Articles

The Writing Was on the Wall that Ohio State Would Finally End the Streak Against the Team Up North

by Team Del Genio

Sunday, Nov 30, 2025

The Michigan Wolverines had beaten Ohio State in four straight seasons, with three of those games being upset victories. After their 13-10 win on the road in Columbus despite being a 19.5-point underdog, it was easy to understand why bettors would want to back what is a better Wolverines team this season back in the Big House. Michigan’s offense last year ranked 129th in the nation by averaging only 286 yards per game. Now they have the number one freshman recruit in the country under center with freshman Bryce Underwood, and there is life again on offense. Yet the problem this year’s Wolverines face in this year’s showdown with the Buckeyes is simply too many injuries to critical players. Alabama transfer running back Justice Haynes remains out, and he is one of the most explosive backs in the country. Sophomore Jordan Marshall has been good in his absence as the lead back, yet he is questionable with an injury that kept him out last week. In his absence, freshman running back Bryson Kuzdzal ran the ball 20 times for 100 yards with three touchdowns last week in a 45-20 victory on the road at Maryland. Yet in this rivalry game, ball security and blocking on passing downs are skills that will make the difference. The offense will also be without starting left tackle Evan Link. On defense, the hope was that veteran senior free safety Rod Moore would offer the unit leadership after suffering a season-ending injury last year. But he had not played since their loss to USC and has been declared out for this game. Both Haynes and Moore were named captains at the beginning of the season. Linebacker Ernest Hausmann was questionable, and his loss would be devastating since he is the team’s second-leading tackler and third-best generator of pressure on the quarterback. Tight end Max Bredeson was also questionable with an injury, and although he does not get many touches, the senior lines up all over the field and personifies the toughness and does the little things that head coach Sherrone Moore wants for this team. The Wolverines have great young talent with three redshirt freshmen now starting on the offensive line, along with a future superstar freshman wide receiver, Andrew Marsh, who has already become Underwood’s favorite target. But they were probably a year away from competing against the best teams in the nation, especially the ones that have been obsessed for 365 days to rectify their upset loss to them last season. Michigan’s best win was on the road at Nebraska or at home against Washington. Those results are not college football playoff worthy. The Wolverines had covered the point spread in just three of their previous eleven games at home after winning their previous game. They had covered the point spread in just seven of their previous nineteen games at home at Michigan Stadium. They had covered the point spread in four of their previous eleven games at home when the oddsmakers installed the over/under from 42.5 to 49.Head coach Ryan Day probably realized he was too conservative in his game management in the Buckeyes’ three-point loss at the Shoe last year. He was coaching not to lose, and they lost. After his team picked up the pieces to convincingly win the national championship, he probably learned his lesson. We expected Ohio State to play very aggressively in this game to take advantage of their talent advantage. As last year demonstrated, the Buckeyes can lose this game and still go win a natty. Sophomore wide receiver Jeremiah Smith did not play last week, and wide receiver Carnell Tate is questionable with an injury. Smith was expected to play, and there looks to be a good chance that Tate will join him on the field. This looks like a team that has been circling the wagons to rest, heal, and prepare for this game. Ohio State had not lost since getting beaten by the Wolverines last year. They came off a 42-9 victory against Rutgers last week, and they have covered the point spread in eighteen of their previous twenty-five gams after winning their previous game by 17 or more points. They had covered the point spread in nineteen of their previous twenty-six games after holding their previous opponent to 14 points or less. The biggest question for this team beginning the season was how much production they could count on from their quarterback. Now coming into “The Game,” freshman Julian Sayin has 27 touchdown passes and just two interceptions. He entered “The Game” leading the nation in on-target passing rate and is turning the ball over in just 2.3% of his dropbacks when under pass rush pressure. It is fair to say he has been everything that the Ohio State fans could have hoped for before the season started. The Buckeyes had covered the point spread in twenty-six of their previous thirty-seven games when the oddsmakers installed them as the favorite, and they had covered the point spread in five of their previous six games when the oddsmakers installed them as the favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. They have covered the point spread in eight of their previous twelve games on the road when playing a winning team. Almost everything went right for the Wolverines early on in the game. They scored a field goal on their opening drive with Jordan Marshall running the ball well despite his injury. Sayin then threw an interception on his first drive, which set Michigan up for a second field goal. Moore was managing the game to keep his team close before entering the fourth quarter. Yet the Buckeyes caught a huge break when Smith bobbled a would-be touchdown pass, stepped out of bounds before retaining possession, yet the referees did not overrule the touchdown ruling on the field. The Buckeyes then scored a crucial touchdown at the end of the first half to make the score 17-9, with them then receiving the ball first in the second half. They controlled the line of scrimmage on offense and defense and eventually had their offense on the field for over 40 minutes. In the end, Ohio State advanced to the Big Ten championship game with a 27-9 victory against the dreaded Team Up North , and Team Del Genio comfortably won our NCAA-F Big Ten Game of the Year. Good luck - Team Del Genio.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NBA, NHL, EPL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 11/30/2025

