- Analysis
- #386 UAB (-) over Rice at 3:30 PM EST
Off a pair of blowout wins over Florida Atlantic and Southern Miss and with a bye on deck, UAB will let it rip when it hosts struggling Rice. After beating up Texas Southern and Southern Miss in a pair of home games, Rice got hammered at UTSA last weekend (lost 45-0) and the Owls are in for another spanking here.
According to the History Book, the Blazers have played well in this series lately inking a strong 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record in their last four games. In addition, since 2017, head coach Bill Clark and his troops have been a force notching a powerful 39-18 SU and 31-21 ATS record including a tremendous 27-7 SU and 23-11 ATS if they are lined up against a conference opponent. With those two parameters live and the Blazers arriving off a conference game, this team trend jumps to a rewarding 22-2 SU and 19-5 ATS including stunning 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in this set if they are favored by double-digits. Finally, college teams that pitched a shutout on the road in their last game hold a lucrative 95-64-3 ATS mark provided their opponent checks in off a pointspread loss. If this is a regular season contest and our "play on" side is not competing in their last home game, this situation explodes to a sweet 80-48-2 ATS.
Rice has historically played poorly on the road against good teams. In fact, as a guest fighting a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .651 or better, the Owls haven't been worth a hoot notching a miserable 10-80 SU and 36-53-1 ATS record. If this is a conference game, head coach Mike Bloomgren's kids fall to a filthy 5-42 SU and 16-31 ATS including 3-42 SU and 14-31 ATS if they are priced as a pup of +3 or more. Even worse, since 2010 Conference USA guests that are facing a conference foe that checks in with confidence off two or more straight up wins sport a surprising 54-85-2 ATS mark. If our "play against" side holds a team won/loss percentage less than .500, this technical situation drops to a disturbing 21-46-2 ATS including a miserable 14-40-1 ATS if their opponent holds a team won/loss percentage of .501 or better. With those three parameters in play and our road team grabbing +11.5 or more, this technical situation crashes to a pitiful 7-29-1 ATS including a rough 2-16 ATS if they take the field off a SU and ATS loss.
The Owls offense is atrocious averaging only 16.0 points (ranked 126th in the FBS) and 309.7 yards per game (ranked 121st in the FBS) and they will struggle to move the football against a Blazers stop unit that has allowed an average of only 19.0 points (ranked 20th in the FBS) and 320.0 total yards per game (ranked 31st in the FBS). Take UAB. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
