Articles

An Underrated Missouri Tigers Team Goes Bowling

by Team Del Genio

Wednesday, Nov 30, 2022

The Missouri Tigers need a victory last Saturday to become bowl-eligible this season. They went into the Battle Line Rivalry hosting Arkansas with a 5-6 record. That showdown offered them the opportunity to avenge a 34-17 loss in Fayetteville last season to the Razorbacks as a 14.5-point underdog. The Tigers went into the game having ended a two-game losing streak in a 45-14 victory at home against New Mexico State as a 29-point favorite the prior week. Missouri had covered the point spread in 4 straight games after losing two of their last three games. In identifying the Tigers as our SEC Underdog of the Year in that game, we considered them better than their 5-6 record suggested. They have won only one time in their five games that got decided by one scoring possession. They were getting this revenge game at home where they were 4-2 this season with a net differential of 11.9 points. At home, they outgain their opponents by 62.5 net yards per game by holding their opponents to 324.7 yards per game and 19.3 points per game. The Tigers had covered the point spread in five of their last seven games at home against teams with a winning road record, and they have covered the point spread in six of their last eight games at home when the oddsmakers installed them as an underdog. They had covered the point spread in six of their last nine games in November.Our faith was rewarded with a 29-27 upset victory by Missouri with the oddsmakers installing them as a 3.5-point underdog in most locations. They went into the locker room trailing by a 21-20 score before scoring an early touchdown in the second half. The Tigers went for the two-point conversion to take a 28-21 lead yet failed to convert. A later field goal in the quarter gave Mizzou a 29-21 lead. Arkansas nailed a 46-yard field goal near the end of the third quarter to narrow the lead to five points. In a critical sequence early in the fourth quarter, Missouri stopped the Razorbacks on the 3-yard line as they settled for a short 20-yard field goal at the 12:40 minute mark of the fourth quarter. Arkansas would not score again as the Tigers pulled out the victory.Brady Cook completed 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards in the winning effort. He tossed a touchdown pass and did not throw an interception. Cook ran the ball another 18 times for 138 yards with a rushing touchdown. The Tigers dominated the yardage battle by a 468-325 margin. With their six victories, Missouri will present bettors with an interesting team to consider. They have wins against South Carolina and the Razorbacks who will be playing in bowl games. They have narrow losses of seven points or less against Florida, Kentucky, Auburn (in overtime), and, most impressively, a 4-point loss to Georgia. Despite playing in the SEC, they outgained their opponents by 33.9 net yards per game. The Tigers' defense ranks 28th in the nation by allowing only 337.1 yards per game. ESPN's bowl forecast projects Missouri into two intriguing albeit second-tier bowl games. One prediction has the Tigers playing Syracuse in the Birmingham Bowl against an Orange team that started the season undefeated before fading in the ACC late in the year. Another possible matchup would likely see them as an underdog against Oklahoma State in a battle of former Big 12 rivals in the Texas Bowl.Good luck - TDG.

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The Trials and Tribulations of Jim Harbaugh (finally) Getting His Guy at Quarterback

