Articles

Super Bowl Props

by ASA, Inc.

Sunday, Feb 12, 2023

UNDER 50.5 RUSHING YARDS – QB Jalen Hurts – Eagles The oddsmakers have posted a rushing total of 50.5 yards for Hurts in 5 of the last seven games he’s played in. Now in the biggest game of the year, where the public loves to bet Overs, the number is 49.5? Hurts has averaged 50.6 rushing yards per game this season but three big games has inflated that average. He rushed for 157 against the Packers, 86 versus the Colts and 90 against the Lions in Week 1. He has rushed for over 50 yards in 7 of the seventeen games he’s played in this season. In the two playoff games he rushed for 34 and 39 yards. On the season the Chiefs allowed the 3rd most rushing yards to QB’s but that average was just 26.32RYPG. Kansas City has allowed a quarterback to rush for over 49 yards just three times this entire season.  OVER 15.5 RECEIVING YARDS – RB Isiah Pacheco – KC Chiefs We have lost some value in this wager as Pacheco’s receiving O/U’s in his last three games has been 10.5 yards. But the correction by the oddsmakers is warranted. Pacheco is coming off a 5 reception, 59-receiving yard performance against the Bengals. He has been targeted an average of 2 times in the Chiefs last nine games. He has totaled 16 or more receiving yards in 6 of the last nine games he’s played in. With QB Patrick Mahomes slightly hobbled, and the Eagles have a solid pass rush, look for some short check-down passes to the backs out of the backfield. Pacheco literally needs just 1 potential catch to surpass this total. OVER 12.5 RUSH ATTEMPTS – RB Miles Sanders – Eagles The Eagles are one of the most rush heavy teams in the NFL with just over 50% of their snaps leading to runs (4th in the NFL).  Their best RB is Miles Sanders and we expect a heavy dose of him in this game.  He averaged 15 rush attempts per game during the regular season and 14 in their 2 playoff games.  Philly spread the wealth in their 2 playoff games with Sanders carrying the ball 28 times, his backup Gainwell with 26 attempts and 3rd stringer Scott with 12.  Much of that was because the Eagles jumped out to big leads and won easy in each of the playoff games so they were able to rest Sanders (2 of his 3 lowest snaps counts on the season were in their 2 playoff games).  This is do or die and no reason to rest anyone for future games so we expect Sanders to get most of the action here.  He is easily their best RB and Over 12.5 carries for Miles Sanders looks like a solid play on Sunday.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 02/12/2023

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Feb 12, 2023

The Sunday sports card features action in the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL.The National Football League season concludes with Super Bowl 57. The Philadelphia Eagles play against the Kansas City Chiefs on Fox at 6:30 PM ET. The Eagles advanced to the Super Bowl with their 31-7 victory against San Francisco as a 2.5-point favorite in the NFC Championship Game on January 29th. The Chiefs reached this game with their 23-20 win against Cincinnati as a 2-point favorite in the AFC Championship Game two weeks ago. Philadelphia is a 1.5-point favorite with the total set last 51 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The National Basketball Association has two games on its docket. The Boston Celtics host the Memphis Grizzlies on ABC at 2:10 PM ET. The Celtics are on a three-game winning streak after their 127-116 victory against Charlotte as an 11-point favorite on Friday. The Grizzlies won their second-straight game with their 128-107 victory against Minnesota as a 7-point favorite on Friday. Boston is a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 228.5.The Toronto Raptors play at home against the Detroit Pistons at 3:10 PM ET as a 10-point favorite with a total of 229.5. The National Hockey League has four games on its slate. The Edmonton Oilers travel to Montreal to play the Canadiens at 12:37 PM ET as a -210 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Seattle Kraken play in Philadelphia against the Flyers at 1:07 PM ET as a -150 money line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Washington Capitals are at home against the San Jose Sharks at 1:37 PM ET as a -195 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Vegas Golden Knights host the Anaheim Ducks at 3:07 PM ET as a -340 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The college basketball schedule has four games on national television. Memphis plays at home against Temple on ESPN2 at noon ET. The Tigers won for the sixth time in their last seven games with a 99-81 victory at South Florida as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday. The Owls lost their second-straight game in a 72-71 upset loss at SMU as a 1.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Memphis is a 9-point favorite with an over/under of 147.Two NCAAB games tip off at 1 PM ET. Iowa visits Minnesota on FS1. The Hawkeyes were on a three-game winning streak before an 87-73 upset loss at Purdue as a 7-point underdog on Thursday. The Golden Gophers lost their seventh-straight game in an 81-46 loss to Maryland as a 9.5-point underdog last Saturday. Iowa is a 12-point road favorite with a total of 147.Ohio State is at home against Michigan State on CBS. The Buckeyes are on a five-game losing streak after their 69-63 upset loss to Northwestern as a 5.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Spartans ended a two-game losing streak with their 63-58 victory against Maryland as a 4-point favorite on Tuesday. Ohio State is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 137.Wichita State hosts SMU on ESPN at 4 PM ET. The Shockers lost for the second time in their last three games in a 72-67 upset loss to Central Florida as a 2.5-point favorite on Wednesday. The Mustangs ended a two-game losing streak with a 72-71 upset victory against Temple as a 1.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Wichita State is a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 136.5.Matchweek 23 in the English Premier League continues with two matches on the USA Network. Manchester United visits Leeds United at 9 AM ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Manchester City plays at home against Aston Villa at 11:30 AM ET as a -2 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 02/11/2023

