Articles

The Late Season Surging Los Angeles Chargers Defense

by Team Del Genio

Wednesday, Dec 28, 2022

The Los Angeles Chargers are playing their best defense in the two seasons under head coach Brandon Staley, just in time for the playoffs next month. The improved play may be due to the players-only meetings instigated that started earlier in December. When noticing that the defense was allowing opposing rushers to average 5.44 yards per carry, veteran linebacker Kyle Van Noy called a players-only meeting on the Thursday before their game with the Las Vegas Raiders. The results were not immediate. The Chargers lost that game, 27-20, with Josh Jacobs running the ball 26 times for 144 yards. Yet the players decided to make the players-only meeting a weekly event three days before game day (usually Thursday after practice, with the players-only meeting taking place on Friday last week due to the Monday night kickoff). Before that Monday night game in Indianapolis against the Colts, the numbers were indicating that the Chargers’ defense had begun to turn things around. They had allowed only 31 points in their two previous games with those opponents averaging only 251.5 total yards per game. They are still giving up 4.76 yards per carry, a modest improvement, yet their last two opponents have averaged only 109.5 rushing yards per game. The results against the pass have been much better as they have held their last two opponents to 141 passing yards per game. The defense has been hit hard by injuries, yet they are starting to get healthy again. Safety Derwin James played on Monday for the first time since week 13 (only briefly before being kicked out of the game for an illegal hit). The Chargers got back cornerback Bryce Callahan and defensive lineman Sebastian Joseph-Day as well after all three players took part in practice and had their names removed from the injured list last week. That bodes well for them in the days ahead. Los Angeles may have then played their best defensive game of the season in a 20-3  victory against the Colts on Monday. The Chargers held Indianapolis to just the one field goal and only ten first downs. Indianapolis managed to gain only 173 total yards of offense. Nick Foles was making his first start of the season for the Colts, and the former Super Bowl-winning quarterback completed 17 of 29 passes but for only 143 yards. Los Angeles picked off three of his passes. The Chargers held Indianapolis to only 69 rushing yards from their 14 carries. While that 4.93 yards per carry average for the Colts is not great from an efficiency standpoint, holding Indianapolis to below 70 rushing yards continues their recent ability to get their defense off the field. The Colts were on offense for just 26:06 minutes in the game. Los Angeles has now held their last three opponents to just 11.3 points per game and 225.3 yards per game. These opponents averaged only 4.7 yards per play. Their opponents are still averaging 4.8 yards per carry in the running game, yet they are only running the ball 20 times per game and getting 96 yards per game from their rushing attack. Perhaps most importantly, despite having their defense on the field for 29:45 minutes per game this season, the Chargers have lowered that number by almost three minutes per game by being on the field for only 25:53 minutes per game in these most recent three games. Whether it is because of the schemes of Staley and his defensive coaching staff or the increased accountability of the players on defense, the Chargers' defense is finally starting to meet the expectations from when they hired Staley away from the Rams when he was their defensive coordinator. With a healthy Derwin James running the defense (and Joey Bosa expected to get healthy and back on the field soon) and Justin Herbert lurking on offense, it is this Los Angeles team this season that has the makings of a potential deep run in the playoffs.Good luck - TDG.

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A Case for Ohio State to Win the National Championship

