- Analysis
- At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Utah. The Utes have had an emotional two weeks, as they congregated for a memorial service 12 days ago for defensive back, Aaron Lowe, who died in late September. On the football field, they've been resilient, as they're on a 3-game win streak to start Pac-12 play (after losing their first two Division 1 games this season to BYU and San Diego St). They'll now try -- for the first time -- to start the Pac-12 season 4-0. Unfortunately, teams undefeated in Pac-12 conference play, with a 2-0 (or better) record, have gone 28-47 ATS on the road vs. winning opposition, including 9-25 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins. This is also a strong situation for Oregon State, as it will be playing with rest and revenge, off an upset loss. Oregon State has dropped each of the past 5 meetings vs. Utah, and falls into a 61.7% ATS revenge system of mine. Even better: Oregon State had last week off to rest, and prepare for this game following its upset loss in Pullman, 31-24, against Washington State. And the Beavers are 28-14 ATS in the regular season when playing with rest. More good news for Oregon State: its upset loss has triggered a 70% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs off an upset road defeat. Finally, since 1980, the Beavers have cashed 71% off upset conference defeats, while the Utes are a poor 24-39 ATS as a road favorite of less than 11 points, including 1-5 ATS vs. foes off an upset defeat. Take Oregon State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
