by Al McMordie
Thursday, Nov 27, 2025The 2025 NCAA Football regular season wraps up (except for the Army/Navy game in two weeks) this weekend. And the end of a season often provides great betting situations. We'll look at one of them here for our NCAA Football System of the Week.
It's a 'momentum' and 'revenge' system all wrapped into one. What it does is plays on any revenge-minded underdog which scored more than 50 points in its previous game, in the regular season, at Game 9 forward.
This system has rolled to a 92-64-3 ATS record over the last 46 years! This Saturday, it has two active plays. Let's take a look at each:
Wake Forest +1 over Duke
Auburn +6 over Alabama
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons destroyed Delaware last week, 52-14, as an 18-point favorite. And it plays with triple revenge from three narrow losses the past three seasons. In 2022, the Deacs lost, 34-31. Two years ago, they lost by three once again, 24-21. And last year, they fell by six, 23-17. This Saturday, it plays at Duke.
The Iron Bowl has seen Alabama win each of the last five meetings, including 28-14 last season in Tuscaloosa. Auburn put up 62 vs. overmatched Mercer, in a 45-point win, in last week's tune-up for its big rivalry game vs. Alabama. It will be played at home, in Auburn.
There is one subset of our system which performs best, and that is when our revenge-minded underdog is playing away from home. Those teams have gone 61-37-2 ATS, while our home teams are 31-27-1 ATS. The Deacons fit our 61-37-2 ATS subset.
Good luck, as always,
Al McMordie.
It's a 'momentum' and 'revenge' system all wrapped into one. What it does is plays on any revenge-minded underdog which scored more than 50 points in its previous game, in the regular season, at Game 9 forward.
This system has rolled to a 92-64-3 ATS record over the last 46 years! This Saturday, it has two active plays. Let's take a look at each:
Wake Forest +1 over Duke
Auburn +6 over Alabama
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons destroyed Delaware last week, 52-14, as an 18-point favorite. And it plays with triple revenge from three narrow losses the past three seasons. In 2022, the Deacs lost, 34-31. Two years ago, they lost by three once again, 24-21. And last year, they fell by six, 23-17. This Saturday, it plays at Duke.
The Iron Bowl has seen Alabama win each of the last five meetings, including 28-14 last season in Tuscaloosa. Auburn put up 62 vs. overmatched Mercer, in a 45-point win, in last week's tune-up for its big rivalry game vs. Alabama. It will be played at home, in Auburn.
There is one subset of our system which performs best, and that is when our revenge-minded underdog is playing away from home. Those teams have gone 61-37-2 ATS, while our home teams are 31-27-1 ATS. The Deacons fit our 61-37-2 ATS subset.
Good luck, as always,
Al McMordie.