by Hollywood Sports

Wednesday, Nov 30, 2022

I am thinking a lot about the University of Michigan football team -- as I work on the other programs that are in reach of making the College Football Playoff. A successful run in the bowl season and the three College Football Playoff games begins now. I previously wrote about how head coach Jim Harbaugh has made a concerted effort to promote player positivity by pushing them to smile and lift each other up on the sideline along with bypassing post-game on-the-field interviews to allow for his players to be featured on national television. After renegotiating a contract extension after the disastrous 2-4 campaign during the 2020 COVID season, the Wolverines have since gone 24-2 and seem poised to make their second-straight College Football Playoff (even if they were to get upset by Purdue in the Big Ten Championship Game despite being 16.5-point or so favorites). There are plenty of reasons that help explain the improved success of this program. But perhaps an underrated dynamic is that Harbaugh finally has his recruits at quarterback developing and playing at his former position for his alma mater. When Harbaugh arrived at Michigan in 2015, he was considered a quarterback whisperer for his development of players at the position in which he starred for years for the Chicago Bears and the Indianapolis Colts among the four teams he played for in his NFL career. Harbaugh was a starting quarterback under head coach Bo Schembechler when playing at Michigan before graduating in 1987. As the head coach for the San Francisco 49ers, Harbaugh nurtured the development of Alex Smith who was considered a bust at the time despite being a former number-one pick in the NFL draft. Harbaugh later made the controversial decision to bench Smith for Colin Kapernick whose running skills helped take the Niners to the Super Bowl. Harbaugh was the head coach at Stanford during Andrew Luck's collegiate career. One of his quarterbacks at the University of San Diego, Josh Johnson, is still in the NFL (Denver) after a 13-year career at 36 years old. When Harbaugh arrived at Michigan in 2015, 5th-year senior quarterback Devin Gardner had just graduated. Junior Shane Morris, redshirt freshman Wilton Speight, and freshman Alex Malzone were in the quarterback room -- all recruits from previous head coach Brady Hoke. While the transfer portal is now commonplace in 2022, this was not the case in 2015 -- but Harbaugh made the unconventional move of convincing Iowa graduate student Jake Rudock to transfer to Michigan to be his starting quarterback. Rudock was a two-year starter but appeared out of favor with the Hawkeyes making his ripe for the picking. Harbaugh coached the veteran up, the Wolverines finished 10-3 on the season, and Rudock would go on to have several seasons in the NFL off the strength of that season. The success of Rudock may have convinced Harbaugh that the transfer portal was an untapped resource to be taken advantage of -- but this assessment might have held the program back, in hindsight. Harbaugh brought in John O'Korn from Houston to compete for the starting quarterback job in 2016 after he was benched in his sophomore season under a new head coach (and spread offense). O'Korn showed potential as the Cougars' starter in his freshman season. Yet O'Korn struggled in making second reads and lost the job to Wilton Speight was a dependable game manager.Speight returned as the incumbent starter for his season in 2017. O'Korn was his backup. After redshirting the previous year, Morris transfers to Central Michigan as a former high-level recruit under Hoke. Redshirt freshman Brandon Peters, a Harbaugh recruit, is the third-stringer. The Wolverines go 8-5 with the offense lacking an explosive passing attack that only had eight touchdown passes all season. Speight gets injured late in the year. Brandon Peters gets the start in the Outback Bowl against South Carolina. The Wolverines lost by a 26-19 score with Peters showing glimpses but not enough to build the program around. Harbaugh hit the transfer portal again by attracting Shea Patterson to come to the program after losing his starting job at Ole Miss in his sophomore season. Patterson was a former five-star recruit that Michigan pursued but listed below is Dylan McCaffrey who came to the program from the same 2016 class. McCaffrey was the son of former NFL wide receiver Ed McCaffrey who was rated as the 5th best Pro-Style QB in the class. Peters remains in the mix in his sophomore season. Like O'Korn, Patterson was a starter in his freshman season putting up promising numbers while doing so in the SEC.  With the writing on the wall, Speight transfers to UCLA for a graduate year. Patterson takes the starting job in 2018 and puts up the most efficient numbers at quarterback for the program since 2000. He successfully adapts from the no-huddle spread run at Ole Miss to Harbaugh's pro-style system. He returns as the definitive first-stringer with McCaffrey as a backup along with freshman Joe Milton who comes in with a rocket of an arm. But Patterson fails to take another step in development in his senior year when the Wolverines go 9-4. Michigan loses to Alabama in the Citrus Bowl by 19 points in their fourth straight loss in a bowl game. Patterson graduates and signs a contract with the Kansas City Chiefs as an undrafted free agent. He is now in the USFL.2020 was gearing up to be the year McCaffrey takes over under center in the fourth year in the program as a redshirt junior. Then the COVID pandemic occurs. The Big Ten cancels their football season in August before later rescinding that move. McCaffrey enters the transfer portal and takes his talent to Northern Colorado where his father was head coach (in 2021 and 2022, he puts up solid but unspectacular numbers playing against FCS competition). Milton wins the starting job to begin the season. Injuries force him out which allows Cade McNamara, a freshman from Nevada. The offense performs better under McNamara who makes is an effective game manager to who the players seem to respond. Milton transfers to Tennessee where he was tapped as the starter by first-year head coach Josh Heupel last year before getting benched for Virginia Tech transfer Hendon Hooker who was a Heisman Trophy candidate before his season-ending injury last month. McNamara returns as a redshirt freshman with an extra year of eligibility from the COVID season in 2021. He faces competition from another quarterback in the transfer portal with former Texas Tech quarterback Alex Bowman entering the program after playing as a freshman before getting injured and losing his job. J.J. McCarthy also enters the fray as a freshman as a five-star recruit. With Bowman joining the program in the fall, McNamara wins the starting job before completing 210 of 327 passes for 2576 yards with 15 touchdowns and only six interceptions. McNamara leads the team to beat Ohio State for the first time in the Harbaugh era. Michigan makes the College Football Playoff for the first time. Yet the allure of McCarthy's upside as a vertical passer and as a runner remains with the Wolverines for the 2022 season. McNamara steadily improved in the offseason while demonstrating the leadership skills that led him to be a captain the previous season. Harbaugh makes the controversial decision to give both McNamara and McCarthy starts to begin the season to determine the quarterback competition. The offense ignites under McCarthy, giving Harbaugh a definitive answer which received almost no pushback from the fanbase. The rest is history, up to this point. McNamara deals with an injury during the season before announcing his plans to transfer. Incidentally, Bowman remains with the program. That is quite a genealogy. In hindsight, the Rudock transfer may have been the most successful move in the transfer portal. Patterson gave the team two solid years, but he did not meet the expectations of a former five-star recruit with the opportunity to work with the quarterback whisperer that was once Harbaugh's reputation. But Harbaugh's own quarterback recruits have been mostly misfires from Peters having middling success at Illinois to McCaffrey being only decent at Northern Colorado now and Milton losing the starting QB job at Tennessee. Watching McNamara lead a new program will be interesting to watch despite him not likely being an NFL quarterback. For the first time in eight years at Michigan, Harbaugh has a five-star quarterback under center that he both recruited and developed. Best of luck -- Frank.

