*10* MLB GAME OF THE MONTH (POWER SPORTS)
- Handicapper
- Power Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
- Time
- 07/30/2021 07:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
New York Mets -118
(5D Reduced Juice)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- 10* NY Mets (7:10 ET): I’m banking on a strong Mets debut from Carlos Carrasco here. Acquired on January 7th from Cleveland (as part of the Francisco Lindor trade), Carrasco has yet to pitch at the big-league level in 2021 after tearing his hamstring in Spring Training. He’s made three rehab starts, though those only lasted a total of 6 ⅔ innings. Keep in mind that Carrasco was expected to be the Mets #2 starter this year (behind Jacob deGrom). He’s 4-0 with a 3.43 ERA lifetime vs. Cincinnati, a team that is not nearly as strong at the plate on the road as they are at home. I like the Mets big here.
Despite multiple injuries to its starting rotation, deGrom and Carrasco chief among them, the Mets have led the NL East for the last 83 days and are allowing only 2.7 runs per game at home this year. Visiting teams have hit just .202 at Citi Field. With Carrasco set to return and Rich Hill acquired in a trade yesterday, the Mets’ rotation should continue to excel down the stretch. As I alluded to above, the Reds only average 4.3 rpg on the road, which is a full run less than what they score at home. They did just have a productive series at Wrigley Field, scoring five or more runs in all four games. But it’ll be a big change here as they face a much better Mets’ pitching staff.
The Mets did lose 6-3 to the Braves yesterday. However, that was a game where they had 12 hits and should have scored more. They went 1 for 8 with RISP. I expect better hitting tonight against Sonny Gray, who was tagged for eight runs his last time out and now has a 9.00 ERA and 1.867 WHIP his L3 starts. The Reds’ bullpen also remains a big question mark. Therefore, I’m calling for an end to a couple of streaks today - the Reds’ three-game win streak and Joey Votto’s six-game streak with a home run. 10* NY Mets
