Articles

2022 Liberty Flames Preview

by Matt Fargo

Saturday, Jul 23, 2022

Liberty Flames2021-22 Season Record 8-5 (N/A) - 7-6-0 ATS - 5-7-1 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 7Defense - 4OverviewLiberty has been in a tough spot since joining the FBS ranks in 2018. The Flames have no conference affiliation as they have played as an Independent since the start which makes scheduling more difficult and on the more broad scope, they are not playing for a conference championship, just a lower-tiered bowl game. Liberty has accomplished the latter each of the last three seasons after not being eligible in the first year and at some point, trying to make new goals becomes more difficult. For instance, in 2020 the Flames went 9-1 with the only loss coming against NC State by one point and their reward was a trip to the Cure Bowl and they ended up No. 17 in the final AP Poll. This changes next season when they become a member of C-USA so it is one more year for head coach Hugh Freeze to motivate the troops for another who cares bowl game and while some top talent has been lost, another winning season is very attainable. OffenseThe offense was chugging along last season and it was off to a 7-2 start but then over the final three games, the Flames scored 14, 14 and 16 points and lost all three games with a turnover margin of -11. They were led by quarterback Malik Willis and finished No. 47 in total offense and No. 42 in scoring offense but Willis has moved on and the job likely goes to veteran Charlie Brewer who has solid experience at Baylor and Utah. He has a solid offensive core to work with as the two top receivers are back in Demario Douglas and C.J. Daniels who combined for 1,330 yards and 13 touchdowns. The running game never got going last season and while it finished No. 51 in rushing offense, it should have been a lot better as it relied on Willis too much. T.J. Green rushed for 477 yards and is ready for a breakout and he will be behind an offensive line that is filling holes with incoming transfers from some major schools. DefensePraise goes to the defense that has allowed just 319 ypg over the last two seasons and finished No. 12 last season overall while allowing only 21.7 ppg. It faltered down the stretch as well but were pinned back often because of the turnovers on offense and now Liberty has to replace seven starters and some big ones at that. They lost two of their top three tacklers and they are from the middle so the linebacking corps will be the weakness and they will turn to Aakil Washington who was second on the team with 4.5 sacks while adding some transfer talent. The defensive line was strong and will be just as good this season behind ends TreShaun Clark and Durrell Johnson and are beefed up in the middle with Auburn transfer Dre Butler. The best returning player on defense is safety Jason Scruggs who was second on the team with 61 tackles and will head a secondary that has two solid corners and should be much better in takeaways. 2022 Season OutlookThe Flames have one more go as an Independent before taking a step up into the conference world which will bring in more top recruits as they have been No. 89 or lower in those rankings the last three years. Freeze has built something good here and while that has been his present goal, he is aiming to get back into the Power Five mix but 2022 is the main focus right now. Liberty opens on the road at Southern Mississippi before a tough home game against UAB and then a tougher test at Wake Forest. After that, it looks like four straight wins barring any glitches against Akron, Old Dominion, Massachusetts and Gardner Webb. Three tests remain against BYU, Arkansas and Virginia Tech but the first and third of those are at home. The O/U win total is set at 6.5 and the first game could set the tone as they are a slight favorite so a win there should push them over but a loss means an upset or two down the road will be needed. 

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2022 Haskell Stakes Preview

by Al McMordie

Saturday, Jul 23, 2022

With the three Triple Crown Races now in our rear-view mirror, the 3 year-old thoroughbred competition turns to the summer Derbys -- most notably the Travers, Haskell, and Pennsylvania Derby.  The Haskell is the first one on the slate this Saturday and it will once again be the spotlight race of the summer for New Jersey's Monmouth Park.  It's a bit disappointing that only eight runners are showing up for Saturday's nine furlong affair, but that could be due to the presence of a couple of big runners.  With that being said, as in most cases, there is an opportunity to make some money in the Haskell and so we present our contenders and pretenders for this weekend's big race. Contenders:  #7 - Jack Christopher.  If all you do every thoroughbred season is follow the Triple Crown races, then you likely have not heard of this Chad Brown-trained son of Munnings.  Jack Christopher was one of the hottest stars on the Triple Crown Trail at the end of last year, but had to skip the Breeders Cup in November and then wasn't ready for the Derby, Preakness or Belmont while recovering from his minor injury.  But that's not to say he didn't run on the same day as two of the Triple Crown races.  On Derby day, Jack Christopher made a successful return in the Pat Day Mile, winning easily despite a seven month layoff.  Then on Belmont Day, he was even more impressive in the Woody Stephens, crushing his competition by 10 lengths (he could've won by more).  This will be his first test around two turns and the nine furlongs of the Haskell represents the longest distance he's ever been asked to go, but there's nothing in his record to indicate that he can't do it.  Simply put -- despite not running in the Triple Crown races, Jack Christopher is the consensus choice right now as best 3YO in the country.  Due to the presence of the Baffert runner Taiba in here (see Pretenders section below), Jack Christopher is only the second choice in the field today at 3-2.  If for some reason he goes off at even money or higher, he would offer great value. #1 - Cyberknife.  With most people thinking this is a two-horse affair between Jack Christopher and Taiba, you might just get a very nice price on this Brad Cox-trained son of Gun Runner.  There are few trainers as hot as Cox right now and if you throw out his brutal trip in the Ky Derby, Cyberknife has done little wrong in his campaign.  He came back after the Derby defeat to take the Matt Winn Stakes at Churchill Downs on June 12 and looks to be in the best form of his career.  That doesn't mean he can keep up with Jack Christopher, but with regular rider Florent Giroux aboard, Cyberknife makes an intriguing choice in the bottom of the exacta with Jack Christopher, or as a Place bet.  Pretenders:  #2 - Taiba. There's no denying that Bob Baffert owns this race.  The California trainer has won the Haskell a record nine times.  People east of the Mississippi haven't seen much of Baffert lately as he's been effectively banned from running in New York and Kentucky due to suspicions of using banned substances but New Jersey is welcoming him this weekend.  Having said that, you can bet that Baffert and his horses will be under the microscope so whatever questionable medications Baffert is using -- or was thinking of using on his horse today -- will be left behind in California.  The other reason to toss Taiba today is the fact that he hasn't been out since his 12th place finish in the Ky Derby and the horse only has three lifetime starts so it's hard to imagine he'll be in top form to compete with the likes of Jack Christopher and Cyberknife.  He will be overbet and offers no value today.  #6 - White Abarrio.  You have to admire Saffie Joseph's son of Race Day who seems like he could run a race on the moon if Joseph wanted to ship him there.  He's been to Florida, Kentucky, and Ohio in his last three races but the problem is that his speed figures -- especially in his last race when he finished second to Tawny Port in the Ohio Derby -- appear to be on the decline.  Unless he can dramatically improve that number today, he stands to be a distant fourth at best.  People will probably bet the popular runner and at anything close to his morning line of 5-1, White Abarrio is a horse you want to take a strong stand against -- even in the exotic wagers (i.e., exacta and trifecta)  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 07/23/2022

