Articles

A Look at the 2022 MLB American League Pennant Odds 

by Oskeim Sports

Monday, Mar 28, 2022

 The MLB’s offseason featured a lockout over a new collective bargaining agreement giving fans a scare. The players and the league did finally agree to a new CBA meaning the 2022 MLB season is a go. Opening Day is set for April 7 and all 162 games will be played this season. The regular season will end on October 5.  The new CBA did include some changes, one of which involves the postseason. Each league will add one more wild card to the postseason mix for a total of 12 teams in the MLB playoffs. Which of those teams has the best shot at capturing the American League pennant? Here’s a look at how the AL pennant race may play out.   Houston, We Have No Problem The Astros have played for the last five straight AL pennants. With relatively few roster changes, Houston is the overall favorite to repeat as AL champion and represent the league in the World Series again. Remember, a year ago the Astros beat Boston in six games to win the American League but fell to Atlanta 4-2 in the World Series.  Houston has both the pitching and the hitting of a championship team. That is why they are the AL favorite at +450 to win it again. Last year, the Astros led the majors in runs per game and they could easily do that again in 2022. They have a former AL MVP in Jose Altuve who hit .277 with 31 homers and 83 RBIs last season. They have a favorite in this year’s MVP race in Yordan Alvarez. All Alvarez did last season with hit .277 with 33 home runs and 104 RBIs. Alex Bregman is back and healthy and Kyle Tucker is back after hitting .294 with 30 homers. Even after losing Carlos Correa to the Twins in free agency, there is not a weak spot in the Astros batting order.  Houston has three excellent young pitchers in Framber Valdez (11-6), Jose Urquidy (8-3), and Christian Javier who went 4-1 in nine starts last year. The Astros will also get two-time Cy Young winner Justin Verlander back after he missed all of last season with an injury.   The Contender There is a reason why Toronto is given the exact same odds - +450 – as the Astros to win the AL pennant. The Blue Jays went 91-71 last season but didn’t make the postseason. They wound up fourth in a very competitive AL East. With one of the best young lineups in baseball, the Blue Jays have what it takes to win the AL this year.  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led the majors with 48 home runs last season. He also hit .311 and had 111 RBIs. Bo Bichette hit .298 with 29 dingers and 102 RBIs. Four more Blue Jays – Teoscar Hernandez, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., George Springer, and Randal Grichuk – each hit at least 22 home runs. Grichuk was recently traded, but the other three return. Hernandez hit .296 and had 116 RBIs.  The Blue Jays upgraded the pitching staff too. They signed Kevin Gausman away from San Diego in the offseason and recently acquired Yusei Kikuchi. They will join Jose Berrios, Alek Manoah, and Hyun Jin Ryu to form a competent starting lineup.   Others in the Mix The White Sox won the AL Central and are given +500 odds to win the AL pennant this year. The Yankees still have Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton along with P Gerrit Cole. They are listed at +475. The more interesting candidates are Tampa Bay and the Los Angeles Angels. Remember, it was the Rays that won 100 games and the AL East last year. They return AL Rookie of the Year Randy Arozarena and SS prospect Wander Franco. The Rays are given +750 odds to win the AL pennant.  The Angels are an interesting longshot pick. They return AL MVP Shohei Ohtani and a healthy Mike Trout, who owns three AL MVPs of his own. The Angels did upgrade the pitching staff with the addition of Noah Syndergaard. L.A. is currently listed at +1600 to win the AL. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/28/2022

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Mar 28, 2022

The Monday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.The National Basketball Association has nine games on its docket. Three games tip-off at 7:10 PM ET. Denver travels to Charlotte as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 231.5. Cleveland hosts Orlando as a 10-point favorite with an over/under of 215. Atlanta plays at Indiana as a 7-point road favorite with a total of 235. Two more NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. Miami is at home against Sacramento as a 13.5-point favorite with an over/under of 219. Chicago plays at New York as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 223.5. Two NBA games start at 8:10 PM ET. San Antonio visits Houston as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 236. Memphis hosts Golden State as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 223.5. Oklahoma City plays at Portland at 10:10 PM ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 221.5. Five games are on the slate in the National Hockey League. Carolina visits Washington at 7:05 PM ET as a -135 money line road favorite with a total of 6. St. Louis is at home against Vancouver at 7:35 PM ET as a -135 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. Chicago plays at home against Buffalo at 8:35 PM ET as a -155 money line favorite with a total of 6. Edmonton hosts Arizona at 9:35 PM ET as a -400 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. Los Angeles is at home against Seattle at 10:35 PM ET as a -245 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.The Monday college basketball card features the two semifinal games in the Basketball Classic postseason tournament. South Alabama hosts Coastal Carolina at 8 PM ET. The Jaguars won their third game in their last four with their 83-79 victory against South Carolina Upstate as a 9-point favorite last Monday. They improved their record to 21-11 with the win. Their opening-round victory in this tournament was against Southeastern Louisiana. The Chanticleers won their fifth game in their last six with their 84-68 victory against the Florida Gulf Coast as a 2.5-point favorite on Monday. Coastal Carolina has an 18-13 record after beating Maryland-Eastern Shore in the first round of this tournament. South Alabama is a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 137.5.Fresno State plays at home against Southern Utah at 10 PM ET. The Bulldogs have won three of their last four games with their 80-71 victory against Youngstown State as a 12.5-point favorite on Wednesday. They raised their record to 23-13 with the win after beating Youngstown State in the opening round of this tournament. The Thunderbirds won their fifth game in their last six with a 77-66 win against Portland as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Southern Utah has a 23-11 record with their victories against Kent State and UTEP in the Basketball Classic tournament. Fresno State is a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 136.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/27/2022