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Rushing Is Up as NFL Teams Run Their Way Into Playoff Contention

by Team Del Genio

Wednesday, Nov 30, 2022

More teams are running the football, and there is interesting evidence that it is this commitment to the ground game that is leading to their success. Let’s dive into some numbers.Last season, there were four teams to run the ball 30 or more times per game: Tennessee, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and New Orleans. Three of those teams made the playoffs. This year after twelve weeks in the regular season, nine teams are averaging 30 or more rushing attempts per game.Chicago: 35.8 rushes per game; Philadelphia: 34.4. rushes per game; Atlanta: 35.7 rushes per game;  New York Giants: 32.5 rushes per game; Cleveland: 31.8 rushes per game; Baltimore: 30.8 rushes per game; Dallas: 30.5 rushes per game; Washington: 30.4 rushes per game; Tennessee: 29.5 rushes per game (rounding up the decimal). The combined record of these nine teams is 58-43. Six of these nine teams have winning records. All six of those teams would make the postseason if the playoffs started this weekend. Critics of teams that commit to establishing the running game argue that running game statistics are fluffed by fourth-quarter numbers where teams with the lead on the scoreboard decide to run the ball more to burn time off the clock. This deserves consideration. Yet that observation does not explain why the teams that are running the ball 30 or more times a game have doubled from last season since the number of victories remains the same (by definition). With the success of the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills, more defenses are using 4-2-5 defenses. When defenses rely more on nickel and dime defenses, their roster may see an additional defensive back instead of another linebacker. Depth charts are impacted. Teams are using smaller and quicker linebackers since they are more agile to defend against passing attacks.              In a league that adapts and evolves, it makes sense that some teams would choose to double-down on rushing attacks that are heavier with two running back or two tight end looks that trade wide receivers on the field for skill position players who can block. From the above list of nine teams running the ball 30 or more times a game, do any of them look like pass-first teams who only run the ball when they have the ball in the fourth quarter? Teams like Chicago, Philadelphia, Atlanta, the New York Giants, and Baltimore are all offenses where the quarterback plays a prominent role in the rushing game with designed runs. Cleveland, Dallas, Washington, and Tennessee are all teams who commonly deploy two tight ends or two running backs with a full back. If it is a copycat league, it is interesting to observe even more teams running the ball over the last month. Winning teams running the ball in the fourth quarter does not explain this recent phenomenon. Thirteen teams have averaged 30 or more rushing attempts per game in their most recent three games.Washington: 42.0 rush attempts per game; Dallas: 36.7 rush attempts per game; Carolina: 36.7 rush attempts per game; Chicago: 35.0 rush attempts per game; Baltimore: 35.0 rush attempts per game; Pittsburgh: 34.3 rush attempts per game; Philadelphia: 34.0 rush attempts per game;  San Francisco: 32.7 rush attempts per game; Detroit: 32.0 rush attempts per game; New York Giants: 31.3 rush attempts per game; Cincinnati: 30.3 rush attempts per game; Buffalo: 29.7 rush attempts per game; New York Jets: 29.7 rush attempts per game.That list does not include Atlanta which is averaging 29.0 rushes per game in their last three games. The combined record for those thirteen teams running the ball 30 or more per game in their last three games is 83-63. Nine of those thirteen teams have winning records, and all nine of those teams would play in the playoffs if the postseason started this weekend. Certainly rushing numbers rise for teams winning on the scoreboard. Yet it seems naive to simply explain the rise in running the football to teams winning games. Half the teams win their games each week (excluding the occasional tie). More teams are running the football this season, and they look like they are running their way into the playoffs.Good luck - TDG.

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Jim Harbaugh's Pivot to Player Positivity at Michigan

by Hollywood Sports

Wednesday, Nov 30, 2022

After the Michigan Wolverines hit rock bottom with a 2-4 record for the 2020 COVID-impacted season, Jim Harbaugh made several fundamental changes to his program after signing a new contract for lesser money (and a modest buyout if he were to leave for the NFL). Much has been said about his turning to his brother, John, for help with coaching talent on the defensive side of the football. And the offense abandoned Run-Pass Options for more of a power-rushing attack that relies on a zone-blocking scheme from the offenisive line like with the Baltimore Ravens (although last year's starting quarterback, Cade McNamara, did not offer much rushing skill). But a subtle change that Harbaugh made became very evident to many observers after the Wolverines defeated Ohio State by a 45-23 score in Columbus on Saturday: he goes out of his way to de-emphasize his presence so his players can be highlighted and featured in post-game on the field interviews. When Harbaugh first arrived at his alma mater after taking the San Francisco 49ers to the Super Bowl, he was the rock star returning home to re-establish glory for his alma mater. He made a big splash on the recruiting trail with exploits like waiting outside recruit's houses before the midnight window opening when recruiting could begin or conducting glamorous signing day celebrations. Harbaugh was the face and identity of the team which would often backfire when he would blow his gasket on the sidelines arguing a call with the officials. But after no appearances in the College Football Playoff after the 2020 season, Harbaugh's sixth year with the program, and an 0-5 record against Ohio State, the approach was not working. Since last year after signing the renegotiated contract, Harbaugh has made a concerted effort to get as much attention off him as possible. In their first two games of the season against Western Michigan and Washington, Harbaugh made a point of ending his post-game on-the-field interviews as quickly as possible while pressing for one or more of his players to take over fielding questions. This tactic bordered on pure comedy after the victory in Columbus on Saturday with Harbaugh declining to even field an initial question while telling  Tom Rinaldi to speak with quarterback J.J. McCarthy. Harbaugh then put on his Sports Information Direction hat on by going to find running Donovan Edwards and drag him to join that post-game interview with Rinaldi.This Michigan team has also been coached to be overly positive on the sideline. It would be fair to suggest that the Wolverines often played tight in close games early in Harbaugh's tenure. Michigan might have made the college football playoff in the 2016-17 season (even with a close loss to Ohio State) if not for an October loss to Michigan State when the Spartans blocked a punt and returned for a touchdown to steal that game in the final moments.  The Wolverines seemed to play as if they did not want to let down their head coach. After Michigan scored on a 69-yard touchdown pass to Cornelius Johnson to tie the score at 10-10 despite the Buckeyes dominating the 1st quarter, the concerted emphasis on positivity became evident. The players were all smiles on the sidelines, jumping around and raising their hands to fuel to emotions. J.J. McCarthy literally had a happy face written in sharpie on his hand. Rinaldi later commented that Ohio State appeared tight on their sideline. It starts with the coach. It is interesting to contrast that Ryan Day does all the post-game on-the-field interviews for the Buckeyes. I have observed that he has been consistent in an attitude that suggests that the team is letting him down if his team is not up a few touchdowns. Brian Kelly had a similar persona in his first few first years as the Notre Dame head coach. Kelly eventually mellowed -- and the Fighting Irish saw improved results. Positivity can only go so far. Michigan will have to rely on their talent if they want to win a National Championship this season. But a commitment to embrace positivity can play a role in handling adversity. And ensuring that is his players that get the spotlight after big wins for the national television audiences goes a long way to recruiting the next batch of players. It sure looks fun to play at the University of Michigan right now under Harbaugh. And that is a change in fortune -- by design. Best of luck -- Frank.    

