3:45 p.m. ET. Jordan Hicks gets the pitching assignment for the Giants to challenge Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays. San Francisco is a -118 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers at 6:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies tap Aaron Nola to duel against the Dodgers’ Landon Knack. Philadelphia is a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Baltimore Orioles are at home against the Chicago Cubs at 6:35 p.m. ET. Albert Suarez takes the hill for the Orioles to pitch against Justin Steele for the Cubs. Baltimore is a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The New York Yankees play in Tampa Bay against the Rays at 6:50 p.m. ET. The Yankees tap Nestor Cortes, Jr. to face the Rays’ Shane Baz. New York is a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Boston Red Sox host the Oakland A’s at 7:10 p.m. ET. Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Red Sox to battle against Luis Medina for the A’s. Boston is a -218 money-line favorite with a total of 10. The Houston Astros play at home against the Miami Marlins at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Astros send out Jake Bloss to go against the Marlins’ Roddery Munoz. Houston is a -190 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Seattle Mariners are on the road in Los Angeles to play the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET. Luis Castillo takes the mound for the Mariners to duel against Jack Kochanowicz for the Angels. Seattle is a -150 money-line road favorite at BetOnline with a total of 8. The Atlanta Braves visit Arizona to play the Diamondbacks at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Braves send out Max Fried to pitch against a Diamondbacks starting pitcher who has yet to be named. Atlanta is a -139 money-line road favorite.Week 6 in the Canadian Football League begins with one game. The Montreal Alouettes host the Toronto Argonauts at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Alouettes are a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 51.

Read more

Way-Too-Early NCAAF Predictions & Futures Bets to Make:

