Articles

CFB Four Teams to Buy Low ATS

by Kyle Hunter

Tuesday, Sep 29, 2026

Now that we have seen one third of the regular season in college football, I want to take a look at some teams that you might find value buying low ATS on a week to week basis.Georgia Tech (0-4 ATS Average ATS Margin -7.9 Points) Georgia Tech has actually played quite a few games close to the spread, but the average bettor is going to see a Power 4 team that hasn’t covered a spread and want to fade them. That is a dangerous way of thinking. I’ll look for spots to bet Georgia Tech as an underdog. Brent Key has been money in the bank in past years as an underdog. Georgia Tech looks to be an underdog in almost every game the rest of the season. Is this team good? No. Could they go on a point spread covering streak? Yes.Wyoming (1-3 ATS Average ATS Margin -7.8 Points) Wyoming started the season out playing some terrible football. The Cowboys looked much better this past weekend in defeating Hawaii at home. Wyoming is starting to get back to its old formula of running the football and trying to win lower scoring battles. They toyed with the idea of throwing and playing faster earlier in the season, and it just wasn’t working out. The Cowboys have an amazing home field advantage in Laramie, and they will sneak up on some teams.Texas Tech (1-3 ATS Average ATS Margin -10.3 Points) The Red Raiders aren’t quite the dominant force they were expected to be, but they are getting better by the week. I’d be real careful about writing off a team with this much potential. The Red Raiders are clearly the most talented team in the Big 12. If they can put it all together, I think they still have a chance to get red hot even on an ATS basis. The Red Raiders ground game has slowly been putting it together, and if that continues they’ll be really dangerous.Old Dominion (0-4 ATS Average ATS Margin -12.5 Points) Old Dominion is one of the best defenses in the Sun Belt. I do really like Ricky Rahne their head coach. They clearly miss Colton Joseph badly. He transferred to Wisconsin and helped the Badgers to their comeback win in State College. The Monarchs just don’t have another quarterback who can make a bunch of explosive plays. Old Dominion should be able to cover as an underdog with their defense down the stretch though.

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NFL Through 3 Weeks: What’s Real & What’s Fake?

by Jazz Ray

Tuesday, Sep 29, 2026

NFL Through 3 Weeks: What’s Real & What’s Fake? With every NFL team having now played three games, I thought it would be a good time to check in on what’s real and what’s fake. Sometimes wins and losses don’t tell the full story. Specifically, in this article, I will look at the 3-0 teams to see if they are truly as good as their undefeated records indicate. Conversely, we’ll look at the 0-3 teams and if things will continue to be dire moving forward.3-0 Teams …  Buffalo (For Real) - The Bills are not only 3-0 SU but also 3-0 ATS. They defeated the Chargers 24-16 last week despite committing five turnovers. It was the Bills’ first win when committing at least five turnovers since 1997. The eight-point margin of victory was the largest by any team that committed five turnovers in a game in the last 20 seasons. There’s an argument that the Bills could be 1-2 as most teams would have lost to the Chargers, plus Josh Allen was lucky to avoid an interception before throwing the game-winning TD in Week 1 vs. Houston. But in Allen we trust and this offense is the real deal. The defense, which allowed 31 points each of the first two games, remains a concern. This week, Buffalo has a chance to go up three games on reigning AFC East Champs New England.  Kansas City (For Real) - The Chiefs largely played with their food in Sunday’s 24-10 win over the Dolphins. There was a phantom roughing the passer call that went their way in the second half (of course) and that drive ended up with points when it should have been a situation where they punted the ball deep in their own territory. The real story on offense has not been the return of Patrick Mahomes, although that obviously is a big deal, but Kenneth Walker III in the run game. KW3 has 442 total yards through three games, 360 of it rushing. He forced 12 missed tackles against Miami. As expected, a healthy Chiefs team looks likely to bounce back from last year’s rare playoff miss.  Las Vegas (About To Find Out!) - The Raiders host the Chiefs this Sunday in a battle of 3-0 AFC West teams. The Silver and Black will be the underdogs, deservedly so, but QB Kirk Cousins seems reborn under the tutelage of 1st year HC Klint Kubiak. Cousins has thrown three touchdown passes in each of the first three games as this team has already matched its number of wins from last year! TE Brock Bowers returned last week, after missing the first two games, and led all receivers with 10 catches for 116 yards. It was a very impressive come from behind effort in New Orleans. Although, it should be pointed out the Raiders’ defense forced a turnover on each of the Saints’ final four drives. Mahomes and company will not be that charitable. Still, even if the Raiders lose this week, they can take solace in the fact that 75% of teams that start 3-0 make the playoffs.  Minnesota (Fake) - The Vikings may very well make the playoffs, and even win a very tough NFC North. But they’ve been extremely fortunate the first three weeks. Not many could have predicted they’d be the division favorite after newly acquired QB Kyler Murray went down early in Week 1. Murray did return for Sunday’s win in Tampa. But Kevin O’Connnel’s offense needs work. It was almost inexplicable that the Vikings scored 39 points in Week 1, averaging just 3.9 yards per play. After a 9-3 win in Chicago in Week 2, that was more about the Bears losing Caleb Williams, the Vikings offense never reached the red zone against Tampa Bay! Yet they still scored 23 points! A punt return for TD was the difference. The offense has yet to gain 250 total yards in any of the three games! Can the defense and special teams continue to prop up the Vikings?  San Francisco (For Real) - Although be aware that the Niners’ annual injury bug is starting to take hold. WR Mike Evans, LT Trent Williams and LB Dre Greenlaw all exited the 36-30 win over Arizona with injuries. None are expected to miss significant time, but it’s worth monitoring as DE Nick Bosa has already been ruled out for this week’s game vs. Denver. Injuries aside, the 49ers have arguably looked like the league’s most complete team through three weeks. The argument could be made that it helps facing both Miami and Arizona, the two teams projected for the lowest win totals in the league. 0-3 Teams  Miami (Real) - Coming into the season, we all knew the Dolphins wouldn’t be good. Not even a somewhat competitive effort against the Chiefs changes that mindset. RB De’Von Achane has been lost for the season to an ACL injury.  Tennessee (Real) - Another team that, as expected, is bad. Weather was a built-in excuse, but the offense managed only 54 yards and one first down in the first half against the Giants. The most depressing thing here is that last year’s #1 overall draft choice, QB Cam Ward, might not be any good. This on the heels of previously wasting a draft pick on Will Levis.  Houston (Fake) - The Texans are better than their 0-3 record as two of the losses were decided in the final two minutes and the other game (Cincinnati) saw them finish +107 in total yards. But they have a head coach who isn’t a very good in-game decision maker and QB CJ Stroud just isn’t improving. Most concerning of all is that the defense has been nowhere near as dominant as it was last season. There are some winnable upcoming games against the Titans, Giants, Chargers and Browns. So Houston should be back over .500 by midseason. They did start 0-3 last year and made the playoffs.  LA Chargers (Real) - Put a fork in this team. Buffalo basically tried handing the Chargers their first win of the season. Jim Harbaugh and Justin Herbert refused to take it. It’s almost unfathomable to finish +4 in turnovers and not win. The offense, under the direction of Mike McDaniel, looks awful. The upcoming schedule does the Chargers no favors. Their next six games are against: Seattle, Denver, Kansas City, the Rams, Houston and Baltimore. While unlikely, there’s a chance the Chargers could start 0-9. They likely won’t be favored in any of those upcoming games.  Tampa Bay (Real) - The Bucs are 0-3 and couldn’t protect Baker Mayfield, who is now hurt. They’ve failed to cover the spread in 12 consecutive games, going back to last year, which is a NFL record. Todd Bowles could be the first head coach to be fired this season. Now the Bucs have been pretty unlucky with all three losses coming by seven points or less. But, even in the always weak NFC South, this won’t be a playoff team. 

