TOM'S 12-0 ATS NCAA SWEET 16 PERFECT WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Clemson vs Arizona
- Time
- 03/28/2024 07:09 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Arizona -7 (-110)
(Consensus 3)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #638 ARIZONA (-) over Clemson at 7:09 PM EST
The Wildcats apply to three NCAA Tournament systems that hold elite marks of 75-41 ATS, 29-9 ATS, and 20-1 ATS, and they'll have no trouble extending the margin against Clemson in this Sweet 16 matchup. The Tiger Paw enters this Big Dance battle off back-to-back straight up underdog wins over the Lobos and Bears and their magical run in the tournament will stop right here. Let's take a look inside the numbers.
In the middle of a blistering 40-11 SU and 34-17 ATS run, UA is certainly playing some of its best basketball at the moment. If the 'Cats are facing a foe that enters off a blowout win of eight points or more, this trend improves to a healthy 19-6 SU and 17-8 ATS. Even better, when priced as a single digit favorite, Arizona holds a strong 20-5 SU and 19-6 ATS mark in its last 25 tries including an incredible 15-2 SU and ATS provided its opponent enters with momentum off a SU and ATS victory. With those two parameters live and the Wildcats facing a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage less than .800, this angle jumps to a stunning 12-0 SU and ATS. Please note: Those 12 dubs came by an average of 13.8 points per game.
This is a horrible wagering spot for Clemson. To begin, in the Big Dance, single-digit underdogs that are competing against a No. 1 or No. 2 seed hold a rough 5-29 SU and 12-22 ATS record provided they take the floor back-to-back straight up underdog victories in the NCAA Tournament. Also, when playing on the road or at a neutral site and arriving on a 2-0 SU and ATS run or better, the Tigers hold a feeble 17-46 SU and 21-39-3 ATS mark including a timid 1-28 SU and 7-20-2 ATS provided they are priced as a pup of +5 or more. Finally, against Pac-12 opposition, the Tiger Paw sports a nasty 1-6 SU and ATS tally in their last seven tries.
Wildcats skipper Tommy Lloyd (88-19 SU) needs one more victory to tie an NCAA record for most wins by a first-time head coach in his first three seasons. The 'Cats will make sure their leader accomplishes that feat. Take Arizona. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