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Feb 11, 2023

The Saturday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL.The National Basketball Association has nine games on its docket. The Philadelphia 76ers visit Brooklyn to play the Nets at 6:10 PM ET as a 2.5-point road favorite (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Three more NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Denver Nuggets play in Charlotte against the Hornets as a 9.5-point road favorite. The Miami Heat are in Orlando to play the Magic as a 1.5-point road favorite. The Washington Wizards host the Indiana Pacers as a 5-point favorite. Two NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. The Atlanta Hawks play at home against the San Antonio Spurs as an 11.5-point favorite. The New York Knicks are at home against the Utah Jazz as a 5-point favorite. The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Chicago Bulls at 8:10 PM ET as a 5-point favorite. The Golden State Warriors play at home against the Los Angeles Lakers on ABC at 8:40 PM ET as a 3.5-point favorite. The Sacramento Kings are at home against the Dallas Mavericks at 10:10 PM ET as a 2-point favorite. The National Hockey League has 14 games on its slate. The Detroit Red Wings host the Vancouver Canucks at 12:07 PM ET as a -140 money line favorite, with the total set at 6.5. Four more NHL games drop the puck at 12:37 PM ET. The Calgary Flames travel to Buffalo to play the Sabres as a -130 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Edmonton Oilers play in Ottawa against the Senators as a -145 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The New York Islanders are in Montreal to play the Canadiens as a -200 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Nashville Predators visit Philadelphia to play the Flyers as a -140 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Dallas Stars play at home against the Tampa Bay Lightning on ABC as a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Boston Bruins are at home against the Washington Capitals on ABC at 3:37 PM ET with a total of 6. The Florida Panthers host the Colorado Avalanche at 6:07 PM ET as a -135 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two more NHL games start at 7:07 PM ET. The Toronto Maple Leafs play at home against the Columbus Bluejackets as a -350 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes are at home against the New York Rangers as a -210 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. Two NHL games begin at 8:07 PM ET. The St. Louis Blues host the Arizona Coyotes at 8:07 PM ET as a -180 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Minnesota Wild play at home against the New Jersey Devils as a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Winnipeg Jets are at home against the Chicago Blackhawks at 10:07 PM ET as a -325 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Los Angeles Kings host the Pittsburgh Penguins at 10:37 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5.The college basketball schedule has 15 games on major national television. Three games on major national television tip-off at noon ET. Texas plays at home against West Virginia on ESPN2 as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 149. Providence travels to St. John’s on Fox as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 151. Kentucky is at Georgia on ESPN as a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 141.5. Kansas plays at Oklahoma on CBS at 1 PM ET as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 141. Three games on major national television at 2 PM ET. Alabama visits Auburn on ESPN as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 152.5. Creighton is at home against UConn on Fox as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 142. North Carolina hosts Clemson on ESPN2 as a 7-point favorite with a total of 146.5. Three more NCAAB games on major national television begin at 4 PM ET. Virginia plays Duke on ESPN as a 6-point favorite with a total of 125.5. Baylor is at TCU on ESPN2 as a pick ‘em with an over/under of 149. San Diego State hosts UNLV on Fox as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 139.5. Two NCAAB games on major national television begin at 6 PM ET. Iowa State plays at home against Iowa State on ESPN2 as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 127. Michigan is at home against Indiana on ESPN as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 144. Arizona plays at Stanford on ESPN2 at 8 PM ET as a 9-point road favorite with an over/under of 151. Two more NCAAB games on major national television start at 10 PM ET. UCLA is at Oregon on ESPN as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 132.5. Gonzaga hosts BYU on ESPN2 as a 12-point favorite with an over/under of 155.5.Matchweek 23 in the English Premier League begins with seven matches. Chelsea visits West Ham United on the USA Network at 7:30 AM ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Five EPL matches start at 10 AM ET. Arsenal plays at home against Brentford as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Brighton and Hove Albion are at Crystal Palace as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Fulham is at home against Nottingham Forest as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Tottenham visits Leicester City as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Wolverhampton plays at Southampton on the USA Network in a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2. Newcastle United is on the road against Bournemouth on NBC at 12:30 PM ET as a -1 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 02/10/2023