by Oskeim Sports

Wednesday, Dec 28, 2022

As a result of Utah's resounding 47-24 victory over the then-No. 4-ranked USC Trojans in the Pac-12 championship game, Ohio State took the fourth and final spot in the College Football Playoff. The Buckeyes could win it all. Ohio State head coach Ryan Day wasted little time in letting the college football world know what to expect from his team. There are those that will scrutinize Day and the Buckeyes for backing into the playoff. Remember, the Buckeyes were demoralized by rival Michigan in the final regular-season game.  Still, the Buckeyes can win it all. Here are five reasons why. C.J. Stroud The Buckeyes quarterback was a Heisman Trophy finalist for the second consecutive season. He was the Big Ten’s Offensive Player of the Year as well as the Quarterback of the Year. Stroud could declare for the NFL draft after the CFP, which would give him even more reason to lead one of the nation’s best offenses. Ohio State totaled 492.7 yards of offense per game, which was eighth in the nation. The Buckeyes scored 44.5 points per game, which was good for second behind Tennessee. Stroud threw for 3,340 yards and 37 touchdowns. He took the Michigan loss personally and would love to make up for not getting his team a Big Ten championship. Improved RB Health Ohio State's running game suffered as a result of nagging injuries to both Miyan Williams and TreVeyon Henderson. Henderson did not play in the Michigan game. Williams attempted to play but was clearly limited. With the extended break leading up to the semifinal on December 31, both players will have had ample time to recover and be as close to 100% as possible. Their presence would add yet another element to this already effective offense because both ball carriers have demonstrated their ability to make a difference. Forgotten Special Teams The Buckeyes have two excellent specialists in kicker Noah Ruggles and punter Jesse Mirco, two positions that are frequently overlooked by teams. Ruggles has made 69-of-70 extra point attempts and 15-of-17 field goal attempts, with a long of 47 yards. Micro has made 44 punts in all, averaging nearly 45 yards each, with a long of 77 yards. In a high-profile game where field position could be crucial, Day has two players who will perform admirably if needed in a playoff game. Run Defense Many might laugh after the Buckeyes got torched for 252 rushing yards by Michigan, but the Buckeyes are actually one of the better run defenses in the nation. Ohio State has a top-25 run defense that allows 120 yards per game and has allowed a total of 10 rushing touchdowns in 12 games. In spite of having some personnel issues, the Buckeyes are only allowing 3.4 yards per carry. LB Tommy Eichenberg has persevered despite having two broken hands leading the team with 112 tackles. Similar to the running backs, the defense should have time to recover and work out any kinks in their assignments and communication during the break before the semifinal. The Motivation Factor No playoff team lacks motivation, but it's unlikely that the other teams are subject to the same level of scorn and mockery as the Buckeyes. They are viewed as being unworthy of the invitation to the CFP. Both Day and defensive coordinator Jim Knowles have something to prove. Ohio State’s players will take advantage of the hostility being directed at them by the doubters. What’s interesting is the Buckeyes are a 7-point underdog in their semifinal against No. 1 seed Georgia. Ohio State is listed at +350 to win it all. TCU has the longest odds at +1600.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 12/28/2022

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Dec 28, 2022

The Wednesday sports card features action in NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and the EPL.The college football bowl season continues with four games. Duke plays Central Florida on ESPN at 2 PM ET in the Military Bowl at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland. The Blue Devils have won four of their last five games after their 34-31 upset victory against Wake Forest as a 3-point underdog on November 26th. The Knights lost for the second time in their last three games in a 45-28 loss at Tulane as a 3.5-point underdog in the American Athletic Conference championship game on December 3rd. Duke is a 3.5-point favorite, with the total set at 62 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Arkansas battles Kansas on ESPN at 5:30 PM ET in the Liberty Bowl at the Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee. The Razorbacks have lost three of their last four games after a 29-27 upset loss at Missouri as a 3-point favorite on November 25th. The Jayhawks have lost three games in a row after a 47-46 loss at Kansas State as an 11.5-point underdog on November 26th. Arkansas is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 69. Oregon goes against North Carolina on Fox at 8 PM ET in the Holiday Bowl at Petco Park in San Diego. The Ducks have lost two of their last three games with a 38-34 loss at Oregon State as a 1-point underdog on November 26th. The Tar Heels are on a three-game losing streak after getting beat by Clemson, 39-10, in the ACC championship game as a 7-point underdog on December 3rd. Oregon is a 13-point favorite with a total of 75. Mississippi faces Texas Tech on ESPN at 9 PM ET in the Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Rebels are on a three-game losing streak after losing to Mississippi State, 24-22, as a 2.5-point favorite on November 24th. The Red Raiders are on a three-game winning streak after their 51-48 upset victory in overtime against Oklahoma as a 1.5-point underdog on November 26th. Mississippi is a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 71. The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Orlando Magic visit Detroit to play the Pistons as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 229. The Phoenix Suns play at Washington against the Wizards as a 1-point road favorite. Two more NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. The Brooklyn Nets are in Atlanta against the Hawks as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 238.5. The Miami Heat host the Los Angeles Lakers as a 7-point favorite.Two NBA games begin at 8:10 PM ET. The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Chicago to play the Bulls as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 231.5. The New Orleans Pelicans play at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 233. Two games complete the NBA card at 10:10 PM ET. The Utah Jazz are at Golden State as a 3-point road favorite. The Denver Nuggets play at Sacramento against the Kings as a 2-point road favorite. The National Hockey League has five games on its slate. The Tampa Bay Lightning are at home against the Montreal Canadiens at 7:07 PM ET as a -345 money line favorite with a total of 6. Two more NHL games drop the puck at 7:37 PM ET. The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Detroit Red Wings on TNT as a -195 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Boston Bruins visit New Jersey to play the Devils, with both teams priced at -110 with a total of 6.5. Two games complete the NHL card at 10:07 PM ET. The Calgary Flames play at Seattle against the Kraken, with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 6. The Vegas Golden Knights are at Anaheim against the Ducks on TNT as a -180 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The college basketball schedule has ten games on national television. UNC-Wilmington travels to Monmouth on the CBS Sports Network at 5 PM ET as an 11.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 134.5. UConn plays at home against Villanova on FS1 at 6:30 PM ET as a 12.5-point favorite with a total of 137. Three more NCAAB games tip off at 7 PM ET. Auburn is at home against Florida on ESPN2 as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 141. Davidson plays at Fordham on the CBS Sports Network as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 142. Samford is at home against Mercer on ESPNU as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 141.5. Three NCAAB games start at 9 PM ET. Arkansas is at LSU on ESPN2 as a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 143.5. Xavier visits St. John’s on FS1 as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 160.5. New Mexico hosts Colorado State on the CBS Sports Network as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 150. Two more games conclude the NCAAB card at 11 PM ET. Fresno State plays at home against Wyoming as a 1-point favorite with a total of 127. San Diego State is at home against Air Force on FS1 as an 18-point favorite with an over/under of 129. Matchweek 17 in the English Premier League concludes with one match on the USA Network at 3 PM ET. Manchester City plays at Leeds United as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite at BetMGM with a total of 3.5. 