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Mar 27, 2022

The Sunday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.The National Basketball Association has seven games on its docket. New York plays at Detroit as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 219 (all odds from DraftKings). Three games tip-off at 6:10 PM ET. Boston hosts Minnesota as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 228. Golden State visits Washington as a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 221.5. Two NBA games begin at 7:10 PM ET. New Jersey hosts the Los Angeles Lakers as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 229.5. Brooklyn is a 7-point favorite with a total of 238. Dallas is at home against Utah as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 220.The National Hockey League has eight games on its slate. Tampa Bay plays in New York against the Islanders on TNT at 2:07 PM ET. The Lightning have lost three in a row with their 3-2 loss to Boston Thursday. The Islanders are on a two-game winning streak after their 5-2 win against Detroit on Thursday. Tampa Bay is a -160 money line road favorite with a total of 5.5. Two games drop the puck at 5:07 PM ET. The New York Rangers are at home against Buffalo as a -275 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Pittsburgh hosts Detroit as a -295 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. Two NHL games begin at 6:07 PM ET. Nashville plays at home against Philadelphia as a -265 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Colorado visits Minnesota as a -135 money line road favorite with a total of 6.5. Three games conclude the NHL card at 7:07 PM ET. Winnipeg plays at home against Arizona as a -270 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. Toronto is a -115 money line favorite with a total of 7. New Jersey plays Montreal as a -155 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Sunday college basketball card has two games on CBS to conclude the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. Kansas plays Miami (Florida) at 2:20 PM ET at the United Center in Chicago. The Jayhawks are on an eight-game winning streak after their 66-61 victory against Providence as a 7-point favorite on Friday. They raised their record to 31-6 with the win. The Hurricanes won their sixth game in their last seven with their 70-56 win against Iowa State as a 3.5-point favorite on Friday. Miami has a 26-10 record. Kansas is a 6-point favorite with a total of 147.5.North Carolina faces Saint Peter’s at 5:05 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. The Tar Heels won their ninth game in their last ten with their 73-66 upset victory against UCLA as a 2.5-point underdog on Friday. Their record is 27-9. The Peacocks orchestrated their third straight upset victory in this tournament with their 67-64 win against Purdue as a 13-point underdog on Friday. Saint Peter’s has a 22-11 record. North Carolina is an 8-point favorite with an over/under of 137.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/26/2022

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Mar 26, 2022

The Saturday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. New Orleans hosts San Antonio at 5:10 PM ET as a 5-point favorite with the total set at 232.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Orlando plays at home against Sacramento at 7:10 PM ET as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 224. Toronto is at home against Indiana at 7:40 PM ET as a 9-point favorite with a total of 227. Three NBA games tip-off at 8:10 PM ET. Cleveland plays at home against Chicago in a pick ‘em contest with an over/under of 219. Miami hosts Brooklyn as a 1-point favorite with a total of 226.5. Memphis is at home against Milwaukee as a 1-point favorite at BetRivers. Denver hosts Oklahoma City at 9:10 PM ET as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 225.5. Houston visits Portland at 10:10 PM ET as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 232.5. The National Hockey League has 12 games on its slate. The puck drops at 12:37 PM ET. Boston is at home against the New York Islanders as a -185 money line favorite with a total of 5.5. Tampa Bay travels to Detroit as a -270 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Vegas plays at home against Chicago on ABC as a -185 money line favorite with a total of 6. Four NHL games begin at 7:07 PM ET. Toronto visits Montreal as a -270 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Florida plays at Ottawa as a -295 money line road favorite with a total of 6.5. Dallas hosts Vancouver as a -145 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. Washington is at home against New Jersey as a -195 money line favorite a total of 6. Two NHL games start at 8:07 PM ET. Minnesota plays at home against Columbus as a -255 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Carolina travels to St. Louis as a -125 money line road favorite with a total of 6. Calgary hosts Edmonton at 10:07 PM ET as a -170 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two more games conclude the NHL at 10:37 PM ET. Los Angeles plays at home against Seattle as a -245 money line favorite with a total of 6. San Jose is at home against Anaheim as a -150 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Saturday college basketball card has two games on TBS in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. Houston plays Villanova at 6:09 PM ET at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. The Cougars are on a six-game winning streak after their 72-60 upset victory against Arizona as a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday. They improved their record to 32-5 with the win. The Wildcats have won eight in a row with their 63-55 win against Michigan as a 4.5-point favorite as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday. Villanova has a 29-7 record. Houston is a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 128.Duke faces Arkansas at 8:49 PM ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Blue Devils won their fifth game in their last six with a 78-73 victory against Texas Tech in a pick ‘em on Thursday. They raised their record to 31-6 with the win. The Razorbacks won their fourth game in their last five with a 74-68 upset win against Gonzaga as a 9.5-point underdog on Thursday. Arkansas has a 28-8 record. Duke is a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 146.5.