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Jul 23, 2022

The Saturday sports card features MLB action.Major League Baseball has 16 games on its schedule. The Chicago White Sox host the Cleveland Guardians in the first game of their doubleheader at 1:10 PM ET. Johnny Cueto takes the mound for the White Sox against Triston McKenzie for the Guardians. Chicago is a -110 money line favorite at Caesars with the total set at 9. Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 4:10 PM ET. Houston visits Seattle on FS1 with the Astros turning to Justin Verlander to pitch against the Mariners’ Logan Gilbert. The Astros are a -135 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7. Toronto plays at Boston with Alex Manoah pitching for the Blue Jays against Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. The Blue Jays are a -145 money line road favorite with a total of 9.5. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Chicago Cubs at 6:05 PM ET. The Phillies tap Zack Wheeler to duel against the Cubs’ Marcus Stroman. Philadelphia is a -165 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Minnesota Twins travel to Detroit to play the Tigers at 6:10 PM ET. Joe Ryan takes the hill for the Twins to pitch against the Tigers’ Michael Pineda. Minnesota is a -170 money line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The St. Louis Cardinals play at Cincinnati against the Reds at 6:40 PM ET. The Cardinals’ Steven Matz gets the start against the Reds’ Mike Minor. St. Louis is a -155 money line road favorite with an over/under of 10.5. Two MLB games start at 7:05 PM ET. Miami visits Pittsburgh with Max Meyer taking the mound for the Marlins to face Jose Quintana of the Pirates. The Marlins are a -115 money line road favorite with a total of 8.5. New York plays at Baltimore, with the Yankees turning to Gerrit Cole to battle against the Orioles’ Jordan Lyles. The Yankees are a -230 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Three more MLB games begin at 7:10 PM ET. New York hosts San Diego with Chris Bassitt pitching for the Mets against Blake Snell for the Padres. The Mets are a -145 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. Tampa Bay plays at Kansas City with the Rays tapping Luis Patino to start against the Royals’ Brady Singer. Milwaukee is at home against Colorado, with Brandon Woodruff taking the hill to pitch for the Brewers against Jose Urena for the Rockies. The Brewers are a -265 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Two MLB games start at 7:15 PM ET in regional coverage on Fox. Los Angeles plays at home against San Francisco, with Julio Urias pitching for the Dodgers against Alex Wood for the Giants. The Dodgers are a -175 money line favorite with a total of 8. The White Sox pitch Lance Lynn against the Guardians’ Konnor Pilkington in the second game of their doubleheader. The Atlanta Braves host the Los Angeles Angels at 7:20 PM ET. Kyle Wright takes the mound for the Braves to pitch against Patrick Sandoval for the Angels. Atlanta is a -185 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Arizona Diamondbacks play at home against the Washington Nationals at 8:10 PM ET. The Diamondbacks turn to Madison Bumgarner to duel against the Nationals’ Anibal Sanchez. Arizona is a -145 money line favorite with a total of 9. The Texas Rangers visit Oakland to play the A’s on FS1 at 9:07 PM ET. Taylor Hearn takes the hill for the Rangers to pitch against James Kaprielian for the A’s. Texas is a -125 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. 

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2022 Kentucky Wildcats Preview

