TDG’s NCAA-B NIT QUARTERFINALS TOTAL OF YEAR
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Va Commonwealth vs Utah
- Time
- 03/27/2024 09:04 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Va Commonwealth vs Utah Under 144.5 (-110)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 25* NCAA-B NIT Quarterfinals Total of the Year is with the VCU/Utah under at 9 pm et.
The Utah Utes coming off a scoring fest on Sunday with 173 combined points scored in their 91-82 victory at home against Iowa. The Hawkeyes are a high-scoring team that was willing to play at the fast face the Utes prefer. That will not be the case tonight against the Rams. VCU ranks 43rd in the nation in defensive efficiency and ranks 300th in the nation by averaging only 65.5 possessions per game. Utah averages 78.6 points per game and 84.8 points per game when playing at home, yet there are several reasons why a lower-scoring game is expected tonight. Iowa made 48.5% of their shots against them on Sunday, far exceeding the 39.3% defensive field goal percentage they own on their home court. The Utes gave up 75 points to UC-Irvine in their opening round game in the NIT, yet they have played sixteen of their last twenty-two games at home under the number after allowing 75 or more points in two or more games in a row. They have played eight of their last twelve games under the total after playing a game where 155 or more combined points were scored, and they have played five of their last eight games under the number after playing a game where 165 or more combined points were scored. They have played seven of their last ten games under the number after playing a game where they scored 85 or more points.
VCU followed up their 70-61 upset win at Villanova in their opening round game in the NIT with a 70-65 upset victory at South Florida as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. The Rams have played twelve of their last fourteen games under the number after winning their previous game on the road. They have played seven of their last ten games under the total after holding two straight opponents to 65 or fewer points. VCU plays on the road for the third straight time where they average only 69.1 points per game yet hold their opponents to 66.7 points per game. They have played eight of their last eleven games under the number on the road, and they have played six of their last eight road games under the total when the oddsmakers installed the over/under in the 140 to 149.5 point range. The Rams have played seventeen of their last twenty-six games under the number against winning teams, and they have played eleven of their last fourteen games under the total in March. Play the under.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