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CFB Four Teams Who Should Cool Off ATS

by Kyle Hunter

Tuesday, Sep 29, 2026

The college football regular season is one third of the way complete. I want to take a look at the teams who have been covering spreads at a high rate and by a wide margin. Are there some teams here we might be able to look to go against in the next few weeks?James Madison (4-0 ATS Average ATS Margin +18.3 Points) The Dukes are covering spreads by huge margins. The oddsmakers are trying hard to catch up. James Madison has been better than I expected this season, but I don’t think they can continue to keep this pace. James Madison has to play at Georgia Southern (tricky place to play), and then they host a Georgia State team that is far better than they were expected to be. James Madison travels to App State after that. App State has the best home field advantage in the Sun Belt. Mississippi State (4-0 ATS Average ATS Margin +14.5 Points) I like Super Kamario as much as anyone out there, but it is going to be tough for this Mississippi State team to keep covering these inflated spreads. The Bulldogs schedule the next four weeks is as brutal as you could possibly see. They must host Alabama this week. They then travel to Baton Rouge to take on LSU. They come home to host Oklahoma after that. The stretch finishes with a trip to Austin to take on the top rated Longhorns. North Texas (3-1 ATS Average ATS Margin +11.0 Points) Here’s a team I was clearly too low on coming into the season. Tayven Jackson and the North Texas offense have been far better than I expected. North Texas still has a very weak defense though, and I think the market is quickly catching up to North Texas. I see several road spots on this schedule where they should give up a bunch of points. North Texas goes to Navy to take on the option attack of the Midshipmen. The Mean Green also travel to play UTSA, and the Roadrunners are excellent on their home field. North Texas still isn’t a good team, and the point spread tax will be high here.Louisiana (3-0-1 ATS Average ATS Margin +9.9 Points) Louisiana is a good team, but they aren’t a team built to win games by huge margins. They play a weak schedule and will be a big favorite several times in the next few weeks. The tempo they play is so slow that it typically makes it hard for them to extend the margin of the game. Louisiana still has a below average defense that will allow other teams to get the back door cover also. I’m selling high on Louisiana.