by Matt Fargo

Friday, Jul 22, 2022

Kentucky Wildcats2021-22 Season Record 10-3 (5-3 SEC East) - 8-4-1 ATS - 8-5-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 6Defense - 5OverviewKentucky football is relevant once again. After the Joker Phillips experiment failed after three losing seasons, Mark Stoops took over as head coach in 2013 and while he too started off with three losing seasons, he came in with a plan as he had nothing to work with from the start and it has paid off with five winning campaigns in the last six years, the lone exception being a 5-6 COVID season, and the Wildcats are currently on a six-season bowl run. They look to extend that to seven this season and while Kentucky returns only 11 starters, you do not have to look back too far as that was the number that came back last season and the Wildcats went 10-3 with one of those losses coming by three points. A lot of teams would struggle with that lack of starting experience but it is different here as numerous players have made spot starts and received important playing time. The linesmakers know this with the projected 7.5 wins for 2022. OffenseThe offense had its share of ups and downs last season but it was mostly the latter and the Wildcats finished No. 43 in total offense and No. 30 in scoring offense. They had a midseason funk but poured it on late, averaging 46.0 ppg in their final four regular season games. The offense has six starters back and most importantly, one of those is quarterback Will Levis who completed over 66 percent of his passes for 2,593 yards with 23 touchdowns, while also running for nine scores, and 12 interceptions and those picks do need to come down. Along with him, the other mainstay is running back Christopher Rodriguez, Jr. who ran for 1,378 yards and 10 touchdowns and he should be a horse again. After that, things get a little dicey but help is on the way. Levis loses his top two receivers but there is depth and experience along with some key transfers coming in. The offensive line has to replace three starters but should come together. DefenseThere have been some very good defenses over the last few years and last season was extremely solid, finishing No. 26 in total defense and No. 32 in scoring defense. The Wildcats allowed 17 points or less six times and they were gashed really only once, allowing 45 points in a loss by three points to rival Tennessee. Five starters are back, the same as last season, and the big ones are in the middle which is key. Linebacker Jacquez Jones led the team in tackles with 82 and will be paired up with J.J. Weaver who led Kentucky with 6.5 sacks while De'Andre Square and his 81 tackles rounds out the corps. The defensive line is somewhat inexperienced but it is massive and should be fine against the run where Kentucky finished No. 16 in the country last season. The secondary has good experience and has a solid cornerback in Carrington Valentine who finished with 61 tackles but the team needs more turnovers as they had just five interceptions. 2022 Season OutlookAlways known as a hoops school, Kentucky football always played second fiddle and while it will probably never pass the basketball program in popularity or success, there is definitely an upward trend. Stoops has had offers to move to bigger football schools but he has stayed put to watch this program grow into its own. As with every SEC Team, the schedule is difficult but very doable. They have three nonconference home wins in September sandwiched around a big game at Florida. They also have Mississippi and Tennessee on the road and the toughest opponent will be Georgia which is at home. The Wildcats miss Alabama, Auburn, Arkansas, LSU and Texas A&M out of the West Division and that is big. The O/U win total is 7.5 and looking at the schedule, a 6-3 start looks about right and the final three games are at home against Vanderbilt, Georgia and Louisville so it will take a couple upsets along the way to cash the over. 

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2022 Kent St. Golden Flashes Preview

by Matt Fargo

Friday, Jul 22, 2022

Kent St. Golden Flashes2021-22 Season Record 7-7 (6-2 MAC East) - 7-7-0 ATS - 6-8-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 7Defense - 7OverviewAfter playing only four games in 2020, Kent St. came into 2021 loaded with 10 returning starters on each side of the ball and it did not disappoint. After a 1-3 nonconference start, the losses against Texas A&M, Iowa and Maryland, the Golden Flashes righted the ship, going 6-2 in the conference and went to the MAC Championship for the first time since 2012 and while it lost that game and its bowl game by way of blowouts, positives were put in place. Head coach Sean Lewis took over a program that was mired in a losing culture with five straight losing seasons, posting a dismal 14-45 record including 9-30 in the MAC and while his first team went 2-10 with the leftovers of Paul Haynes, he has not posted a losing season over the last three years and has two bowl trips. A significant amount of starters are back this season but a lot of experience has left as Kent St. is ranked only No. 117 in returning production so there is work to do. OffenseThe offense did not get a lot of publicity last season, because it plays in the MAC, but the Golden Flashes were potent by averaging 482.2 ypg which was No. 8 in the country while averaging 32.6 ppg, good for No. 36 overall. Quarterback Dustin Crum had a very good season but was not asked to do a lot with his arm as the rushing offense led the way, averaging 243.2 ypg which was fourth best in the nation. Crum has departed Collin Schlee will take over the reigns after limited action last year. In might take him a while to adjust but the good news is that the rushing attack will be as powerful with Marquez Cooper and Xavier Williams both coming back after combining for 2,017 yards and 14 touchdowns. The receiving corps is loaded led by Dante Cephas who had 1,240 yards and nine touchdowns with plenty of depth under him. The cause for concern is the offensive line that is going through a rehaul and will get lit up early. DefenseIt was fortunate the offense was as good as it was because the defense was awful, finishing No. 122 overall and No. 119 in points allowed. They were able to shut out an awful Akron team and allowed only 10 points to VMI of the FCS but gave up 37 or more points in nine of their other games. It is going to be a work in progress as six of the top seven tacklers are gone, leaving holes just about everywhere. The most experience is on the defensive line but it has to improve immensely after registering only 23 sacks and finishing No. 108 in tackles for loss. They were also bad on third down and the back seven has to up its game in that regard as well. Safety Dean Clark was the team leader in tackles with 116 and he returns and the hope is everyone else can feed off of him. The remainder of the secondary is adequate and coming close to the 16 interception will be a bonus. The linebackers will be raw and need to adjust on the fly. 2022 Season OutlookIt seems that every year, there is a team from the MAC that emerges to the top but has trouble staying there and that looks to be the case for Kent St. with a lot of new faces in the mix behind some solid returning playmakers. Lewis has succeeded with similar rosters so he can get the best out of this bunch but the loss of Crum at quarterback is huge as he knew the system in and out and was the proven leader of this team. The 1-3 start from last season will be duplicated this year as Kent St. has a sure win at home against Long Island but the other three nonconference games are at Washington, Oklahoma and Georgia so while the paychecks will be nice, the morale could take a hit. The MAC slate is manageable but includes three difficult road games although they miss Northern Illinois and Western Michigan out of the West. The O/U win total is 5 and a 0-6 start on the road is likely meaning taking care of business at home is a must. 