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and FIFA Men's World Cup Previews and Odds - 11/30/2022

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Nov 30, 2022

The Wednesday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and the FIFA Men’s World Cup.The National Basketball Association has 13 games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Philadelphia 76ers as a 4-point favorite with the total set at 212 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Atlanta Hawks travel to Orlando to play the Magic as a 6-point road favorite with an over/under of 226. Three more NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Miami Heat as a 9-point favorite with a total of 224.5. The Brooklyn Nets are at home against the Washington Wizards as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 224.5. The Milwaukee Bucks play in New York against the Knicks as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 226.5. Three NBA games begin at 8:10 PM ET. The Memphis Grizzlies visit Minnesota to play the Timberwolves as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 232. The New Orleans Pelicans host the Toronto Raptors as a 1-point favorite with a total of 224.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder play at home against the San Antonio Spurs as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 237. Three NBA games start at 9:10 PM ET. The Denver Nuggets are at home against the Houston Rockets as an 11.5-point favorite with a total of 231.5. The Phoenix Suns host the Chicago Bulls as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 224. The Utah Jazz play at home against the Los Angeles Clippers as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 226.5. The Sacramento Kings are at home against the Indiana Pacers at 10:10 PM ET as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 239. The Los Angeles Clippers host the Portland Trail Blazers at 10:40 PM ET as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 226. The National Hockey League has four games on its slate. Three games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The New York Rangers play in Ottawa against the Senators as a -130 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs are at home against the San Jose Sharks as a -300 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Detroit Red Wings host the Buffalo Sabres on TNT as a -135 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Edmonton Oilers visit Chicago to play the Blackhawks on TNT at 9:37 PM ET as a -210 money line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The college basketball card features 11 games on national television. Butler plays at home against Kansas State on FS1 at 6:30 PM ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 136. VCU is at home against Vanderbilt on the CBS Sports Network at 7 PM ET as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 129.5. Three NCAAB games tip-off at 7:15 PM ET. Purdue travels to Florida State on ESPN2 as a 14.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 139.5. Duke hosts Ohio State on ESPN as a 6-point favorite with a total of 137.5. Miami (FL) plays at home against Rutgers on ESPNU as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 136.Xavier is at home against Southeast Louisiana on FS1 at 8:30 PM ET as a 23-point favorite at Caesars with a total of 154. Two more NCAAB games start at 9 PM ET. DePaul hosts Samford on FS2 as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 150. George Washington plays at home against South Carolina on the CBS Sports Network as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 135.5. Three NCAAB begin at 9:15 PM ET. Indiana is at home against North Carolina on ESPN as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 144.5. Michigan State plays at Notre Dame on ESPN2 as a 2-point road favorite with a total of 136. Nebraska hosts Boston College on ESPNU as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 131. The FIFA Men’s World Cup continues with four matches in the group stage. Two games start at 10 AM ET. Denmark battles Australia on FS1 as a -1 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). France plays Tunisia on Fox as a -1 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Two more World Cup matches begin at 2 PM ET. Argentina goes against Poland on Fox as a -1 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5. Mexico faces Saudi Arabia on FS1 as a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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NHL Off the Post: November 29th