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Feb 10, 2023

The Friday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, and NCAAB.The National Basketball Association has 11 games on its docket. Three NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Detroit Pistons host the San Antonio Spurs as a 3-point favorite, with the total set at 235 (all odds from DraftKings). The Phoenix Suns play at Indiana against the Pacers as a 1-point road favorite. The Philadelphia 76ers are at home against the New York Knicks as a 5-point favorite. The Boston Celtics host the Charlotte Hornets on ESPN at 7:40 PM ET as a 10.5-point favorite. The Toronto Raptors play at home against the Utah Jazz as an 8-point favorite with an over/under of 232. Two more NBA games start at 8:10 PM ET. The Miami Heat are at home against the Houston Rockets as a 10.5-point favorite. The Memphis Grizzlies host the Minnesota Timberwolves as an 8.5-point favorite. Three NBA games begin at 10:10 PM ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers visit New Orleans to play the Pelicans on ESPN as a 2-point road favorite. The Portland Trail Blazers play at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 241.5. The Sacramento Kings are at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder as a 1.5-point favorite. The Los Angeles Clippers host the Milwaukee Bucks at 10:40 PM ET as a 1-point favorite. The National Hockey League has four games on its slate. Two NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The New York Rangers play at home against the Seattle Kraken as a -175 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Toronto Maple Leafs are in Columbus to play the Bluejackets as a -250 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Arizona Coyotes travel to Chicago to play the Blackhawks at 8:37 PM ET as a -115 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Pittsburgh Penguins play in Anaheim against the Ducks at 10:07 PM ET as a -250 money line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The college basketball schedule has seven games on national television. Kent State visits Buffalo on ESPN2 at 6 PM ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 150.5. Two more NCAAB games tip-off at 7 PM ET. Xavier is at Butler on FS1 as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 141. Rider hosts Fairfield on ESPNU as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 132.5. Dayton plays at home against Saint Louis on ESPN2 at 8 PM ET as a 6-point favorite with a total of 136.5. Two more NCAAB games start at 9 PM ET. New Mexico travels to Air Force on FS1 as a 6-point road favorite with an over/under of 143. Wright State is at home against Northern Kentucky on ESPNU as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 137.5. Nevada hosts Fresno State on FS1 at 11 PM ET as a 9-point favorite with an over/under of 131. 

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Europa League Futures (Knockout Rounds)

