Articles

Super Bowl 55 Preview

by AAA Sports

Saturday, Jan 30, 2021

There will be a lot on the line this Sunday as Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes looks to beat the greatest QB of all time in Tom Brady. At age 25, Mahomes has already won a Super Bowl and he's looking for more. In my opinion, both teams definitely have the ability to take home the Lombardi Trophy, but at the end of the day it will come down to who wants it more between these two great QBs. Winning a 7th Super Bowl would only add to Brady's career excellence, while people may never consider Mahomes as the best QB by the time his career ends if he never beats Brady in the big one. Therefore, this will be a terrific matchup between the best against the best. Brady and the Buccaneers took care of business at Lambeau last week, taking down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in a classic. The Bucs have also beaten the Saints and Washington to get to this one. Looking at the roster, Tom has all the targets that one could imagine as well as a stellar defense behind him. Linebacker Shaq Barrett has looked incredible these playoffs, dominating the opposing teams' offensive tackles play after play. He brought down Rodgers three times last week, and it felt like even more. With Evans, Godwin, Miller, Gronkowski, Fournette, Ronald Jones and an excellent offensive line, Brady has a lot to work with and is going to be extremely hard to stop. Plus Antonio Brown is probably going to return. Although the Bucs have a stellar team, with barely any holes, I think that the Chiefs' offense is better than Tampa's. They've got Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Le'Veon Bell, Mecole Hardman and Travis Kelce with the best QB in the league (Mahomes). They may have fewer weapons, but the speed and talent of those guys I just mentioned make them better than the Buccaneers' offense. Don't forget, dating back to last season, Patrick Mahomes is now 25-1 his last 26 games as a starter as well. So if the Chiefs have the better offense, and the Bucs have the better defense, what does that mean? Well both teams are strong on both sides of the ball, but like I said before, this game is between Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes and who wants it more. Expect a great Super Bowl.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: EPL, NHL, NBA and NCAA Basketball Preview

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Jan 30, 2021

The Saturday sports card features a busy card in college basketball headlined by the Big 12/SEC Challenge, with action in the NBA, the NHL, and English Premier League taking place as well.The college basketball card tips off at noon PM ET. Oklahoma hosts Alabama on ESPN in a Big 12/SEC Challenge showdown between two nationally-ranked teams. The Crimson Tide are ninth in the Associated Press poll, while the Sooners rank 24th. Oklahoma is a 1-point favorite with the total set at 154.5 (all odds from BetOnline). ESPNU has another Big 12/SEC Challenge contest with Texas A&M visiting Kansas State as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 125. Duke plays at home against Clemson on ESPNU as a 5-point favorite with the total at 134.Providence plays at Georgetown on FS1 at 1 PM ET as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 140.5. VCU plays at home against LaSalle on the NBC Sports Network as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 138. At 2 PM ET, three more nationally-televised contests in the Big 12/SEC Challenge tip-off. Texas Tech visits LSU on ESPN2. The tenth-ranked Red Raiders are 4-point road favorites with the over/under at 151. West Virginia is at home against Florida on ESP with the 11th-ranked Mountaineers are a 6-point favorite with the total at 147. Missouri hosts TCU on ESPNU. The 12th ranked Tigers are a 10-point favorite with an over/under of 138. Villanova visits Seton Hall at 3:30 PM ET on Fox. The third-ranked Wildcats are a 5.5-point road favorite with the total at 142.Baylor plays at home on ESPN against Auburn at 4 PM ET in another Big 12/SEC Challenge contest with the second-ranked Bears a 15-point favorite with an over/under of 154. Oklahoma State is at home against Arkansas on ESPN2 as a 3-point favorite with the total at 152.5. Wichita State hosts Central Florida on ESPNU as a 6-point favorite with the total at 135.5. Dayton plays at home against Rhode Island on the CBS Sports Network as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 136. Wright State is at home against Robert Morris on ESPNU at 5 PM ET in a rematch of their opening contest Friday night. At 5:30 PM ET, Xavier travels to Butler on FS1 as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 132.5. Tennessee plays at home against Kansas in the second Big 12/SEC Challenge showdown between two nationally-ranked opponents on ESPN at 6 PM ET. The Volunteers rank 18th by the AP, with the Jayhawks ranking 15th. Tennessee is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 131. Mississippi State hosts a short-handed Iowa State team on ESPN2 as a 9-point favorite with the total at 136. BYU is at home against Pacific on the CBS Sports Network. Gonzaga visits Pepperdine on ESPN at 8 PM ET. The number-one team in the nation is a 22-point road favorite with an over/under of 162.5. Creighton travels to DePaul on the CBS Sports Network as a 9.5-point road favorite with the total at 147.5. Arizona State hosts Stanford on ESPN2 as a 2-point favorite, with the total set at 146.5. San Diego State is at home vs. Wyoming in the nightcap of the evening on the CBS Sports Network at 10 PM ET. The Aztecs are 18-point favorites with an over/under of 142.Eight games are on the NBA docket for Saturday. Four games tip-off the card at 8 PM ET. The Los Angeles Lakers visit Boston on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The reigning NBA champions have lost two in a row after getting upset in Detroit on Thursday, 107-92, as a 7-point favorite. The Celtics were upset on Wednesday in San Antonio, 110-106, as a 4.5-point favorite. The NBA slate concludes at 10 PM ET with Golden State at home against the Pistons as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 142.Twelve games take place in the NHL. The card begins at 1:08 PM ET with Buffalo playing at home against New Jersey as a -155 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Winnipeg playing at home against Vancouver concludes the slate as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 6 at 10:08 PM ET.Matchweek 21 in the English Premier League begins with six matches. Everton plays at home against Newcastle United at 7:30 PM ET on the NBC Sports Network as a -1 goal line favorite with the over/under of 2.5. Manchester City hosts Sheffield United on the NBC Sports Network at 10 AM ET as a -2.25 goal line favorite with the total at 3.25. Manchester United plays at Arsenal on NBC at 12:30 PM ET in a pick ‘em matchup with an over/under of 2.75.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NCAA Basketball, EPL and NHL Preview