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2022 MLB Futures - Player Awards

by Sean Murphy

Friday, Mar 25, 2022

With baseball's Opening Day just under two weeks away it's a good time to take a look at some futures worth grabbing a piece of before the stats start counting for real in April. Here are two American League player award futures that I've personally locked in already (odds courtesy DraftKings).A.L. MVPBo Bichette, Toronto Blue Jays, +2000Of course, Bichette was overshadowed by another MVP candidate on his own team last year with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. turning in a phenomenal sophomore campaign. However, Bichette's stellar season shouldn't be ignored. He came within one home run and five stolen bases of a 30-30 season. Perhaps most impressively of all, he appeared in 159 of 162 games for the Blue Jays. That's the sort of durability we're looking for in an MVP candidate. Noting that Bichette had posted .571 and .512 slugging percentages in more limited action in 2019 and 2020, respectively, I'm expecting a step forward in that department this year after he recorded a .484 SLG% last season. In general, I believe Bichette is in line to improve on his extra-base power, which would obviously go a long way toward building on the 29 home runs and 102 runs batted in he delivered in 2021. The Blue Jays as a whole figure to be improved offensively with the additions of Matt Chapman (who is in line for a bounce-back season at the dish) and Ramel Tapia (a recent trade acquisition from the Rockies) and that obviously improves Bichette's run-scoring and producing potential as well.A.L. Rookie of the YearJulio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners, +750I've been high on Rodriguez for years' now, even if he has yet to make his big league debut. It's only a matter of time before he cracks a spot on the Mariners roster - quite possibly in time for Opening Day given how he's been performing in Spring Training action. In High-A and Double-A ball last season, J-Rod hit .347 with 13 home runs and 47 RBI in 74 games. He also added 21 steals. He's shown remarkable improvement in his two years in the minors and all indications are that he's ready for the jump to the majors in 2022, likely sooner rather than later. There are obviously a number of budding young stars in the American League with Bobby Witt Jr. of the Royals leading the list (he's the favorite to win Rookie of the Year). I'm not sure if anyone has as much potential upside as Rodriguez though. He's already 4-for-11 at the dish this Spring, with a home run, four RBI and a stolen base. That's just the tip of the iceberg and I believe we're being offered incredible value before the hype train really gets rolling in April and May. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/25/2022

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Mar 25, 2022

The Friday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.The National Basketball Association has seven games on its docket. Two games tip-off the card at 7:10 PM ET. Utah visits Charlotte as a 3-point road favorite with the total set at 232.5. Detroit plays at home against Washington as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 218. Atlanta is at home against Golden State as a 2-point favorite with a total of 220.5. Two NBA games begin at 8:10 PM ET. Miami hosts New York as a 5-point favorite. Dallas plays at Minnesota in a pick ‘em contest with an over/under of 228. Houston travels to Portland as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 235.5. Philadelphia is at Los Angeles against the Clippers at 10:40 PM ET as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 225.5. The National Hockey League has five games on its slate. Two games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. Washington travels to Buffalo as a -215 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6. Pittsburgh plays in New York against the Rangers as a -120 money line road favorite with a total of 5.5. Winnipeg is at home against Columbus at 8:08 PM ET as a -210 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. Two games conclude the NHL card at 9:07 PM ET. Colorado hosts Philadelphia as a -425 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. Calgary plays at home against Arizona as a -425 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5.The Friday college basketball card has four games on national television to complete the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament. Purdue plays Saint Peter’s on CBS at 7:09 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. The Boilermakers won their fifth game in their last six with an 81-71 victory against Texas as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. They raised their record to 29-7 with the win. The Peacocks won their ninth straight game with their 70-60 upset victory against Murray State as an 8-point underdog on Saturday. Saint Peter’s has a 21-11 record. Purdue is a 12.5-point favorite with a total of 135.Kansas battles Providence on TBS at 7:29 PM ET at the United Center in Chicago. The Jayhawks won their seventh straight game with their 79-72 win against Creighton as a 12.5-point favorite on Saturday. They have a 30-6 record on the year. The Friars won their sixth game in their last eight with a 79-51 victory against Richmond as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday. Providence improved their record to 27-5. Kansas is a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 141.5.UCLA faces North Carolina on CBS at 9:39 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. The Bruins won their seventh game in their last nine with a 72-56 victory as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. They have a 27-7 record. The Tar Heels won their eighth game in their last nine with a 93-86 upset win against Baylor as a 5-point underdog on Saturday. North Carolina improved to 26-9. UCLA is a 2-point favorite with a total of 141.5. Miami (Florida) faces Iowa State on TBS at 9:59 PM ET at the United Center in Chicago. The Hurricanes won their fifth game in their last six with their 79-61 upset win against Auburn as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday. Their record has improved to 25-10. The Cyclones won their second straight game with a 54-49 upset win against Wisconsin as a 4-point underdog on Sunday. Iowa State has a 22-12 record. Miami (Florida) is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 133. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/24/2022