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Feb 09, 2023

The Group Stage is over for the Europa League but before we get into the Round of 16 there are still some knockout round play-offs to be played with the group stage runner-ups and the Champions League drop downs. From this point on there will be no more clubs added to the competition so it is time to see who is a real contender to win the Europa League title as we now know the final set of teams in the tournament which include some clubs that were not there at the start of the year. With the Knockout Stage starting soon, it is time to see who has the best value to win this competition.  To Win Outright Arsenal +350: Arsenal is coming in as the biggest favorite on the board to win this competition and they were one of the teams that started the year in Europa League and have come this far by winning their group which automatically sees them through to the Round of 16. They have a big advantage right now from winning their group as they do not have to play in this play-off round meaning there is less risk of getting eliminated compared to some of the other teams that have to play in this round. Arsenal has also been having a great year in their domestic league as they are currently leading the Premier League in points and have a chance to build an even larger lead over 2nd place before actually having to play another Europa League match in the Round of 16 which means they will be able to focus more on this competition if they can get a bit of a cushion now in the Premier League. Arsenal has shown all year with their performances against top clubs in the Premier League that they have the talent and they have the depth to make a deep run in this tournament and they are one of the best clubs left in the competition still. There is some value in Arsenal to win the title here as they are having a great year and will be looking to take home as many trophies as they can.  Barcelona +450: Barcelona is entering this as the next biggest favorite on the board to win this competition but unlike Arsenal, Barcelona was not in this tournament at the beginning of the year and ended up dropping down from Champions League after some awful performances in the group stage there. Barcelona has been having a great domestic season though as they are leading La Liga right now with a big lead over the 2nd place Real Madrid and if they continue their dominance there then they will have such a big lead in the league for the title that they will be able to focus on these Europa matches with no issues. Barcelona dropped down from Champions League though which means they do not get a spot in the Round of 16 yet but instead have to earn that spot by playing a group runner-up in this play-off round. Their matchup in this round is also against Manchester United who has been having a great domestic season playing in very good form most of the year just like Barcelona. Barcelona does have one of the best squads left in the tournament with their talent and depth but they also fizzled out badly in the Champions League group stage and considering how well Man Utd has been playing this year, they have a very tough challenge here just to get out of this round and into the Round of 16. There is some value on Barcelona here as they have the team to make a deep run if they can get past Man Utd in this round but Man Utd is no push over so they also have more of a risk as well as Barcelona could be eliminated before even reaching the Round of 16.  Manchester United +800: Man Utd is coming in as the next biggest favorite to win this competition and they are a team that did start the year in Europa League coming this far but they were not good enough in the group stage to even win their group which has now put them in this situation where they have to play in this play-off round as a group runner-up. Man Utd has been having a great domestic year as they are currently in the top 4 of the Premier League and they have a lot of talent on their team as well. They do not have a lot of squad depth though and it has really started to show recently as they are starting to pile up some injuries to key starters. This will be an issue down the line if they can make a deep run in the tournament but they also have the problem of having to play an extra match in this play-off round and they are matched up with Barcelona who is another very good club who dropped down from Champions League. It is tough to find value in Man Utd here with their injuries starting to pile up, also knowing they have to try and get through a very good club in Barcelona just to get to the Round of 16, and the road will only get harder from there. Man utd is also in the middle of a club sale this year so they were not able to do much in the transfer windows and they will be more focused on keeping their top 4 spot in the Premier League to get back into Champions League for next year and be able to buy some more talent with their new club owners in place. Man Utd has been playing very well this year and is having a great season but it is not the right situation for them this year so there is not a lot of value in them here to win this competition this year. Juventus +1000: Juventus is coming in as the next biggest favorite on the board to win this competition and they are a team that did not start the year in Europa League but instead dropped down from Champions League after a poor run in the group stage. Juventus has been dealing with many other issues this year like their road troubles and the fact that they were in 2nd place in Serie A before receiving a 15 point deduction that now put them in the middle of the table. They have a lot of adversity to overcome this year but it is likely that they will be focused on these matches since their title hopes are dashed and they will be looking to take home a trophy still. Since Juventus did drop down from Champions league they will have to play in this play-off round, but they did get a nice matchup in Nantes who is one of the worst squads left in the tournament. Juventus should be able to get past Nantes and see themselves through to the Round of 16 but they have had a big issue in their away matches this year and scoring has been one of those issues which has also spilled into their home matches as well. They have a very good defense that will be able to carry them deep but their attack will have to pick it up eventually when the strength of opponents becomes greater the deeper they go and they will not be able to overcome those issues against some of the other teams still left. Juventus does have some value here considering they are getting an easier path and will be hungry for a trophy after what happened in Serie A, but they do not have the talent to win this competition and they will fizzle out eventually.  Real Sociedad +1400: Real Sociedad is the next biggest favorite on the board to win this competition and they are a team that did start the year in Europa League. They have been a very dominant team in their Europa League matches all year and they even have an advantage here as they are already through to the Round of 16 since they won their group in the group stage, a group that also had Man Utd in it as well. Real Sociedad has not just been great in their Europa League matches though, they have also been having a great season in their domestic league as they currently sit in 3rd place and is easily the best team in La Liga behind Barcelona and Real Madrid this year. Real Sociedad is a team with a very good defense as they do not allow many goals in their matches and their defense has been great like this for years, but now their attack is also playing very well as they are scoring a lot of goals and taking big advantage of their home matches. They are well on their way to Champions League next year with a top 4 finish in La Liga likely to come for them and since their league is so heavily dominated by Barcelona and Real Madrid year after year, Real Sociedad will definitely be more focused on these matches as they have a better chance of winning this tournament than the actual La liga title. Real Sociedad has the squad to make a deep run in this tournament competing with anyone who comes across their path but they are also in the right situation to make a run this year and have one of the better teams in the competition. There is a lot of value in Real Sociedad to win the Europa League title here as they very well could go all the way and win it with their team. RecommendationsThere are quite a few teams who have the potential to make a deep run in this tournament but to win the title these clubs need to have the talent, depth, and also be in the right situation or else things can fall apart quickly. Arsenal at +350 and Barcelona at +450 have some very good value as they are both 2 of the best teams in the tournament and are in the right situations to make a deep run to win this trophy. If looking for some extra value though, Real Sociedad at +1400 has a lot of value in it since Real Sociedad is also in a great situation this year and has the team to make a deep run as they have been undervalued as a squad all year. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 02/09/2023

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Feb 09, 2023

The Thursday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, and NCAAB.The National Basketball Association has four games on its docket. The Denver Nuggets travel to Orlando to play the Magic at 7:10 PM ET as a 6-point road favorite (all odds from DraftKings). The Brooklyn Nets host the Chicago Bulls on TNT at 7:30 PM ET as a 3-point favorite. The Atlanta Hawks play at home against the Phoenix Suns at 7:40 PM ET as a 5-point favorite, with the total set at 230. The Milwaukee Bucks are in Los Angeles to play the Lakers on TNT as a 5-point road favorite. The National Hockey League has seven games on its slate. Five games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The Tampa Bay Lightning are at home against the Colorado Avalanche on ESPN as a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Edmonton Oilers visit Philadelphia to play the Flyers as a -180 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Florida Panthers host the San Jose Sharks as a -210 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The New Jersey Devils play at home against the Seattle Kraken as a -165 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Calgary Flames are in Detroit to play the Red Wings as a -150 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The New York Islanders host the Vancouver Canucks at 7:37 PM ET as a -215 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Minnesota Wild play at home against the Vegas Golden Knights at 8:07 PM ET as a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. The college basketball schedule has ten games on national television. St. Francis (PA) is at home against Sacred Heart on ESPNU at 5 PM ET as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 151. Two more NCAAB games tip-off on national television at 7 PM ET. Purdue hosts Iowa on ESPN2 as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 149.5. Radford plays at home against Gardner-Webb on ESPNU as a 4-point favorite with a total of 124. Two NCAAB games on national television start at 8 PM ET. Western Kentucky is at home against Middle Tennessee on the CBS Sports Network as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 142. Ohio State hosts Northwestern on FS1 as a 5-point favorite with a total of 137. Two more NCAAB games on national television begin at 9 PM ET. Gonzaga plays at home against San Francisco on ESPN2 as a 14-point favorite with an over/under of 155. Tennessee Tech is at home against Southern Indiana on ESPNU as a 1-point favorite with a total of 145.5. BYU plays at Pepperdine on the CBS Sports Network at 10 PM ET as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 150.5. Two more NCAAB games on national television start at 11 PM ET. Oregon hosts USC on ESPN2 as a 4-point favorite with a total of 143. Long Beach State plays at home against UC-Santa Barbara on ESPNU in a pick ‘em game with an over/under of 146.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 02/08/2023