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Jan 29, 2021

The Friday sports card features action in college basketball, the NBA, and the NHL.The college basketball card tips off at noon PM ET, with North Texas visiting Rice as a 7-point favorite with the total set at 136 (all odds from BetOnline).The nationally-televised college basketball card begins at 6:30 PM ET, with Richmond hosting Saint Louis on ESPN2. The Spiders are 10-4 after their 79-56 victory at Saint Joseph’s as a 13-point favorite on Tuesday. The Billikens lost two of their last three to fall to 7-2 after their 76-71 upset loss to Dayton on Saturday as a 9-point favorite. Richmond is a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 146.5.Buffalo plays at home against Ohio on ESPNU at 7 PM ET. The Buffaloes improved to 6-5 with their 92-77 win against Eastern Michigan as a 10.5-point favorite last Thursday. The Bobcats have won five of their last seven games to improve to 9-6 with their 81-58 victory against Western Michigan as a 1.5-point favorite on Tuesday.  Buffalo is a 2.5-point favorite with the total at 159.5. Coastal Carolina travels to Georgia Southern on ESPN at 8:30 PM ET. The Chanticleers, 11-3, have won four of their last five games after their 70-65 victory against Troy as a 10-point favorite on Saturday. The Eagles fell to 10-7 after their 62-48 loss at South Alabama as a 2-point underdog on Saturday. Coastal Carolina is a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 140.Illinois plays at home against Iowa on FS1 at 9 PM ET. The Fighting Illini are 10-5 after their 79-65 win against Penn State as a 9.5-point favorite on January 19th. The Hawkeyes, 12-5, had their five-game winning streak snapped last Thursday in an 81-69 upset loss to Indiana as a 10.5-point favorite. Illinois is a 1.5-point favorite, with the total at 163.5.Wright State is home against Robert Morris on ESPNU at 9 PM ET. The Raiders, 11-4, won their third straight game with their 100-72 victory at IUPUI as a 15.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Colonials fell to 3-7 with their fourth straight loss on Saturday with a 79-74 upset loss to Northern Kentucky as a 1.5-point favorite. Wright State is a 16.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145.Colorado State hosts Boise State on FS1 at 11 PM ET. The Rams, 12-3, have won six of their last seven games after they upset the Broncos, 78-58, on Wednesday as a 3-point underdog. Boise State fell to 12-2. Colorado State is a 1-point favorite with the total at 145.Cal-State Bakersfield played at home against Cal-State Fullerton on ESPNU at 11 PM ET. The Roadrunners, 10-5, had their six-game winning streak end on Saturday in a 70-63 loss to UC-Irvine as a 3-point underdog. They dropped to 4-5 with their 76-53 loss to Hawai’i as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. Cal-State Bakersfield is an 11-point favorite with an over/under of 130.5.There are ten games on the NBA schedule with a nationally-televised doubleheader on ESPN. Milwaukee visits New Orleans at 7:35 PM ET. The Bucks are 11-6 with two straight wins after their 115-108 win at Toronto as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday. The Pelicans ended their three-game losing streak to improve to 6-10 with their 124-106 win against Washington as an 8-point favorite on Wednesday. Milwaukee is a 7-point road favorite with the total set at 229.Utah plays at home against Dallas in the nightcap on ESPN at 10:05 PM ET. The Jazz, 14-4, won their tenth in a row with their 116-104 win against the Mavericks as a 1.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Dallas has lost three games in a row to drop to 8-10. There is only one game in the NHL on Friday, with Columbus visits Chicago at 8 PM ET. The Blue Jackets have won two of their last three games after they defeated Florida in a shootout, 3-2, on Thursday. The Blackhawks look to rebound from a 2-1 loss at Nashville. Columbus is a -115 money line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: EPL, NBA, NCAA Basketball and NHL Preview