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Mar 24, 2022

The Thursday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.The National Basketball Association has five games on its docket. Toronto hosts Cleveland at 7:40 PM ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 214.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Three games tip-off at 8:10 PM ET. Milwaukee plays at home against Washington as a 12-point favorite with an over/under of 233. Chicago travels to New Orleans as a 1-point road favorite with a total of 228.5. Memphis is at home against Indiana as a 12-point favorite with an over/under of 235.5. Denver hosts Phoenix at 9:10 PM ET as a 3-point favorite with a total of 231. The National Hockey League has ten games on its slate. The puck drops for three games at 7:07 PM ET. Boston plays at home against Tampa Bay in a game where both teams are priced as a -110 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Florida visits Montreal as a -260 money line road favorite with a total of 6.5. Carolina is at home against Dallas on ESPN as a -185 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. The New York Islanders are at home against Detroit at 7:37 PM ET as a -215 money line favorite with a total of 5.5. Three NHL games begin at 8:07 PM ET. Winnipeg hosts Ottawa as a -285 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. St. Louis plays at home against Philadelphia as a -275 money line favorite with a total of 6. Minnesota is at home against Vancouver as a -225 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. Edmonton hosts San Jose at 9:07 PM ET as a -255 money line favorite with a total of 6. Two more games conclude the NHL card at 10:07 PM ET. Vegas plays at home against Nashville as a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Los Angeles Lakers are a -190 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Thursday college basketball card has four games on national television for the sweet 16 in the NCAA tournament. Gonzaga plays Arkansas on CBS at 7:09 PM ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Bulldogs won their fourth straight game with their 82-78 victory against Memphis as a 10-point favorite on Saturday. They raised their record to 28-3 with the win. The Razorbacks won their third game in their last four with their 53-48 win against New Mexico State as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. Arkansas has a 27-8 record. Gonzaga is a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 155. Villanova faces Michigan on TBS at 7:29 PM ET at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. The Wildcats are on a seven-game winning streak with their 71-61 victory against Ohio State as a 5-point favorite on Sunday. They improved to 28-7 with the win. The Wolverines won their third game in their last four with a 76-68 upset victory against Tennessee as a 7-point underdog on Saturday. Michigan now has a 19-14 record. Villanova is a 5-point favorite with a total of 135.5. Texas Tech battles Duke on CBS at 9:39 PM ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Red Raiders won their fourth game in their last five with their 59-53 victory against Notre Dame as an 8-point favorite on Sunday. They have a 27-9 record. The Blue Devils won their fourth game in their last five with an 85-76 win against Michigan State as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday. Duke improved to 30-6 with the win. Texas Tech is a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 137.Arizona goes up against Houston on TBS at 9:59 PM ET at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. The Wildcats are on an eight-game winning streak after their 85-80 win in overtime against TCU on Sunday. They improved to 33-3 with the win. The Cougars are on a five-game winning streak after their 68-53 victory against Illinois as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. Houston has a 31-5 record. Arizona is a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 145.5.

