Yesterday’s Results for Troy vs San Diego State

CBB BEST OF BEST SERIES RESUMES

Analysis: Root Reserve on Troy St If Troy could play the game without being in foul trouble, they would be fearsome. As it stands, they still have a nice rebounding advantage across the board. San Diego St. is ranked 318th in offensive rebound percentage at 21.2%. They're also ranked lower than Troy in defensive rebound percentage. The Aztecs also have a fair amount of fouls themselves, averaging 18.6 per game, ranked 264th. While San Diego State should still win, the spread is a little too big against a Troy team that should feast on crashing the glass. They're a strong rebounding team, ranked in the top 60 for both offensive (32.2%) and defensive (77.8%) rebound rates. They're effective at limiting opponents' field goal attempts(49 per game, ranked 7th) and overall rebounds (30.7 per game, ranked 25th). I believe that bettors will keep betting on the Aztecs thinking that eventually they will cover the spread. Since most are unfamiliar with Troy, they won’t stop betting tonight and the oddsmakers have priced it that way. San Diego is 2-5 ATS this season. Take Troy to cover.