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Jan 28, 2021

The Thursday sports card features action in college basketball, the NBA, the NHL, and the English Premier League.The college basketball card tips off at 5 PM ET, with USC hosting Oregon State on ESPNU. The Trojans, 12-3, have won seven of their last eight games with their 76-68 victory at California as an 8.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Beavers, 8-5, have won three in a row with their 76-64 upset win at Oregon as a 9-point underdog on Saturday. USC is a 12-point favorite with the total set at 136 (all odds from BetOnline). Winthrop plays at home against UNC-Asheville on ESPNU at 7 PM ET. The Eagles remained unbeaten at 15-0 in their last game on January 20th, with their 78-66 win at Presbyterian as a 16-point favorite. The Bulldogs, 9-8, lost their third in a row after getting upset at Radford, 73-63, as a 3.5-point favorite on Monday. Winthrop is a 12-point favorite with an over/under at 153.Rutgers plays at home against Michigan State on FS1 at 7 PM ET. The Scarlet Knights, 8-6, snapped their five-game losing streak on Sunday with their 74-70 upset win at Indiana as a 6.5-point underdog. The Spartans, 8-4, take the court for the first time since January 8th when they were upset at home to Purdue, 55-54, as a 6-point favorite. Rutgers is a 3-point favorite with a total of 142.Louisiana Tech visits Southern Mississippi on the CBS Sports Network at 7 PM ET. The Bulldogs, 12-5, won their fourth game in their last five contests after their 73-55 victory at UTEP as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Golden Eagles fell to 7-8 on Saturday with a 78-72 loss at UTSA as a 5.5-point underdog. Louisiana Tech is a 7-point road favorite with an over/under of 131.5. SMU is at home against Memphis on ESPN2 at 8 PM ET. The Tigers improved their record to 9-5 on Tuesday when they defeated the Mustangs, 76-72, as a 2.5-point home favorite. SMU, 8-3, is a 3-point favorite with the total at 142 in this rematch.Houston visits Tulane on ESPN at 9 PM ET. The Cougars are 13-1 with six straight wins after their 68-51 victory at Temple as a 12.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Green Wave, 6-4, have lost three of their last four contests after they lost at home to the Owls, 65-57, as a 1-point underdog back on January 16th. Houston is a 17.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 127.San Diego State hosts Wyoming on FS1 at 9 PM ET. The Aztecs improved their record to 11-4 with their 91-59 victory at Air Force as a 16.5-point favorite on Sunday. The Cowboys are 10-5 with three straight wins after their 93-88 victory at Nevada as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday. San Diego State is a 16-point favorite with the total at 142.Belmont visits Austin Peay on ESPNU at 9 PM ET. The Bruins are 16-1 with thirteen straight victories after their 114-62 win against SIU-Edwardsville as a 17-point favorite on Saturday. The Governors fell to 8-5 with their 76-70 upset loss to Jacksonville State as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Belmont is a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 152.Arizona is at home against Stanford on ESPN2 at 10 PM ET. The Wildcats, 12-3, won their third straight game on Monday with their 80-67 victory against Arizona State as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cardinal improved to 9-5 when they upset UCLA, 73-72, as a 6-point underdog. Arizona is a 7.5-point favorite, with the total set at 143.5. Arizona State plays at home against California on FS1 at 11 PM ET. The Sun Devils have lost six in a row to fall to 4-8 with their loss at Arizona on Monday. The Golden Bears, 7-10, have lost two in a row after their 76-68 loss to USC as an 8.5-point underdog on Friday. Arizona State is an 8-point favorite with an over/under of 144.Fresno State hosts New Mexico on the CBS Sports Network at 11 PM ET. The Bulldogs fell to 5-6 with their third straight loss last Wednesday in a 73-51 loss at Boise State as an 11.5-point underdog. The Lobos have lost three of four to fall to 5-9 with their 83-71 upset loss to San Jose State as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday. Fresno State is a 6.5-point favorite, with the total at 135.The NBA has four games on tap, including a doubleheader on TNT. Houston plays at home against Portland at 7:35 PM ET. The Rockets, 7-9, won their third in a row with their 107-88 win against Washington as a 3-point favorite on Tuesday. The Trail Blazers, 9-7, lost their second game in their last three contests on Monday with their 125-122 upset loss to Oklahoma City as a 4.5-point favorite. Houston is a 4-point favorite. The nightcap on TNT has Golden State visiting Phoenix at 10:05 PM ET. The Warriors raised their record to 10-8 with their 123-111 win against Minnesota as a 9-point favorite on Wednesday. The Suns lost their third game in a row to fall to 8-8 with their 102-97 upset loss to Oklahoma City as an 8-point favorite last night. The NHL has 14 games on the Thursday schedule. Seven games begin the card at 7 PM ET, with two games finishing it up at 10 PM ET. None of these games are on national television. Matchweek 20 in the English Premier League concludes at 3 PM ET with Liverpool visiting Tottenham on the NBC Sports Network. The reigning EPL champions are a -0.25 goal line road favorite with the total set at 2.75.

Read more

NCAA Wednesday Night Basketball: Utah State/UNLV Preview

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jan 27, 2021

A college basketball triple-header on FS1 concludes at 11 PM ET in the rematch of UNLV’s 59-56 upset victory at home against Utah State on Monday.The Runnin’ Rebels were 6.5-point underdogs in that game but held the Aggies to 32.8% shooting to pull off the victory. UNLV only made 32.8% of their shots themselves, but they made 13 of their 30 shots from 3-point land to eke out the win. Second-year head coach T.J. Otzelberger only returned three rotation players from last year’s team that finished 17-15. The former South Dakota State head coach had his team on a five of six winning streak to end the season, headlined by them handing San Diego State their first loss of the year. Otzelberger relied on transfers and freshmen to fill-out this year’s team. Bryce Hamilton was an All-Mountain West Conference player last season. This year, the junior leads the Runnin’ Rebels with a 19.7 points-per-game scoring average while adding 5.4 rebounds-per-game and 4.0 assists-per-game. David Jenkins followed Otzelberger to Las Vegas in the offseason as a transfer from South Dakota State to be the team’s second-leading scorer with a 14.4 points-per-game clip. Jenkins is hitting 39.8% of his 3-pointers.UNLV opened the season with an upset loss at home to Montana State before embarking to Maui Invitational relocated to Asheville, North Carolina, this year. They got crushed against North Carolina by 27 points before losing to Alabama by eight points and then Davidson by four points. Otzelberger’s team earned their first win of the season with a 10-point win against Kansas State before getting swept on the road against Colorado State. A four-game winning streak started with a win against Division II St. Katherine before a sweep at home against a struggling New Mexico and then a win against Division II Benedictine, AZ, before their upset win against the Aggies. The Runnin’ Rebels rank third in the Mountain West Conference in adjusted defensive efficiency. Their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 47.0 is also third in the conference. They are forcing turnovers at a 21.7% rate, which is third-best in the Mountain West.Utah State was upset by Colorado State, 84-76, as a 7.5-point underdog before getting upset again by UNLV on Monday. Those are the only two losses the Aggies have suffered in their 11 Mountain West Conference games. They have won two games this season against San Diego State, which gives their 12-5 record plenty of caches.Head coach Craig Smith’s team defeated the Aztecs in the MWC Tournament en route to winning that automatic qualifier for the NCAA Tournament before the season was canceled. The Aggies lost leading scorer, Sam Merrill, from that 26-8 team. Plenty of talent returned.Seven-footer Neemias Queta is scoring 12.4 points-per-game while pulling down 9.4 rebounds-per-game. Justin Bean is adding 10.2 points-per-gam along with another 7.4 rebounds-per-game. Virginia transfer, Marco Anthony, adds 11.4 points-per-game. Utah State ranks 19th in the nation by rebounding 35.2% of their missed shots. They rank sixth in the country by limiting their opponents to rebounding 20.0 of their misses. The Aggies also rank sixth in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency according to the metrics by kenpom. Their opponents make only 41.5% of their shots inside the arc, 6th in the nation. Yet the weakness of this Utah State team could be their lack of a traditional point guard. That is the role Merrill embraced while scoring 19.7 points-per-game. Queta is second on the team with a 3.0 assists-per-game mark. Anthony leads the team with 3.2 assists-per-game despite being more of a traditional shooting guard. BetAnySports lists Utah State as a 7-point road favorite with a total of 136.5 in this rematch from Monday.