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Have We Already Seen a Preview of the Super Bowl?

by Vegas Writer

Tuesday, Dec 27, 2022

Ever heard someone say (or write), "a preview of the Super Bowl in a regular season game" when describing an upcoming game?During the Super Bowl era, it's happened 14 times, the last being during the 2020-21 season, when the Kansas City Chiefs won the regular season meeting 27-24 but were stymied by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a 31–9 Super Bowl destruction.Prior to that, it happened during the 2011 season, when the New York Giants beat the New England Patriots in both the regular season and the Super Bowl.It's only happened three times this century, with New York and New England also meeting two times in 2007, and the Rams and Patriots playing twice in 2001.It's Week 17 of the NFL season, and every team has two games left. I don't believe there is one game over the last two weeks anyone would consider a Super Bowl preview, so I took a look at my top three teams in both the AFC and NFC, peeped their schedules to date, and tried to find a potential preview they may have already played.Ironically, five of those six rank one through five with their scoring offenses: Philadelphia, Kansas City, Dallas, Buffalo and Cincinnati. Two of them rank one and two with their scoring defenses: San Francisco and the Bills.The 49ERS and the CHIEFS met in Week 7 at Arrowhead Stadium, a game that turned out well for Kansas City in a 44-23 rout. While the Niners generated 444 yards of offense, it also committed three turnovers. Their defense allowed Kansas City to gain 529 yards, including 417 through the air. Since that game, though, the 49ers haven't allowed more than a total of 349 yards to eight different teams. To that point, Frisco had committed 12 turnovers, thrice committing three in one game. Since then, the Niners have committed only four turnovers. Kansas City has just one loss since then, at Cincinnati, a monster the Chiefs will have to solve if they face them in the AFC playoffs. The Chiefs' offense generated an average of 382.3 yards and 29.8 points per game through their first six contests; since the 49ers meeting, they've averaged a whopping 446.1 yards and 28.7 points per game.We got an early indication of just how good the COWBOYS' defense might be when they hosted the BENGALS in Week 2 and came away with a 20-17 victory. It was the second-lowest output for Cincinnati this season. It wouldn't shock me to see this reunion in February, as both have shown me something late in the season. The Bengals head into their Week 17 battle with Buffalo riding a seven-game win streak, and it's been their stifling defense that has me tuned in. That includes shutting down Kansas City's potent offense in Week 13, during a 27-24 win. If the Bengals knock off Buffalo this Sunday, I make them the favorite to win the AFC, hands down. Dallas clearly took the Jaguars for granted in Week 15, as we've seen Jacksonville emerge atop the AFC South, it's not that bad of a loss. The big win over Philadelphia spoke volumes about what that offense is capable of. The Cowboys rank third in the NFL with 28.9 points per game, behind Philly and Kansas City.The only realistic preview we've seen from the BILLS during the regular season would be a Week 10 home game against the Minnesota Vikings. Of course, I don't consider the Vikes to be a top 3 team, so I'll concentrate on what we saw in that game, and since, from the Bills. It was an epic overtime game the Vikings stole, 33-30. The Bills haven't lost since, and we'll see what they're made of this weekend in Cincinnati, where they'll face the defending conference champion Bengals. Buffalo has won six in a row behind its potent offense, averaging 28.3 points per game. But truth be told, albeit, against a rather shoddy slate, the Bills' defense has been rather impressive for the most part. The Bills allow the second-fewest points per game (17.5) while the opposition ends offensive drives with a score just 30.8% of the time, the third-lowest in the NFL. I'm not sold on Buffalo's schedule strength, so if it runs into a solid defense, things could end quickly for the Bills in the postseason.It doesn't surprise me that the odd team out is the EAGLES, who I feel have played the weakest schedule among the NFL contenders on the whole. Per teamrankings.com, Philly has played the fourth-weakest schedule, with Frisco two spots lower at 31st. But to the 49ers' credit, they've been as high as the ninth-toughest schedule on the scale, whereas Philly has never been higher as 15th, and has been as low as 32nd.So which of the matchups mentioned do I believe makes the most sense?Cincinnati vs. Dallas on Feb. 12, 2023.See you in Glendale.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 12/27/2022