by William Burns

Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024

We are just over a month away from the 2024-25 College Football season. Beginning on August 24th, let's take a look at what we can expect over the course of this new season.  Teams I Expect to Improve:  Colorado Buffaloes (4-8 in 2023-24) - Even with their poor record, the Colorado Buffaloes were one of the most hyped teams last season. Head Coach Deion Sanders is now into his second season with his new program and I believe that they've got the ability to win a lot more ball games this season. More than definitely, they have the talent to reach a bowl game at the very least. Deion's sons, Shaduer and Shilo are back, as well as rising superstar and perhaps the best player in the country in Travis Hunter. No, they are not going to be National Champions this year. But, they've got what it takes to improve vastly. // Projection: 7-6TCU Horned Frogs (5-7 in 2023-24) - Coming off a National Championship Game appearance in 2022-23, it was a very disappointing season last year for the Horned Frogs. Yes, they lost a few guys including QB Max Duggan. However, it wasn't in the cards to miss a bowl game last season. This year, they've filled a much needed hole in their secondary. Plenty of new faces will help this TCU team be much better against the pass. TCU opens the season with a couple of "easier" games against Stanford and LIU. Expect them to win both of those games comfortably and have a much stronger season this year than last. // Projection: 9-4East Carolina Pirates (2-10 in 2023-24) - After finishing dead last in the AAC Conference last season, I'm expecting the Pirates to be much improved this year. They've got a much easier schedule and have their tougher games at home this season. ECU also avoids the likes of USF, Memphis & Tulane which should give them plenty of confidence throughout the year. They have quite a few returning faces, but also added a bunch of new transfers which should help them fill some holes. I expect the Pirates to win at least five games this season and perhaps make a bowl game like they did a couple seasons ago. // Projection: 7-6 Teams I Expect to Fall Off:  Washington Huskies (14-1 in 2023-24) - After losing in the National Championship game last season, the Huskies lost a lot. Head Coach Kalen DeBoer was replaced by Jedd Fisch as DeBoer filled the spot at Alabama. Washington also lost QB Michael Penix Jr as well as WRs Rome Odunze, Jalen McMillan & Ja’Lynn Polk. Not to mention they also lost their star LT in Troy Fatanu Jr as well. That's a lot of critical spots to fill if this team is going to want to win a bunch of football games again. Now, I don't expect them to fall completely off the map. However, newly into the Big 10, I don't expect the Huskies to come close to their 14-1 mark from last season. // Projection: 7-6 Michigan Wolverines (15-0 in 2023-24) - Although I do believe that this Michigan program has some very strong pieces once again this year, I don't see them going undefeated again. MICH won the National Championship last season and have lost a bunch. Former Head Coach Jim Harbaugh moved up to the NFL. QB JJ McCarthy and WR Roman Wilson did the exact same thing. Looking at the rest of the conference, Ohio State is going to be the team to beat. They will also have to deal with some new faces in Washington, Oregon & USC joining their conference in the offseason (UCLA also joined but aren't on the schedule.) They've got a very good QB in Alex Orji for this season. However, don't expect another perfect year from the Wolverines. // Projection: 11-3Florida State Seminoles (13-1 in 2023-24) - I was one of the ones that believed that the Seminoles were robbed of a CFP spot last season. Holding a perfect 13-0 record into the Selection Show, there had never been an undefeated power 5 team that didn't get in (in the 4-team playoff system.) Unluckily for them, the expansion of the College Football Playoff begins this season. We will now see a 12-team playoff and much more excitement (in my opinion.) Also unluckily for the Noles, they lost their QB Jordan Travis. They also lost WR's Keon Coleman and Johnny Wilson. Yes, they filled the QB spot with QJ Uiagalelei. However, I don't see how FSU wins 13 games again this season. They will drop off a bit and get close to the double digit win mark. // Projection: 9-4  Five Futures Bets to Make:  1. ) Ohio State Buckeyes - To Win the National Championship - YES (+400)2. ) Ohio State Buckeyes - To Win the Big Ten Championship Game - YES (+155)I love the Buckeyes this season. They are locked and loaded with massive amounts of talent filling much needed holes from last season. A new QB in Will Howard, returning RB TreVeyon Henderson & #1 overall player in the 2024 recruiting class in Jeremiah Smith should be enough as is to beat teams with ease. Not to mention that they bring back Emeka Egbuka as well as Brandon Innis at the WR position AND add RB Quinshon Judkins from Ole Miss. Even without Marvin Harrison Jr this season, this offense (in my opinion) is the best in the country by far. 3. ) Ole Miss Rebels - To Make the College Football Playoff - YES (-130)As mentioned in my OSU analysis above, the Rebels did lose their RB Quinshon Judkins in the transfer portal. However, they've still got their QB Jaxson Dart who I believe to be one of the best QB's in the nation this season. Just like his name, Dart throws darts. He's got an awesome arm and he's got two of his top three targets from last season back with him this year. Like always, Ole Miss also made some splashes in the transfer portal as they landed Walter Nolan as well as Trey Amos & Princely Umanmielen on the defensive end. New WR Antwane Wells Jr should also help Dart and the offense. I expect them to make the 12-team playoff this season. 4. ) Utah Utes - OVER 9.5 WINS (-135)Without their two best offensive players for the entirety of last season, the Utah Utes finally get back QB Cameron Rising and TE Brant Kuithe. In their new conference (the Big 12,) the Utes are actually favored to win the entire conference right now. Let's not forget that these two led Utah to a 10-4 record in 2021-22 when Kuithe led the team in receiving yards. I expect them to be back and better than ever with this awesome Utes defense. Expect them to have at least 10 wins this season. 5. ) Colorado Buffaloes - OVER 5.5 WINS (-140)As I already mentioned, I believe that the Buffaloes are going to be much improved from last year. Don't get me wrong, they are definitely not considered as title contenders. However, Deion Sanders will have his guys ready to go for this season. Improving by just two wins shouldn't be too difficult. Expect the Buffaloes to win at least six games and get into a bowl game this season. They should go "over" this mark without much trouble.  Burns' National Title Game Prediction: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Oregon Ducks 27-21 OSU. 

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, Euro 2024 and Copa America 2024 Previews and Odds - 07/10/2024