by Sean Murphy

Tuesday, Nov 29, 2022

With December quickly approaching, it's time to take another quick look around the NHL at several teams you should be keeping an eye on in the coming week. Swimming against the currentThe San Jose Sharks are mired in an awful 7-13-4 start to the season which many expected as the team continues its rebuild in Silicon Valley. It's how they've gotten there that has been interesting. San Jose has recorded five of its seven victories on the road. That leaves it a dreadful 2-11 on home ice. The good news is, the Sharks open a four-game eastern road swing in Montreal on Tuesday. The bad news? They'll have to do so without goaltender James Reimer, who has been played on injured reserve due to a lower-body injury. That leaves Kaapo Kahkonen and his dreadful .871 save percentage to take over as the regular starter between the pipes. The goal-happy Maple Leafs have to be licking their chops at the prospect of catching the Sharks at home with San Jose in a back-to-back and three-in-four spot on Wednesday (and will be priced accordingly). Unleash the KrakenNot much was expected of the Seattle Kraken in their second NHL campaign after they played the role of prototypical expansion team to a tee last season. While their first five-game winning streak was chalked up as nothing more than a brief run of good fortune after following it up with consecutive home losses to the Jets and Wild, the Kraken have proven they're no flash in the pan by delivering their second five-game winning streak in the last month heading into Tuesday's matchup in Los Angeles. Few teams are playing a more exciting brand of hockey, with Seattle having scored 17 goals in its last three games alone. Goaltender (and former L.A. King) Martin Jones is enjoying a renaissance campaign, posting a .903 save percentage with Seattle prevailing in 10 of his 16 starts to date.Singing the Blues(hirts)There's trouble brewing on Broadway after the New York Rangers suffered their third straight loss on Monday, this one coming in excruciating fashion as they blew a 2-0 lead in an eventual 5-3 loss at the hands of the rival Devils. While it's not time to hit the panic button yet, any extended losing streak is concerning when you reside in the ultra-competitive Metropolitan Division. New York currently sits in fifth place, a whopping 14 points behind the aforementioned division-leading Devils. A sweepable home-and-home series with the Senators (who reside in last place in the Atlantic Division) is up next, with the latter contest kicking off a brief three-game homestand in which the Blueshirts will look to right the ship before playing five of their next seven contests on the road.Flyers groundedThe Philadelphia Flyers turned heads out of the gate this season, going 5-2 in their first seven games. It's been all downhill from there and they enter Tuesday's rematch with the Islanders on the heels of 10 consecutive losses. The good news is, they're finally coming off a two-day break, their first since November 5th to 8th. Of note, Philadelphia is 8-2 the last 10 times it has played at home on two or more days' rest. Unfortunately, that extra time off hasn't helped heal their injuries, with Travis Konecny, James Van Riemsdyk, Cam Atkinson and Sean Couturier among the list of key veterans currently sidelined. They're hoping to at least get Konecny back on the ice later this week but even with their full compliment of players, this is a team headed nowhere fast this season. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and FIFA Men's World Cup Previews and Odds - 11/29/2022

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Nov 29, 2022

The Tuesday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and the FIFA Men’s World Cup.The National Basketball Association has three games on its docket. The New York Knicks visit the Detroit Pistons at 7:10 PM ET as a 5-point road favorite with the total set at 224.5. The Golden State Warriors play at Dallas against the Mavericks on TNT at 7:40 PM ET as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 228. The Portland Trail Blazers host the Los Angeles Clippers on TNT at 10:10 PM ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 214.5. The National Hockey League has nine games on its slate. Three games drop the puck at 7:05 PM ET. The San Jose Sharks play in Montreal against the Canadiens with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 6. The Boston Bruins are at home against the Tampa Bay Lightning as a -165 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Carolina Hurricanes as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 6. The New York Islanders visit Philadelphia against the Flyers at 7:35 PM ET as a -180 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6. Two NHL games start at 8:05 PM ET. The Nashville Predators are at home against the Anaheim Ducks as a -225 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Columbus Blue Jackets travel to Winnipeg to play the Blue Jackets as a -135 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Calgary Flames host the Florida Panthers at 9:08 PM ET as a -145 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Vancouver Canucks play at home against the Washington Capitals at 10:08 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Los Angeles Kings are at home against the Seattle Kraken at 10:38 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 6. The college basketball card features eight games on national television. St. John’s hosts Long Island on FS1 at 6:30 PM ET as a 29-point favorite with an over/under of 150. Two more NCAAB games start at 7 PM ET. Maryland plays at Louisville on ESPN2 as a 12.5-point road favorite with a total of 135.5. Clemson is at home against Penn State on ESPNU as a 2-point favorite with an over/under of 134. Illinois hosts Syracuse on ESPN at 7:30 PM ET as a 12-point favorite with a total of 145. Baylor travels to Marquette on FS1 at 8:30 PM ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 156. Two games tip off at 9 PM ET. Iowa plays at home against Georgia Tech on ESPN2 as a 16-point favorite with a total of 151.5. Wisconsin is at home against Wake Forest on ESPNU as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 130.5. Virginia plays at Michigan on ESPN as a 4-point road favorite with a total of 130.5. The FIFA Men’s World Cup continues with four matches in the group stage. The Netherlands battle Qatar on Fox at 10 AM ET as a -2 goal line favorite with an over/under of 3. Ecuador plays Senegal in a pick ‘em contest on FS1 at 10 AM ET with a total of 2. England goes against Wales on FS1 at 2 PM ET as a -1 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. The United States plays Iran on Fox at 2 PM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5.

