PGA Wells Fargo Championship Best Bet
- Handicapper
- Hollywood Sports
- League
- CUSTOM
- Competition
- PGA Wells Fargo Championship
- Time
- 05/06/2021 06:50 AM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Bryson DeChambeau Tournament Matchup head-to-head versus Rory McIlroy -120
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- The Wells Fargo Championship takes place at the Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina. This is a long course consisting of 7554 yards with a par of 71. The greens consist of Bermuda grass. The last two champions have finished in the top two in Shots-Gained: Putting and Putting Average — so those are metrics I will be privileging this week. I will also be valuing Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee, Shots-Gained: Approach the Green, and Proximity from 200 yards or more away from the tee.
Our Best Bet to win this event is on Bryson DeChambeau who is listed at +1200 to win at BetOnline. DeChambeau disappointed his last time out at the Masters where he finished tied for 46th place — but it has been a good year so far with a victory at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a third-place finish at the Player’s Championship. DeChambeau has the best driver — by far — on the PGA Tour, and he is an underrated putter. He leads the tour in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee and Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. He also leads the field in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee over his last 24 rounds. Furthermore, DeChambeau is tops on the tour in Par-5 Scoring. He leads the field in Proximity from 200 yards and beyond. He is also 13th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Par 4 from 450 to 500 yards away which will help him on the two long and challenging Par 4s that are part of the Green Mile final three holes on the course. He last played here in 2018 when Quail Hollow hosted the PGA Championship — he finished in 4th place. On a course that values distance, I will back DeChambeau while giving him a pass for the Masters where his attempts to out-drive the course need to be fine-tuned to ensuring he hits more fairways. DeChambeau is linked with Rory McIlroy for head-to-head Tournament Matchups. McIlroy is out of form in a funk that has prevented him from breaking 74 in his last five-stroke play rounds. He has a great course history here as a two-time champion =— and he is the all-time money winner here. But McIlroy has not won on the tour since 2019. Maybe McIlroy finds his game this week — but it is tough to trust his touch right now. He ranks 108th on the tour for 2020-21 in Shots-Gained: Putting. He is also just 74th in Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green. Take DeChambeau (7011) versus McIlroy (7012) in head-to-head Tournament Matchups. Best of luck for us — Frank.