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jul 10, 2024

The Wednesday sports card features MLB, Euro 2024, and Copa America 2024 action.Major League Baseball has 17 games on its schedule. The St. Louis Cardinals host the Kansas City Royals in the opening game of their doubleheader at 1:45 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line favorite at BetMGM with the total set at 8.5. The Minnesota Twins travel to Chicago to play the White Sox in the first game of their doubleheader at 2:10 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8 (all other odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Twins battle the White Sox in the second game of their doubleheader at 5:30 p.m. ET as a -167 money-line road favorite at BetOnline with an over/under of 8.The Baltimore Orioles play at home against the Chicago Cubs at 6:35 p.m. ET as a -170 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Guardians are in Detroit against the Tigers as a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Tampa Bay Rays are at home against the New York Yankees at 6:50 p.m. ET as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Los Angeles Dodgers on ESPN at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. Three more MLB games start at 7:10 p.m. ET. The New York Mets play at home against the Washington Nationals as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Boston Red Sox are at home against the Oakland A’s as a -185 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Cincinnati Reds host the Colorado Rockies as a -258 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Cardinals face the Royals in the second game of their doubleheader at 7:45 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 8.5.Two MLB games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Houston Astros play at home against the Miami Marlins as a -258 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Milwaukee Brewers are at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Texas Rangers are in Los Angeles against the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET as a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. The Atlanta Braves visit Arizona to play the Diamondbacks at 9:40 p.m. ET. The San Francisco Giants host the Toronto Blue Jays at 9:45 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.The knockout stage of the Euro 2024 continues with the second match in the semifinals. England battles the Netherlands on Fox at 3 p.m. ET in a pick ‘em match with a total of 2 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). The Copa America finishes the knockout stage semifinals with one match. Uruguay plays Colombia on FS1 at 8 p.m. ET in a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2. 

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, Euro 2024 and Copa America 2024 Previews and Odds - 07/09/2024

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Jul 09, 2024

The Tuesday sports card features MLB, Euro 2024, and Copa America 2024 action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Baltimore Orioles host the Chicago Cubs at 6:35 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line favorite with the total set at 8.5. Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Guardians travel to Detroit to play the Tigers as a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The New York Yankees play in Tampa Bay against the Rays at 6:50 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Three MLB games start at 7:10 p.m. ET. The New York Mets are at home against the Washington Nationals as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Boston Red Sox host the Oakland A’s as a -192 money-line favorite with an over/under of 10. The Cincinnati Reds play at home against the Colorado Rockies as a -175 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The St. Louis Cardinals are at home against the Kansas City Royals at 7:45 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.Three MLB games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Twins are in Chicago to play the White Sox as a -170 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. The Houston Astros host the Miami Marlins as a -205 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Houston Astros play at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates as a -165 money-line favorite at BetMGM with a total of 8.5. The Texas Rangers visit Los Angeles to play the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET as a -175 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Two more MLB games start at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Atlanta Braves play in Arizona against the Diamondbacks as a -130 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Seattle Mariners are in San Diego to play the Padres as a -148 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The San Francisco Giants are at home against the Toronto Blue Jays at 9:45 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 8.The knockout stage of the Euro 2024 continues on Fox with the first match in the semifinals at the Allianz Arena in Berlin, Germany. France battles Spain on Fox at 3:00 p.m. ET. Les Bleus advanced past Portugal on penalty kicks in the quarterfinals on Friday. La Roja reached the semifinals with their 2-1 victory against Germany on Friday. It’s a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2 (all soccer odds from BetMGM).The Copa America begins the knockout stage semifinals with one match at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands in New Jersey. Argentina challenges Canada on FS1 at 9:00 p.m. ET. La Albiceleste advanced past Ecuador in a shootout on Thursday. Les Rouges reached the semifinals by beating Venezuela via penalty kicks on Friday. Argentina is a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 07/08/2024