Read more

Ness Notes: Wednesday Jan 27

by Larry Ness

Wednesday, Jan 27, 2021

This column will be available Monday through Friday (posted no later than 1:00 ET), EXCLUSIVELY at BigAl.com. I like to call it my daily 'random thoughts' on the sports betting world, although I'll pass along that my therapist refers to it as "thoughtful commentary."Handicapping is a 365 day a year job. Sometimes, one just needs a break.  I'll be back with the next edition of Ness Notes on Monday Feb 1.Good luck...Larry

Read more

NFL Super Bowl LV: Chiefs/Buccaneers Preview

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jan 27, 2021

Tampa Bay will be the first team in NFL history to play at home as the host of the Super Bowl. Their Raymond James Stadium is the site of Super Bowl 55. The Buccaneers earned this honor by defeating Green Bay in Lambeau Field in the NFC Championship Game, 31-26, as a 2.5-point underdog. Tampa Bay won all three games in the playoffs on the road while pulling off upsets in their last two games after they defeated New Orleans, 30-20, as a 2.5-point dog. They are 14-5 this season.Tom Brady completed 20 of 36 passes for 280 yards against the Packers with three touchdown passes but three interceptions. In three games this postseason, Brady completed 60 of 109 passes for a 55.0% completion percentage for 860 yards with seven touchdown passes and three interceptions. In his first regular-season away from New England, the 43-year old completed 65.7% of his passes of 4633 yards with 40 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions. The Buccaneers are 5-3 at home with a +4.6 net point differential. They scored 28.5 points-per-game while averaging 349.6 yards-per-game in those eight home games. Their defense gave up 23.9 points-per-game along with 381.0 yards-per-game. The Bucs' three losses at home were against New Orleans, the Los Angeles Rams, and these Kansas City Chiefs. Tampa Bay's 38-3 loss to the Saints was the low-point of their season. They later avenged that setback in the NFC Divisional Round of the playoffs. Kansas City followed up their Super Bowl campaign last year with a 16-2 record to earn the opportunity to defend their championship. After defeating Cleveland in the AFC Divisional Round, the Chiefs dominated Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game by a 38-24 score. Kansas City rebounded from a Week 5 loss at home to the Las Vegas Raiders by winning 12 of their next 13 games to reach this pinnacle. Their lone loss was to the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 17, with Patrick Mahomes and other starters taking the game off for rest.Mahomes completed 29 of 38 passes for 325 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions against the Bills with no setbacks from the head injury that knocked him out the previous week against the Browns. He did not appear to be 100% with his injured left toe. He ran the ball five times for only five yards. Mahomes completed 66.3% of his passes in the regular season for 4740 yards with 38 touchdown passes and six interceptions. He added 308 rushing yards with another two touchdowns. Mahomes completed 50 of his 68 passes for a 73.5% completion percentage with four touchdown passes and no interceptions in his two playoff games. He also ran the ball eight times of 19 yards with a touchdown. The Chiefs are 8-0 when playing away from Arrowhead Stadium this season. They scored 31.6 points-per-game while averaging 443.1 yards-per-game. Their defense allowed 23.0 points-per-game and 344.6 yards-per-game. These two teams played on November 29th in Tampa Bay. Kansas City won, 27-24, as a 5-point favorite with a total of 59. The Chiefs went into the fourth quarter with a 27-10 lead before holding off the Bucs’ late rally. Tampa Bay pulled within a field goal with just over four minutes remaining in the game, but those were the final points scored in the game. Kansas City was on offense for almost 37 minutes. Mahomes completed 37 of 49 passes for 462 yards with three touchdown passes. Brady countered with 27 of 41 completions for 345 yards with three touchdown passes and two interceptions. The Chiefs expect to have wide receiver Sammie Watkins and running back Le’Veon Bell available for the Super Bowl. Watkins missed both playoff games with a calf injury and a nagging hamstring issue. Bell did not play in the AFC Championship Game due to a knee injury. However, Kansas City does not expect to have either of their starting tackles on their offensive line. Left tackle Eric Fisher suffered an Achilles’ injury late in the Buffalo game. Right tackle Mitchell Schwartz is on the Injured Reserve with a back injury that head coach Andy Reid does not think will heal enough in two weeks.The Buccaneers anticipate that both wide receiver Antonio Brown and safety Antoine Winfield will be healthy to play in the Super Bowl after missing the Green Bay game. Safety Jordan Whitehead underwent an MRI on his shoulder the day after the NFC Championship Game with head coach Bruce Arians saying it is too early to determine if he can take the field after suffering that injury against the Packers. BookMaker lists Kansas City as a 3-point road favorite, with the total set at 56. CBS has the broadcast on Sunday, February 7th, with the kickoff at 6:30 PM ET.

