Articles

The Masters Tournament: 2020 Preview

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2020

For the first time in the 84 editions of the Masters Tournament, the event will take place in November. The Azalea flowers will not be in bloom, yet the weather will be similar to the traditional early April weekend in Augusta, Georgia, with temperatures expected to be in the high-70s. The raining this week in Augusta is likely to continue through Thursday's opening round and perhaps into the weekend. Given COVID-restrictions, there will not be any patrons watching the event at the Augusta National Golf Course. The favorite this week is Bryson DeChambeau at +650 odds to put on the green jacket on Sunday (all odds from BookMaker). DeChambeau was the best player on the PGA Tour after the restart this summer with seven straight top-eight finishes that culminated with a victory at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in early July. DeChambeau finished tied for 4th place at the PGA Championship before a disappointing 22nd place that Tour Championship the next month in September. However, DeChambeau fulfilled his vast potential two weeks later by winning the U.S. Open with his 6-under par score that dominated a field where no other golfer finished with a score in the red. DeChambeau plans to use his extraordinary driving power to slam through this challenging course to set up short approach shots. However, Augusta National will present the ultimate challenge for this strategy, given its idiosyncrasies on the fairways and greens. The Masters has been a tournament that rewards course experience. DeChambeau has only shot three of his twelve career rounds at Augusta under par. Dustin Johnson is the second favorite at +750 odds. Johnson followed up his tie for second place at the PGA Championship by winning the Tour Championship. Johnson then finished tied for 6th place at the U.S. Open at Winged Foot Golf Club. Johnson then dealt with the COVID diagnosis that kept him out a month, but he returned last week with a tie for second place at the Houston Open. Johnson has finished in the top-ten in four of his previous five Masters, including a tie for second place last year. Rory McIlroy is the third favorite at +850 odds in his sixth attempt to earn a career grand slam. In 11 trips to Augusta, McIlroy has five top-ten finishes with another four top-25 results. Since becoming a father, McIroy has not finished below 21st place. Yet McIlroy has not placed in the top-five in 12 straight events, including a tie for 8th place at the Tour Championship and a tie for 8th place at the U.S. Open. McIlroy finished tied for 17th place two weeks ago at Sherwood. Jon Rahm has +1176 odds to win this week. He comes into this tournament off a tie for second place two weeks ago at the Zozo Championship at Sherwood. After winning the Memorial this summer, Rahm finished tied for 13th place at the PGA Championship before a fourth-place result at the Tour Championship. Rahm then settled for a disappointing 23rd place at the U.S. Open.  At a practice round, Rahm celebrated his 26th birthday on Tuesday by hitting, perhaps, the most remarkable hole-in-one ever, by skipping the ball along the water in front of the 16th green before it rolled into the hole.  Over the last year, Rahm has six victories along with another five second-place finishes since his tie for ninth place at the Masters last year. Justin Thomas rounds out the top-five favorites at +1176 odds. Thomas has improved his score in each of his five trips to Augusta. His last three rounds at the Masters in the 60s. Thomas concluded the 2019-20 season with a tie for second place at the Tour Championship. He then finished in a tie for 8th place at the U.S. Open before off a tie for second place with Rahm at the Zozo Championship two weeks ago. Tiger Woods has +3253 odds as the defending champion to win his sixth Masters championship. It has been a long time since Woods’ triumphant victory in April of 2019. Woods’ best efforts since then was a top-ten finish last January at Torrey Pines and a tie for 37th place at the PGA Championship in August. The tournament tees off at 7 AM ET on Thursday. ESPN and CBS will split the broadcast. ESPN provides live coverage from 1-5:30 PM ET on Thursday and Friday. CBS broadcasts from 1-5 PM ET on Saturday and then 10 AM-3 PM ET on Sunday. 