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Nov 30, 2025

The Sunday sports card features NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. Week 13 in the NFL continues with 11 games. Seven NFL games kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Indianapolis Colts host the Houston Texans as a 3.5-point favorite with the total set at 44.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Atlanta Falcons travel to New York to play the Jets as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 38.5. The Los Angeles Rams play in Carolina against the Panthers as a 10.5-point road favorite with a total of 44.5. The Jacksonville Jaguars are on the road to face the Tennessee Titans as a 6-point road favorite with an over/under of 41.5. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers play at home against the Arizona Cardinals as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 44.5. The Miami Dolphins are home against the New Orleans Saints as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 42.5. The San Francisco 49ers visit Cleveland to take on the Browns as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 36.5.Three NFL games start in the late afternoon window. The Seattle Seahawks host the Minnesota Vikings at 4:05 p.m. ET as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 41.5. Two more NFL games start at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Buffalo Bills play in Pittsburgh against the Steelers as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 40.5. The Los Angeles Chargers play at home against the Las Vegas Raiders as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 40.5. The Denver Broncos are on the road against the Washington Commanders on NBC at 8:20 PM ET for Sunday Night Football. The Broncos are a 7-point road favorite with a total of 43.5.The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. The Houston Rockets travel to Utah to play the Jazz at 3:10 p.m. ET as a 12.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 235.5. Four more NBA games tip off at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Philadelphia 76ers are home against the Atlanta Hawks as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 234.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder play on the road against the Portland Trail Blazers as a 12.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 230.5. The New York Knicks host the Toronto Raptors as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 232.5. The Cleveland Cavaliers play at home against the Boston Celtics as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 230.5. The Minnesota Timberwolves are home against the San Antonio Spurs at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 231.5. The Memphis Grizzlies are on the road against the Sacramento Kings at 9:10 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 231.5. The Los Angeles Lakers host the New Orleans Pelicans at 9:40 p.m. ET as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 234.5. The National Hockey League has four games on its slate. The Washington Capitals visit New York to take on the Islanders at 1:07 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Anaheim Ducks play in Chicago against the Blackhawks at 3:37 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes play at home against the Calgary Flames at 5:07 p.m. ET as a -250 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Dallas Stars are home against the Ottawa Senators at 6:07 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 33 games involving Division I opponents. Two NCAAB games are on major national television. Florida Atlantic hosts St. Bonaventure on ESPN2 at 3:30 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145.5. UC-Irvine is on the road against San Jose State on NBC at 5:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 134.5. Matchweek 13 in the English Premier League concludes with five matches. Crystal Palace plays at home against Manchester United on the USA Network at 7:00 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Three more EPL matches start at 9:05 a.m. ET. Aston Villa is at home against Wolverhampton on the USA Network as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Brighton and Hove Albion travels to Nottingham Forest as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Liverpool plays at West Ham United at 9:05 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Arsenal is on the road at Chelsea on the USA Network at 11:30 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 11/29/2025

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Nov 29, 2025

The Saturday sports card features NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action.Week 14 in NCAAF college football concludes with 51 games between FBS opponents. Four NCAAF games on major national television kick off at noon ET. Baylor hosts Houston on TNT as a 2.5-point favorite with the total set at 57.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Ohio State travels to Michigan on Fox as a 10-point road favorite with an over/under of 43.5. Miami (FL) plays on the road against Pittsburgh on ABC as a 7-point road favorite with a total of 49.5. Texas Tech is on the road to face West Virginia on ESPN as a 23.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 52.5. BYU plays at home against Central Florida on ESPN2 at 1:00 p.m. ET as a 17.5-point favorite with a total of 47.5. Four NCAAF games start on major national television networks at 3:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma is home to face LSU on ABC as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 36.5. TCU hosts Cincinnati on Fox as a 3-point favorite with a total of 57.5. Oregon visits Washington on CBS as a 7-point road favorite with an over/under of 51.5. Tennessee plays at home against Vanderbilt on ESPN as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 66.5. Florida is home to challenge Florida State on ESPN2 as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 49.5. Virginia hosts Virginia Tech on ESPN at 7:00 p.m. ET as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 52.5. Three more NCAAF games on major national television begin at 7:30 p.m. ET. Illinois plays at home against Northwestern on Fox as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5. Alabama plays at Auburn on ABC as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 46.5. USC is home to take on UCLA on NBC as a 21.5-point favorite with a total of 58.5. SMU is on the road to play California on ESPN2 at 8:00 p.m. ET as a 13.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 53.5. Notre Dame travels to Stanford on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET as a 31.5-point road favorite with a total of 49.5. The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Boston Celtics at 5:10 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 227.5. The Toronto Raptors play at Charlotte against the Hornets at 6:10 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 232.5. The Chicago Bulls are on the road against the Indiana Pacers at 7:40 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 243.5. Two more NBA games tip off at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Miami Heat play at home against the Detroit Pistons as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 236.5. The Milwaukee Bucks are home against the Brooklyn Nets as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 224.5. The Golden State Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans at 8:40 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 223.5. The Denver Nuggets visit the Phoenix Suns at 9:10 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 233.5. The Los Angeles Clippers play at home against the Dallas Mavericks at 10:10 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 219.5. The National Hockey League has 11 games on its slate. The New York Rangers are home to battle the Tampa Bay Lightning at 2:07 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Colorado Avalanche host the Montreal Canadiens at 3:07 p.m. ET as a -258 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Edmonton Oilers play on the road against the Seattle Kraken at 4:07 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Four NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 p.m. ET. The New Jersey Devils play at home against the Philadelphia Flyers as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Winnipeg Jets are on the road against the Nashville Predators as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Pittsburgh to face the Penguins as a -122 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Detroit Red Wings play in Boston against the Bruins as a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Two NHL games begin at 8:07 p.m. ET. The St. Louis Blues are home to play the Utah Mammoth as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Minnesota Wild host the Buffalo Sabres as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two more games conclude the NHL card at 10:07 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Kings play at home against the Vancouver Canucks as a -180 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Vegas Golden Knights are home to battle the San Jose Sharks as a -345 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 65 games involving Division I opponents. One game is on major national television. Penn State hosts Sacred Heart on Peacock at 6:00 p.m. ET as a 15.5-point favorite with a total of 161.5. Matchweek 13 in the English Premier League begins with five matches. Three EPL matches start at 10:00 a.m. ET. Brentford plays at home against Burnley on the USA Network as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Manchester City is home to face Leeds United as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Bournemouth is on the road against Sunderland as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Newcastle United visit Everton on the USA Network at 12:30 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Tottenham hosts Fulham on the USA Network at 3:00 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.  

