Get the best handicapping articles and gambling advice throughout the football, basketball and baseball seasons from the world's top sports handicappers, as well as from Bovada (Bodog) Sportsbook and Casino.
BMW Championship Preview
by Matt Fargo - 09/04/2012
Two down and two to go. Rory McIlroy won by a shot over Louis Oosthuizen and two shots over Tiger Woods at the Deutsche Bank Championship as he carded a final round 67 to move into first place in the FedEx Cup standings. This week the top 70 players in the standings head west to Carmel, Indiana for the BMW Championship taking place at Crooked Stick Golf Club. The top 30 in the standings after this week head to the Tour Championship in two weeks.
Nick Watney dropped into second place with Tiger Woods sitting in third place followed by Brandt Snedeker in fourth place. Louis Oosthuizen was the big gainer from the weekend, as his second-place finish moved him into fifth place in the standing, moving up from 21st place. Several top golfers are currently near the cut line, including Adam Scott, Lee Westwood, Graeme McDowell and last year's FedEx Cup winner, Bill Haas. Getting into the top 30 will require a big finish by all of these players.
The last three BMW Championships were held at Cog Hill Golf and Country Club in Lemont, Illinois, but this season the tournament heads for Crooked Stick. Built in 1967 and designed by Pete Dye, the par 72, 7,516-yard layout is best known for the 1991 PGA Championship which was won by John Daly. It has gone through some changes as course renovations began last fall, including 5 new tee boxes, adding some bunkers and narrowing some fairways.
The defending champion is Justin Rose who took the 2011 BMW Championship by two shots over John Senden. Obviously the difference in this year's event is that it is taking place on a course not many have seen so past history in nonexistent. Players in current top form are the ones that need to be looked at and the list is certainly long in that regard.
We used Dustin Johnson (+1,200) last week and a disappointing 70 on Sunday kept him out of the running. He finished T4 which was his fourth top ten in his last nine events including a win at the St. Jude Classic. He is ranked sixth in the FedEx Cup standings and he is certainly peaking at the right time after he was injured early in the season.
Louis Oosthuizen (+2,000) lost the 54-hole lead by shooting a Sunday 71 which left him one shot back of McIlroy. He had a great look on 18 to force a playoff but missed and despite the poor Sunday, he can rebound this week as he has been playing exceptional with three times fives in his last four starts.
It hasn't been the best second half of the season for Phil Mickelson (+2,000) but he showed some very positive signs at the Deutsche Bank Championship with his T4 finish. All four rounds were 68 or better and he is now back into the top ten in the FedEx Cup standings and the momentum should carry over into this week.
Steve Stricker (+3,000) finished T13 last week and his consistency throughout the year earned him a captains pick for the Ryder Cup. He has not won since the season opening Hyundai Tournament of Champions but he has six other top tens on the year and being one of the best putters in the game will only help him at Crooked Stick.
Graeme McDowell (+6,000) is on the outside looking in as mentioned so he needs a big week and at these odds, we could get a big payday. He has placed 97th and T74 in the first two playoff events which has knocked him down to 41st in the FedEx Cup standings. He is still having an excellent season without a win and this could be his week.
Recommended Tournament Win Five Pack at the BMW Championship – All for 1 Unit
Dustin Johnson (+1,200)
Louis Oosthuizen (+2,000)
Phil Mickelson (+2,000)
Steve Stricker (+3,000)
Graeme McDowell (+6,000)
Record to date after 34 events: +37.1 Units
Sony Open -5 Units
Humana Challenge -6 Units
Farmers Insurance Open +22 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open -5 Units
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am -5 Units
Northern Trust Open -5 Units
Accenture Match Play +7.1 Units
Honda Classic -5 Units
WGC-Cadillac Championship -5 Units
Transitions Championship +6 Units
Arnold Palmer Invitational -4 Units
Shell Houston Open +16 Units
The Masters -6 Units
RBC Heritage -5 Units
Valero Texas Open -4 Units
Zurich Classic of New Orleans +21 Units
Wells Fargo Championship +36 Units
THE PLAYERS Championship -5 Units
HP Byron Nelson Championship -5 Units
Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial +11 Units
The Memorial -5 Units
FedEx St. Jude Classic -5 Units
U.S. Open -5 Units
Travelers Championship -5 Units
AT&T National -5 Units
Greenbrier Classic -5 Units
John Deere Classic +8 Units
The Open Championship +36 Units
RBC Canadian Open -5 Units
Bridgestone Invitational -5 Units
PGA Championship -6 Units
Wyndham Championship -5 Units
The Barclays -5 Units
Deutsche Bank Championship -5 Units