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2022 Kansas St. Wildcats Preview

by Matt Fargo

Friday, Jul 22, 2022

Kansas St. Wildcats2021-22 Season Record 7-5 (4-5 Big 12) - 7-5-1 ATS - 6-7-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 7Defense - 7OverviewAfter an eight-game bowl streak came to an end in 2018 under the second stint for Bill Snyder as the Kansas St. head coach, he retired again and the Wildcats brought in Chris Klieman to take over the program and he has put together two 8-5 seasons to go along with the 4-6 COVID-shortened season. This team was consistently dominant throughout the late 1990s and early 2000s then things started going south until a pair of double-digit win seasons in 2011 and 2012 but it has leveled out to being good but not great. The offense has been stuck in neutral for years and they are hoping that changes this season while continuing to rely on a strong defense that has been the trademark for decades with a couple exceptions along the way. Kansas St. has not been final ranked since 2014 and has not won an outright Big 12 Championship since 2003 and it is hoping the fourth year in this system can get it back to the top. OffenseThe offense averaged 354.8 ypg which was just No. 101 in the country as both running and passing were inconsistent which resulted in some good efforts but also some very bad ones. The Wildcats averaged only 285.7 ypg over their final three regular season games and while they exploded against LSU, the Tigers were depleted on defense. There was very average play at quarterback and they brought in Adrian Martinez from Nebraska where he put up solid numbers but also brings that inconsistency tab along. He is a duel threat which should fit nicely here and he has the pieces around him to succeed. Leading rusher Deuce Vaughn is back following a spectacular season with 1,404 yards and 18 touchdowns but there needs to be an uptick at wide receiver as Vaughn led the team in catches and no receiver had more than 474 yards. The offensive line has only two starters back but has time to come together early on. DefenseKansas St. relied on its defense to keep things close last season as it finished No. 37 overall and No. 29 in scoring, giving up just 21.1 ppg and it was a huge turnaround from the 2020 season. Seven starters are also back on this unit and the linebackers will once again pave the way. Daniel Green led the team with 83 tackles and he returns to lead a veteran group that is also getting a game ready transfer from Nebraska. The Wildcats were strongest against the run as they allowed only 126.6 ypg on 3.7 ypc and that should not change with a stout defensive line that is buoyed by end Felix Anudike-Uzomah who caused plenty of havoc as he led the team in sacks with 11 while forcing six fumbles. The passing defense was ok last season and should improve as Julius Brents and Ekow Boye-Doe are back at the corner positions so safety help is needed and they have take it away more as the nine interceptions were bottom third in the nation. 2022 Season OutlookIt has been a consistent run for Kansas St. over the last nine seasons but it has not been able to take that leap near the top like many other Big 12 teams have. Klieman has done a good job of keeping the Wildcats relevant but more is expected following the legendary years of Snyder. The conference is wide open this season with Kansas St. sitting right in the middle at +1,500 and all it takes is a couple upsets to set the stage and it has a chance early. The Wildcats open with three straight home games against South Dakota, Missouri and Tulane so they should be 3-0 heading into their Big 12 opener at Oklahoma. That is one of five conference road games with West Virginia being the easiest so yes, there needs to be upsets to make it special. The O/U win total is 6.5 and there are five home games they will be favored in with the other two coming against Oklahoma St. and Texas which are late in the season and could mean a lot. 

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NFL Season Win Totals Best Bet

by Sean Murphy

Friday, Jul 22, 2022

Detroit Lions OVER 6.5 wins (-115)The Lions are coming off another trying campaign, at least on paper, as they went 3-13-1 in head coach Dan Campbell's first year at the helm. Considering they started the 2021 season with eight consecutive losses, there's actually reason for optimism in the Motor City heading into 2022. I'll admit, I had my doubts as to whether Campbell's kneecap-biting philosophy would work, or whether the players would even buy into their hard-nosed head coach's vision. A funny thing happened after that 0-8 start as the positive momentum began to build with a tie against the Steelers and from there the Lions went on to win three of their final eight games with some tight losses in the mix. Football Outsiders ranked the Lions as having the league's third-highest injury impact last season, with Jeff Okudah, DeAndre Swift and T.J. Hockenson just a few of the key names that missed considerable time. Luck was certainly not on the Lions side in 2021.With an underrated defense that welcomes back a number of key parts that missed time last year, not to mention a sneaky-good offense led by the aforementioned Swift and one of 2021's breakout wide receivers in Amon-Ra St. Brown, the needle is certainly pointing up for the Lions on both sides of the football. Most left QB Jared Goff for dead after he was dealt from the Rams in the Matt Stafford deal last Summer. He appeared in 14 games with the Lions last season, completing better than 67% of his passes with 19 touchdowns and only eight interceptions. Working behind an even stronger, dare-I-say elite offensive line in 2022, I'm expecting Goff to build on last year's steady performance. Keep in mind, the Lions did work to upgrade their offense in the offeseason, adding veteran wide receiver D.J. Chark and using a high draft pick on Jameson Williams (who is expected to return from injury in October). The defense, which was by no means toothless last season, figures to improve with Jeff Okudah, Romeo Okwara, Ifeatu Melifonwu and others back healthy after missing considerable time last year. Detroit made a big splash with the number two overall draft pick, selecting one of the most dominant defenders in all of college football in Aidan Hutchinson.Scheduling works in Detroit's favor this season as well. Note that seven of the first eight opponents they faced last season were true playoff contenders. This year, they'll have the opportunity to get off to a solid start with two of their first four games coming at home against the likes of Washington and Seattle. They'll also close out the 2022 campaign with a very manageable stretch that includes the Jaguars, Vikings and Bears at home and the Jets, Panthers and Packers on the road, with that last game coming in Week 18, when the Pack could be resting their starters. We can currently grab the Lions win total OVER 6.5 but I would anticipate that number potentially bumping up to 7.0 by the end of the preseason. Keep in mind, the Lions will be featured on this year's edition of HBO Hard Knocks so the spotlight will be firmly planted on Dan Campbell's crew in August. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 07/22/2022