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Five Defining NFL Observations Through Week 3

by Vegas Writer

Tuesday, Sep 29, 2026

Three weeks cannot define an NFL season, but the evidence is harder to dismiss. Buffalo, Kansas City, Las Vegas, Minnesota and San Francisco are the five unbeaten teams, each reaching 3-0 through a different formula.Philadelphia and Seattle fell from that group in Week 3, reinforcing how quickly perceptions can change.The weekend produced five winning scores in the final three minutes, three double-digit comebacks and another demonstration that quarterback depth can transform a mismatch.Las Vegas erased an 11-point deficit, Denver stunned Los Angeles, Baltimore won on the final play in Brazil and Washington shocked the defending champions without its starting quarterback. Chicago closed the week by overwhelming Philadelphia behind 38-year-old backup Case Keenum.These are not September verdicts or reactions to one Sunday. They are five observations supported by performance, personnel and patterns that have begun to emerge across the NFL through three weeks of the 2026 season.1. The five unbeaten teams have earned their records in different waysBuffalo, Kansas City, Las Vegas, Minnesota, and San Francisco make up the NFL’s remaining perfect class, but their paths to 3-0 have been anything but identical.The Bills overcame five turnovers and a 10-0 deficit to defeat the Chargers, 24-16. Josh Allen rushed for two touchdowns for the third consecutive game, becoming one of four players in league history to open a season with multiple rushing scores in each of his first three games. Buffalo also became one of 10 teams since the 1970 merger to begin 3-0 against three opponents that posted winning records the previous season.Kansas City has demonstrated greater control. After escaping Indianapolis in overtime, the Chiefs limited Miami to 10 points and improved to 3-0 behind another efficient performance from Patrick Mahomes.San Francisco’s offense has scored at least 35 points in consecutive games. Minnesota continues to win through defense and situational football, holding Tampa Bay to 16 points Sunday.Then there is Las Vegas, the group’s most surprising member. The Raiders trailed New Orleans by 11 points in the second half, then scored 19 unanswered points to win 35-27. Kirk Cousins threw three touchdown passes, Brock Bowers caught 10 passes for 116 yards and a score in his season debut and the defense forced four turnovers.Three victories don't guarantee contention, but these records aren't built entirely on favorable bounces. Each unbeaten team has already shown at least one sustainable strength, and the Raiders have shown they belong in the conversation.2. Quarterback depth is already changing the competitive mapWashington and Chicago supplied the clearest evidence that a credible backup quarterback can preserve far more than one game.With Jayden Daniels unavailable, Marcus Mariota threw three touchdown passes as Washington stunned defending champion Seattle, 33-31. The Commanders generated only 229 total yards compared with Seattle’s 437, but Mariota protected the football, converted scoring opportunities and gave Washington enough functional offense to capitalize on three Seahawks turnovers.Case Keenum delivered an even greater surprise Monday night. Making his first regular-season appearance since 2023 in place of Caleb Williams, the 38-year-old completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing score in Chicago’s 27-7 demolition of previously unbeaten Philadelphia. The Bears controlled possession for nearly 37 minutes, committed no turnovers and forced three. Keenum also tied Ryan Fitzpatrick’s NFL record by winning starts for seven different franchises.The lesson extends beyond two upsets. New York lost Jaxson Dart on its opening possession against the Rams in Week 2 and produced only six points. The Giants then won without him in Week 3, but needed four Dominic Zvada field goals and a defensive stand to defeat Tennessee, 12-7.Quarterback depth cannot replicate elite talent, but it can preserve a season. Washington and Chicago were prepared to adjust their identities around experienced replacements. Teams without that flexibility are one injury away from watching an otherwise competitive roster become severely limited.3. The league’s narrow margins are rewarding resilience and punishing mistakesFive teams - Baltimore, Cleveland, Detroit, Indianapolis and Pittsburgh - produced a winning score during the final three minutes of the fourth quarter Sunday. Buffalo, Las Vegas and Denver each overcame a deficit of at least 10 points.Baltimore’s 34-31 victory over Dallas provided the most dramatic finish. After the Cowboys tied the game with seven seconds remaining, Lamar Jackson completed a 27-yard pass to Zay Flowers before Tyler Loop kicked a 56-yard field goal as time expired in the NFL’s first regular-season game in Rio de Janeiro.Denver rallied past the Rams, 30-26, while Pittsburgh capitalized on a late Cincinnati turnover to win, 30-27. Indianapolis earned its first victory on Spencer Shrader’s 53-yard field goal, and Detroit survived after surrendering a 14-point advantage to the Jets.Seattle’s defeat illustrated the other side of competitive balance. Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 10 passes for 128 yards and two touchdowns, helping the Seahawks outgain Washington by 208 yards, but three turnovers erased that statistical dominance.Early-season comebacks can be dismissed as volatility, but they also show composure. Teams capable of protecting the football, executing in the final two minutes and producing one decisive special-teams or defensive play will continue winning games in which they are not statistically superior.The NFL’s margin for error remains unforgiving. Week 3 showed that the team controlling most of the game does not necessarily control its outcome.4. Versatile playmakers are becoming the league’s most difficult matchup problemThe modern NFL increasingly belongs to offensive players who cannot be defined by one position or one assignment.Jahmyr Gibbs produced 164 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns in Detroit’s 31-24 victory over the Jets. His game-winning score came through the passing game, where his speed and route-running overwhelmed New York’s linebackers. Gibbs now has five career games with at least three touchdowns, tying Jim Brown and Todd Gurley for the most by a player before turning 25.Allen remains the ultimate position-less weapon. His rushing ability changes Buffalo’s mathematics near the goal line, forcing defenses to account for the quarterback as both the primary passer and a short-yardage runner.Bowers immediately changed the Raiders’ offense upon returning from a knee injury. Las Vegas moved him throughout the formation, created favorable matchups and repeatedly gave Cousins a dependable target during its second-half comeback.Christian McCaffrey surpassed 100 yards from scrimmage again as San Francisco defeated Arizona, 36-30. George Kittle caught two of Brock Purdy’s four touchdown passes, demonstrating how many different defensive problems the 49ers can create from the same personnel grouping.These are more than productive individual performances. Gibbs, Allen, Bowers, McCaffrey and Kittle force opponents to declare coverages, alter personnel and defend every area of the field. Their versatility creates schematic advantages before the ball is snapped—and those advantages appear sustainable.5. The AFC is already developing a sharp divideBuffalo, Kansas City and Las Vegas are 3-0. The Chargers, Dolphins and Texans are 0-3. That early separation has created urgency in a conference where playoff spots were expected to be fiercely contested.The Chargers have faced a difficult opening schedule, but their loss in Buffalo extended a winless start marked by recurring issues finishing possessions. Miami scored only 10 points against Kansas City and still has not won. Houston fell to Indianapolis, 19-17, despite entering the season with postseason expectations.A 0-3 record is not mathematically fatal, but it leaves almost no room for a prolonged adjustment period. Since the NFL expanded its postseason field in 2020, recovering from three opening losses has remained exceptionally difficult. Those teams must now play winning football immediately while hoping the conference’s early leaders regress.Buffalo and Kansas City were expected to contend. Las Vegas changes the equation because its emergence potentially adds another credible AFC playoff challenger. The Raiders have won on the road, protected the football when it mattered and generated pressure without relying heavily on the blitz. They have also shown the ability to rally when their initial game plan fails.Three weeks do not determine the playoff field, but they can create consequences that last through December. The AFC’s unbeaten teams have established valuable separation, while the Chargers, Dolphins and Texans are no longer dealing with disappointing starts. They are confronting legitimate threats to their seasons.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NHL, MLB, WNBA and UEFA Nations League Previews and Odds - 09/29/26