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Dec 27, 2022

The Tuesday sports card features action in NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and the EPL.The college football bowl season continues with four games on ESPN. Georgia Southern plays Buffalo at noon ET in the Camellia Bowl at the Cramton Bowl in Birmingham, Alabama. The Eagles ended a three-game losing streak with a 51-48 upset win in overtime against Appalachian State as a 6.5-point underdog on November 26th. The Bulls ended a three-game losing streak with a 23-22 win against Akron as a 12-point favorite on December 2nd. Georgia Southern is a 4-point favorite with the total set at 67 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Memphis battles Utah State at 3:15 PM ET in the First Responder Bowl at Gerald Ford Stadium in Dallas. The Tigers’ two-game winning streak ended in a 34-31 loss at SMU as a 4-point underdog on November 26th. The Aggies’ three-game winning streak ended in a 42-23 loss at Boise State as a 16.5-point underdog on November 25th. Memphis is a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 58.5. Coastal Carolina faces East Carolina at 6:45 PM ET in the Birmingham Bowl in Birmingham, Alabama. The Chanticleers are on a two-game losing streak after their 45-25 loss to Troy as an 8-point underdog in the Conference USA championship game on December 3rd. The Pirates ended a two-game losing streak with a 49-46 win at Temple as a 9.5-point favorite on November 26th. East Carolina is a 7-point favorite with a total of 65. Wisconsin goes against Oklahoma State at 10:15 PM ET in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The Badgers lost for the second time in three games in a 23-16 upset loss to Minnesota as a 3-point favorite on November 26th. The Cowboys lost for the fourth time in their last five games in a 24-19 upset loss to West Virginia as a 5-point favorite on November 26th. Wisconsin is a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 45. The National Basketball Association has ten games on its docket. Two games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Orlando Magic host the Los Angeles Lakers as a 4-point favorite with a total of 235. The Philadelphia 76ers visit Washington to play the Wizards as a 4-point road favorite with an over/under of 222. Three more NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Houston Rockets as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 232. The Indiana Pacers are at home against the Atlanta Hawks as a 1-point favorite. The Toronto Raptors host the Los Angeles Clippers as a 5-point favorite. Two NBA games begin at 8:10 PM ET. The Memphis Grizzlies play at home against the Phoenix Suns as a 6.5-point favorite. The Oklahoma City Thunder are at home against the San Antonio Spurs as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 235.5. The Dallas Mavericks host the New York Knicks at 8:40 PM ET as a 5-point favorite. Two more games conclude the NBA card at 10:10 PM ET. The Golden State Warriors play at home against the Charlotte Hornets as a 4-point favorite. The Denver Nuggets are at Sacramento against the Kings as a 3-point road favorite. The National Hockey League returns with 11 games on its slate. The puck drops at 7:07 PM ET for three games. The Carolina Hurricanes host the Chicago Blackhawks as a -425 money line favorite with a total of 6. The New York Rangers are at home against the Washington Capitals as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Boston Bruins travel to Ottawa to play the Senators as a -195 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Pittsburgh Penguins play in New York against the Islanders at 7:37 PM ET as a -130 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. Three NHL games start at 8:07 PM ET. The Dallas Stars are at Nashville against the Predators as a -130 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Minnesota Wild visit Winnipeg to play the Jets as a -115 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Toronto Maple Leafs play at St. Louis against the Blues as a -175 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. Two NHL games begin at 9:07 PM ET. The Colorado Avalanche are at Arizona against the Coyotes as a -240 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Calgary Flames host the Edmonton Oilers as a -145 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Vancouver Canucks play at home against the San Jose Sharks at 10:07 PM ET as a -150 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Los Angeles Kings are at home against the Vegas Golden Knights at 10:37 PM ET as a -115 money line favorite with a total of 6.The college basketball schedule has one game on national television. Marquette hosts Seton Hall on FS1 at 8 PM ET as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 141.5. Matchweek 17 in the English Premier League continues with two matches. Chelsea plays at home against Bournemouth on the USA Network at 12:30 PM ET as a -1.5 goal line favorite with a total of 3 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Manchester United is at home against Nottingham Forest on the USA Network at 3 PM ET as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.