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Ness Notes: Wednesday, Nov 11

by Larry Ness

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2020

This column will be available Monday through Friday (posted no later than 1:00 ET), EXCLUSIVELY at BigAl.com. I like to call it my daily 'random thoughts' on the sports betting world, although I'll pass along that my therapist refers to it as "thoughtful commentary."A three-game MACtion card opened the new CFB week on Tuesday. All three favorites won, going 2-1 ATS. Ohio didn't come close to covering in its unimpressive 24-10 win over Akron, as the Bobcats were favored by about four TDs. Ohio was outgained 435-to-307 yards by Akron but survived by winning the TO 'battle' 3-0. The Zips lost their 19th straight game, with their last win coming 17-10 at home against Central Michigan on Oct 27, 2018. Kent moved to 2-0 with a 62-24 road win over Bowling Green (0-2), outgaining the Falcons 667-365 in yards The Golden Flashes passed for yards (five TDs) and ran for 295 yards. Buffalo never 'broke a sweat' at home against defending MAC champion Miami-Ohio, routing the RedHawks 42-10. The Bulls had 556 yards (353 yards passing and four TDs from QB Vantrease and 203 yards rushing), while Miami had just 258 yards.MACtion Part 2 is Wednesday, with three more games. Eastern Michigan is at Ball St in a matchup of 0-1 teams (). 1-0 Central Michigan won the West last season and looks to move to 2-0 by winning at 0-1 Northern Illinois, where the Chippewas are favored by . The "game of the week" in the MAC is Toledo at Western Michigan. Both have opened 1-0 and the winner obviously moves to 2-0 and in a six-game schedule, would also give them a tiebreaker edge (Broncos are favored). Getting back to Central Michigan, beating Northern Illinois is a "must win," as the Chippewas would be tied at 2-0 with the Toledo/Western Michigan winner. Central Michigan hosts Western Michigan next Wednesday and plays at Toledo on Dec 12 in its regular season finale. ALL games during a six-game regular season matter GREATLY for MAC teams in the division 'hunt.'The first set of College Football Playoff rankings won't be released until Nov 24 and an emerging trend could have the committee asking themselves the following question. How do undefeated Independent and Group of 5 teams fit into the 2020 playoff hunt? Entering the current week, excluding conferences that have played just one game (Pac-12 and MAC), there are 13 remaining unbeaten teams in the FBS (I'm also not counting No. 14 Wisconsin, which has played just one game). The list includes Power-5 schools like No. 1 Alabama (6-0), No. 2 Notre Dame (a traditional Independent playing in the ACC for the 2020 season) and No. 3 Ohio State (3-0), but also Big Ten 'surprises' like No. 10 Indiana (3-0), No. 23 Northwestern (3-0) and unranked Purdue (2-0). The Wildcats and Boilermakers play next week and the Buckeyes and Hoosiers play on Nov. 21. That's six unbeaten schools but that number will be down to four after the above-mentioned Big Ten matchups the next two weeks (Wisconsin could also be 'alive'). However, the other SEVEN unbeaten schools are either Independents or in the Group of 5. That list includes No. 7 Cincinnati (6-0), No. 8 BYU (8-0), No. 15 Coastal Carolina (7-0), No. 16 Marshall (6-0), No. 22 Liberty (7-0), Nevada (3-0) and San Jose State (3-0). 8-0 BYU and 7-0 Liberty are both Independents and both could finish undefeated. However, the Cougars have by far the best chance, as they will be heavily favored in their last two games against North Alabama and San Diego State. Liberty plays at 7-0 Coastal Carolina (Sun Belt) in its regular-season finale on Dec. 12 plus also must play at NC State on Nov 21. I question BYU's strength of schedule and have to believe that the AAC's Cincinnati (ranked 7th) has the best chance at a breakthrough. The Bearcats are scoring 39.3 PPG and allowing just 11.7 PPG. Cincy has beaten Army 24-10 (Army was ranked 22nd at the time and is 6-1 on the season) plus crushed SMU on the road, 42-13. The Mustangs are 7-1 and currently ranked 19th. The Bearcats get 1-5 East Carolina this Saturday but then play three straight on the road, including at UCF, a team averaging 45.0 PPG. The Bearcats will likely have to "run the table" (which would include winning the AAC championship game), to have ANY chance to crack the 'Final Four.'All eyes will turn to that first CFP ranking on Nov 24. The committee has historically kept the top-ranked Group of 5 teams (and Independents not named Notre Dame) too far down the rankings in the initial set. In fact, over each of the last six years, the highest a Group of 5 team has been ranked in the initial standings was UCF's 7-0 team of 2018 at No. 12. The year before, UCF's 7-0 team checked in at No. 18 and an 8-0 Memphis team was ranked 13th back in 2015. However, it's a L-O-N-G way from 12 or 13 to that Final 4.Thursday's Notes will review MACtion from Wednesday, preview the start of NFL Week 10 with the AFC South showdown between the 5-3 Colts and 6-2 Titans plus take a long look at the upcoming SCFB weekend.Good luck...Larry