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Jul 22, 2022

The Friday sports card features MLB and CFL action.Major League Baseball has 14 games on its schedule. The St. Louis Cardinals visit Cincinnati to play the Reds at 6:40 PM ET. Adam Wainwright takes the ball for the Cardinals against Graham Ashcraft of the Reds. St. Louis is a -145 money line road favorite with the total set at 10. Three more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 7:05 PM ET. Philadelphia is at home against Chicago on Apple TV, with the Phillies turning to Kyle Gibson in their starting rotation against the Cubs’ Justin Steele. The Phillies are a -130 money line favorite with an over/under of 9. Miami plays at Pittsburgh with Braxton Garrett pitching for the Marlins against a starting pitcher yet to be determined for the Pirates. New York travels to Baltimore with the Yankees pitching Jameson Taillon against the Orioles’ Tyler Wells. The Yankees are a -155 money line road favorite with a total of 8.5. Two MLB games start at 7:10 PM ET. Toronto is at Boston with Kevin Gausman on the mound for the Blue Jays against Nathan Eovaldi of the Red Sox. New York hosts San Diego, with the Mets tapping Max Scherzer to pitch against the Padres’ You Darvish. The Mets are a -180 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Atlanta Braves host the Los Angeles Angels at 7:20 PM ET. Charlie Morton takes the ball for the Braves against Shohei Ohtani for the Angels. Atlanta is a -150 money line favorite with a total of 7. Three MLB games begin at 8:10 PM ET. Chicago plays at home against Cleveland on Apple TV, with the White Sox’s Lucas Giolito taking the hill against the Guardians’ Cal Quantrill. The White Sox are a -150 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Tampa Bay visits Kansas City with Drew Rasmussen of the Rays facing off against Brad Keller of the Royals. Milwaukee hosts Colorado, with the Brewers pitching Corbin Burnes against the Rockies’ Antonio Senzatela. The Brewers are a -265 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. Two MLB games start at 9:40 PM ET. Arizona is at home against Washington, with Zac Gallen taking the ball for the Diamondbacks against a starting pitcher yet to be named for the Nationals. Texas travels to Oakland with the Rangers sending Spencer Howard to face the A’s Cole Irvin. The Rangers are a -115 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7. Two MLB games conclude the card at 10:10 PM ET. Houston visits Seattle with Jose Urquidy taking the mound for the Astros against Marco Gonzales for the Mariners. The Astros are a -115 money line road favorite with a total of 8. Los Angeles is at home against San Francisco, with Tyler Anderson pitching for the Dodgers against Logan Webb for the Giants. The Dodgers are a -140 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.Week 7 in the Canadian Football League continues with the Edmonton Eskimos hosting the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on ESPN2 at 9 PM ET. The Eskimos won their second game in their last three games with their 32-31 upset victory as a 9-point underdog last Thursday. The Blue Bombers remain undefeated in their first six games this season after their 26-19 victory against Calgary as a 3-point favorite on Friday. Winnipeg is a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 48.

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2022 Kansas Jayhawks Preview

by Matt Fargo

Thursday, Jul 21, 2022

Kansas Jayhawks2021-22 Season Record 2-10 (1-8 Big 12) - 4-8-0 ATS - 7-5-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 9Defense - 8OverviewKansas has been the doormat of the Big 12 for 13 straight years as it has gone 8-106 in the conference over that stretch and has never won more than one game in a season. The Jayhawks last bowl game was in 2008 when they finished 8-5 and it seems like forever ago when they went 12-1 in 2007 that included a win in the Orange Bowl that resulted in a ranking of No. 7 in the final AP Poll. They are coming off a 2-10 season, the first for head coach Lance Leipold but things were different toward the end. After defeating South Dakota in the opener, it was blowout after blowout after blowout, eight straight by double-digits to be exact, but then something happened. Kansas defeated Texas in a wild 57-56 overtime upset and then lost its final two games by just nine points combined. It now has an opportunity to carry that positive energy into this season and see where it can go. And there is nowhere to go but up. OffenseThere was nothing good about the offense as Kansas finished No. 113 overall and No. 111 in scoring. It put up 17 points or fewer in half of their contests but the Jayhawks had three of their four highest point totals in the last three games. Now with nine starters back and with a second straight decent recruiting class, things have a chance to improve. Quarterback Jalon Daniels played sporadically in two September games but came in against Kansas St. and showed promise and started those final three games where he completed 69.2 percent of his passes for 860 yards with seven touchdowns and three interceptions and he is the man going forward. There is not much star power at receiver but there is talent and plenty of experience that came late in the season. Four starters are back on the offensive line which will improve the running game and create some balance as leading rusher Devin Neal and his 707 yards is back. DefenseAs bad as the offense was, the defense was worse as the Jayhawks were No. 129 in total defense, scoring defense and rushing defense and the only reason they were No. 80 in passing defense was because teams did not have to throw. Like the other side, the defense has a chance to be a lot better with eight starters back and increased depth with a lot of key transfers that will get a ton of time. The three top tacklers are back, two from the linebacking corps with Rich Miller, Jr. and Gavin Potter combining for 157 tackles to form a solid nucleus. The secondary should be greatly improved as safety Kenny Logan who led the Jayhawks with 111 tackles returns and they get two transfers who played big roles on their old teams to solidify the backfield. The defensive line was not good but three starters are back along with another key transfer so experience should make improvements up front and get a better pass rush. 2022 Season OutlookThere have been seven coaches on the Kansas sideline during this putrid 13-year stretch and while a 2-10 season is not going to instill much confidence into the fanbase, good things happened down the stretch and if Leipold was able to turn things around in Buffalo, he has a chance to do it here but it will be small steps. Kansas opens with Tennessee Tech and while this is an easy game for most teams, typically that is not the case here but a blowout could do wonders with two road games on deck. The Big 12 schedule is difficult as usual but there are games to keep close. Betting a Kansas over usually came down to the final two or three games and most of the time it did not turn out good but this could be the year where there is no sweat in November. The O/U win total this season is 2.5 and this team could feasibly be 3-1 in its first four home games and an upset on the road could cement the over for a stress free November. 