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Handicapping the NFL's Penultimate Week

by Al McMordie

Monday, Dec 26, 2022

There are two weeks to go in this NFL regular season.  But handicapping each of these weeks is fraught with challenges.  Some teams have already clinched a playoff berth; others are still fighting to get in; and yet others have already been eliminated.  But unlike the final week of the regular season, the penultimate (i.e., "next-to-last") week sees much less sitting of players to avoid injury (which is why Fantasy leagues play their championship in the penultimate week).Let's take a look at the point spread data from 1980 thru 2021 for the penultimate week.  There have been 633 games played.First, let's take a look at the Over/Unders.  The edge goes to the Unders.  They've gone 326-289-18 (53.0%).Now, let's review the data for the Sides.Underdogs have the decisive edge.  In the next-to-last week, the pups have barked loudly, with a 338-270-17 ATS record (55.5%).  Broken down, home underdogs have gone 120-87-7 ATS (57.9%), while road dogs have gone 218-183-10 ATS (54.3%).In matchups between winning teams, the home team has gone 68-57-2 ATS (54.4%).In matchups between losing teams, the home team has gone 57-53-4 ATS (51.8%).In matchups between a winning and non-winning team, the winning teams have gone 143-157-10 ATS (47.6%), including 68-73-4 ATS at home.In Monday Night games, the underdog has gone 28-13 ATS (68.2%), including 15-6 ATS home and 13-7 ATS on the road.The revenge-minded teams have gone 144-131-9 ATS (52.3%).Teams playing their final home game of the season have gone 227-225-10 ATS (50.2%), while teams playing their final road game of the season have gone 217-234-11 ATS (48.1%).And beware of the really bad teams that still playing with heart.  For example, NFL teams with a .250 (or worse) win percentage have gone 20-5 ATS (80.0%) in the next-to-last week of the season if they won their previous game.  That would apply to the Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville this week.  Conversely, really good teams, with a win percentage of .750 (or better), have gone just 13-16 ATS (44.8%) in the penultimate week off a straight-up loss.  An example of that for this week would be the Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans.Good luck, as always,Al McMordie

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College Basketball Season To Date Overall Trends: An Analysis

by Kyle Hunter

Monday, Dec 26, 2022

It’s the day after Christmas. There are no games on the schedule for today, but some college basketball action returns in the next couple days. It’s a good time to take a look back at the first month and a half of the season and see how things have broken. Overall Totals: 1,012 Unders (50.2%) 1,004 Overs (49.8%) The under has edged out the over thus far, but it has been extremely close. There have been quite a few overtime games, and the overtime games have gone 87-19 toward the over (not surprisingly). Home Teams ATS Covers 1,020 (50.8%)  Road Teams 987 Covers (49.2%) In recent years the road team has actually done better, but that has flipped so far this season. Things are still even enough here that I wouldn’t want to read a lot into it.Underdogs ATS 1,039 (51.8%)  Favorites ATS 968 (48.2%) Underdogs have been the better side to be on so far this season. There have been a lot of big spreads, and the favorites have had trouble covering those big numbers. Let’s take the numbers one step further: Home Underdogs are 275-223 ATS (55.2%) so far this season. The biggest winning strategy so far this season has been backing those home underdogs. I don’t know that it is predictive of what will come the rest of the season.Where From Here? Some Tips On Betting In the Coming WeeksKeep in mind that many leagues will start playing conference games in the next week. There won’t be nearly as many big spreads. The teams will be more familiar with each other. Keep an eye on games with bigger point spreads as possible under plays. Why? There is a far smaller chance of overtime. There is also a smaller chance of a late foul fest. I would also encourage bettors to consider trying to find reasons to back teams who have done poorly against the spread on the season thus far, and fade teams who have done very well against the spread thus far. This is the time of the year where the marketplace can go too far in each direction on many teams.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NCAAF, NBA and EPL Previews and Odds - 12/26/2022