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Jul 08, 2024

The Monday sports card features MLB action. There are seven games on the MLB schedule. The Pittsburgh Pirates host the New York Mets at 12:35 p.m. ET. The Pirates lost for the third time in their last four games in a 3-2 loss at home to the Mets yesterday. The Mets have won two games in a row. Pittsburgh turns to Mitch Keller to face New York’s Christian Scott. The Pirates are a -115 money-line favorite with the total set at 8.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Washington Nationals play at home against the St. Louis Cardinals at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals have lost two of their last three games after their 8-3 loss to the Cardinals yesterday. The Cardinals have won three of their last four games. Mitchell Parker gets the ball for Washington to pitch against Miles Mikolas for the Nationals. Washington is a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.The Cleveland Guardians travel to Detroit to play the Tigers at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Guardians have won two of their last three games after their 5-4 victory against San Francisco on Sunday. The Tigers are on a three-game winning streak after a 5-1 win at Cincinnati yesterday. Cleveland taps Gavin Williams to make his second start of the season against Keider Montero for Detroit. The Guardians are a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Cincinnati Reds are at home against the Colorado Rockies on FS1 at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Reds are on a three-game losing streak after their loss to Detroit yesterday. The Rockies were on a three-game winning streak before their 10-1 loss to Kansas City on Sunday. Andrew Abbott takes the mound for Cincinnati to battle against Ryan Feltner for Colorado. The Reds are a -192 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. The Minnesota Twins play in Chicago against the White Sox at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Twins won for the third time in their last four games after a 3-2 victory against Houston yesterday. The White Sox lost for the fifth time in their last seven games in a 7-4 loss to Miami on Sunday. Chicago turns to Christopher Flexen to pitch against Minnesota’s Chris Paddack coming off the injured list who is likely their starting pitcher. The Twins are a -185 money-line road favorite with a total of 9.5. The Texas Rangers are in Los Angeles against the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET. The Rangers are on a three-game winning streak after their 13-2 victory against Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Angels lost for the sixth time in their last seven games in a 5-0 loss in Chicago against the Cubs yesterday. Texas turns to Sonny Gray to face Los Angeles’ Davis Daniels. The Rangers are a 0142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5.The Atlanta Braves visit Arizona to play the Diamondbacks at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Braves won their second straight game with a 6-0 victory against Philadelphia yesterday. The Diamondbacks have won two in a row after a 9-1 victory against San Diego yesterday. Chris Sale takes the mound for Atlanta to pitch against Yilber Diaz for the Diamondbacks. The Braves are a -198 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 07/07/2024

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Jul 07, 2024

The Sunday sports card features MLB and CFL action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Three MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET. St. Louis travels to Washington with Kyle Gibson taking the hill for the Cardinals to face D.J. Herz for the Nationals. The Cardinals are a -125 money-line road favorite with the total set at 9 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Atlanta hosts Philadelphia with the Braves tapping Reynaldo Lopez to pitch against the Phillies’ Michael Mercado. The Braves are a -180 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. New York plays in Pittsburgh with Sean Manaea taking the mound to go against Luis L. Ortiz for the Pirates as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. Three MLB games start at 1:40 p.m. ET. Cleveland plays at home against San Francisco with the Guardians turning to Carlos Carrasco to battle against Hayden Birdsong. The Guardians are a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. Miami is at home against Chicago with Edward Cabrera taking the hill for the Marlins to challenge Jonathan Cannon for the White Sox as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Detroit is at Cincinnati with the Tigers turning to Tarik Skubal to duel against the Reds’ Graham Ashcroft. The Tigers are a -135 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Minnesota Twins host the Houston Astros at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Twins send out Simeon Woods Richardson to face the Astros’ Spencer Arrighetti. Minnesota is a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Chicago Cubs play at home against the Los Angeles Angels at 2:20 p.m. ET. Hayden Wesneski gets the ball for the Cubs to face Jose Soriano for the Angels. Chicago is a -145 money-line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 9. The Texas Rangers are at home against the Tampa Bay Rays at 2:35 p.m. ET. The Rangers send out Nathan Eovaldi to pitch against the Rays’ Zack Littell. Texas is a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Kansas City Royals visit Colorado to play the Rockies at 3:10 p.m. ET. Brady Singer gets the ball for the Royals to go against Ryan Feltner for the Rockies. Kansas City is a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 10. The Baltimore Orioles play in Oakland against the A’s at 4:07 p.m. ET. The Orioles send out Grayson Rodriguez to battle against the A’s Mitch Spence. Baltimore is a -192 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. Four more MLB games begin at 4:10 p.m. ET. San Diego hosts Arizona with Dylan Cease getting tapped by the Padres to duel against Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks. The Padres are a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. Seattle plays at home against Toronto with the Mariners turning to George Kirby to face the Blue Jays’ Jose Berrios. The Mariners are a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. Los Angeles is home against Milwaukee with Justin Wrobleski making his debut for the Dodgers to go against Dallas Keuchel for the Brewers. The Dodgers are a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN features the New York Yankees hosting the Boston Red Sox at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Yankees tap Luis Gil to pitch against the Red Sox’s Kutter Crawford. New York is a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Week 6 in the Canadian Football League concludes with one game. British Columbia travels to Hamilton on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET. The Lions are on a three-game winning streak after their 24-21 victory against Edmonton as a 6.5-point favorite back on June 27th. The Tiger-Cats have lost their first four games of the season after their 24-22 upset loss at Ottawa as a 1-point road favorite on Sunday. British Columbia is a 4-point road favorite with an over/under of 53.5.

Read more

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.