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College Hoops Early Season Surprise Teams & Their Outlooks

by Kyle Hunter

Tuesday, Nov 29, 2022

UConn Huskies (7-0-1 ATS So Far) No one has been more impressive to me early in the season than the UConn Huskies. They have blowout wins over Alabama, Oregon, and Iowa State already. Adama Sonogo is one of the best players in the country. Freshman Alex Caraban is a key for this team too. It is going to be a lot of fun when we see this team battle against Creighton in the Big East. I still don’t think the books have caught up on UConn.  St. Bonaventure Bonnies (5-1 ATS) How has this team been so good against the spread? They lost nearly everyone. Mark Schmidt is showing what a tremendous coach he is with this really inexperienced bunch. I wouldn’t have expected this team to be so competitive early on. They are coming off a huge win over Notre Dame on a neutral court. Their contest against Iona on a neutral will tell us a lot. Kent State Golden Flashes (6-0 ATS) I’m going under the radar here. Kent State nearly knocked off Houston on the road in their last game. The Golden Flashes defense looks very tough this season. They are testing themselves in a big way in the non-conference. They take on Gonzaga in Spokane on December 5th. I don’t think this team is quite as good as they look at this point. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (4-0 ATS) Jay Ladner’s crew is playing much better so far this year. Southern Miss is still a team I want to wait and see on though. They haven’t played that tough of a schedule and I want to see how they look with a bigger sample size on the road.  West Virginia Mountaineers (5-2 ATS) Bob Huggins’ team was about as bad as anyone could have expected last year. Huggins said his team didn’t really buy in last year, and he was very confident they would be better this year. It looks like he was right! I do think last year was the floor for this Mountaineers team, and I would tend to think they’ll continue to have value going forward for a while this year. South Alabama Jaguars (6-0 ATS) Another team that is flying under the radar this year. In the Sun Belt, it is much easier for a team to fly under the radar. South Alabama has been money as an underdog here early in the season against quality teams. They will be in that role their next couple games. After that they will start laying points again. I’m not confident this team will be great when laying a lot of points. 

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College Football Championship Week: The Games That Matter Most

by Kyle Hunter

Monday, Nov 28, 2022

Here we are at Conference Championship Week in college football. The season flew by as it always seems to. Many teams are done for the season, while quite a few others are just waiting to see where they will play in a bowl game.Michigan and Georgia are clearly going to be in the College Football Playoff even if they lose this weekend. That’s not to say they won’t try, but it isn’t a must win spot for them. Many believe TCU would be in even if they lose, but they need to at least be competitive. USC is in a must win spot. Let’s take a brief look at a few of the contests this weekend. Pac 12 Title Game Friday at 8 pm Eastern- Utah vs. USC (USC -3, 67) It isn’t even on Saturday, but this is really the biggest game of the weekend for several teams. USC needs a win here. Some think Ohio State would be in the CFP if USC loses and others think Alabama could even jump into the top four. Utah edged out USC in the first meeting in Salt Lake City 43-42. USC did average 8.1 yards per play in that loss. Utah’s Cam Rising has been good overall, but he has had a few games where he cost his team a win (Florida and Oregon this year specifically).  Big 12 Title Game Saturday at 12 pm Eastern- Kansas State vs. TCU (TCU -2.5, 61.5) Remember Kansas State led TCU 28-10 in the second quarter in their regular season meeting at TCU on October 22nd. Adrian Martinez was hurt in that game and then Will Howard came in and dominated for quite a while. Howard then got hurt and Kansas State was forced to play a freshman third stringer for a while. TCU has been fantastic this year, but I think this is a really hard test for them. Kansas State’s Chris Klieman is 44-20 ATS all time and 30-15-1 at Kansas State. SEC Title Game Saturday at 4 pm Eastern- LSU vs. Georgia (Georgia -17.5, 50.5) LSU had a chance to be in the playoff as well, but they blew that chance with their loss to Texas A&M on the road last weekend. Brian Kelly’s team is in an odd spot here. They of course would like to win the SEC, but they have to be highly disappointed given just a week ago they had higher aspirations. Georgia would like to get the #1 seed in the playoffs with a good performance here.Big Ten Title Game Saturday at 8 pm Eastern- Purdue vs. Michigan (Michigan -16, 51.5) Jim Harbaugh and his Michigan Wolverines went to Columbus and impressively handled the Buckeyes in the second half last weekend. The Wolverines have at least a chance of getting the top seed with a big performance here. The Big Ten West was a clustered mess and Purdue ended up being the opponent here. This could definitely be called a let down spot for Michigan given the massive game from a week ago. Purdue isn’t nearly on Michigan’s level though. A very tough game to pick a side in my opinion. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NHL and FIFA Men's World Cup Previews and Odds - 11/28/2022