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Sep 29, 2026

The Tuesday sports card features MLB, NHL, WNBA, and UEFA Nations League action. The Major League Baseball postseason begins the best-of-three Wild Card round of the playoffs with four games. The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on NBC at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Braves send out Chris Sale to pitch against the Phillies Jesus Luzardo. Atlanta is a -205 money-line favorite with the total set at 6.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Houston Astros play at home against the Chicago White Sox on Peacock and the NBC Sports Network at 5:10 p.m. ET. A.J. Blubaugh takes the ball for the Astros to face Hagen Smith for the White Sox. Houston is a -122 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The New York Yankees are at home to take on the Boston Red Sox on NBC at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Yankees tap Cam Schlittler to duel against the Red Sox’s Payton Tolle. New York is a -145 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The San Diego Padres host the Chicago Cubs on Peacock and NBC Sports Network at 10:10 p.m. ET. Michael King takes the mound for the Padres to challenge Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. San Diego is a -126 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The National Hockey League drops the puck to begin its 2026-2027 season with five games. The Carolina Hurricanes play at home against the Florida Panthers on ESPN at 5:10 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs are at home to face the Montreal Canadiens at 7:10 p.m. ET as a -118 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Boston Bruins host the New Rangers on ESPN at 8:10 p.m. ET as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Edmonton Oilers play at home against the Vancouver Canucks at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -290 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Vegas Golden Knights are at home to battle the Chicago Blackhawks at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -290 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5.The WNBA continues its postseason with two games on tap in the first round of the playoffs in its best-of-three series using a 1-1-1 home-court structure. The Indiana Fever host the Las Vegas Aces on Amazon Prime Video at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Aces took a 1-0 lead in this series with their 102-85 win at home as a 4.5-point favorite on Sunday. Indiana is a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 183.5. The Minnesota Lynx travel to New York to play the Liberty on the USA Network and CNBC at 8:40 p.m. ET. The Liberty have a 1-0 lead in this series after their 91-75 upset win on the road as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday. Minnesota is a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 172.5.Eight matches take place in the UEFA Nations League. Faroe Islands play at Moldova at noon ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5.Seven more matches begin at 2:45 p.m. ET. England is on the road against the Czech Republic as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Spain plays at home against Croatia as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Switzerland is on the road against Scotland as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Slovenia is at home against North Macedonia as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Bulgaria hosts Estonia as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Iceland visits Luxembourg as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Albania plays at San Marino as a -2.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3.5. 