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Feb 08, 2023

The Wednesday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL.The National Basketball Association has nine games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Detroit Pistons as a 12.5-point favorite, with the total set at 222 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Washington Wizards play at home against the Charlotte Hornets as a 4.5-point favorite. Three more NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. The Boston Celtics are at home against the Philadelphia 76ers on ESPN as a 4.5-point favorite. The Miami Heat host the Indiana Pacers as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 223. The Toronto Raptors play at home against the San Antonio Spurs as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 234. The Sacramento Kings travel to Houston to play the Rockets at 8:10 PM ET as an 8.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 241. The Utah Jazz are at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves at 9:10 PM ET as a 3.5-point favorite. Two more games complete the NBA card at 10:10 PM ET. The Los Angeles Clippers host the Dallas Mavericks on ESPN as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 234.5. The National Hockey League has two games on its slate. The New York Rangers play at home against the Vancouver Canucks at 8:07 PM ET as a -240 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Dallas Stars are at home against the Minnesota Wild on TNT as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The college basketball schedule has ten games on national television. Hofstra visits Northeastern on the CBS Sports Network at 6 PM ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 140.5. Creighton plays at Seton Hall on FS1 at 6:30 PM ET as a 4-point road favorite with a total of 135. Two more NCAAB games on national television begin at 7 PM ET. West Virginia hosts Iowa State on ESPN2 as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 135.5. Syracuse is at Florida State on ESPNU as a 2-point road favorite with a total of 149.5. Providence plays at home against Georgetown on the CBS Sports Network at 8 PM ET as a 13.5-point favorite with an over/under of 147. Villanova is at home against DePaul on FS1 at 8:30 PM ET as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 142. Two more NCAAB games on national television tip-off at 9 PM ET. Alabama hosts Florida on ESPN2 as a 9-point favorite with an over/under of 148. Baylor plays at home against Oklahoma on ESPNU as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 140.5. Utah State is at home against San Diego State on the CBS Sports Network at 10 PM ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145. UNLV visits Wyoming on FS1 at 10:30 PM ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 145.5. Matchweek 22 in the English Premier League concludes with one match at 3 PM ET. Manchester United hosts Leeds United on the USA Network as a -1 goal-line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 3.

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Champions League Futures (Round of 16)

