Matt Fargo - St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Fargo's N.L. Game of the Week (14-0 Run)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
MLB
Competition
St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Time
09/28/2022 07:40 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Milwaukee Brewers -140 (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our National League Game of the Week. With the 6-2 win on Tuesday, St. Louis clinched the National League Central championship which gave the Cardinals the season series against the Brewers which clinched the tiebreaker for the division title and the No. 3 seed in the playoffs. With everything locked up, the Cardinals will be sitting starters after the celebrations from Tuesday night so this is a big one to get on early as this line will be going up considering the Brewers are still playing for something. It has been a great run since the start of August as the division flipped by 11.5 games but with everything in place, Jose Quintana is in a vulnerable spot. The has been the best starter in the rotation since late July as he has allowed two runs or less in 12 straight starts but this is the one to go against as he will be limited in most likelihood. Milwaukee was on a 4-1 run prior to Tuesday and with the remaining schedule all being at home, there was positive momentum but now with the division gone, the Brewers have a shot at the Wild Card still. They are a game and a half being the Phillies for the third spot and with every game after this against losing teams, this is a big game to get that momentum back. Brandon Woodruff has been on a roll of his own as he has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his last 13 outings including four straight. In his 11 home starts, he has a 2.16 ERA and 0.84 WHIP with Milwaukee going 10-1 in those games. Here, we play against road teams batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last five starts. This situation is 76-25 (75.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (908) Milwaukee Brewers

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