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5 NBA Futures Bets to Make Before the Season Begins:

by William Burns

Monday, Sep 28, 2026

Over the past couple of seasons, I've made an article with NBA futures to make prior to the season and have hit on some big one's including Stephon Castle (at +1000) to win the ROTY award in 2024-25. Here in the 2026-27 season, I've officially got my "five future bets" locked and loaded. Make these bets ASAP before the good odds go away! (Odds via. DraftKings Sportsbook)----------------1.) Ausar Thompson To Be Named First Team All-Defensive (-165)Considering what he did last season with the Detroit Pistons, there's no doubt in my mind that Ausar Thompson's defense is going to continue to improve. Making 1st-Team all defense was an outstanding accomplishment in 2025-26 & I expect Ausar to have another phenomenal campaign in 2026-27. The Pistons will be one of the best in the East again this season, even if Duren doesn't decide to come back. These odds are too good to pass up on in my eyes. 2.) Caleb Wilson To Win Rookie Of The Year (+350)Out of all of the top four rookies in this class, I believe that Caleb Wilson might just end up as the best of the bunch. He's got all of the confidence in the world & joins a Bulls team that's ready for him to make an immediate impact. Josh Giddey & Matas Buzelis are the other two key pieces at the moment. That means that Wilson can slot right into the starting lineup with ease & I expect him to pick up right where he left off before being injured last season in the NCAA. At +350, I believe that these odds are phenomenal. 3.)  Charlotte Hornets Under 39.5 Wins (-120)Charlotte was one of the more explosive team's last season with a lot of three balls & a lot of alley-oops. That's fun basketball right there. Even though he's injury prone and doesn't play every game in the season, losing a player like LaMelo Ball could very well be demoralizing for an up and coming franchise. Don't get me wrong, there's still a lot of strong pieces to this team including Kon Knueppel & Brandon Miller. But, this could definitely end up as a rebuilding year for the Hornets with all of the talent coming into the Eastern Conference. 4.) Nikola Jokic To Win MVP (+500)At +500, I'm willing to roll the dice on perhaps the most skilled big man that this game has ever seen. The 3-time MVP has most definitely already shown what he's capable of in this league, winning a championship and winning this award on three difference occasions. However, there's been a lot of rising superstar talent that he's had to compete with, making it difficult to continue winning. With players needing to play a certain amount of games though, anything can happen. I am a huge Jokic fan and I think he has as good of a chance as anyone of winning his 4th MVP. 5.) Oklahoma City Thunder To Win The Championship (+270)Last season, Oklahoma City came up short in the postseason and allowed San Antonio to get a taste of the NBA Finals. However, the Spurs also couldn't finish the deal, with the Knicks taking the 2025-26 NBA Championship. This season, I expect a rejuvenated Thunder squad to go all the way once again. This is a team that continues to get better, with Aday Mara & Bennett Stirtz coming in as rookies. Jared McCain will also have a full season with this group & the sky is the limit for Ajay Mitchell. This is a team that most definitely should be competing for the title and there's a great chance that they win again. Burns' Current Champion Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder 

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American League Wild Card Aces

by Nelly's Sports

Monday, Sep 28, 2026

In a three-game wild card series, one dominant starting pitching effort can be the difference. Here is a look at the recent form and playoff history of some of the most likely impactful starting pitchers in the American League Wild Card round.  Cam Schlittler – New York Yankees The MLB debut of Schlittler was less than 15 months ago but he has proven himself considerably as the likely AL Cy Young winner in his first full season as a starting pitcher, posting a 1.95 ERA in 33 starts with an 11.1 K/9. Schlittler had a dominant run to close the season with nine consecutive starts allowing no more than one run for a 1.17 ERA since early August. Schlittler answered the call in the postseason last season with an eight-inning gem against the Red Sox to win Game 3 in the Wild Card series, and he had a decent start in New York’s eventual loss in Game 4 of the ALDS vs. Toronto as his postseason ERA is 1.26 in the small sample size. Schlittler started against Boston four times this season and allowed two earned runs in over 26 innings of work as he will be the obvious choice to lead New York at the start of this series.  Payton Tolle – Boston Red Sox After posting a 6.06 ERA in seven appearances last season, Tolle emerged as Boston’s top starter this season, helping offset the Garrett Crochet injury that cost the Red Sox last season’s ace most of the season. Tolle is only 23 years old, and he has not yet pitched in the postseason. Tolle did deliver two excellent starts vs. the Yankees this season with 13 innings pitched and one run and four hits allowed combined, though both starts were at Fenway Park and he has never pitched at Yankee Stadium. Tolle had a 2.50 ERA in 72 road innings, and he could face a depleted New York lineup with Aaron Judge still a significant question mark. New York did go 35-20 vs. left-handed starters this season but the splits were unremarkable, particularly late in the season.  Hunter Brown – Houston Astros Brown might be slotted to start Game 2 of this series having pitched Friday in Sacramento as Houston’s playoff position came down to the final day of the regular season. Brown missed a big chunk of the 2025 season but remains the top starter for Houston, finishing with a 3.19 ERA and a 10.4 K/9. He had a 3.07 road ERA and a 2.73 in September while delivering 13 innings with just two runs allowed in a pair of wins vs. the White Sox this season. Brown had a terrific 2025 season for Houston, and he has plenty of postseason experience. Brown pitched in relief in Houston’s 2022 championships season though he didn’t pitch in the World Series, while he also pitched out of the bullpen in the 2023 postseason for the Astros. His only playoff start was a solid effort last season despite a loss in the Wild Card round vs. Detroit with Brown owning a 1.65 postseason ERA in over 16 innings of work.  Sean Burke – Chicago White Sox Burke finished with a 9.7 K/9 and a 3.34 ERA this season in a breakout season at age 26. Burke had strong road splits with a 2.58 ERA, and he had a 3.24 ERA after the All-Star Break. Four of his five September starts were excellent as Chicago earned a playoff position in a crowded AL race, though Chicago surrendered the division title to Cleveland. Burke had good numbers vs. the Astros with 16 strikeouts in just under 12 innings of work including a scoreless effort in Houston on September 1. Burke made his MLB debut in 2024 and has only pitched for the White Sox as he does not have any postseason experience as he faces an 81-81 Astros team, though Houston was 65-56 vs. right-handed starters this season. In the key matchup, Yordan Alvarez doesn’t have a hit in six at-bats vs. Burke, though he has walked three times vs. Burke. 