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Dec 26, 2022

The Monday sports card features action in the NFL, NCAAF, NBA, and the EPL.Week 16 in the National Football League concludes with one game. The Los Angeles Chargers visit Indianapolis to play the Colts on ESPN at 8:15 PM ET. The Chargers won for the third time in their last four games in a 17-14 victory at home against Tennessee as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. The Colts lost for the seventh time in their last eight games with their 39-36 loss in overtime at Minnesota as a 3.5-point underdog last Saturday. Los Angeles is a 4-point road favorite, with the total set at 45.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The college football bowl season continues with one game on ESPN. Bowling Green plays New Mexico State at 2:30 PM ET in the Quick Lane Bowl at Ford Field in Detroit. The Falcons lost for the second time in their last three games in a 38-14 loss at Ohio as a 5.5-point underdog in their previous game on November 22nd. The Aggies won for the fifth time in their last six games in a 65-3 victory against Valparaiso as a 30-point favorite on December 3rd. Bowling Green is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5. The National Basketball Association has seven games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Brooklyn Nets as a 2-point favorite with a total of 220. The Los Angeles Clippers play in Detroit against the Pistons as a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 222. The Miami Heat are at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves at 7:40 PM ET as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 223.5. Three NBA games start at 8:10 PM ET. The Chicago Bulls play at home against the Houston Rockets as an 8-point favorite with an over/under of 227. The New Orleans Pelicans host the Indiana Pacers as a 6-point favorite with a total of 231.5. The Utah Jazz travel to San Antonio to play the Spurs as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 235.5. The Portland Trail Blazers are at home against the Charlotte Hornets at 10:10 PM ET as a 6-point favorite with a total of 238. The English Premier League returns from its six-week hiatus with seven matches on Boxing Day to begin Matchweek 17. Tottenham plays at Brentford on the USA Network at 7:30 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Four more EPL matches begin at 10 AM ET. Crystal Palace hosts Fulham as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Wolverhampton travels to Everton in a pick ‘em contest with an over/under of 2.5. Newcastle United is at Leicester City on the USA Network as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Brighton and Hove Albion visit Southampton as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Liverpool plays at Aston Villa on the USA Network at 12:30 PM ET as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 3. Arsenal is at home against West Ham United at 3 PM ET as a -1 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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NBA In-Season Trends, 2022-23

by Al McMordie

Sunday, Dec 25, 2022

We're more than 30 games into the NBA season, so it's a great time to take stock of the betting trends that have developed over the first two months.  Here are our Top 12 most interesting ones (stats thru games of December 24, 2022).First,  NBA games with Over/Under lines greater than 234 points have gone 36-20 Under the total.Second, NBA games with Over/Under lines of 217 or less have gone 37-23 Over the total.Third, NBA double-digit underdogs have gone 34-23-6 ATS.Fourth, underdogs off an upset win have gone 63-42-2 ATS.Fifth, unrested teams have gone 60-44-3 ATS vs. rested opponents.Sixth, revenge-minded road favorites have gone 6-13 ATS.Seventh, home teams off a win have gone 75-51-4 ATS vs. foes off a loss.Eighth, home teams have gone 118-75-4 ATS vs. winning foes in non-division games.Ninth, home favorites off back to back SU/ATS losses have gone 13-28-1 ATS.Tenth, in match-ups of losing teams, road underdogs have gone 28-9-1 ATS.Eleventh, rested road teams, playing their 3rd game in four nights, are 16-32 ATS vs. foes not playing their 3rd game in four nights.And, twelfth, in match-ups of winning teams, the home team has gone 68-47-2 ATS.Good luck, as always,Al McMordie 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NBA, and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 12/25/2022