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2022 James Madison Dukes Preview

by Matt Fargo

Thursday, Jul 21, 2022

James Madison Dukes2021-22 Season Record 12-2 (7-1 CAA) - 0-0-0 ATS - 0-0-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 9Defense - 8OverviewThe lone entrant into the FBS pool in 2022 are the James Madison Dukes who come over from a very successful run in the FCS ranks following a 12-2 record last season including a 7-1 record in the CAA to win their third straight conference championship. No. 3 seed James Madison rolled over SE Louisiana and Montana in the first two rounds of the FCS playoffs before succumbing to No. 2 seed North Dakota St., the eventual National Champion by six points. The Dukes enter the Sun Belt Conference and while this is their first season, they would likely be at the top half of the favorites board to win it but they are ineligible for a title and a bowl game because of a ludicrous NCAA probationary rule. This team is loaded with 17 returning starters and should give some of the big boys headaches but a jump to a bigger and stronger field could cause some growing pains. OffenseWhile nine starters are back on offense, one of those is not quarterback Cole Johnson who was the Offensive Player of the Year in the CAA and he will be missed. The likely player to take over is Todd Centeio who is a transfer from Colorado St. and he was solid yet unspectacular with the Rams last season as he threw for 2,958 yards on a 60.3 percent completion clip with 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Going to a lesser conference helps as does the fact he is behind a great offensive line that returns four starters that will be better in pass protection and keep the holes open for a strong running attack. Leader rusher Latrele Palmer returns after running for 947 yards and there is good depth behind him. Leading receiver Antwane Wells and his 1,250 yards and 15 touchdowns is gone but second leading receiver Kris Thornton and his 1,097 yards and 13 touchdowns is back. DefenseDefensively, the Dukes were also the best in the conference where they allowed just 275.2 ypg and 15.4 ppg but they will likely take a fall despite a solid core coming back. Losing the top two tacklers is hard to replace, especially at the linebacker position where James Madison goes from veteran leadership to very young plugins. This will be the weakest unit on the field so the front and back ends will have to make it up as much as they can. The defensive line also lost its best player but there was good rotation last season and three other starters are back to stop the run and get pressure on the quarterback. The Dukes were No. 13 in the FCS in sacks with nearly three per game while the rushing defense was No. 8, allowing a mere 89.0 ypg. The secondary is loaded as well with three starters back as well as solid incoming talent from both recruiting and transfers. 2022 Season OutlookHead coach Curt Cignetti has built a powerhouse in Harrisonburg and he looks to continue that at the higher level and while it could take some time, he is not starting from the ground floor up. This is not the SEC they are playing in so the Dukes will be competitive and win their share of games in a schedule that includes only 11 games with six of those taking place on the road. He could be in line for another Sun Belt coach to find work at a major program down the line. James Madison opens with home games against Middle Tennessee St. and Norfolk St. and then gets christened into the conference slate with a game at favorite Appalachian St. Five of the final eight games are against teams with losing records from last season so who knows. The O/U win total is 6.5 and that is a tough number to predict for a team making the jump into bigger waters so this has to be a pass. 

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2022 Iowa St. Cyclones Preview