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Feb 07, 2023

The Champions League will be starting up again in February but now that we are past the group stage and all of the fake contenders are out of the competition, it is time to see who has the best chance to make a deep run in the tournament as we enter the Round of 16 soon. There are a lot of quality clubs left in the competition still but there are also some frauds still left that really have no chance of winning the title so let’s see which of these clubs is a real contender and which are just lucky to still be in the competition at the Knockout Stages. To Win Outright Manchester City +175: Man City is coming in as the biggest favorite to win the Champions League this year and that is because of the talent they have as well as the squad depth which enables them to make deep runs in competitions like this and still keep some focus on their league matches as well. Man City has been a dominant team in Europe for years now but they are still without a Champions League title and there is no doubt that they will be fully focused on winning this competition. They do have a lot of talent in their starting lineup but they also have a lot of squad depth as their backups could easily be starters somewhere else and this offers them a lot of flexibility when they get deep in these tournaments. They have not been at their best in the Premier League though and they could end up seeing themselves in a situation where they make a deep run in this competition but also have to focus on Premier League matches with a shot at the title and they will have to decide which competition to put more of their efforts towards. Man City has the team and the depth to make a deep run here and there is some value at this price with it being +175, but they have not been meeting expectations with their play this year and if they keep it up they will find a way to fizzle out of this competition as there are plenty of other good teams with a lot more value in them. Bayern Munich +650: Bayern Munich is coming in as the 2nd biggest favorite to win this competition but there is a very large gap between them and the current favorites. The gap is understandable as no team has the kind of depth that Man City has, but that does not mean they are good enough to win it all. Bayern Munich does look like they have some value here at +650 but the value is not as good as it looks. Bayern has to get through a very tough matchup in the 1st round as they are taking on PSG so already if Bayern wants to get to the finals and win it all, they have to take out one of the best teams in the competition right away and it is only going to get tougher in each matchup if they continue to advance. Bayern also has not played very well this year, they are still leading their league right now but they have not been playing well since coming back from the World Cup and they are also at a disadvantage here since their league play came back a month after everyone else. Bayern has not had the luxury of playing as many matches as these other teams in different leagues so they are still a little rusty from the time off and it has shown in their league matches. Bayern is going to have a very tough time getting past PSG in this next round alone so there really is not a lot of value here for a team with big defensive issues that has been out of form recently and could be out in the very next round. PSG +800: PSG is coming in as the next biggest favorite to win this tournament and there is definitely some value in them at this price. PSG is dominating Ligue 1 this year like they have been for years but they also just have a very good team with a lot of talent on it. They always seem to find themselves making a deep run in Champions League but get stopped somewhere in the knockout stages. Messi is coming off of a World Cup win in December though and he will be looking to add a Champions League to his trophy case this year as well so he will have this team fired up to make a deep run. PSG does have a lot of starting talent on their team but they lack in squad depth and they are going to need it now that Mbappe may miss this 1st round of matches. They also have a very tough matchup in this round as they are taking on Bayern Munich, one of the favorites to win this tournament as well, so already PSG has a very difficult road ahead of them. The road is only going to get harder the deeper they go as well and they have been dealing with a lot of squad issues this year which has played a part in some of their matches. There is value in PSG here as they have the better team with less defensive issues and should get by Bayern Munich in this round, but they will still have a very tough road ahead and may not have the squad depth once they get into deeper rounds. PSG does have a very good team though that is much better than a lot of the other teams still left in the competition so as long as PSG is still in it, they definitely have some value at this price to win it all.  Liverpool +1000: Liverpool is coming in as the next contender on the list to win the entire competition but even this line does not have enough value in it for the way Liverpool has been playing this year. Liverpool has been having an awful season as they find themselves in the middle of the table in the Premier League and even though they managed to get through to this round with a weaker group, they do not belong here and will get kicked out very soon. Liverpool is struggling to even win matches in the Premier League this year and if they continue at the rate they have been going, then they will not even finish in a high enough spot for European competition next season. The reality of Liverpool is that dealing Sadio Mane in the summer destroyed their flow of attack and this has been an issue all year as they struggle to create scoring chances. Their defense has also gone downhill a lot this year and they simply do not have the talent on their team to make a deep run this year. They also have a very tough matchup in their 1st round as they take on the defending Champions in Real Madrid who also have a lot more talent than Liverpool and have been playing much better overall. Liverpool will be lucky to get past Real Madrid in this next round and even if they manage to do that, they still have bigger things to worry about in the Premier League with the season they are having and they will end up getting knocked out somewhere down the line. There is no value in Liverpool at this price as they really have no chance of winning this competition this year. Real Madrid +1000: Real Madrid is coming in as the next contender on the list to win this competition and they are also the defending Champions League Champions from last season. Real Madrid went on a big run last year to win the Champions League title as they also won their La Liga title in Spain and had to take out quite a few top quality clubs on their way to the Champions League title as well. They did not lose a lot of talent in the summer either as this is pretty much the same core team that won it last year so they know exactly what they need to do to go deep in a competition like this and win it all. They also have a lot of squad depth on their team with some very good backups that can pick up the slack when needed. They are taking on Liverpool in this 1st round as well so they are already getting one of the weaker clubs that has been in awful form and with some of these other 1st round matchups as well, there will be a few quality clubs knocked out in this 1st round making the road easier near the end. Real Madrid is going to have the drive here to defend their title as most of the talent is still there from last year and considering how they are trailing Barcelona for the La Liga title this year, they will definitely be focused on this competition to try and win a trophy if they cannot catch Barcelona for the league title. Real Madrid is one of the best teams left in the tournament and they are being flat out disrespected at a price like this with the squad they have compared to some other teams still left. There is a lot of value in Real Madrid here. Napoli +1000: Napoli is coming in as the next favorite to win this competition and they are pretty much the last team on the board with a real chance of making a deep run and winning it all. Napoli has been having a great year out of nowhere as they were not expected to be as good as they have been yet they are just running away with the Serie A title in Italy. It is very likely that they go on to win it with the double digit lead in points they have over 2nd place and that will leave them an opportunity to focus on these Champions League matches and make a deep run in the tournament. Napoli has a lot of good talent on their team that has been breaking out this year as a collective group so it is very likely that they will end up selling some of this talent in the summer which gives them a very small window to go and win any trophy they can get their hands on. It would be the perfect scenario for them if they sold their players after winning the Serie A title and the Champions League title so they will be extremely focused on this competition as this is their best chance to win it all and might be for another long while. They have been very good defensively which will be very important as they get deeper in this competition as they do not allow many goals in their matches, but they have also had a very potent attack all year that scores a ton and they have the potential to be a very dangerous team in this competition. Napoli has a real chance to make one big push this year and win as many trophies as they can and they have easily been in the best form this year out of all the teams in Champions League still. There is a lot of value in Napoli to win this competition.  RecommendationsThere are plenty of options to go with when picking a winner here that may look very attractive but in reality there are only a few teams that have the squad along with the right situation this year to make a deep run and win this entire tournament. Man City and PSG do have some value considering their squads but they are also more risky options compared to some of these other teams. The 2 best teams to choose here to win the entire competition would be Real Madrid and Napoli as they both have a ton of value at +1000 and both teams are also playing very well this year with the right situations around them to succeed deep in this tournament. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB Previews and Odds - 02/07/2023