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: EPL, NBA, NHL, and NCAA Basketball Preview

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jan 27, 2021

The Wednesday sports card features action in college basketball, the NBA, the NHL, and the English Premier League.The college basketball card tips off at 3 PM ET, with BYU visiting Pepperdine as a 6-point road favorite with the total set at 147.5 (all odds from BetOnline).The nationally-televised college basketball card begins at 7 PM ET. Creighton travels to Seton Hall on FS1. The Bluejays rank 17th in the nation by the Associated Press poll with an 11-4 record. They have won seven of their last nine games with their 74-66 win against UConn as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Pirates are 9-6 after they lost at Villanova, 76-74, as a 9-point underdog back on January 19th. Creighton is a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 147.5.Providence hosts Marquette at 7 PM ET on the CBS Sports Network. The Friars fell to 8-7 with four losses in their last five games after their 71-56 loss at Villanova as an 11-point underdog on Saturday. Marquette dropped to 8-7 with their 68-61 upset loss to DePaul as an 8.5-point favorite on Saturday. Providence is a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 138.5.South Carolina plays at home against Georgia on ESPN2 at 7 PM ET. The Gamecocks fell to 3-5 with their third straight defeat in an upset loss to Auburn, 109-86,  as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Bulldogs are 9-5 after they lost to Florida, 92-84, as a 4.5-point underdog on Saturday. South Carolina is a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 160.Baylor is at home against Kansas State on ESPN2 at 9 PM ET. The Bears remain second in the nation with a 14-0 record. They last played on Saturday when they won at Oklahoma State, 81-66, as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats are 5-11 with their sixth straight loss in a 69-47 setback to West Virginia on Saturday as an 11-point underdog. Baylor is a 24.5-point favorite with the total at 136.5.DePaul hosts St. John’s on FS1 at 9 PM ET. The Blue Demons are 3-5 with two wins in their last three games after they upset Marquette, 68-61, on Saturday. The Red Storm won their third game in four to raise their record to a 9-7 mark with their 96-78 victory against Utah Valley State as a 14.5-point favorite. DePaul is a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 151.5. Colorado plays at home against Washington State on ESPNU at 9 PM ET. The Buffaloes are 12-4 with five wins in their last six games after they defeated the Cougars on the road, 70-59, as a 6.5-point road favorite on Saturday. Washington State has lost five in a row to fall to 9-5. Colorado is a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 137 in tonight’s rematch.Boise State visits Colorado State on the CBS Sports Network at 9 PM ET. The Broncos rose to 12-1 after their 73-51 win against Fresno State as an 11.5-point favorite last Wednesday. The Rams have won five of their last six games to improve their record to 11-3 with their 84-76 upset victory at Utah State as a 7.5-point underdog last Thursday. Boise State is a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 148.Utah State plays at UNLV on FS1 at 11 PM ET. The Runnin’ Rebels pulled off a 59-56 upset on Monday between these two teams as a 6.5-point underdog. The Aggies have lost two in a row to fall to 12-5 with that setback. UNLV has won five in a row to raise their record to 6-6. Utah State is a 6-point road favorite with the total at 136.The NBA has 12 games on the docket. An ESPN doubleheader tips off at 7:35 PM ET with the Los Angeles Lakers playing at Philadelphia. The Lakers are 14-4 after they defeated Cleveland on the road by a 115-108 score as a 12-point favorite on Monday. The reigning NBA champions are 10-0 on the road. The 76ers fell to 12-6 with a 119-104 upset loss at Detroit as a 4.5-point favorite on Monday.The nightcap on ESPN has Golden State hosting Minnesota in a rematch of the Warriors’ 130-108 victory as an 8.5-point favorite on Monday. Golden State is now 9-8. The Timberwolves have lost five of their last six games with a 4-12 record. Minnesota will likely still be without Karl Anthony-Towns, who is out indefinitely after his positive COVID test. Two games are on the NHL schedule. Nashville hosts Chicago on the NBC Sports Network at 7:30 PM ET.Matchweek 20 in the English Premier League continues with five matches. Manchester United hosts Sheffield United on the NBC Sports Network at 3:15 PM ET as a -1.5 goal line favorite with the total set at 2.75.

Read more

Super Bowl Betting Trends

by Al McMordie

Tuesday, Jan 26, 2021

Super Bowl LV will feature a terrific match-up between the Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks from the previous two seasons, with Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs taking on Tom Brady's Buccaneers.  The Chiefs have been installed as an early 3-point favorite, with a total of 56.5 (all odds from BetAnySports).Let's take a look at some historical trends.Dating back to 1981, there have been 41 Super Bowls.The underdogs have gone 21-17-2 ATS, including 6-4 at +3 or +3.5.And there have been 23 Overs against 17 Unders, but with games in the 55 to 57-point range, the Under is 2-1.There have been 12 meetings between teams that played earlier in the season.The revenge-minded team (here, Tampa Bay) has gone 7-5 SU and 6-5-1 ATS, including a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS when installed as an underdog of +7 points or less.  And the team which covered the point spread in the previous meeting (here, also, Tampa Bay), has gone 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS.With regard to rematches from earlier in the season, the Super Bowls have gone Under eight of 12 times.  When the previous match-up went Over the total, the Super Bowl was 3-1 Under; and if the first meeting went Under the total, the Super Bowl was 5-3 Under.  There have been eight games that involved a defending Super Bowl champion.  Those eight teams have gone 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS, including 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS when not favored by more than 7 points.The team which averaged more points on offense (here, Tampa Bay), has gone 17-23 SU and 14-24-2 ATS, while the team which gave up less points on defense (here, also Tampa Bay) has gone 26-14 SU and 21-17-2 ATS.The team with the better win percentage (here, Kansas City) has gone 17-17 SU and 13-19-2 ATS, including 3-4 SU/ATS when favored by 3 or 3.5 points.The team with the better ATS win percentage (here, Tampa Bay) has gone 23-13 SU and 21-13-2 ATS, including 2-1 SU/ATS when installed as an underdog of +3 or 3.5 points.I am wrapping up my 9th straight winning NFL season, and have released a play in this game, as I look to stay red-hot (currently 82-37 my last 119 selections, as of this writing).  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Read more