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Nov 28, 2022

The Monday sports card features action in the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and the FIFA Men’s World Cup.Week 12 in the National Football League concludes with one game for Monday Night Football. The Indianapolis Colts host the Pittsburgh Steelers on ESPN at 8:15 PM ET as a 2.5-point favorite, with the total set at 39.5.The National Basketball Association has ten games on its docket. Two games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Atlanta Hawks play at Philadelphia against the 76ers as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 221. The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Washington to play the Wizards as a 1-point road favorite with a total of 228.5. Three more games begin at 7:40 PM ET. The Boston Celtics are at home against the Charlotte Hornets as a 10-point favorite with an over/under of 219.5. The Brooklyn Nets host the Orlando Magic as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 223.5. The Toronto Raptors play at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 213. The New Orleans Pelicans are at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder at 8:10 PM ET as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 231. Two more games start at 9:10 PM ET. The Denver Nuggets host the Houston Rockets as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 233. The Utah Jazz plays at home against the Chicago Bulls as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 234. The Sacramento Kings are at home against the Phoenix Suns at 10:10 PM ET in a pick ‘em game with an over/under of 231. The Los Angeles Lakers host the Indiana Pacers at 10:40 PM ET as a 4-point favorite with a total of 234. The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. Four games drop the puck at 7:05 PM ET. The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to Buffalo to play the Sabres as a -145 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs play at Detroit against the Red Wings as a -170 money line road favorite with a total of 6. The Vegas Golden Knights are at Columbus against the Blue Jackets as a -280 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The New Jersey Devils play in New York against the Rangers in a pick ‘em game with a total of 6.The Dallas Stars are at St. Louis to play the Blues at 8:05 PM ET as a -130 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Edmonton Oilers host the Florida Panthers at 9:35 PM ET as a -115 money line favorite with a total of 7. The college basketball card features two games on national television. Virginia Tech plays Minnesota on ESPN2 at 7 PM ET as a 12.5-point favorite with an over/under of 127. Northwestern is at home against Pittsburgh on ESPN2 at 9 PM ET as a 7-point favorite with a total of 128.5.The FIFA Men’s World Cup continues with four matches in the group stage. Serbia battles Cameroon on FS1 at 5 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Ghana plays South Korea at 8 AM ET on FS1 in a pick ‘em match with a total of 2. Brazil faces Switzerland on Fox at 11 AM ET as a -1.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Portugal goes against Uruguay on Fox at 2 PM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB and FIFA World Cup Previews and Odds - 11/27/2022

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Nov 27, 2022

The Sunday sports card features action in the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and the FIFA World Cup.Week 12 in the National Football League continues with 12 games. Seven games kick off at 1 PM ET. The Denver Broncos travel to Carolina to play the Panthers as a 1-point road favorite, with the total set at 36 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Tampa Bay Buccaneers play at Cleveland against the Browns as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 42. The Baltimore Ravens are at Jacksonville against the Jaguars as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 43. The Miami Dolphins host the Houston Texans as a 14-point favorite with an over/under of 47. The New York Jets play at home against the Chicago Bears as a 7-point favorite with a total of 38. The Cincinnati Bengals are at Tennessee against the Titans as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 43. The Washington Commanders host the Atlanta Falcons as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 40.5. Two NFL games start at 4:05 PM ET. The Los Angeles Chargers visit Arizona to play the Cardinals as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 48.5. The Seattle Seahawks are at home against the Las Vegas Raiders as a 4-point favorite with a total of 47.5. Two more NFL games begin at 4:25 PM ET. The Kansas City Chiefs play at home against the Los Angeles Rams as a 15.5-point favorite with an over/under of 41.5. The San Francisco 49ers host the New Orleans Saints as a 9-point favorite with a total of 43. Sunday Night Football features the Philadelphia Eagles playing at home against the Green Bay Packers on NBC at 8:20 PM ET. The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 46. The National Basketball Association has nine games on its docket. The Brooklyn Nets are at home against the Portland Trail Blazers as a 7-point favorite with a total of 221. The Golden State Warriors visit Minnesota to play the Timberwolves at 3:40 PM ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 234. The Indiana Pacers play in Los Angeles against the Clippers at 4:10 PM ET as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 223. The Atlanta Hawks host the Miami Heat at 5:10 PM ET as a 5-point favorite with a total of 222.5. Four NBA games tip off at 6:10 PM ET. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Washington Wizards as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 224. The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to Detroit to play the Pistons as a 7-point road favorite with a total of 222. The Memphis Grizzlies play in New York against the Knicks as a 4-point road favorite with an over/under of 231.5. The Orlando Magic are at home against the Philadelphia 76ers as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 214.5. The Milwaukee Bucks host the Dallas Mavericks at 8:10 PM ET as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 214.5. The National Hockey League has five games on its slate. The Minnesota Wild play at home against the Arizona Coyotes at 2:05 PM ET as a -275 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Winnipeg Jets are at Chicago against the Blackhawks at 7:05 PM ET as a -165 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6. Two more NHL games drop the puck at 8:05 PM ET. The Seattle Kraken visit Anaheim to play the Ducks as a -170 money line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Vancouver Canucks play at San Jose to play the Sharks as a -115 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Los Angeles Kings are at home against the Ottawa Senators at 10:35 PM ET as a -155 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The college basketball card features 14 games on national television. Memphis plays Stanford one ESPNU at 11 AM ET in the ESPN Events Invitational at the State Farm Field House in Kissimmee, Florida as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 137. Oklahoma battles Mississippi on ESPN at 1:30 PM ET in the ESPN Events Invitational as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 126. Villanova faces Oregon on ESPN2 at 3 PM ET at the Phil Knight Legacy tournament at the Chiles Center in Portland, Oregon as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 136. Two more NCAAB games tip-off at 3:30 PM ET. Alabama plays North Carolina on ESPN in the Phil Knight Legacy at Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Portland, Oregon. Duke goes against Purdue on ABC in the Phil Knight Legacy at the Moda Center in Portland, Oregon as a 2-point favorite with a total of 135.5. Two NCAAB games start at 5 PM ET. Seton Hall battles Siena on ESPN2 in the ESPN Events Invitational as a 14.5-point favorite with an over/under of 136.5. Miami (FL) travels to Central Florida on ESPNU as a 1-point road favorite with a total of 131. Michigan State goes against Portland on ESPN at 5:30 PM ET in the Phil Knight Legacy at the Chiles Center as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145.5. Two more NCAAB games begin at 7:30 PM ET. Nebraska plays Florida State on ESPNU in the ESPN Events Invitational as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 140. Gonzaga battles Xavier on ESPN in the Phil Knight Legacy as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 160.5. West Virginia faces Florida on ESPNU at 8:30 PM ET in the Phil Knight Legacy at the Chiles Center as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 147.5. UConn goes against Iowa State on ESPN at 10 PM ET in the Phil Knight Legacy at the Moda Center as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 135. Oregon State plays Portland State on ESPNU at 11 PM ET in the Phil Knight Legacy at the Chiles Center as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 143. The FIFA Men’s World Cup continues with four matches in the group stage on FS1. Japan faces Costa Rica at 5 AM ET as a -1 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Belgium goes against Morocco at 8 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5. Croatia battles Canada at 11 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Germany plays Spain at 2 PM ET in a pick ‘em match with a total of 2.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB and FIFA Men's World Cup Previews and Odds - 11/26/2022