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Dec 25, 2022

The Sunday sports card features action in the NFL, NBA, and NCAAB.Week 16 in the National Football League continues with three games. The Miami Dolphins host the Green Bay Packers on Fox at 1 PM ET. The Dolphins are on a three-game losing streak after a 32-29 loss at Buffalo as a 7-point underdog last Saturday. The Packers are on a two-game winning streak after their 24-12 victory against the Los Angeles Rams as an 8-point favorite on Monday. Miami is a 3.5-point favorite with the total set at 50 (all odds from DraftKings). The Denver Broncos visit Los Angeles to play the Rams on CBS at 4:30 PM ET. The Broncos ended a five-game losing streak with their 24-15 victory against Arizona as a 1.5-point favorite last Sunday. The Rams lost for the seventh time in their last eight games in their loss to Green Bay last week. Denver is a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 36.5. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to Arizona to play the Cardinals on NBC at 8:20 PM ET for Sunday Night Football. The Buccaneers lost for the second straight game in a 34-23 setback against Cincinnati as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. The Cardinals are on a four-game losing streak in their loss at Denver last Sunday. Tampa Bay is a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 40.5.The NBA Christmas Day schedule has five games broadcast simultaneously on ABC and ESPN on its docket. The Philadelphia 76ers travel to New York to play the Knicks at 12:10 PM ET. The 76ers are on a seven-game winning streak after their 119-114 victory against the Los Angeles Clippers as a 3.5-point favorite on Friday. The Knicks had their eight-game winning streak end in a 118-117 upset loss to Chicago as a 6-point favorite on Friday. Philadelphia is a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 217. The Dallas Mavericks host the Los Angeles Lakers at 2:40 PM ET. The Mavericks are on a two-game winning streak after their 112-106 win at Houston as a 7-point favorite on Friday. The Lakers are on a three-game losing streak after their 134-130 upset loss to Charlotte as a 3-point favorite on Friday. Dallas is an 8-point favorite with an over/under of 230. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Milwaukee Bucks at 5:10 PM ET. The Celtics ended a three-game losing streak with a 121-109 victory against Minnesota as a 9.5-point favorite on Friday. The Bucks have lost two in a row with their 118-100 loss at Brooklyn as a 2.5-point underdog on Friday. Boston is a 5-point favorite with a total of 224.5. The Memphis Grizzlies visit Golden State to play the Warriors at 8:10 PM ET. The Grizzlies ended a two-game losing streak with a 125-100 victory at Phoenix as a 2.5-point favorite on Friday. The Warriors lost for the fifth time in their last six games in a 143-113 loss at Brooklyn as an 11.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Memphis is a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 229.5. The Denver Nuggets are at home against the Phoenix Suns at 10:40 PM ET. The Nuggets won for the sixth time in their last seven games in their 120-107 victory against Portland as a 4.5-point favorite on Friday. The Suns lost for the seventh time in their last ten games in a 125-100 loss to Memphis as a 2.5-point underdog on Friday. Denver is a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 231.5. The college basketball schedule has five games on national television. Seattle plays George Washington on ESPNU at 1:30 PM ET in the Diamond Head Classic at the Simplifi Arena at the Stans Sheriff Center in Honolulu, Hawaii as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 146. Iona battles Pepperdine in Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu on ESPNU at 3:30 PM ET as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 152. Creighton hosts DePaul on Fox at 4:30 PM ET as a 16-point favorite with an over/under of 146. Utah State faces Washington State on ESPN2 at 6:30 PM ET in the Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 138. Hawaii hosts SMU in the finals of the Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu on ESPN2 at 8:30 PM ET as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 134.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL and NCAAF Previews and Odds - 12/24/2022