Ness Notes: Tuesday, Jan 26

by Larry Ness

Tuesday, Jan 26, 2021

This column will be available Monday through Friday (posted no later than 1:00 ET), EXCLUSIVELY at BigAl.com. I like to call it my daily 'random thoughts' on the sports betting world, although I'll pass along that my therapist refers to it as "thoughtful commentary."CBB; The new AP poll was released on Monday and for the 10th consecutive week, 15-0 Gonzaga was No. 1 and 14-0 Baylor No. 2. Villanova got back on the court last week for the first time since Dec 23 and remains No. 3 with a 10-1 record. Cracking the top-5 for the second time in his first two seasons as Michigan's head coach, Juwan Howard's 13-1 Wolverines are ranked No. 4. However, Michigan's rise comes on the heels of the school announcing a two-week pause in all sports activities due to concerns about a new COVID-19 variant believed to spread at a higher rate. That has led to the postponement of the Wolverines' next four games through at least Feb. 11. It remains to be seen how much their ranking will fluctuate during that time. Florida State can relate, as the Seminoles fell out of the poll from No. 25 in the midst of having three straight January games postponed. However, FSU's won FOUR straight games since returning (THREE by double-digit margins) and re-entered the poll Monday at No. 16. Rounding out the top-10 are 11-2 Texas (No. 5), 13-1 Houston (No. 6), 12-3 Iowa (No. 7), 10-2 Virginia (No. 8), 13-3 Alabama (No. 9) and 11-4 Texas Tech (No. 10). Let's hear it for the Tide, who have won NINE in a row and jumped from No. 18 to No. 9, the school's highest ranking since January 2007. Missouri moved up to No. 12 (from 19th), while joining FSU as new to the current poll were No. 24 Oklahoma and No. 25 Louisville. Falling out were No. 20 Clemson (see Monday's Notes regarding the Tigers' collapse), No. 21 Oregon and No. 23 UConn. Kansas remained ranked for the 230th straight week (longest-active streak by far) but the Jayhawks have lost THREE straight for the first time since 2013. Kansas checks in at No. 15 (?) but fell out of the top-10 for the first time in two years. Tennessee lost twice, falling from No. 6 to No. 18 and  Illinois (No. 8 in the preseason) is ranked 19th (??), despite its 10-5 record.15-0 Gonzaga (just 7-7-1 ATS) and 14-0 Baylor (11-3 ATS) are joined by two 'over-looked' schools, which remain unbeaten and unranked. Winthrop (Big South) is 15-0 and owns a program-record 20 straight wins (Gonzaga has won 19 straight), while Drake (MVC) is not only 13-0 but is 11-0 ATS! FIVE schools (with 10-plus wins) have just one loss. The list includes No. 3 Villanova (10-1), No. 4 Michigan (13-1) and No. 6 Houston (13-1) but also 16-1 Belmont (OVC) and 13-1 Boise St (MWC). Note that Drake will play at 9-1 Missouri St (which is 7-1 ATS, itself) tonight. (Bulldogs are favored by  3 1/2-points).There was just one game between ranked opponents on Monday, as No. 10 Texas Tech lost 88-87 at No. 11 West Va. Both teams held double-digit leads and lost them. West Virginia trailed 75-63 with 7:11 to go but Miles McBride drove for a leaning bank shot with 5.9 seconds to go, allowing the Mountaineers to escape with the one point wins. Higher ranked teams are now 29-17 (.630) SU but just 21-25 (45.7%) ATS on the season. There are FIVE ranked teams in action on Tuesday, with No. 5 Texas (11-2) hosting No. 24 Oklahoma (9-4). The Longhorns have not played since Jan 16, when their shorthanded squad (because of COVID-19) overwhelmed Kansas State 82-67 at home. Texas' ensuing two games, at Iowa State and at TCU, were postponed because of COVID-19 and player availability protocols among the Cyclones and Horned Frogs, respectively. Oklahoma heads to Austin with plenty of momentum after a 75-68 home win over then-No. 9 Kansas on Saturday. The Sooners have won their last three games overall but have lost their last three road games, at then-No. 6 Kansas, at No. 2 Baylor and at Xavier. Texas is favored by 4 1/2-points. No. 19 Alabama will put its nine-game winning streak on the line when it hosts 5-9 Kentucky ('Bama is favored by seven points). No. 18 Tennessee (down from No. 6) will look to break a two-game slide when it hosts 9-7 Mississippi St. The Vols are favored by  9 1/2-points and when head coach Rick Barnes was asked to explain his team's back-to-back losses by a collective 35 points, replied "We have turned the ball over 36 times, and you can't do that" The man has a point! Last but not least, No. 22 St Louis (7-1) takes the court for the first time since Dec 23 when it hosts 8-4 Dayton (Billikens are favored by nine points).NBA: The Lakers improved to 10-0 on the road this season with a 115-108 win at Cleveland on Monday night. The East's top record still belongs to the 12-6 Philadelphia 76ers but they lost 119-104 at Detroit. The Celtics got Jayson Tatum back (hadn't played since Jan 8, missing four games) at Chicago and he scored 24 points in a 119-103 Boston win (Celtics are 10-6). The Nets improved to 11-8 by beating Miami 98-85, for a second time in three days. The Heat made the NBA Finals last season but currently are 6-10. The season tipped off back on Dec 22 and Monday's games concluded FIVE full weeks of play. Here's a five-week "look-back!"The Lakers' 14-4 record is a league-best, although they are a more modest 10-8 ATS. That said, their plus-9.8 point differential is also an NBA-best. The Lakers' Staples Center co-tenants, the Clippers, have won SEVEN straight and check in at 13-4 (10-7 ATS). The Clippers will play tonight in Atlanta against the 8-8 Hawks but Kawhi Leonard and Paul George did not join the team on its flight to Atlanta, as both were ruled out on Monday due to the NBA's health and safety protocols. With no Kawhi or PG, the Hawks are favored by five points. The Utah Jazz own the NBA's longest active winning streak at EIGHT in a row (also 8-0 ATS) and will host the 8-10 NY Knicks on Tuesday at 12-4. In this 'Year of COVID,' the Jazz have started the same five players in each of their 16 games (amazing!). Utah is favored by 11 1/2-points. In the early going, the Lakers, Clippers and Jazz have seemed to establish themselves as the West's top-echelon. At the other end of the spectrum, the 6-10 Kings, the 5-10 Pelicans and the 4-12 Timberwolves are all playing sub-.400 basketball. Is it notable that the Pelicans, led by 'Zion the Magnificent,' are winning one-third of their games? Over in the East, I noted above that 12-6 Philadelphia owns the best record but very little separates the conference's top-five (just 1 1/2-games between No. 5 and No. 1), as Boston and Milwaukee are 10-6, Indiana is 10-7 and Brooklyn is 11-8. The Bucks have sure NOT looked like the team that's owned the NBA's best regular season record in each of the last two years but they can't be dismissed after just 16 games. I guess the 76ers and Celtics will be near the top of the East standings for most of the season, health permitting. The 'wild card' is the Nets, after Harden forced a trade from Houston. Harden produced  a triple-double in his Brooklyn debut (32-12-14) and through six games (Nets are 4-2), is playing 40.2 minutes, averaging 23.0-7.3-11.3. KD is averaging 30.4 PPG on the season and since Harden's arrival, has averaged 32.2 PPG (missed one  of the six games to 'rest'). Everyone's favorite teammate, Kyrie Irving, has graced the Nets by returning these last four games. He averaged 37.5 PPG in back-to-back losses to the Cavs but 22.0 PPG and 5.5 APG in two wins over Miami (see anything in those numbers?). Speaking of Miami, the Heat made the NBA Finals against the Lakers in the Orlando 'bubble,' ending their postseason by going 14-7 SU and with a playoff-best 16-7 ATS record. However, the current edition of Miami looks nothing like last summer's team, going just 6-10 SU and 6-9-1 ATS. In fact, just two teams in the East own a worse record than the Heat, the Pistons and Wizards. Detroit is a NBA-worst 4-13 but a respectable 9-7-1 ATS. Then there is 3-9 Washington. The Wizards got back on the court Sunday night for the first time since beating the visiting Phoenix Suns 128-107 back on Jan 11. Head coach Scott Brooks and the Wizards were simply happy to be back on the court but the San Antonio Spurs used their depth to beat Washington 121-101. The Wizards are back in action tonight, when they visit the 6-9 Rockets. Houston is favored by 3 1/2-points. Russell Westbrook returned to the court on Sunday, for the first time in more than two weeks due to a left quadriceps injury. He finished with nine points, eight rebounds and six assists in 25 minutes. That got me thinking (always a frightening proposition). Remember the 2011-12 season when KD, Westbrook and super-sub Harden made the NBA Finals with OKC? I'll make it part of my Wednesday Notes, along with some "thoughtful commentary" on Aaron Rodgers.Good luck...Larry