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Nov 26, 2022

The Saturday sports card features action in NCAAF, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and the FIFA Men’s World Cup.Week 13 in college football continues with 47 games between FBS opponents. Seven games on national television kick off at noon ET. Clemson hosts South Carolina on ABC as a 14-point favorite with the total set at 53 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). James Madison plays at home against Coastal Carolina on ESPNU as a 14.5-point favorite with an over/under of 53. Ohio State is at home against Michigan on Fox as an 8-point favorite with a total of 55.5. Western Kentucky visits FAU on the CBS Sports Network as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 62. Georgia hosts Georgia Tech on ESPN as a 36-point favorite with a total of 49. Oklahoma State plays at home against West Virginia on ESPN2 as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 62.5. Six NCAAF games on national television start at 3:30 PM ET. Troy travels to Arkansas State on ESPNU as a 13.5-point road favorite with a total of 44.5. Oregon plays at Oregon State on ABC as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 58. UAB is at Louisiana Tech on the CBS Sports Network as a 17.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 55.5. SMU hosts Memphis on ESPN2 as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 69.5. Wisconsin is at home against Minnesota on ESPN as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 36.5. Atlanta plays at home against Auburn on CBS as a 22.5-point favorite with a total of 50.5. Two more NCAAF games on national television begin at 4 PM ET. TCU hosts Iowa State on Fox as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5. Penn State plays at home against Michigan State as a 19-point favorite with a total of 53. Two nationally-televised NCAAF games start at 7 PM ET. LSU visits Texas A&M on ESPN as a 10.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 47.5. Central Florida is at South Florida on ESPN2 as a 20.5-point road favorite with a total of 67.5. Three more NCAAF games begin at 7:30 PM ET. Houston hosts Tulsa on ESPNU as a 12-point favorite with an over/under of 67. USC plays at home against Notre Dame on ABC as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 63.5. Oklahoma travels to Texas Tech on FS1 as a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 65. Kansas State plays at home against Kansas on Fox as a 12-point favorite with a total of 62.5. Air Force is at San Diego State on the CBS Sports Network at 9 PM ET as a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 43. Washington plays at Washington State on ESPN at 10:30 PM ET as a 2-point road favorite with a total of 60. BYU travels to Stanford on FS1 at 11 PM ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 57.5. The National Basketball Association has four games on its docket. The Dallas Mavericks play in Toronto against the Raptors at 5:10 PM ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 216. Two more NBA games begin at 8:10 PM ET. The Oklahoma City Thunder is at Houston against the Rockets as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 233. The Los Angeles Lakers visit San Antonio as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 231. The Phoenix Suns are at home against the Utah Jazz as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 230. The National Hockey League has eight games on its slate. The New York Rangers host the Edmonton Oilers at 1:05 PM ET as a -140 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes play at home against the Calgary Flames at 4:05 PM ET as a -135 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Florida Panthers are at home against the St. Louis Blues at 6:35 PM ET as a -195 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. Two NHL games drop the puck at 7:05 PM ET. The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Toronto Maple Leafs as a -135 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The New Jersey Devils play at home against the Washington Capitals as a -170 money line favorite with a total of 6. The New York Islanders are at home against the Philadelphia Flyers as a -210 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Colorado Avalanche host the Dallas Stars at 9:05 PM ET as a -135 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Vegas Golden Knights are at home against the Vancouver Canucks at 10:05 PM ET as a -170 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The college basketball card features four games on national television. St. John’s hosts Niagara on FS2 at 2 PM ET as an 18.5-point favorite with a total of 137.5. Providence plays at home against Columbia on FS2 at 4 PM ET as a 21.5-point favorite with an over/under of 146. Iowa battles TCU on the CBS Sports Network at 7 PM ET in the Emerald Coast Classic at the Arena at Northwest Florida State in Niceville, Florida. Marquette is at home against Chicago State on FS2 at 8:30 PM ET as a 27.5-point favorite with a total of 147.5. The FIFA Men’s World Cup continues with four matches on FS1 in the group stage. Tunisia faces Australia at 5 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Poland goes against Saudi Arabia at 8 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5. France plays Denmark as a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Argentina battles Mexico at 2 PM ET as a -1 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5. 

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