Read more

NCAA Hoops Possible National Champs !!

by Harry Gagnon

Friday, Nov 28, 2025

I know it’s extremely early in the college basketball season & we are a bit more focused with the college football season coming to an end but it’s never to early to see who the favorites are to cut the nets down in March. To start I’ll rip off a few long shots that look solid to start the season. Alabama is (25/1) and they continue to run & gun to put up big numbers every game. At (35/1) thst always seems like great value if you are talking about a Tom Izzo coached team (Sparty is coming off a Turkey Day blowout of North Carolina. USC is (80/1) and they just beat Bobby Hurley’s ASU squad in the finals of the Maui Invitational. Speaking of Hurley’s, how about Danny Hurley’s (14/1) Connecticut Huskies who have won the whole thing 2x in the past 3 seasons (you can never count them out). How about the Louisville Cardinals (16/1) who seem to be back after a few lean years. They have 2 players in Fgan Connell & Mikel Brien who average 38 ppg combined. Now it’s time for the real “blue bloods” who can win the title. Calvin Sampson’s Houston Cougars (14/1) didn’t look that great playing their last 3 games in Las Vegas but they still know how to bring the stalking defense they are known for. In 5 of the Cougars 7 wins they have held their opponents to under 60 points. By the way, the Big 12 also has plenty of talented teams that include Iowa State/Oklahoma State/ & Arizona. Gonzaga (12/1) had been rolling everyone until they got mauled by Michigan who I will get to in a second. The Duke Blue Devils (10/1) will always be in the mix and they have victories already against Arkansas, Kansas, & Texas. Now for the top 2 dogs in the Big 10 & the entire country. Purdue (+850) is currently the number 1 team in the country & Braden Smith is second in the nation in assists. A ton of people feel this is the season for head coach Matt Painter but after this week the Boikermakers have to play second fiddle to the Michigan Wolverines (+750). Dusty May’s squad is 7th in the nation but that will soon change after what they just did over their last 3 games. Michigan dismantled SDST, Auburn, & Gonzaga by a combined 110 points. I know the season is early but with what Michigan at 7-0 has done and how they have done it they are my team right now to cut the nets !!!

Read more

Heisman Anyone ??

by Harry Gagnon

Friday, Nov 28, 2025

Well we are almost into December and the possibilities of winning the Heisman has shrunk to about 3 quarterbacks & 1 running back. The players that have disappeared from the race are Arch Manning of Texas, Dante Moore of Oregon & Ty Simpson of the Alabama Crimson Tide. I will say Arch Manning heading into this weekends games has been playing his best ball of the season but the beginning of the season hurt him huge for Heisman consideration. Moore & Simpson lately are in the same boat. In Moore’s last 4 games his numbers are weak with just 1 TD per game & he has 2 picks. Simpson in his last 3 contests for the Crimxon Tide has just 3 tds and 3 interceptions. Now on to the players who can win this prestigious award. Vanderbilt’s QB Diego Pavia (+650) really needed to win that Texas game, but his 3000 yards, 34 total TDS cannot be ignored. Notre Dame’s RB Jeremiah Love (+450) is making a serious run considering he’s gone for 136 yards rushing or more in 4 of his last 5 games & he’s got 9 total tds over those 5 games. Love is now 3rd in the nation in rushing yards. Finally, we need to talk about the 2 Big 10 QB’s that have really been the top 2 candidates over the second half of the college football season. The Buckeyes Julian Sayin (4/1) has been solid all season  but he’s tailed off a bit with just 4 TDS over his last 3 games. The only player to be a favorite with the odds currently for the Heisman is the Hoosiers Fernando Mendoza (-125) . He led a epic drive against Penn State that may have wrapped it up for the California Golden Bear transfer. Mendoza’s total TD to pick ratio is +30 and he’s led Indiana to being the only Big 10 team to have over 300  points in conference play & they are 24 points away from 500 for the r tire season. With all that and completing 73% of his passes as of now it’s Mendoza’s award to lose. 