Read more

Big Al's Daily Angle: EPL, NHL, NBA and NCAA Basketball Preview

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Jan 26, 2021

The Tuesday sports card features action in college basketball, the NBA, the NHL, and the English Premier League in the afternoon.The college basketball card tips off at 2 PM ET, with Tulsa visiting Temple as a 1-point road favorite with the total set at 143 (all odds from BetOnline).The nationally-televised college basketball games begin at 7 PM ET. Texas hosts Oklahoma on ESPN2 in a battle of ranked Big 12 foes. The Longhorns raised their record to 11-2 with an 82-67 win against Kansas State as a 17-point favorite on January 16th. They rank fifth in the nation in the Associated Press poll. The Sooners won three in a row with their 75-68 upset victory at home against Kansas as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. They are ranked 24th by the AP with a 9-4 record. Texas is a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 143.Alabama plays at home against Kentucky on ESPN at 7 PM ET. The Crimson Tide have won nine straight after they defeated Mississippi State on Saturday, 81-73, as a 9.5-point favorite. Alabama ranks 9th in the nation with a 13-3 record. The Wildcats ended a three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 82-69 win against LSU as a 1-point favorite. Yet John Calipari’s team is just 5-9 this season. Alabama is a 7.5-point favorite, with the total at 147. Memphis is at home against SMU on ESPNU at 7 PM ET. The Tigers won their second straight game to raise their record to 8-5 with their 80-53 win at East Carolina as a 7-point favorite on Sunday. SMU is 8-2 after their 78-65 win at Central Florida, 78-65, as a 5-point favorite on Saturday. Memphis is a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 140.Saint Louis plays for the first time since December 23rd when they host Dayton at 8:30 PM ET on the CBS Sports Network. The Billikens rank 22nd by the AP with a 7-1 record. The Flyers’ three-game winning streak ended on Saturday in a 66-43 upset loss at VCU as a 6.5-point favorite. Saint Louis is a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 135.5. UConn plays at home against Butler on FS1 at 8:30 PM ET. The Huskies fell to 7-3 with their second-straight loss on Saturday in a 74-66 setback at Creighton as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs are 5-7 with two straight wins after their 67-53 upset win at DePaul as a 2-point dog last Tuesday. UConn is a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 125.5.Auburn is at home against Missouri on ESPN2 at 9 PM ET. The Tigers are 9-7 with three wins in their last four games after their 109-86 upset victory at South Carolina as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Tigers upset Tennessee in Knoxville, 73-64, as a 6.5-point underdog on Saturday. That victory improved Mizzou’s record to 10-2 while placing them 12th in the AP poll. Auburn is a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 148.5.Duke hosts Georgia Tech on ESPN at 9 PM ET. The Blue Devils have lost three in a row falling to 5-5 after their 70-65 loss at Louisville as a 2-point underdog. The Yellow Jackets’ five-game winning streak ended on Saturday in a 64-62 loss at Virginia as an 8.5-point underdog. Georgia Tech is now 7-4. Duke is a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 142.Three games are on the NBA slate. The card begins with Los Angeles Clippers visiting Atlanta at 7:35 PM ET. Utah plays at home at 9:05 PM ET to conclude the card. The Jazz are 11-point favorites with the total at 213.Fourteen games are on the NHL docket. The New York Islanders visit Washington on the NBC Sports Network at 7:08 PM ET. The Islanders are 3-2-0 after losing at New Jersey by a 2-0 score on Sunday. The Capitals are 3-0-3 after losing to Buffalo, 4-3, on Sunday. New York is a -143 money line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5.Matchweek 20 in the English Premier League begins with four matches on Tuesday. Two games start at 1 PM ET, with Leeds United visiting Newcastle United on the NBC Sports Network as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 2.75. The final two matches start at 3 PM ET. Manchester City visits West Bromwich on the NBC Sports Network as a -2 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 3.25.

