TDG’s NCAA-F BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE MONTH
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Illinois vs Penn State
- Time
- 10/23/2021 12:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Illinois vs Penn State Under 46 (-110)
(Caesars)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 25* NCAA-F Big Ten Total of the Month is with the Illinois/Penn State under at 12 pm et.
The Nittany Lions take the field again for the first time since their 23-20 loss at Iowa two Saturdays ago as a 2.5-point underdog. Those 23 points Penn State gave up were the most points they have allowed all season. Head coach James Franklin’s team is holding their opponents to 13.8 points per game and 311.7 yards per game. The under is 4-1-1 in the Nittany Lions' last six games after a loss. They return to Happy Valley where they have played five straight unders against teams with a losing road record. Quarterback Sean Clifford was knocked out of the game against Iowa, and he is questionable to play in this game with a collarbone injury. Backup quarterback Ta’Quan Roberson completed only 7 of his 21 passes for 34 yards in relief against the Hawkeyes. Penn State only gained 287 total yards against the Hawkeyes. Penn State has played seven of their last nine games under the number against losing teams, and they have played seven of their last ten games under the total when the oddsmakers install them as the favorite.
Illinois opened the season with an upset victory at home against Nebraska in the first game in the Bret Bielema era. The Fighting Illini have since lost five of their last six games after getting shutout at home to Wisconsin two weeks ago, 24-0. Illinois only gained 93 yards in that game. The Illini are averaging only 313.1 yards per game and 17.7 points per game this season. Bielema has two transfer quarterbacks to consider in former Michigan quarterback Brandon Peters and former Rutgers quarterback A.J. Sitkowski. Neither player is claiming the starting job with their play on the field. Illinois is averaging 11.0 points per game and 261 yards per game in their last three games. They have played five straight games under the number after a loss by 20 or more points, and they have played five of their last six games under the total after not scoring more than 20 points in their last game. Bielema does have his team playing better defense. They are allowing 24.6 points per game on the season but they have held their last three opponents to 17.0 points per game. They play their third game on the road after scoring only 23 combined points in the first two road games. They have played nine of their last thirteen games under the number on the road. The Fighting Illini have played five straight unders against winning teams, and the under is 4-0-1 in their last five games when the oddsmakers install them as a money line underdog. Take the under.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