Read more

Intriguing thoughts on three key NFL showdowns on Sunday

by Vegas Writer

Friday, Nov 28, 2025

As we head into the final stretch of the NFL season, we've hit some interesting times after seeing the Thanksgiving outcomes.It got me thinking about three games on Sunday.My thoughts:Los Angeles Rams (9-2) at Carolina (6-6): The Rams bring the league’s top scoring defense (16.3 points per game allowed) and a six-game win streak to Tobacco Road. Why do I have an eyebrow raised here? The Panthers are one of eight teams this season with a .500-or-better record after missing the playoffs last year. Why did I put my eyebrow down? This is a deadly trio: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford leads the NFL in touchdown passes (30). Rams wide receiver Davante Adams leads the league with 12 touchdown receptions this season Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua ranks tied for second with 80 receptions this season and has 264 receptions in 38 career games. San Francisco (8-4) at Cleveland (3-8): Despite Brock Purdy's absence for several games, how are the 49ers on the Rams' heels? Easy answer: running back Christian McCaffrey, who leads the NFL in scrimmage yards (1,581) and receptions (81) and ranks tied for third in scrimmage touchdowns (12) entering Week 13. He is one of four players since 2000 with at least 1,500 scrimmage yards and 10 touchdowns in five of his first nine career seasons.I'm intrigued to see the 49ers' blocking front take on Cleveland defensive end Myles Garrett, who leads the NFL with 18 sacks and 26 tackles for loss this season, the most tackles for loss by a player in his team’s first 11 games of a season since 2000. Houston (6-5) at Indianapolis (8-3): So many haters doubted the Colts and had them fizzling out by now. Yet Indianapolis leads the NFL in scoring offense (31 points per game) and ranks second in total offense (384 yards per game). They're 5-0 and have scored at least 29 points in each of their five games at Lucas Oil Stadium this year. Then there's the Texans, who lead the NFL in total defense (264.3 yards per game allowed) and rank second in scoring defense (16.5 points per game allowed). Houston has won three consecutive games entering Week 13. If you need a prop from this game, look no further than Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor, who leads the NFL with 17 scrimmage touchdowns (15 rushing, two receiving) this season and has 73 scrimmage touchdowns (66 rushing, seven receiving) in 78 career games.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 11/28/2025

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Nov 28, 2025

The Friday sports card features NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.Week 13 in the National Football League continues with one game. The Philadelphia Eagles host the Chicago Bears on Amazon Prime Video at 3:00 p.m. ET as a 7-point favorite with the total set at 44.5 (all odds from DraftKings).Week 14 in NCAAF college football continues with 15 games between FBS opponents. Three NCAAF games on major national television kick off at noon ET. Iowa travels to Nebraska on CBS as a 6-point road favorite with an over/under of 38.5. Utah plays at Kansas on ESPN as a 10.5-point road favorite with a total of 60.5. Mississippi plays Mississippi State on ABC as a 7-point road favorite with an over/under of 63.5. Two NCAAF games on major national television start at 3:30 p.m. ET. North Texas plays at home against Temple on ESPN as a 20.5-point favorite with a total of 65.5. Georgia takes on Georgia Tech on a neutral field at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, on ABC as a 14-point favorite with an over/under of 59.5. Boise State plays on the road at Utah State on CBS as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 55.5. Two NCAAF games on major national television begin at 7:30 p.m. ET. Indiana visits Purdue on NBC as a 28.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 53.5. Texas A&M plays at Texas on ABC at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 52.5. Arizona is on the road to play Arizona State on Fox at 9:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 47.5. The National Basketball Association has 11 games on its docket in the NBA Cup. Six NBA games tip off at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Detroit Pistons are home to face the Orlando Magic as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 233.5. The New York Knicks host the Milwaukee Bucks on Amazon Prime Video as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 234.5. The Indiana Pacers play at home against the Washington Wizards as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 239.5. The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to Atlanta to challenge the Hawks as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 240.5. The Philadelphia 76ers play in Brooklyn against the Nets as a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 225.5. The Chicago Bulls are on the road against the Brooklyn Nets as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 247.5. Three NBA games start at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Oklahoma City Thunder are home to play the Phoenix Suns as a 15.5-point favorite with a total of 227.5. The Utah Jazz host the Sacramento Kings as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 239.5. The Denver Nuggets play at home against the San Antonio Spurs as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 237.5. Two more games conclude the NBA card at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Clippers are home to play the Memphis Grizzlies as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 225.5. The Los Angeles Lakers host the Dallas Mavericks on Amazon Prime Video as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 231.5. The National Hockey League has 15 games on its slate. The Tampa Bay Lightning visit Detroit to take on the Red Wings at 12:07 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The New York Rangers play in Boston against the Bruins at 1:07 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Colorado Avalanche are on the road to face the Minnesota Wild at 3:37 p.m. ET as a -170 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Seven NHL games drop the puck at 4:07 p.m. ET. The Florida Panthers play at home against the Calgary Flames as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Ottawa Senators travel to St. Louis to battle the Blues with both teams priced as -110 money-line favorites with an over/under of 5.5. The Los Angeles Kings play in Anaheim against the Ducks as a -118 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Vancouver Canucks are on the road against the San Jose Sharks as a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The New Jersey Devils visit the Buffalo Sabres as a -115 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Vegas Golden Knights are home to play the Montreal Canadiens as a -180 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The New York Islanders host the Philadelphia Flyers as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. Two NHL games begin at 5:07 p.m. ET. The Washington Capitals play at home against the Toronto Maple Leafs as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes are home to challenge the Winnipeg Jets as a -225 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Pittsburgh Penguins at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two more games conclude the NHL card at 8:07 p.m. ET. The Dallas Stars play at home against the Utah Mammoth as a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Chicago Blackhawks are home against the Nashville Predators as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5.The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 56 games involving Division I opponents that tip off at 10:30 a.m. Ten games are on major national television. VCU battles Virginia Tech in the Battle 4 Atlantis at the Imperial Arena at the Atlantis Resort in Nassau, Bahamas, on ESPN2 at 10:30 a.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 153.5. Connecticut faces Illinois in the Sentinelone Showdown at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York, on Fox at 12:30 p.m. ET  as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 155.5. Vanderbilt takes on Saint Mary’s in the Battle 4 Atlantis on ESPN2 at 1:00 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 152.5. Oklahoma battles Marquette in the Bad Bow Mowers Series at Credit Union 1 Arena in Chicago, Illinois, on NBC at 2:00 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 162.5. Two more NCAAB games on major national television start at 3:00 p.m. ET. Illinois State takes on Furman at the State Farm Field House in Kissimmee, Florida, on ESPN2 as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 146.5. Florida challenges Providence in the Rady Children’s Invitational at the Jenny Craig Pavilion in San Diego, California, on Fox as a 10.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 165.5. Florida State plays Texas A&M in the GEICO Battle in the Bay at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa Bay, Florida, on ESPN2 at 5:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 168.5. Wisconsin faces TCU in the Rady Children’s Invitational on Fox at 5:30 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 154.5. Miami (FL) goes against Georgetown in the ESPN Events Invitational on ESPN at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 154.5. BYU challenges Dayton in the ESPN Events Invitational on ESPN at 9:30 p.m. ET as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 150.5. 