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NCAA Wednesday Night Football: Toledo/Western Michigan Preview

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2020

Midweek Mid-American Conference action continues on Wednesday with a rivalry game between MAC West division powers on ESPN at 8 PM ET.Toledo began their season last Wednesday with a 38-3 win at home over Bowling Green as a 24-point favorite. Senior Eli Peters answered some questions about the quarterback position by completing 20 of his 32 passes for 214 yards with four touchdown passes and no interceptions. That was Peters’ eleventh career start in the last three seasons after he played in five games last year where passed for 828 yards with five touchdowns splitting time with the now-graduated Mitchell Guadagni. The Rockets finished 6-6 last season, but they were the only bowl-eligible team in the FBS with at least six victories that did to get invited to a bowl game. The last time Toledo did not play in a postseason bowl game was 2013. After a 4-1 start, the Rockets only won two of their final seven games, with those victories eked out after one opponent missed a late field goal and the other foe missing a late two-point conversion attempt. Head coach Jason Candle cleaned house in the offseason preparing for his fifth-year with the program by hiring Mike Hallett and Robert Weiner as his new co-offensive coordinators along with Vince Kehres as his new defensive coordinator. Toledo returned four starters for this new coaching staff. The offense has eight starters back, including junior running back Bryant Koback, who rushed for 74 yards. Senior running back Shakif Seymour added to his 2008 career rushing yards with the program by adding another 93 yards on the ground. Led by this duo, the Rockets averaged 224.5 rushing yards-per-game last season. The Toledo defense limited the Falcons to just 267 yards. Seven starters are back from the unit that was 123rd in the nation by allowing 475.3 total yards-per-game. With a new coordinator along with four of the six tacklers returned from last year, hopes are high that the Rockets will be much better on that side of the football.Western Michigan began their season last Wednesday with a 58-13 win at Akron as a 19.5-point favorite. Sophomore Kaleb Eleby made his debut with the Broncos as their starting quarterback by completing 12 of 16 passes for 262 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions. Eleby played in five games in 2018, including against the Rockets, where he passed for 293 yards. He redshirted last year with Jon Wassink embarking on his Mid-American Conference Offensive Player of the Year senior season under center. Head coach Tim Lester led Western Michigan to their sixth straight bowl-eligible season last year. The Broncos’ 23-20 loss to Western Kentucky in the First Responder Bowl ended their season with a 7-6 record. Eleven starters returned from that group. Western Michigan held the Zips to only 256 total yards last week, but their ability to stop the run is a concern for this contest. The Broncos gave up 130 rushing yards to an Akron offense that averaged only 47.6 rushing yards-per-game last year. Western Michigan did register seven tackles-for-loss against the Zips. Toledo won the meeting between these two teams last season at home in the Glass Bowl with their 31-24 victory as a 1.5-point favorite on October 5th. BookMaker lists Western Michigan as a 2-point home favorite with the total set at 58. ESPN has the broadcast at 8 PM ET.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAA Football Preview