Read more

NCAA Monday Night Basketball: West Virginia/Texas Tech Preview

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Jan 25, 2021

A college basketball doubleheader on ESPN concludes at 9 PM ET in a battle between two Big 12 teams nationally ranked in the top fifteen.Texas Tech ranks 12th in the nation in the Associated Press poll with an 11-4 record. The Red Raiders last played on January 16th when they lost at home to Baylor as a 4.5-point underdog. Head coach Chris Beard’s team has not played since facing the number two ranked team in the nation due to the COVID issues with TCU and Iowa State that led to the postponement of those two games last week. Beard said he used the week off to get his players rest while keeping them sharp with some practice time and video sessions. This group is likely Beard’s most talented team in his five years as head coach of this program. While he lost three starters from the team that finished 18-13 last season, he was aggressive in attracting some high-level transfers while bringing in a good freshman class to join junior Kyler Edwards and sophomore Terrence Shannon. Some of the depth Beard had established diminished when five-star freshman Nimari Burnett decided to leave the team to transfer to another school. He was averaging 17.7 minutes-per-game but only scoring 5.3 points-per-game. Georgetown transfer Mac McClung has adapted to Beard’s system to lead the team with a 16.3 points-per-game scoring average. Shannon is second on the team by scoring 12.8 points-per-game. Once again, Texas Tech is an outstanding defensive team under Beard. They are fifth in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to kenpom. The Red Raiders are also seventh in the country by forcing turnovers in 26.7% of their opponent’s possessions. This team also thrives in getting second-chance shots. Texas Tech rebounds 35.1% of their missed shots, 23rd in the country. They also get to the free-throw line as they rank fifth in free throw rate. The weakness of this team is shooting the basketball. The Red Raiders make only 32.6% of their 3-pointers and 49.2% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 213th and 201st, respectively. kenpom ranks their adjusted offensive efficiency at 37th. In their loss to Baylor, they shot just 35.5% from the field while going 6 of 24 from 3-point land.Texas Tech’s three other losses were to Houston, Kansas, and Oklahoma State. Their highest-profile wins are against Texas and Oklahoma. Beard’s team could use another resume-building victory after compiling several wins against lesser competition. West Virginia went on hiatus for two weeks after a COVID outbreak within their program. They returned to the court on Saturday in a 69-47 win at Kansas State as an 11-point favorite in their first game since January 9th.The Mountaineers are 2-2 since losing two players in their frontline rotation at the beginning of the month. Isaiah Cottrell suffered a season-ending Achilles injury in their game against Northeastern. The four-star freshman was averaging only 5.6 minutes-per-game, but he gave the Mountaineers’ depth at forward with potential upside as the team’s highest-rated freshman. The more significant loss was Oscar Tshiebwe, who stepped away from the program for personal reasons. The sophomore led the team with a 10.2 points-per-game scoring average last season but had taken a step back this year by scoring 8.1 points-per-game while adding 3.8 rebounds-per-game. West Virginia ranks 14th in the current Associated Press pill with an 8-3 record. They have resume-building wins against Western Kentucky, Richmond, and Oklahoma. The Mountaineers' three losses were against Gonzaga, Texas, Kansas, and Oklahoma, with those first three teams ranked in top-15 in the new AP poll and the Sooners ranking 25th.Huggins still has plenty of talent on his roster. Sophomore Miles McBride leads the team with a 15.3 points-per-game scoring average, and junior forward Derek Culver is adding 13.4 PPG with 10.3 rebounds-per-game. Taz Sherman and Sean McNeil are also both averaging at least 9.6 PPG.West Virginia hosts this game in Morgantown, where they are 4-1 this season. Texas Texas Tech is undefeated in their three road games in the rugged Big 12. While the Mountaineers opened as a small favorite, the Red Raiders will likely be the favorite by the 9 PM ET tipoff on ESPN. BookMaker lists Texas Tech as a 1.5-point road favorite with the total set at 134.

Read more

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2025 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.