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National League Wild Card Aces

by Nelly's Sports

Monday, Sep 28, 2026

In a three-game wild card series, one dominant starting pitching effort can be the difference. Here is a look at the recent form and playoff history of some of the most likely impactful starting pitchers in the National League Wild Card round.  Chris Sale – Atlanta Braves Sale won an overdue Cy Young award in his first season with Atlanta in 2024, but he couldn’t pitch in the postseason with back spasms. After an abbreviated campaign in 2025, he solidified his Hall of Fame credentials with a fantastic 2026 season, finishing with a 2.16 ERA with 200 strikeouts and likely an eighth season in which he’ll finish in the top five of the Cy Young voting. Sale pitched the last out of the World Series win with Boston in 2018, but he doesn’t have a strong postseason history, featuring a 6.35 ERA in 34 innings including seven postseason starts, all with the Red Sox. Sale completed six innings in 19 different starts this season, but he has never done that in the postseason. He does have great numbers vs. the Phillies this season with a just six earned runs over 26 innings and he has a dominant 1.66 ERA in 87 innings at Truist Park this season.  Jesus Luzardo – Philadelphia Phillies The Phillies needed Zach Wheeler to pitch Sunday in Game 162 as he won’t be available to start early in the Wild Card round. Cristopher Sanchez pitched Friday and has been inconsistent late in the season as Luzardo may be the most important starter for the Phillies in the Wild Card round. A great talent that had inconsistent results early in his career, Luzardo has settled into great form in two seasons with Philadelphia. His 2026 line features a 2.86 ERA and an 11.1 K/9 and he had strong results down the stretch despite missing time in September with a shoulder issue. He pitched an inning in Sunday’s regular season finale to prove healthy and get back on a big league mound, and his last start was a nine-inning complete game vs. the Braves, who he also pitched well against in two starts last season. Since late June, Luzardo has a 1.65 ERA while going 8-1 in decisions. For the season he had a 1.76 ERA in his road innings as he can be the difference maker in helping Philadelphia to win a game early in this series.  Michael King – San Diego Padres King lacks the big strikeout counts and proven track record of a typical postseason ace, but he had a 3.21 ERA in 185 innings this season for San Diego. His FIP was 4.13 and his K/9 fell to just 7.7 this season, a big drop from his career average. King pitched only one inning in the postseason for San Diego last season, and his two playoff starts in 2024 were a mixed bag even though San Diego won both of those games. In Game 1 of the NL Wild Card round in 2024 King struck out 12 on the way to seven scoreless innings to beat Atlanta. His NLDS start was a 6-5 San Diego win vs. the Dodgers but King allowed five runs in five innings as his career postseason ERA is 3.00, adding two scoreless innings early in his career with the Yankees. King allowed five runs against the Dodgers in his final regular season start but he has a 2.74 home ERA and a 2.93 ERA since the All-Star Break. Other than the single inning last season in the playoffs, King hasn’t faced the Cubs since 2023 to provide some unfamiliarity to the top scoring offense in baseball. Matthew Boyd – Chicago Cubs The Padres finished only 20-21 vs. left-handed starters this season and Boyd sits with great postseason numbers, holding a 1.66 ERA in six starts and a brief relief appearance in his postseason career since 2022. Boyd started the Game 1 win vs. the Padres in the Wild Card round last season in Chicago but he had a disastrous start in Game 1 of the NLDS last season vs. the Brewers, though four of the six runs he allowed were unearned. He did bounce back in that series with a strong Game 4 start, and he had a solid 2026 season in 22 starts for the Cubs. His ERA closed at 3.91 for a higher figure than most playoff aces enter the postseason with, but he had a 2.86 road ERA and a 3.57 ERA since the All-Star Break. Boyd allowed eight runs in nine innings against San Diego this season but those starts were in April and June. Boyd isn’t likely to be a postseason hero for the Cubs, but he can provide a solid start to give Chicago’s offense an opportunity to win a key game in this series.       