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Feb 07, 2023

The Tuesday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, and NCAAB.The National Basketball Association has six games on its docket. The New York Knicks travel to Orlando to play the Magic at 7:10 PM ET as a 2-point road favorite with the total set at 227 (all odds from DraftKings). Two NBA games tip off at 7:30 PM ET. The Phoenix Suns play at Brooklyn on TNT as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 226. The New Orleans Pelicans host the Chicago Bulls at 8:10 PM ET as a 7.5-point favorite. The Denver Nuggets play at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves at 9:10 PM ET as an 8-point favorite with a total of 236. The Los Angeles Lakers are at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder on TNT at 10 PM ET as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 237.5. The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. Two NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The Colorado Avalanche visit Pittsburgh to play the Penguins, with both teams priced at -110 with a total of 6.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning host the San Jose Sharks as a -295 money line favorite with an over/under 6.5. Two NHL games start at 7:37 PM ET. The Edmonton Oilers play in Detroit against the Red Wings as a -170 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Seattle Kraken is in New York to play the Islanders, with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 5.5. The Nashville Predators are at home against the Vegas Golden Knights at 8:07 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Chicago Blackhawks host the Anaheim Ducks at 8:37 PM ET as a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The college basketball schedule has seven games on national television. UConn plays at home against Marquette on FS1 at 6:30 PM ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 147.5. Four more NCAAB games on national television begin at 7 PM ET. North Carolina is at Wake Forest on ESPN as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 153. Texas A&M hosts Auburn on ESPN2 as a 3-point favorite with a total of 140.5. VCU plays at home against Dayton on the CBS Sports Network as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 129. UNC-Greensboro is at home against East Tennessee State on ESPNU as a 10-point favorite with a total of 128. Butler hosts St. John’s on FS1 at 8:30 PM ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 144.5. Four more NCAAB games on national television at 9 PM ET. Kansas State hosts TCU on ESPNU as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 147.5. Michigan State plays at home against Maryland on ESPN2 as a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 131.5. Kentucky is at home against Arkansas on ESPN as a 5-point favorite with a total of 139.5. Saint Louis hosts Rhode Island on the CBS Sports Network as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 142.5. New Mexico plays at home against Nevada on FS1 at 10:30 PM ET as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 148.

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Super Bowl Betting Trends - 1981 to 2022

by Al McMordie

Monday, Feb 06, 2023

Super Bowl LVII is a fascinating match-up between coach Andy Reid's current team (Kansas City Chiefs) and his former team (Philadelphia Eagles).  The Eagles have been installed as a 1.5-point favorite, with a total of 50.5 (all odds from BetMGM).Let's take a look at some historical trends.Dating back to 1981, there have been 42 Super Bowls.The underdogs have gone 23-17-2 ATS, including 2-3 at less than 3 points.And there have been 23 Overs against 19 Unders, including 3-2 Over in games with totals in the 49 to 52-point range.There have been 27 meetings between teams that played earlier in the current season, or in the previous season.The revenge-minded team (here, Philadelphia) has gone 15-12 SU and 16-10-1 ATS.  When the revenger did not cover the spread in the previous meeting, it has gone 8-11 SU and 9-9-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.  But if it covered the spread in the previous meeting, it's gone 7-1 SU/ATS in the Super Bowl (Philly did not cover the point spread in last season's loss to Kansas City).With regard to rematches from the current or former season, the Super Bowls have gone Under six of 12 times when the previous meeting went Over the total.  When the previous match-up went Under the total, the Super Bowl has gone Over the total in eight of 15.There have been 19 games that involved two teams that earned a Bye to start the Playoffs.  Eleven of those 19 games have gone Over the total.  The favorite covered the spread 50% of the time in those games (9-9-1 ATS), including 5-2 ATS when favored by 3 points or less.The team which averaged more points on offense has gone 19-23 SU and 15-25-2 ATS, while the team which gave up less points on defense has gone 28-14 SU and 22-18-2 ATS.  With respect to Super Bowl 57, the Eagles have given up less points on defense than have the Chiefs, while the two teams have scored exactly the same number of points on the season.The team with the better win percentage has gone 18-18 SU and 13-21-2 ATS, including 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS when it was off an ATS loss.The team with the better ATS win percentage (here, Philadelphia) has gone 24-14 SU and 23-13-2 ATS, including 10-3 SU/ATS when the Super Bowl was competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less.I am wrapping up my 11th straight winning NFL season, and have released a Totals play in this game, as I look to stay red-hot (currently 21-1-2 my last 24 selections, as of this writing).  Don't miss my NFL Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 02/06/2023