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Are The Boston Celtics For Real?

by AAA Sports

Thursday, Mar 24, 2022

Just what in the name of Sam Adams is happening in Boston these days?Left for dead and getting booed off their home court on a semi-regular basis through the first 50 games of the season, out of nowhere the Celtics have somehow cobbled together one of the greatest turnarounds in NBA regular-season history. Boston was a .500 team last season and .500 again through 50 games this year before going on the mother of all tears – winning 21 of 24, including a 28-point beatdown of a good Jazz team on Wednesday in a game that wasn’t anywhere near as close as the final score indicated.The early part of Boston’s current streak drew little attention as NBA eyes were focused on James Harden shooting his way off another team, Ben Simmons refusing to play at all and the Lakers being either hurt or pissed at the world (sometimes both). But as the Celtics have surged past team after team in the East, the outside world is paying attention.Boston opened the year at +4000 to win it all, a number that has melted to +1000 in some books. FWIW, Stephen A. Smith is starting to blow Boston’s horn as the team to beat, and the number-crunching basketball folks at 538.com have been saying for nearly a month that the Larry O’Brien Trophy will be heading to Beantown come June.So what gives?Offensively the Celtics have ridden the coattails of forwards Jayson Tatum (who has been a 30-ppg machine of late) and Jaylen Brown. But the real work is done on the defensive end. Boston has the NBA’s best defense, and the gap between the Celtics and No. 2 is gaping. Marcus Smart is a dog on the perimeter, and finally-healthy big Robert Williams is fast enough to guard the 3-point line and recover to defend the rim when Boston is caught in transition. The Celtics haven’t had a shot-blocker like Williams since Bill Russell.[It’s interesting to note here that the best defensive players on the best defensive team aren’t getting much love from oddsmakers in the Defensive Player of the Year discussion. Robert Wiliams (+1100) is fourth, behind heavy favorite Bam Adebayo (+115), Rudy Gobert and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Smart (+4000) is a distant eighth.]The rest of the rotation, which was tightened after mid-season trades sent rotation players Dennis Schroder and Josh Richardson out of town, includes rejuvenated veteran big Al Horford, emerging 3-point shooters Grant Williams and Payton Pritchard; and glue guard Derrick White, who came over from San Antonio at the trade deadline.For the first few months of the season rookie coach Ime Udoka (a Gregg Popovich disciple) must have wondered why he took he took the job. Tatum and Brown had continued the My Turn / Your Turn ISO play that Celtics fans had witnessed nightly since the Celtics lost to the Heat in the bubble in the Eastern Conference finals. That style of play led to a 61-61 record over the next year-plus – until everything came together in late January.Ripping through the soft underbelly of the schedule and playing against weak teams and teams dealing with Covid player absences, Boston ran off nine straight wins and then continued white hot post-All-Star break. The dismantling of the Jazz was Boston’s fifth straight, and came on the heels of a 4-0 road trip that included wins over Golden State (yes, the one in which Steph Curry got hurt) and Denver. The Celtics won those four games by an average of nearly 20 ppg.Boston’s surge, combined with periodic inconsistent play by Miami, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Chicago and Cleveland, moved the Celtics to within shouting distance (1.5 games) of first place in the East – a stunning 180 for a fan base which only a few months before had been talking about trading one, or both, of the J’s and embarking on a complete rebuild.Can Boston continue its Sherman-like march to the sea, get out of the East and possibly get that elusive championship banner No. 18, its first since the Garnett-Pierce-Allen title team of 2008? Oddsmakers still like Brooklyn to at least get to the Finals, and the Bucks, 76ers and Heat are all listed higher than the Celtics (+550) in the conference.At a minimum, though, Boston has shot its way into the conversation. And as any talking head this side of Charles Barkley will tell you, offense can come and go but defense and effort are more permanent and can take you far. Last year the Celtics were doused in five by the Nets in the first round after winning the 7-8 Play-In Game. But that was long ago, and in a galaxy far away.

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Only the 'Sweetest' Teams Allowed