Read more

The Chiefs Have Been Unlucky to be Unlucky this Season

by Team Del Genio

Thursday, Nov 27, 2025

The Kansas City Chiefs’ season hit the brink last week after their 22-19 upset loss at Denver. The setback dropped their record to 5-5. With the Broncos now at 9-2 in first place in the AFC West, it is going to be very difficult for the Chiefs to extend their streak of nine straight division titles. Yet even securing a wildcard spot is not a certainty since they have already lost to the Los Angeles Chargers, Buffalo, and Jacksonville who are all in the wildcard hunt as well and have the tie-breaker edge (although at least Kansas City gets a second chance against the Chargers next month. The loss against the Broncos was their fifth setback in games decided by one-scoring possession. The Chiefs’ Super Bowl run last year was made possible by an incredible 12-0 record in games decided by eight points or less. This season, they have lost all five of their games decided by one scoring possession. The conventional wisdom is that Kansas City is finally experiencing the bad luck they were due in close games after being inexplicably lucky in those situations last year. For the record, the Chiefs had actually won seventeen games in a row in games decided by one scoring possession when going back to previous seasons before last year. A deeper look at the numbers actually exposes that Kansas City has been unexpectedly unfortunate this season. Clutch time in football is defined when the score is within eight points or less with five minutes or less remaining in the fourth quarter. Success rate on offense is measured by gaining at least 40% of the yards of the required yards needed on first down, 60% of the required yards to move the chains on second down, and 100% of the yards necessary for a first down on third and fourth downs. Last year, the Kansas City offense had a success rate on 43% of their downs in clutch time, ranking 14th in the NFL. They completed 57% of their passes in those situations. Those are not unreasonable numbers for an offense operated by Patrick Mahomes. Yet this season, in eleven offensive plays with five minutes or less left to go in the fourth quarter in a game within one scoring possession, Mahomes has completed only 2 of 10 passes for 29 yards. When accounting for a sack and a delay of game penalty, the Chiefs have gained only 13 net yards in their 11 offensive plays from scrimmage in clutch time this season. That statistic seems to be the true outlier. Andy Reid did not forget how to call plays or manage the clock. Mahomes is at the peak of his career. His connection with Travis Kelce remains uncanny, and the future Hall of Fame tight end is in the middle of a nice bounce-back season after catching 13 balls for 91 yards last week. This strange phenomenon was on display last week when Mahomes took the field with just over four minutes left in a tie game. He threw two straight incompletions before taking a sack and giving the ball back to Denver. The Broncos would go on to win the game with a field goal. In the past, defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s group would bail the team out, yet they were seeing unusual results in clutch time. On third and fourth down with five minutes or less left in games still within one scoring possession, the Chiefs had given up six first downs on seven attempts. Quarterbacks had completed all four of those passes in those situations for 69 yards. These offenses had converted on third-and-15, third-and-14, and twice on third-and-seven. Their defensive success rate of 14% (1 of 7) was tied for the worst in clutch time in the last 26 seasons. The 13 yards per play they are giving up in clutch time is tied for the seventh-worst in the NFL in the last decade. Those statistics seemed to be the outliers, especially when there is a good case to be made that this year’s Kansas City team is better than last year’s group, despite the vastly different record. The Chiefs began week 12 averaging 25.4 points per game and 364 yards per game this year after posting 22.6 points per game and 328 yards per game averages last year. Spagnuolo’s defense was very good last year by holding their opponents to 19.2 points per game and 321 yards per game, yet this year’s unit is only giving up 18.1 points per game and 297 yards per game. The offense had not been at full strength all year, given the suspension of wide receiver Rashee Rice and the injury to Xavier Worthy early in the season. Yet both receivers were back, along with a healthy Hollywood Brown this season to join Kelce and an emerging Tyquan Thornton as a deep threat. A case can be made that this is the best set of targets in the passing game for Mahomes since the Tyreek Hill days. Rookie left tackle Josh Simmons has been a steal as the last pick in the first round of the NFL draft, yet he missed a month to deal with personal family matters. He returned to action last week.With a 5-5 record, Kansas City hosted Indianapolis in a must-win game last Sunday. They fell behind, 20-9, in the second half of that game. Yet the Chiefs demonstrated they still possessed their clutch gene by undertaking a ferocious comeback. Spagnuolo’s defense held the Colts to four straight three-and-outs in their final four possessions and limited them to just 18 total yards in those four drives. On offense, Mahomes led that unit to 231 yards in their final four drives to pull off a 23-20 victory in overtime.Winning their first game decided by one-scoring possession probably will not put to rest the notion that Kansas City was simply lucky to win seventeen games in a row decided by one scoring possession. It probably will not convince those who concluded that losing their first five games this season, decided by one scoring possession, was the inevitable course correction, either. Yet it should have demonstrated that these things are more complicated than they seem. Good luck - TDG.