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Feb 06, 2023

The Monday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, and NCAAB.The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Boston Celtics travel to Detroit to play the Pistons as an 11-point road favorite, with the total set at 229.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Cleveland Cavaliers play in Washington against the Wizards as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 221. The Los Angeles Clippers are in Brooklyn to play the Nets at 7:40 PM ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 218.5. Two NBA games start at 8:10 PM ET. The Chicago Bulls host the San Antonio Spurs as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 237. The Sacramento Kings play in Houston against the Rockets as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 234.5. The Utah Jazz are at home against the Dallas Mavericks at 9:10 PM ET as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 221. Two more games complete the NBA card at 10:10 PM ET. The Golden State Warriors host the Oklahoma City Thunder as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 237. The Milwaukee Bucks play in Portland against the Trail Blazers as a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 239.5. The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. Two NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The New York Islanders visit Philadelphia to play the Flyers as a -130 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning play in Florida against the Panthers as a -125 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two more NHL games begin at 7:37 PM ET. The New York Rangers are at home against the Calgary Flames as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The New Jersey Devils host the Vancouver Canucks as a -245 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Dallas Stars play at home against the Anaheim Ducks at 8:37 PM ET as a -365 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Minnesota Wild are in Arizona to play the Coyotes at 9:07 PM ET as a -225 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The college basketball schedule has seven games on national television. Two NCAAB games on national television tip-off at 7 PM ET. Lafayette plays at Holy Cross on the CBS Sports Network as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 125. Miami (FL) is at home against Duke on ESPN as a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 146. The Hurricanes won for the third time in their last four games with a 78-74 upset victory at Clemson as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Blue Devils won for the third straight-time with their 63-57 victory against North Carolina as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Two NCAAB games on national television start at 9 PM ET. Texas Southern hosts Bethune Cookman on ESPNU at 9 PM ET as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 143.5. Kansas plays at home against Texas on ESPN. The Jayhawks lost for the fourth time in their last six games in a 68-53 defeat at Iowa State as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Longhorns won for the fourth time in their last five games with a 69-66 victory at Kansas State as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. Kansas is a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 143.5. Weber State travels to Northern Colorado on ESPNU at 11 PM ET. The Wildcats won for the fourth time in their last five games with a 72-71 victory at Idaho State as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. The Bears are on a three-game losing streak after their 75-62 loss at Montana State as an 11.5-point underdog on Saturday. Weber State is a 1-point road favorite with a total of 142.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 02/05/2023

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Feb 05, 2023

The Sunday sports card features action in the NBA, NCAAB, and EPL. The National Hockey League continues its All-Star Game break.The National Basketball Association has six games on its docket. The Charlotte Hornets host the Orlando Magic at 1:10 PM ET as a 1-point favorite (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to Indiana to play the Pacers at 5:10 pm et as a 4.5-point road favorite with the total set at 225.5. Two more NBA games tip off at 6:10 PM ET. The Memphis Grizzlies play at home against the Toronto Raptors as a 4.5-point favorite.The New York Knicks are at home against the Philadelphia 76ers on ESPN at 6:10 PM ET. The 76ers won for the ninth time in their last ten games in a 137-125 victory at San Antonio as a 10-point favorite on Friday. The Knicks lost for the third time in their last four games in a 134-128 loss in overtime to the Los Angeles Clippers as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. Philadelphia is a 5.5-point road favorite. Two games complete the NBA card at 7:10 PM ET. The Denver Nuggets visit Minnesota to play the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans host the Sacramento Kings as a 2-point favorite. The college basketball schedule has seven games on national television. Three NCAAB games on national television start at noon ET. Saint Joseph's plays at home against  LaSalle on ESPNU as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 141.5. Richmond is at home against Fordham on the USA Network as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 135.5. Seton Hall hosts DePaul on FS1 at noon ET. The Pirates won for the sixth time in their last seven games with an 84-72 victory at St. John's as a 2-point favorite on Wednesday. The Blue Demons lost their fourth straight game in a 90-76 loss to UConn as an 11-point underdog on Tuesday. Seton Hall is an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 138.5.Michigan plays at home against Ohio State on CBS at 1 PM ET. The Wolverines ended a two-game losing streak with a 68-51 upset victory at Northwestern as a 3.5-point underdog on Thursday. The Buckeyes lost for the eighth time in their last nine games in a 65-60 upset loss to Wisconsin as a 7.5-point favorite on Thursday. Michigan is a 4-point favorite with a total of 143.5. Two NCAAB games on national television start at 6 PM ET. Houston is at Temple on ESPN2 as an 11-point road favorite with an over/under of 131.5. Utah hosts California on ESPNU as a 16-point favorite with a total of 127.5.Colorado plays at home against Stanford on FS1 at 7 PM ET. The Buffaloes ended a two-game losing streak with a 59-46 victory against California as a 15.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Cardinal are on a five-game winning streak after their 78-72 victory at Utah as a 6-point underdog on Thursday. Colorado is a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 135.5. Matchweek 22 in the English Premier League continues with two matches. Leeds United plays at Nottingham Forest on the USA Network at 9 AM ET in a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Manchester City is at Tottenham on NBC at 11:30 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 3. 

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