by Larry Ness

Wednesday, Mar 23, 2022

The 2022 NCAA Tournament Field (68 teams) was announced on Sunday March 13, with First Four games on Tuesday (Mar 14) and Wednesday (Mar 15). The 64-team field was set by Thursday and four days later, only the 'sweetest' 16 teams remained. I won't "bury the lead." Favorites went 3-1 SU & ATS in First Four games and then 12-4 SU & 9-7 ATS on Thursday. The Loyola-Ohio St game closed at pick'em, as favorites went 10-5 SU but just 6-9 ATS on Friday. It was on to the Round of 32 on Saturday and Sunday, Favorites were 5-3 SU on Saturday but had a bad day at 'the betting window,' going 2-6 ATS. Favorites improved to 6-2 SU on Sunday but were a modest 4-4 ATS. Doing the math, here's how "the numbers" stand, as the Sweet 16 games get set to tip off on Thursday night. Favorites are 36-15 SU (.706) but 24-27 ATS (37.1%), or -5.7 net games.The four No. 1 seeds were Gonzaga, Arizona, Kansas and Baylor. Heading into this year's Big Dance, No. 1 seeds were 143-1 all-time against No. 16 seeds. The No.1 seeds all advanced this week as well, upping the all-time record to 147-1. I'm sure ALL will remember that one loss that came in the 2018 tourney. The 16th-seeded UMBC Retrievers not only beat the overall No. 1 seed (UVa) but did so in dominant fashion by a score of 74-54! According to NCAA.com, there had only been 15 games between No. 1 and No.16 seeds decided by 10 points or less entering the 2022 tourney. This year followed the same pattern, as the No. 1 seeds won by an average of 24.8 PPG. Ironically, the No. 1 seed with the largest margin of victory was Baylor (Bears won by 36 points), but it is also the lone No. 1 seed to NOT advance to the Sweet 16. The defending champs lost 93-86 in OT to No. 8 North Carolina. How 'bout 'dem Tar Heels? UNC's victory over Baylor was the Tar Heels' NINTH win against a No. 1 since seeding began in 1979, tying Duke for the most ever.The 'Cinderella' team of the 2022 tourney is St Peter's, which beat No. 2 seed Kentucky 85-79 in OT on Thursday and then beat Murray St 70-60 on Saturday, ending the Racers' 21-game winning streak (longest in the nation). For the third time ever, a No. 15 seed has advanced to the Sweet 16. However, it happened just last year as well (Oral Roberts) and back in 2013 with Florida Gulf Coast's "Dunk City' squad. While it's not possible to top St Peter's run to the Sweet 16, it's only fair to give Iowa State and its head coach a shout out. T.J. Otzelberger came from UNLV to take over an Iowa St team that went 2-22 last season, including 0-18 in the Big 12. The Cyclones opened the season 12-0 and entered the tournament as an 11-seed  (20-12). Iowa St beat LSU (6-seed) 85-79 on Thursday and then beat Wisconsin (3-seed) 54-49 on Sunday. St Peter's and Iowa St are joined by two other double digit seeds in this year's Sweet 16, No. 11 Michigan and No. 10 Miami. All four teams are now just ONE win away from advancing to the Elite  Eight. Since No. 10 Miami and No. 11 Iowa St play each other on Friday, at least one double digit will have reached the Elite 8. By the way, No. 12 Oregon State and No. 11 UCLA each made Elite 8 appearances last season (UCLA made the Final Four).  Only ONE of the four regions features the top four seeds and that's the West (played in San Francisco). It's No. 1 Gonzaga vs No. 4 Arkansas and  No. 2 Duke vs No. 3 Texas Tech. Gonzaga has now reached its SEVENTH straight Sweet 16 (third-longest streak ever). Will it finally be the 'Zags year? History is NOT on Gonzaga's side. The Bulldogs finished as the No. 1 team from the final AP and the AP's final No. 1 team has gone on to win the title only FOUR times since the tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985. It's happened just ONCE since 2001 and that was Kentucky in 2012, led by Anthony Davis.In closing, here's a list NO Power-5 school wants to be on. There were 10 Power-5 schools that were neither bowl eligible nor made the 2020 NCAA tournament. In alphabetical order they are; Cal, Colorado, Florida St, Georgia Tech, Nebraska, Northwestern, Stanford, Syracuse, Washington, Vanderbilt.Good luck...Larry