by Matt Fargo

Thursday, Jul 21, 2022

Iowa St. Cyclones2021-22 Season Record 7-6 (5-4 Big 12) - 5-8-0 ATS - 6-7-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 5Defense - 3OverviewLast year was supposed to be a whole lot better. The Cyclones came into the season ranked No. 7 in the preseason AP Poll, coming off a 9-3 season, closing No. 9 in the rankings which was the highest ever and returning 20 starters. They snuck by Northern Iowa in the season opener then lost to rival Iowa the following week for the sixth straight time and it was all average after that. It was the fifth straight winning season for head coach Matt Campbell since coming to the program from Toledo which followed seven straight losing years in Ames but the once hot commodity coach is just another name at this point. Things look to be more challenging this season as a lot of the core pieces have moved on but they have showed to do more with less, finishing 8-5 in 2018 and 9-3 in 2020 with limited returnees and thus are hoping for something similar with only 8 starters back. OffenseThe offense had its moments last season but those mostly came against bad competition and the Cyclones managed 24 points or less five times. They did finish No. 35 and No. 34 in total offense and scoring offense respectively and many new faces will have a tough time matching those rankings. Quarterback Brock Purdy was very good but he has moved on and it will be Hunter Dekkers taking the snaps and while he has thrown only 43 collegiate passes, this is his third year in the system. He has wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson at his disposal as he hauled in 83 passes for 987 yards but the loss of tight end Charlie Kolar is big. Along with Purdy, the other big loss is running back Breece Hall who rushed for 1,472 yards and 20 scores. It will be up to his backup  Jirehl Brock, who has had limited action and will be behind an offensive line that has to replace four starters. DefenseThe Cyclones stopped the teams they were supposed to as they allowed 10 points or less four times including a great performance against Texas while finishing No. 23 in points allowed and No. 10 in total defense but that is mostly in the past. Iowa St. has only three starters back but all hope is not lost as there are playmakers and it will be up to some key reserves to plug into the vacated holes. The linebacking corps took the biggest hit as Jake Hummel and Mike Rose, who combined for 153 tackles are gone but there is promise with experienced replacements. The defensive line will have to carry the load at least early on and will be led by defensive end Will McDonald IV who had 11.5 sacks and forced five fumbles. Replacing versatile safely Greg Elsworth II is a problem for a secondary that finished No. 11 in the nation in passing defense and overall, has to replace three starters. 2022 Season OutlookIowa St. outgained opponents by 116 yards per game and a disparity like that needs to produce a better record. The Cyclones lost five games by one possession as they simply were not clutch when needed as they were No. 91 on third down, converting just 36.4 percent of their opportunities. There were too many slow starts which put pressure on the defense and that could only go so far. Campbell is safe but he really needs that breakout season that has eluded him. Iowa St. opens with SE Missouri St. followed by a road game at nemesis Iowa hoping to break the losing streak. Five of the next seven games are at home but they close with two road games at Oklahoma St. and TCU sandwiched around a home game against Oklahoma. The O/U win total is 6.5 and based on the past, this should be covered but there are six games that could be more likely losses than wins. 