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL and UEFA Nations League Previews and Odds - 09/28/26

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Sep 28, 2026

The Monday sports card features NFL action and the UEFA Nations League. Week 3 in the NFL concludes with one game. The Philadelphia Eagles travel to Chicago to play the Bears on ABC/ESPN at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Eagles opened their season with a 23-22 win at home against the Washington Commanders as a 6-point favorite two weeks. They followed that up last Sunday with a 24-20 victory on the road in Tennessee against the Titans as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bears kicked off their season with a 59-37 victory on the road in Carolina against the Panthers as a 3-point favorite. Their record dropped to 1-1 last week with a 9-3 upset loss at home against the Minnesota Vikings as a 4.5-point underdog last Sunday. Quarterback Caleb Williams is out with a groin injury. Tyson Bagent cleared the concussion protocol and is available to play, yet Case Keenum is expected to be Chicago’s starting quarterback after practice with the first team offense all week. Philadelphia is a 3.5-point road favorite with the total set at 41.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Eight matches take place in the UEFA Nations League. Three games start at noon ET. Georgia hosts Ukraine as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Latvia plays at home against Cyprus as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Montenegro plays at Armenia as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Five more UEFA Nations League matches begin at 2:45 p.m. ET.       France is on the road to take on Belgium as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3.5. Sweden is at home to face Poland as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Italy visits Poland as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Romania hosts Bosnia and Herzegovina as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Hungary plays on the road against Northern Ireland as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. The first round of the WNBA playoffs takes the day off for travel after Sunday’s four opening games in its best-of-three series using a 1-1-1 home-court structure. With the regular season in Major League Baseball ending yesterday, Monday is a travel day before the first pitch is thrown in the opening games of the four Wild Card playoff series on Tuesday. The NHL will drop the puck on the new 2026-2027 season tomorrow with five games. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: WNBA, NFL, MLB and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/27/26

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Sep 27, 2026

The Sunday sports card features NFL, MLB, WNBA, and EPL action. Week 3 in the NFL continues with 14 games. Nine NFL games kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Seattle Seahawks travel to Washington to play the Commanders as a 7.5-point road favorite with the total set at 40.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Carolina Panthers play in Cleveland against the Browns as a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 42.5. The Houston Texans are on the road in Indianapolis to play the Colts as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 42.5. The Cincinnati Bengals visit Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 42.5. The Detroit Lions host the New York Jets as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5. The New York Giants play at home against the Tennessee Titans as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 37.5. The Jacksonville Jaguars are at home to face the New England Patriots as a 3-point favorite with a total of 45.5. The Buffalo Bills hosts the Los Angeles Chargers as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 49.5. The Kansas City Chiefs play in Miami to challenge the Dolphins as a 10-point road favorite with a total of 45.5. Four NFL games start in the second afternoon window. Two NFL games start at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Vikings are on the road in Tampa Bay to battle the Buccaneers as a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 42.5. The San Francisco 49ers play at home against the Arizona Cardinals as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 47.5. Two more NFL games begin at 4:25 p.m. ET. The New Orleans Saints are at home to take on the Las Vegas Raiders as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 43.5. The Baltimore Ravens are the technical road team when they play the Dallas Cowboys at Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, at 4:25 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 53.5. Sunday Night Football on NBC features the Los Angeles Rams traveling to Denver to play the Broncos at 8:20 p.m. ET. The Rams are a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 43.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games scheduled for the final day of the regular season. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:05 p.m. ET. The New York Mets play in Washington against the Nationals, with both teams priced as -110 money-line favorites with a total of 8.5. The New York Yankees host the Baltimore Orioles as a -137 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. Four MLB games begin at 3:05 p.m. ET. The Boston Red Sox play at home against the Chicago Cubs. The Philadelphia Phillies are at home to face the Tampa Bay Rays as a -137 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Houston Astros are on the road to take on the Athletics. The Los Angeles Dodgers visit San Francisco to play the Giants. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Cincinnati Reds at 3:07 p.m. ET as a -178 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Eight games conclude the MLB card at 3:10 p.m. ET. The Chicago  White Sox play at home against the Colorado Rockies as a -225 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Texas Rangers are on the road to face the Minnesota Twins as a -126 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Cleveland Guardians travel to Kansas City to play the Royals as a -149 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves play in Miami to challenge the Marlins as a -112 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Seattle Mariners are at home to battle the Los Angeles Angels as a -186 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Pittsburgh Pirates are in Detroit to play the Tigers as a -131 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Milwaukee Brewers host the St. Louis Cardinals as a -250 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The San Diego Padres play at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The WNBA tips off its postseason with four games on tap in the first round of the playoffs in four best-of-three series using a 1-1-1 home-court structure. The Minnesota Lynx are at home to face the New York Liberty on ABC at 2:00 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 173.5. The Las Vegas Aces host the Indiana Fever on ABC at 4:00 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 183.5. The Atlanta Dream plays at home against the Washington Mystics on Amazon Prime Video at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 164.5. The Golden State Valkyries are at home to battle the Dallas Wings on the USA Network at 9:00 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 154.5.