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/23/2022

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Mar 23, 2022

The Wednesday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.The National Basketball Association has 11 games on its docket. Three games tip-off at 7:10 PM ET. Charlotte hosts New York as a 6.5-point favorite with the total set at 226 (all odds from DraftKings). Atlanta visits Detroit as a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 225. Indiana plays at home against Sacramento as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 236.5. Three more NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. Boston is at home against Utah as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 219.5. Miami plays at home against Golden State as a 7-point favorite with a total of 214.5.Brooklyn travels to Memphis in the opening game of a doubleheader on ESPN at 7:40 PM ET. The Nets won their sixth game in their last seven with a 114-106 upset win against Utah as a 2-point underdog on Monday. They raised their record to 38-34 with the win. The Grizzlies won their fifth game in their last six with a 122-108 victory at Houston as a 12.5-point favorite on Sunday. They improved their record to 49-23 with the victory. Brooklyn is a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 235. Two NBA games begin at 8:40 PM ET. Phoenix plays at Minnesota as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 235. Orlando is at Oklahoma City as a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 218. Dallas hosts Houston at 8:40 PM ET as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 226.5. Two games conclude the NBA card at 10:10 PM ET. San Antonio plays at Portland as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 233.5. Philadelphia travels to Los Angeles to play the Lakers in the nightcap on ESPN at 10:10 PM ET. The 76ers won their third game in their last four with their 113-106 upset win against Miami as an 8-point underdog on Monday. They have a 44-27 record. The Lakers won their second game in their last three with a 131-130 upset win at Cleveland as a 4.5-point underdog on Monday. Los Angeles has a 31-41 record. Philadelphia is a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 230. The National Hockey League has four games on its slate. Toronto hosts New Jersey in the opening game of a doubleheader on TNT at 7:07 PM ET. The Maple Leafs had their two-game winning streak end in a 6-3 loss at Nashville on Saturday. The Devils ended their three-game losing streak with a 7-4 victory against the New York Rangers on Tuesday. Toronto is a -330 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5.Pittsburgh visits Buffalo at 7:37 PM ET as a -220 money line road favorite with a total of 6. Colorado is at home against Vancouver at 9:37 PM ET as a -255 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. Anaheim hosts Chicago in the second game on TNT at 10:05 PM ET. The Ducks are on a seven-game losing streak with a 6-3 win against Nashville on Monday. The Blackhawks have lost three in a row after their 6-4 win against Winnipeg on Sunday. Anaheim is a -120 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Wednesday college basketball card has three games on national television. Middle Tennessee plays UNC-Wilmington on ESPN2 at 5 PM ET in the finals of the College Basketball Invitational at the Ocean Center at Daytona Beach, Florida. The Blue Raiders reached the finals with their 85-69 win against Abilene Christian as a 1.5-point favorite on Tuesday. The Seahawks beat Northern Colorado, 80-64, as a 2-point favorite to advance to the championship game of this tournament. Texas A&M plays at home against Wake Forest on ESPN2 at 7 PM ET in the quarterfinals of the National Invitational Tournament. The Aggies won their ninth game in their last ten games with a 75-60 victory against Oregon as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. The Demon Deacons won their fourth game in their last five games with an 80-74 victory against VCU as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday. Texas A&M is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 146.5. BYU hosts Washington State on ESPN2 at 9 PM ET in the final quarterfinals contest in the NIT. The Cougars won their fifth game in their last six with a 90-71 win against Northern Iowa as a 5-point favorite on Saturday. The Cougars won their sixth game in their last seven with a 75-63 upset victory at SMU as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. BYU is a 3-point favorite with a total of 142.5.

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Sweet 16 Value Plays to Win It All

by ASA, Inc.

Tuesday, Mar 22, 2022

Odds all as of March 22 from PointsBetWEST – Texas Tech +1200 The Red Raiders face off in the Sweet 16 vs Duke and a win there would set them up to meet either Gonzaga or Arkansas to go to the Final 4.  The Red Raiders are favored vs Duke and they are the type of team that will give the Blue Devils problems.  Tech is a veteran team with only upperclassmen receiving key minutes facing a very young Blue Devil team.  The Red Raiders are the #1 team in the country in terms of defensive efficiency and they are one of the better rebounding teams in the country which will give Duke problems.  Duke scores 54% of their points inside the arc which is 79th most nationally but Tech is fantastic defensively from 2 point range.  They allow just 42% of points against them to come from inside the arc with is the 3rd lowest percentage nationally.  If they get by Duke the Zags will be a tough draw as they would be for anyone.  However, with the physicality and defensive toughness the Red Raiders play with, they can give Gonzaga problems as well.  They’ll try and slow that game down which is not how Gonzaga likes to play.  We feel there is some value at 12/1 on Texas Tech to win it all. EAST – UCLA +1600 We had the Bruins as a long shot opportunity back in mid February and we’re surprised they are still 16/1 at this point.  They rank in the top 15 in both offensive and defensive efficiency per Ken Pom.  They are one of only three teams that fall into that category with the others being Houston & Gonzaga.  Starting forward Jamie Jaquez tweaked his ankle so something to watch for UCLA.  If he’s OK, the Bruins are fully healthy with PG Campbell and F Juzang back at 100% after they were banged up down the stretch of the regular season.  We love the experience with everyone back from last year’s Final 4 team and the fact this team does not turn the ball over with very solid guard play.  UCLA is favored over UNC and if they get by that they will most likely play a Purdue team that isn’t very good defensively and will struggle vs a UCLA offense that features 4 players who average between 11 PPG and 18 PPG.  On the other end of the court, UCLA’s defense is definitely good enough to frustrate the Boilers who have had a fairly easy draw thus far facing 2 ranked outside the top 100 per Ken Pom in their first 3 tourney games.  This UCLA team has a great shot at another Final 4.   SOUTH – Houston +1000 We also had the Cougars pegged as a value play to win it all back in mid February and feel that at 10/1 they are still worth a shot if you didn’t follow our lead a month ago when we suggested them at 35/1.  One of only two teams remaining that rank in the top 10 efficiency wise at Ken Pom both offensively and defensively.  The other is Gonzaga.  The Cougars are playing great basketball right now winning 11 of last 12 with 10 of those wins coming by double digits.  Their only loss during that stretch was vs a very good, athletic Memphis team and Houston got their revenge in the AAC tourney trouncing the Tigers.  They just handled Big 10 champ Illinois with ease completely suffocating the Illini offense to just 0.85 PPP and only 24% from 3 point land.  The Cougs face an Arizona team that wants to run up and down the court all day long but Houston will take them out of their comfort zone and make this a half court game.  Houston is also a great offensive rebounding team, 3rd in the nation, and Zona showed a weakness on the defensive glass over the weekend with TCU gathering 20 offensive boards on Sunday.  If Houston can upset Arizona as a 2.5-point dog,  we’d anticipated them being favored to win over Villanova or Michigan in the Elite 8.   MIDWEST – Providence +5000 The odds on the Friars provide some great value in our opinion.  50/1?  That seems out of line.  They are 7.5 point dogs vs Kansas this week and we wouldn’t be completely surprised if they pulled the upset.  The Jayhawks are a flawed #1 seed who just struggled to get by Creighton despite the Jayhawks missing 2 of their top 3 players.  Providence and Creighton split their 2 games this year and that was when the Jays had center Kalkbrenner in the line up.  The analytics guys have been pounding on Providence all year as being lucky and winning too many close games.  Much of that is true, however the fact is they know how to win the close games and they’ve done it on a regular basis.  They won the Big East regular season and have only 5 losses all season, 2 of which were down to the wire games vs a #2 seed Villanova.  The Friar defense has played fantastic in the Dance completely shutting down a South Dakota State offense that was the #1 three point shooting team in the nation.  The Jackrabbits scored just 57 points in that game, their lowest total of the season.  Following that win they faced a red hot Richmond team who had won 5 straight taking out Dayton, Davidson in the A10 tourney and Iowa in the NCAA.  Providence crushed the Spiders by 28 holding them to 51 points.  Should the Friars upset the Jayhawks, they’re Final 4 aspirations look very good with Miami or Iowa State next in line.  50/1 is definitely worth a shot here.     