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Dec 24, 2022

The Saturday sports card features action in the NFL and NCAAF.Week 16 in the National Football League continues with 11 games. Eight games kick off the card at 1 PM ET. The Baltimore Ravens host the Atlanta Falcons. The Ravens’ two-game winning streak ended in a 13-3 loss at Cleveland as a 2.5-point underdog last Saturday. The Falcons lost their third straight game in a 21-18 loss at New Orleans as a 5.5-point underdog on Sunday. Baltimore is a 6.5-point favorite, with the total set at 34.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Detroit Lions travel to Carolina to play the Panthers. The Lions won their third straight game with a 20-17 upset win in New York against the Jets as a 2-point underdog on Sunday. The Panthers’ two-game winning streak ended in a 24-16 upset loss to Pittsburgh as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday. Detroit is a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 44. The Buffalo Bills play in Chicago against the Bears. The Bills are on a five-game winning streak after a 32-29 victory against Miami as a 7-point favorite with a total of 45 on Saturday. The Bears are on a seven-game losing streak after their 25-20 loss to Philadelphia as an 8.5-point underdog on Sunday. Buffalo is an 8.5-point road favorite with a total of 40.5. The Cleveland Browns host the New Orleans Saints. The Browns won for the third time in their last four games after a 13-3 win against Baltimore as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Saints ended a two-game losing streak with a 21-18 victory against Atlanta as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. Cleveland is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 32. The Kansas City Chiefs play at home against the Seattle Seahawks. The Chiefs won for the seventh time in their last eight games in a 30-24 victory in overtime at Houston as a 14.5-point favorite last Sunday. The Seahawks lost for the fourth time in five games in a 21-13 loss to San Francisco as a 3-point underdog on December 15th. Kansas City is a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 50. The Minnesota Vikings host the New York Giants. The Vikings won for the third time in their last four games after their 39-36 comeback victory in overtime against Indianapolis as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Giants broke their four-game winless streak in a 20-12 victory at Washington as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday. Minnesota is a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 49.5. The Cincinnati Bengals visit New England to play the Patriots. The Bengals are on a six-game winning streak after their 34-23 win at Tampa Bay as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. The Patriots lost for the third time in their last four games in a 30-24 loss at Las Vegas as a 1-point underdog last Sunday. Cincinnati is a 3-point road favorite with a total of 42. The Tennessee Titans play at home against the Houston Texans. The Titans are on a four-game losing streak after their 17-14 loss in Los Angeles against the Chargers as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. The Texans are on a nine game losing streak after their 30-24 loss in overtime to Kansas City last Sunday. Tennessee is a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 36. The San Francisco 49ers are at home against the Washington Commanders at 4:05 PM ET. The 49ers are on a seven-game winning streak after a 21-13 win at Seattle on December 15th. The Commanders are winless in their last two games after a 20-12 loss at home to the New York Giants after the rematch of their 20-20 tie two weeks ago. San Francisco is a 6.5-point favorite, with a total of 34.5. The Dallas Cowboys host the Philadelphia Eagles at 4:25 PM ET. The Cowboys’ four-game winning streak got snapped in a 40-38 loss in overtime at Jacksonville as a 4-point favorite last Sunday. The Eagles are on a five-game winning streak after a 25-20 win at Chicago as an 8.5-point favorite on Sunday. Dallas is a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5. The Pittsburgh Steelers play at home against the Las Vegas Raiders on the NFL Network at 8:15 PM ET. This game will celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception, but will have a bittersweet tone after Franco Harris passed away this week.  The Steelers won for the third time in their last four games in a 24-16 upset win at Carolina as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday. The Raiders won for the fourth time in their last five games in a 30-24 win against New England as a 1-point favorite on Sunday. Pittsburgh is a 2-point favorite with a total of 38.The college football bowl season continues with one game on ESPN. San Diego State battles Middle Tennessee on ESPN at 8 PM ET in the Hawaii Bowl at Clarence T.C. Ching Field in Honolulu, Hawaii. The Aztecs were on a three-game winning streak before a 13-3 loss to Air Force as a 2.5-point underdog on November 26th. The Blue Raiders are on a three-game winning streak after a 33-28 victory at Florida International as a 19.5-point favorite on November 26th. San Diego State is a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5.

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NFL Player Props - 12/24/22

by ASA, Inc.

Friday, Dec 23, 2022

Justin Jefferson Over 89.5 Rec Yards (-120)Jefferson has been unstoppable almost this entire season. While challenging for the title of best WR in football, he is averaging 116 ypg. We know Kirk Cousins loves noon games in the comfort of US Bank Stadium, so we expect Jefferson to keep dominating opposing defenders this week. David Njoku Over 24.5 Rec Yards (-117)Weather is looking spotty in Cleveland this Saturday so a run heavy approach for the Browns could be in store. A few play action looks should be enough to get Njoku over his yardage total. Clearly operating as the number three option, the versatile TE is averaging 50 ypg and building more chemistry with Deshaun Watson. Patrick Mahomes Over 297.5 Pass Yards (-115)Back to well this week with Mahomes as he has surpassed 300+ yards in 8 of his last 9 games. It would be a disservice to not take Mahomes yards once again when he has hit the majority of 2022 so far. Averaging 321 ypg the odds are good for yet another passing clinic from the Chiefs QB. Gardner Minshew Over 1.5 Pass TD (+125)Minshew could be the value play of the weekend. With the weapons and O-line play the Eagles have showcased all year, the situation is ripe for Gardner to step right into a big performance. He is one of the league's top backups and has the ability to lead Philly to a huge divisional win in Dallas. Minshew has had plenty of time in the Eagles system and will be eager to show the NFL what he is capable of.  

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