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5 NHL Future Bets to Make Before the Season Begins:

by William Burns

Saturday, Sep 26, 2026

The NHL season begins on Tuesday & I'm very excited about this upcoming year. There's a lot of new faces in different situations & tons of players with new contracts as well.  Here are five NHL Future Bets that you must make prior to the beginning of the 2026-27 campaign. *All Odds via. DraftKings Sportsbook.----------------1.) Macklin Celebrini To Record 105+ Points (-130)Officially named captain of the San Jose Sharks for the upcoming season, I'm expecting Macklin Celebrini to have his best season yet. He's Canada's next biggest thing & very much could challenge for the Hart Trophy this year. I also believe that San Jose will compete for a playoff spot this season. There's lots of things going in the way of Celebrini for this year and he's already coming off a campaign where he finished with 115 points. There's no question that he can eclipse the 105 mark this time around. 2.) Nick Suzuki To Win The Frank J. Selke Award (+400)Alexander Barkov enters this year as the favorite to win this award. Although I believe that the Panther could most definitely do so, these odds on Nick Suzuki are way too good to pass up on. Montreal's expected to be one of the best teams in the NHL this upcoming campaign & I'm anticipating the captain to play a huge part in that success. Last year, Suzuki won this award. He's going to be the main defensive forward for the Canadiens again this season. I'll take +400 easily. 3.) Florida Panthers To Win The Stanley Cup (+650)While I'm between the Florida Panthers & the Montreal Canadiens to win the Stanley Cup this season, the addition of Brady Tkachuk & the return of Alexander Barkov should definitely help Florida get back to the top of the standings. The Panthers ended up missing the playoffs last season due to all of the injuries. That being said, when Brad Marchand returns, Florida should be one of the league's best. Sergei Bobrovsky leaves. But, the Panthers add Jacob Markstrom. FLA wins the cup this season. 4.) Montreal Over 98.5 Points (-110)After putting up 106 points a season ago, the Montreal Canadiens are going to be even better this season. There's no question that the Eastern Conference has gotten stronger with NYR improving & Florida back on Stanley Cup radar. I do believe that the Canadiens can still post the best record during the regular season though. The Canadiens are extremely well coached & add Chris Kreider to the roster. He's a veteran presence that will provide a ton of points as well. I expect more than 100 points with ease here. 5.) Ottawa Senators Under 94.5 Points (-115) Like I mentioned a couple of paragraphs ago, the Senators lost Brady Tkachuk in the offseason to the Florida Panthers. Ottawa is pretty much the same other than that. However, the Senators are simply not going to be the same team. They managed 99 points last season & I think that Brady was a huge part in that. I will be shocked of the Sens score more than 92 points this season. Burns' Stanley Cup Winner Prediction: Florida Panthers

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AAA's Top Five Starting Pitching Rotations For The Playoffs

by AAA Sports

Saturday, Sep 26, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers  The Pitchers ~ Yamamoto , Skubal, Snell  and Glasnow  (later rounds.)From both a lineup and a pitching standpoint, there's no question that we think that the Dodgers have the best pitching rotation in the MLB. Ohtani won't pitch again during the postseason. But, the Dodgers added Tarik Skubal from the Detroit Tigers at the trade deadline. That acquisition alone definitely puts fear into opposing teams. Yoshinobu Yamamoto will probably lead the way, considering what he did in the playoffs last season. Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow will round out the playoff rotation with lots of starting pitching talent in the bullpen. Hopefully Edwin Diaz can perform at this time of the year.  New York Yankees  The Pitchers ~ Schlittler, Fried, Cole and RodonThe projected AL Cy Young Award winner of this season (Cam Schlittler) will lead the way for the New York Yankees in this upcoming playoffs. The Yanks have a date with their rivals in the Boston Red Sox, so pitching will definitely play a big part. Along with Schlittler will be Max Fried, Garrit Cole and Carlos Rodon. Ryan Weathers and Will Warren could also see some time out of the bullpen for New York. Depending on the opposing teams starters, we could see Aaron Boone change the rotation for good matchups.  Tampa Bay Rays The Pitchers ~ Rasmussen, Martinez, Peralta + (McLanahan/Jax/Seymour) This might have been the best starting rotation in the MLB in 2026. Led by Drew Rasmussen... Nick Martinez, Shane McLanahan, Griffin Jax and Ian Seymour have all played a huge part in the success of the Tampa Bay Rays. They are the top seed in the American League for a reason and I think that they definitely could make a run at the World Series trophy if everything is clicking. Freddy Peralta hasn't had his best season. But, Tampa is sure going for it after adding him to the rotation at the deadline. Milwaukee Brewers   The Pitchers ~ Misiorowski, Henderson, Harrison, and May Every single year, it seems like Milwaukee produces a new pitching talent. There's been plenty of great pitchers come out of the Brewers pitching staff over the past decade with guys like Freddy Peralta, Corbin Burnes and now Jacob Misiorowski leading the charge. Now, Logan Henderson has become one of the top pitchers in the league. With home field advantage, the Brewers are going to have all of the confidence in the world with a 54-25 home record this season. This will be a hard team to beat if the pitching staff performs anything like it had during the regular season. Philadelphia Phillies   The Pitchers ~ Sanchez , Wheeler, Luzardo and Nola Philadelphia once again has a really strong pitching group, even without Ranger Suarez. Cristopher Sanchez made history this season for the most consecutive scoreless innings ( 50 2/3 ) in Phillies franchise history. Zack Wheeler is back this year after being injured for the big part of last season. Jesus Luzardo and Aaron Nola round out the rotation with Andrew Painter in the mix as well. The addition of Luis Arraez offensively will also give Philadelphia a boost. This is a really strong group. Our World Series Pick:Tampa Bay Rays 

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