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/22/2022

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Mar 22, 2022

The Tuesday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action.The National Basketball Association has four games on its docket. Golden State plays at Orlando at 7:10 PM ET as a 7.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 215.5. Atlanta visits New York in the opening game of a doubleheader on TNT at 7:40 PM ET. The Hawks lost their second game in their last three in a 117-112 loss to New Orleans as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. Their record has dropped to 35-36 with the loss. The Knicks had their two-game winning streak end in a 108-93 loss to Utah as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. New York has a 30-41 record. Atlanta is a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 226.Milwaukee hosts Chicago at 8:10 PM ET as an 8-point favorite with a total of 233.5Denver plays at home against the Los Angeles Clippers in the nightcap on TNT at 10:10 PM ET. The Nuggets lost their second straight game in a 124-104 loss to Boston as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. Their record fell to 42-30 with the loss. The Clippers are on a three-game losing streak in a 121-92 loss at Utah on Friday. Los Angeles has a 36-37 record. Denver is a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 222.The National Hockey League has 11 games on its slate. The puck drops at 7:07 PM ET for four games. The New York Rangers play at New Jersey as a -150 money line road favorite with a total of 6. Pittsburgh is at home against Columbus as a -360 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Washington hosts St. Louis as a -150 money line favorite with a total of 6. Carolina plays at home against Tampa Bay as a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.Two NHL games start at 7:37 PM ET. Detroit is at home against Pittsburgh as a -140 money line favorite with a total of 6. The New York Islanders are at home against Ottawa as a -215 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Winnipeg plays at home against Vegas as a -175 money line favorite with a total of 6. Dallas is at home against Edmonton at 8:37 PM ET as a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.Calgary hosts San Jose at 9:07 PM ET as a -310 money line favorite with a total of 5.5. Arizona plays at home against Seattle at 10:07 PM ET, with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 6. Los Angeles is at home against Nashville as a -125 money line favorite with a total of 5.5.The Tuesday college basketball card has five games. Virginia plays at home against St. Bonaventure on ESPN at 7 PM ET in the quarterfinals of the National Invitational Tournament. The Cavaliers are a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 123.5. UNC-Wilmington plays Northern Colorado on ESPN2 at 7 PM ET at the Ocean Center at Daytona Beach in the semifinals of the College Basketball Invitational. The Seahawks are a 2-point favorite with a total of 157.Xavier is at home against Vanderbilt on ESPN at 9 PM ET in the quarterfinals of the NIT. The Musketeers are a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 143.5. UTEP plays at home against Southern Utah at 9 PM ET in the second round of the Basketball Classic as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 144.5. Middle Tennessee plays Abilene Christian on ESPN2 at 9:30 PM ET in the College Basketball Invitational Semifinals at Daytona Beach. The Blue Raiders are a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 139.

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