Read more

NFL Futures Pick: Baltimore Ravens to Win the Super Bowl

by Sean Murphy

Thursday, Nov 27, 2025

If there were ever a year to back a so-called 'sleeper pick' to win the Super Bowl, I think this is it. The AFC hasn't been nearly as clear as we've become accustomed to seeing in terms of the playoff picture and certainly not as far as potential AFC Championship Game matchups go. The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs have been beatable. The New England Patriots - in the first year of their progression under head coach Mike Vrabel - have taken the conference by storm, including an 'upset' victory on the road in Buffalo earlier in the season but whether that success translates to the postseason remains to be seen. The Indianapolis Colts have also returned to prominence with QB Daniel Jones enjoying a renaissance season but we've seen cracks in their armor recently. With all of that being said, my money is on the Baltimore Ravens at +1200 or better.The Ravens got off to a miserable start to the season and then lost QB Lamar Jackson to injury for a number of weeks. Jackson has returned and while he hasn't looked 100-percent healthy, he hasn't needed to be thanks to a forgiving recent schedule. Baltimore has climbed all the way to 6-5 following a 1-5 start and while its schedule will toughen up later in December, it is certainly on track to win the AFC North and return to the playoffs to take care of some unfinished business. While a recent injury to Kyle Hamilton stings, the Ravens defense has staged an incredible turn-around and should continue to ramp up ahead of a season-ending three-game stretch that will see them face the Patriots, Packers and Steelers in sucession, with the latter two games coming on the road.I'm willing to bet on talent when it comes to the Ravens offense. Jackson has certainly appeared to be holding back as he continues to fully heal from a multitude of injuries. RB Derrick Henry has yet to really get rolling but December is generally when he has made his money over the course of his career, with opposing defenses opting-out when it comes to tackling the backfield behemoth. While Baltimore's receiving corps lacks true star-power, there's enough talent on hand to give the other AFC contenders trouble come January. There's a good chance the Ravens winning streak could balloon to as many as eight games given their upcoming schedule (games against the Bengals sandwiched around a home date with the Steelers). I think now is the time to get the best Super Bowl price on this veteran team. 