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MLB 2022: Mid-Season Report

by Larry Ness

Thursday, Jul 21, 2022

The NL jumped all over Tampa Bay's Shane McClanahan for two runs and four hits in the bottom of the first inning in the first All-Star Game at Dodger Stadium in 42 years Tuesday night. Paul Goldschmidt hit a solo HR and then Mookie Betts singled in Ronald Acuna Jr, after his double. However, the final score looked all too familiar. The American League won 3-2 for its NINTH straight All-Star victory and 21st in the last 25 Midsummer Classics. The game turned in the fourth inning when Giancarlo Stanton (game-tying two-run shot) and Byron Buxton (solo shot) delivered back-to-back HRs off the Los Angeles Dodgers' Tony Gonsolin. Giancarlo Stanton was named MVP and is now one of FIVE players to win a league MVP Award, a Home Run Derby and an All-Star Game MVP, joining Ken Griffey Jr, Miguel Tejada, Cal Ripken Jr and Dave Parker.Yes, the AL has now won NINE straight All-Star Games and holds a 27-6 advantage since 1988, but the World Series has been a much closer battle, as the AL leads 17-16 in that same time span. The second half of the 2022 MLB season resumes on Thursday, with the regular season ending Wednesday, October 5th. There is a new postseason format this year, as in the 2022 collective bargaining negotiations, owners and players agreed to a 12-team postseason with six teams per league. Seedings for the six teams are as follows: Division winners are seeded one, two, three and wild card teams four, five, six. The top two division winners in each league will receive byes into the division series. The lowest-seeded division winner and three wild card teams, each seeded according to regular season record, will play a best-of-three Wild Card round, with the higher seed hosting ALL three games. The tie-breaker game (a.k.a. "Game 163") was also eliminated with playoff spots now determined through tie-breaker formulas. The Division Series will have the top-seed play the fourth-fifth winner, while the runner-up plays the third-sixth winner. The brackets remain fixed, with no re-seeding. The team with the best record will own the home field edge in both two LCS and the same holds true in the World Series. The 2022 season opened with the LA Dodgers owning the longest active streak of postseason appearances, followed by the Astros and the Yankees, each tied at FIVE playoff appearances in a row. Seattle owned the longest playoff drought (20 years!) of any team, with Philadelphia having missed 10 consecutive postseasons. Let me start with those five teams and then move on to the playoff 'picture' as of the All-Star break. The Dodgers saw their run of EIGHT consecutive NL West titles end last season, when the Giants won 107 games but LA's 106 wins extended their run of consecutive postseason appearances to NINE in a row. The Dodgers 60-30 Dodgers seem well on their way to another NL West title and a 10th straight postseason appearance is a virtual 'lock.' The team's plus-169 run differential is more than double that of any other NL team. LA's averaging 5.13 RPG (2nd-best in MLB) and owns the lowest team ERA of any team at 2.96.The Astros, the team everyone "loves to hate' is 59-32, giving them a NINE-game lead in the AL West at the break, and owns MLB's second-best team ERA at 2.98. Houston will again be a threat come October. The NY Yankees won FOUR World Series titles from 1996-2000 but have won just ONE since 2001. New York began the season having made 17 of the last 21 postseason but its ONLY World Series title in that span came back in 2009. The Yankees seem determined to end that 'drought' here in 2022. They own MLB's best record at 64-28, putting them on pace to win 113 games. Th team record for most wins in a season is 114 (set in 1998) and the MLB record is 116 (Cubs of 1906 and Mariners of 2001), so the Yanks own a legitimate shot at breaking BOTH of those records. The Yanks own MLB's best run differential (plus-199).  New York is MLB's highest scoring team (5.40 RPG), its 157 HRs are more than any team and the team's ERA of 3.08 ranks third, behind the Dodgers and Astros (see above). Seattle finished second in the American League West in 2021 with a 90-72 record, just two games out of a wild-card berth. That extended Seattle's postseason drought to 20 years, as the Mariners last made the playoffs back in 2001. Ironically, that team won 116 games, tying a MLB record for most wins in a single season. The Mariners were headed 'nowhere' with a 29-39 record through June 19 but then went 22-3 to close the first half to reach 51-29. The Mariners have won 14 in a row, the longest ever winning streak heading into the All-Star break. However, the Mariners are still NINE games behind the first-place Astros in the AL West plus their recent surge put them right in the mix of the wild cards race, but SEVEN teams are battling for just THREE open spots. Is this the year Seattle breaks its 20-year postseason drought? Do you believe in karma? The only other teams to have a 10-plus game winning streak heading into the All-Star break were the 1935 Tigers and the 1975 Reds. BOTH teams would go on to win the World Series!Philadelphia's 10-year playoff drought is just HALF that of Seattle's. Philadelphia fired Joe Girardi on June 3 and Rob Thomson took over as interim manager and won his first EIGHT games! and 14 of his first 16. However, they've cooled since, having gone 13-12 their last 25 games prior to the break. Philadelphia is currently 49-43 and 8 1/2-games behind the NL East-leading Mets, as well as SIX games behind the four-time defending division champion Braves. The Phillies find themselves in a virtual tie with the 50-44 Cards for the third and final NL wild card spot, with both teams just a half-game better than the SF Giants.The AL East is MLB's best division with the Yankees owning MLB's best record plus NONE of their four rivals own losing records. The Tampa Bay Rays entered the current season off three straight postseason appearances (team won the AL East in both 2020 and 2021) and is currently second with a 51-41 record. The Toronto Blue Jays missed a wild card spot by ONE game in 2021 but were a 'sexy' preseason pick to best the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in the brutally tough AL East in 2022. That has NOT been the case but even at a disappointing 50-43, the Jays are right in the wild card mix. The Red Sox have won four World Series titles since 2004 but Boston struggled to a 24-36 record in the 2020 season, before surprising most by going 92-70 in 2021. The Red Sox made it to the ALCS last season but lost 4-2 to the Astros. Boston is currently 48-45 and like the Rays and Jays, battling for one of THREE wild card spots. Then there is Baltimore. The Orioles have missed the postseason in each of the last FIVE years, losing 100-plus games in THREE of the four full seasons, including tying Arizona for MLB's worst record in 2021 at 52-110. However, Baltimore ended the first half on an 11-2 run and will open the second half at 46-6.Over in the AL West, Houston seems like a 'lock' to win the division with the only "unknown" being can Seattle finally break its 20-year playoff drought by earning one of THREE wild card spots. The Chicago White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. They then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games over Cleveland. Chicago was a heavy favorite to win the division in 2022 but the White Sox check in at just 46-46 at the break. The Minnesota Twins went just 73-89 in 2021 (20 games behind the division-winning White Sox), after winning the AL Central in 2019 and 2020. The Twins have been atop the division for most of the first half and will begin the second half at 50-44, giving them a two-game lead over Cleveland and a three-game lead over the White Sox. Cleveland began a new era in 2022 (no longer the Indians, now the Guardians). Cleveland lost to the Cubs in the 2016 World Series (led 3-1, before losing the final three games) and followed with THREE more postseason appearances in the next four years (exception was in 2019 when the team won 93 games). However, Cleveland would go just 80-82 in 2021, Based on the first half, 46-44 Cleveland has as good a chance as Minnesota and Chicago has to earn the AL's No. 3 seed by winning the AL Central.The Braves were just 51-53 in late-July of 2021 but went 37-20 the rest of the way and won the NL East (for the FOURTH straight season) before capturing the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. In stark contrast, the Mets went 22-38 down the stretch to finish in third place at 77-85, 11 1/2 games out of first place. The Mets made the 2015 World Series (lost 4-1 to KC) and made a one-game wild card appearance in 2016, but they've been playoff-less the last five years, The Mets got off to a great start this season and were 34-17 through the end of May. As for the Braves, Atlanta was just 23-27, 10 1/2-games behind New York at that time. However, the Braves opened June by winning their first 14 games and ended the month 21-6. They have followed by going 10-5 in June, closing to within 2 1/2-games of the 58-35 Mets at 56-38.The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021 and were favorites to do so again in 2022. Milwaukee was 32-18 through May 30 but ended the first half at just 51-41, going 18-23 prior to the break. The 50-40 Cardinals have been postseason regulars this decade, making the playoffs in 15 of the last 20 seasons. St Louis has been able to pull within a half-game of Milwaukee in the NL Central due to Milwaukee's poor play heading into the break. I've already touched on LA's domination of the NL West but both San Diego (52-42) and San Francisco (48-43) are still wild card contenders. That said, the Padres open the second half having lost 14 of 21 and the Padres resume play on an 11-16 run.With so many teams in the hunt, expanding to a 12-team playoff field turned out to be a good idea. The trade deadline is August 2 and could provide 'fireworks.' I'll check back around Labor Day for a 'state of the union' update.Closing note: A record-tying number of teams are on pace for both 100 wins and 100 losses (four each). Possible 100-game winners are the Yankees (113-win pace), Dodgers (108), Astros (105) and Mets. Possible 100-game losers are the Nationals (109), A's (105), Reds (101) and Cubs (100).Good luck...Larry

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