Read more

Big Ten Basketball Early Season Snapshot

by Nelly's Sports

Thursday, Nov 27, 2025

The Big Ten schedule features an early December snapshot with most teams playing two games before the holiday break and the resumption of the conference season in January. We’ve learned some things in non-conference play the past few weeks, here is a quick look at a few standouts from the Big Ten and what to expect in the early season conference preview games.  The Favorite – Purdue: Matt Painter and Purdue made it to the national title game in the 2024 NCAA Tournament and appear to be on pace for an excellent season again. The 6-0 start includes five top 150 wins including notable wins away from home against Alabama and Texas Tech. Beating the Red Raiders by 30 last week in the Bahamas was an eye-opening result to display the potential of this team. A non-conference game with Iowa State lurks in early December while Purdue will also face Auburn later in the month. The two early season conference games are not likely to change the course of the hot start for the Boilermakers as one of the top ranked teams in the country, as Purdue faces Rutgers and Minnesota in December, with those two teams currently projected at the bottom of the league. Purdue has a favorable league schedule facing most of the current top teams in the conference once each as this should be considered the most likely team to finish on top of the standings.  Emerging Power – Michigan: Dusty May’s first season in Ann Arbor was a success with 27 wins and a Sweet 16 run after he took over a team that went 8-24 in 2023-24. This year’s team has proven even greater potential with a terrific collection of non-conference wins. Michigan has not played a game outside the nation’s top 200 in a 7-0 start and has four top 50 wins including an amazing trip to Las Vegas that produced blowout wins over Auburn and Gonzaga ahead of Thanksgiving. Next on the schedule is the Big Ten opener with Rutgers that may not prove much, before a non-conference test with Villanova, and then a more impactful contest with the Big Ten road opener at Maryland. May has used the transfer portal to reload this roster and so far, everything is working. A look ahead reveals a difficult closing run in the conference slate with road games against Purdue, Illinois, and Iowa plus the home finale vs. Michigan State all in the final five Big Ten games as this group does have the potential to slip just before the postseason, even if an undefeated run may continue well into 2026.  Usual Suspects – Michigan State: Tom Izzo continues to thrive at Michigan State as the Spartans won the Big Ten regular season title last season before making the Elite 8 in the NCAA Tournament for another strong campaign. A big November win over Kentucky grabbed headlines for the Spartans in a 6-0 start but that perfect record may not last long. On Thanksgiving Day Michigan State faces North Carolina in Florida and the Spartans will host Duke in a high-profile non-conference game in early December. Michigan State also has a difficult Big Ten opener next week hosting Iowa before the conference road opener at Penn State in mid-December. Michigan State’s conference path is backloaded once the Big Ten slate picks up. By the end of January the Spartans should be one of the conference leaders but then will face Michigan twice, plus Purdue, Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, Ohio State, and UCLA all in the final 10 games of the conference season for a daunting closing path that may knock the Spartans off the top rung of the standings.  Prove It Game Illinois vs. Ohio State: A key early season game to sort out a few possible Big Ten threats will be Ohio State hosting Illinois December 9 in one of the more prominent games on the early season Big Ten conference snapshot schedule. Ohio State is 6-0 in the second season under Jake Diebler looking to bounce back after a mediocre 17-15 season. The non-conference schedule hasn’t provided much meaningful data for the Buckeyes however as the 6-0 start includes just one top 100 opponent with a one-point win for the Buckeyes hosting Notre Dame. Illinois has gone 12-8 or better in five of the past six Big Ten seasons for Brad Underwood. This year’s team has split two prominent non-conference games, beating Texas Tech but losing to Alabama in a pair of close games. Illinois also has upcoming tests vs. Connecticut and Tennessee to try to add more weight to the non-conference resume before a tricky conference opener in Columbus that could show whether the Illini are a top-tier team in the conference or not.  Sleeper - USC: Eric Musselman made two Elite 8s while coaching at Arkansas before being hired at USC ahead of last season. His first season with the Trojans as the program moved to the Big Ten had some ups-and-downs with a few notable wins but a struggle late in the season, sliding to 7-13 in Big Ten play. Expectations were grounded to start this season, but USC has compiled a solid 7-0 start. There isn’t a signature win in that ledger, but USC has five top 150 wins and three top 100 wins, beating major conference teams Seton Hall and Arizona State in a 3-0 trip to Hawaii in late November tournament action. USC will face former Pac-12 rivals Oregon and Washington to open the Big Ten campaign, and it won’t be a shock if the Trojans can reach 13-0 before heading to Ann Arbor and East Lansing in back-to-back early January road tests.  Transition Teams – Indiana & Iowa: In coaching change seasons Indiana and Iowa have both delivered perfect starts to the season. Darian DeVries had a great run at Drake before one season at West Virginia. The roster has been compiled with mostly smaller conference transfers for the Hoosiers, but early season wins over Marquette and Kansas State offer some credibility. Indiana will be expected to start 2-0 in Big Ten play in December but will also face a couple of heavyweight non-conference tests that are likely to test the perfect start. Ben McCollum took over Drake last season when DeVries left for Morgantown and went 31-4 including a NCAA Tournament win. McCollum’s roster at Iowa also includes several small conference transfers as well and has offered a dramatic change of pace from Fran McCaffery’s Iowa teams. So far it is working with Iowa 7-0 including two top 100 wins in non-conference play. Iowa will have a headline-making opportunity opening the Big Ten season at Michigan State next week. 

Read more

Western Conference NBA Contenders – Real or Fake:

by Nelly's Sports

Thursday, Nov 27, 2025

The defending champion Thunder are off to a dominant start and should be expected to run away with the Western Conference lead in the regular season barring a major injury situation. There is a crowded pack of contenders behind the Thunder in the early season standings but not even a quarter of the way through the season, the schedules can be quite unbalanced. Here is a look at the next five teams in the current postseason picture and an assessment of the credibility of the start for these Western Conference contenders. #2 Los Angeles Lakers (13-4): The Lakers were the #3 seed in the Western Conference standings last season, but they wound up on top of a group of seven teams between 50-32 and 48-34 for an incredibly tight pack. Los Angeles made a big splash mid-season with the Luka Doncic trade, but the Lakers ultimately exited the playoffs quickly losing in five games to Minnesota. Doncic has averaged 35 points a game while Austin Reaves has made the leap to an All-Star level to carry the Lakers early in the season. LeBron James has only played three games so far as this group could have a very high ceiling. The Lakers are 8-2 on the road this season but the average scoring differential for the Lakers is just +3.5, seventh best in the Western Conference. The strength of schedule has also been mediocre so far, producing two wins vs. Minnesota to avenge last year’s playoff exit but losing games with Golden State and Oklahoma City by double-digit margins. While this is a likely playoff team with the potential to shine in a short-series format, this doesn’t look like a team that will finish in second place in the West. #3 Denver Nuggets (13-4): Denver led the West in the 2022-23 NBA season and then delivered an NBA championship. The Nuggets haven’t reached the same pace since and made the stunning move to fire Michael Malone with six games remaining in the regular season last April. Denver has strong scoring numbers in a 13-4 start that includes a 7-2 road record this season and 11 wins vs. fellow Western Conference teams. David Adelman’s team has not played a strong schedule, but the Nuggets are 6-1 in the toughest games including a win over Houston on the road in late November. The only loss against the top half of the league was the season opening overtime loss at Golden State. Denver’s schedule is rather favorable in December as the Nuggets could emerge as the #2 team in the conference in the coming weeks before hitting a brutal seven-game road trip bridging the 2025 calendar to 2026 as that upcoming east coast trip could take a toll. Denver still has four games remaining with Oklahoma City as well as the Nuggets are most likely to land right where they are in the end. #4 Houston Rockets (12-4): The Rockets finished as the #2 team in the Western Conference last season and this year’s team could look more than capable of that finish again. Houston has the second best average scoring differential in the NBA at this point in the season and the 12-4 record includes seven road wins and a top 10 strength of schedule. There may be some suspicion for this group in the postseason as Houston didn’t escape the opening round last season and so far in the 2025-26 schedule the Rockets haven’t performed well vs. top competition, going 2-4 vs. top 10 teams with wins over Cleveland and Orlando, but winless so far vs. top tier Western Conference teams. Kevin Durant has missed the team’s recent wins on the road over Phoenix and Golden State and Durant hasn’t shot up to the level of his career norms yet this season, as the Rockets have more potential than has been displayed so far this season. #5 San Antonio Spurs (12-5): If there is a team in the current top six that could miss the playoffs entirely by the end of the season it is the Spurs. The scoring numbers are modest and two thirds of the wins for the Spurs have come in home games. San Antonio has just one win vs. a top 10 team so far this season and has faced one of the weakest schedules in the league at this point. Victor Wembanyama has missed five games and isn’t expected back for several more weeks and the Spurs are likely to be cautious with their young superstar’s health. The December schedule does offer some challenging games as well including back-to-back games with the Thunder towards the end of the month. Since starting 5-0, the Spurs are just 7-5 though it is worth noting that San Antonio didn’t have De’Aaron Fox early in the season with Fox and Wembanyama on the court together for only four games so far this season. If the Spurs can hold a playoff spot and have their full roster in April, this group has some potential to make a run, but holding on to a top six spot through the injuries and a stiffening schedule is going to be difficult with several quality teams chasing in the early Western Conference picture. #6 Phoenix Suns (12-7): The Suns bottomed out last season, missing the postseason entirely with a 36-46 finish. All the key players for Phoenix missed significant time while the roster attempted a few moves that didn’t pan out. This year’s team has offered more potential even with Jalen Green only playing two games before getting injured and likely out several more weeks. Dillon Brooks has delivered a strong start to the season while Grayson Allen and Devin Booker remain elite shooters in the backcourt. Adding Mark Williams from Charlotte has also proven to be a positive addition so far as the Suns have competed well overall. Phoenix is just a .500 road team, and the +4.2 average scoring differential isn’t overly encouraging. The Suns do have 11 Western Conference wins and from starting 1-4 the Suns are 11-3 since. The schedule ranks as one of the weaker paths in the league at this point but Phoenix has two wins over San Antonio plus a win over Minnesota. Phoenix lost by 22-point margins to both Denver and Houston in the toughest tests so far, however. December will be telling about the trajectory of this team with a difficult upcoming schedule facing only top eight Western Conference teams in the next eight games. Minnesota and Golden State will be expected to challenge for top six spots in the coming months as proven playoff teams from recent years that have had mixed results early this season. Minnesota has struggled mightily against quality teams however in the early season schedule while the Warriors have more credibility in their early season record. Portland and Memphis have shown some signs to emerge as possible upstarts at the edge of the Western Conference playoff picture as well. 

Read more

Big Al's NCAA Football System of the Week

by Al McMordie

Thursday, Nov 27, 2025

The 2025 NCAA Football regular season wraps up (except for the Army/Navy game in two weeks) this weekend.  And the end of a season often provides great betting situations.  We'll look at one of them here for our NCAA Football System of the Week.It's a 'momentum' and 'revenge' system all wrapped into one.  What it does is plays on any revenge-minded underdog which scored more than 50 points in its previous game, in the regular season, at Game 9 forward.This system has rolled to a 92-64-3 ATS record over the last 46 years!  This Saturday, it has two active plays.  Let's take a look at each:Wake Forest +1 over DukeAuburn +6 over AlabamaThe Wake Forest Demon Deacons destroyed Delaware last week, 52-14, as an 18-point favorite.  And it plays with triple revenge from three narrow losses the past three seasons.  In 2022, the Deacs lost, 34-31.  Two years ago, they lost by three once again, 24-21.  And last year, they fell by six, 23-17.  This Saturday, it plays at Duke.The Iron Bowl has seen Alabama win each of the last five meetings, including 28-14 last season in Tuscaloosa.  Auburn put up 62 vs. overmatched Mercer, in a 45-point win, in last week's tune-up for its big rivalry game vs. Alabama.  It will be played at home, in Auburn.There is one subset of our system which performs best, and that is when our revenge-minded underdog is playing away from home.  Those teams have gone 61-37-2 ATS, while our home teams are 31-27-1 ATS.  The Deacons fit our 61-37-2 ATS subset.Good luck, as always,Al McMordie.

Read more

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2026 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.