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2020

The Wednesday sports card features another three college football games in the Mid-American Conference.Eastern Michigan travels to Ball State for a game starting at 7 PM ET. The Eagles lost their opening contest at Kent State by a 27-23 score as a 4.5-point underdog last Wednesday. Junior Preston Hutchinson completed 21 of 35 passes for 241 yards with two touchdown passes and two interceptions while adding another rushing touchdown. Eastern Michigan returned 11 starters from the team last year that finished 6-7 after a 34-30 loss to Pittsburgh in the Quick Lane Bowl. Head coach Chris Creighton is in his seventh season with the program.The Cardinals lost by a 38-31 score last Wednesday at Miami (OH) as a 1-point favorite. Senior Drew Plitt completed 19 of 32 passes for 309 yards with a touchdown pass and an interception in the losing effort. Ball State has 14 starters back from its team that finished 5-7. Fifth-year head coach Mike Neu was given a two-year extension through 2023 after leading the Cardinals to their most victories since 2014.Ball State is a 9-point favorite with the total set at 61.5 (all odds from BetAnySports). The CBS Sports Network has the broadcast.Western Michigan hosts Toledo at 8 PM ET. The Broncos blew out Akron on the road last Wednesday by a 58-14 score as a 19.5-point favorite. Sophomore quarterback Kaleb Eleby completed 12 of 16 passes for 262 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions in leading his team to victory. Western Michigan has 11 starters back from the team that lost to Western Kentucky in the First Responder Bowl by a 23-20 score to settle with a 7-6 record. Head coach Tim Lester is back for his fourth season with the program. Toledo looks to builds off a 38-3 victory over Bowling Green last Wednesday as a 24-point favorite. Senior quarterback Eli Peters completed 20 of 32 passes for 214 yards with four touchdown passes and another 67 rushing yards on the ground. The Rockets have 14 starters back for head coach Jason Candle’s fifth season with the team from the group last year that did not get invited to a bowl game after a 6-6 season.Western Michigan is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 58.5. ESPN has the broadcast.Central Michigan travels to Northern Illinois for a game starting at 8 PM ET. The Chippewas upset Ohio at home last Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog by a 30-27 score. Redshirt freshman quarterback Daniel Richardson completed 23 of 41 passes for 243 yards with a touchdown pass in leading his team to victory. Central Michigan has 13 starters back in head coach Jim McElwain’s second year with the program. The Chippewas reached the Mid-American Conference championship game last year, where they lost to Miami (OH) by a 26-21 score. After their defeat to San Diego State by a 48-11 score in the New Mexico Bowl, Central Michigan settled with an 8-6 record. Northern Illinois comes off a 49-30 loss at home to Buffalo last Wednesday as a 14.5-point underdog. Sixth-year senior quarterback Ross Bowers completed 17 of 28 passes for 202 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the losing effort. Not only did the Bulls return that interception for a 65-yard touchdown, but their defense scored another two touchdowns from fumble recoveries. The Huskies have ten starters back from the team that finished with a 5-7 record in Thomas Hammock’s second year coaching the team. The Chippewas are 7.5-point road favorites with a total of 58.5. ESPNU has the broadcast.

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What does "PK" Mean in Betting?

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2020

What does PK mean in betting? PK is short for pick'em, pk’em, or pick.  Pk'em happens when both teams are graded by the oddsmakers to be even in strength --  there's no clear favorite.  Let's take an NFL betting line, for example.  The New York Jets might host the New England Patriots, and the line could be pk’em.  In this case, the winner of the game, straight-up, would cover the spread.  It doesn't happen too often.  In fact, in the NFL’s 9944 games from 1980 to 2019, there were only 114 pk'em lines (1.14 percent).But to answer what pk'em means, appropriately, we should zoom in on point spread betting, in general.  Some of you might be overwhelmed with the previous terms, and might find it hard to get started with sports betting.  We're assuming here that you're aware of the very basics, and thus can place a moneyline wager.  However, the next step in your wagering career is the point spread bet.  When you master the point spread bet, you'll be able to become a real handicapper and attain great profits. How to get started with point spread betting When you're into the NFL or the NBA, it's a wise decision to get familiar with point spread bets.  It's by far the most popular form of betting.  Anyone who’s been around the sports betting industry for a while enjoys point spreads.  Here, we're going beyond betting on which team will win the game.  Instead, we have to determine what is the likely margin of victory, so a lot of factors need to be considered to arrive at an informed decision.Since you usually have a clear favorite and a clear underdog in any matchup, the point spread was created by Charles McNeil (an ex-math teacher-turned-bookmaker) before World War II as a means to level the playing field, and induce more money to be wagered on the games.  Instead of wagering on which team wins, you're wagering on the margin of victory.  Both teams have a set number of points which will be added to, or subtracted from their final score to determine the game’s point spread winner.  When we dive into the numbers, everything will become more evident.Reading betting odds and understanding the point spread payoutThe best way to illustrate the way point spreads work is to use an example.  We'll use a quick example of an NBA match between the San Antonio Spurs and the Los Angeles Lakers.  It's an exciting match with the Spurs being the favored team.  The bookmaker assigns points to both teams, giving the bettors the following betting lines: San Antonio Spurs -7.5 (-110) Los Angeles Lakers +7.5 (-110) The first thing you'll notice is the fact that there are two different numbers alongside each team.  The first indicates the number of points which will be added to, or subtracted from a team’s final score to determine the winning ticket.  In this example, the Spurs are the favorite, and need to win the game by more than 7.5 points to cover the spread.  The Lakers, on the other hand, are the underdog, and would have to win outright, or not lose by more than 7.5 points, to cover the point spread.The second number alongside each team are the betting odds.  You'll find these associated with any wager type.  But unlike a moneyline wager, they are much closer to each other in a point spread bet.  When you would bet straight-up on the Spurs to win the game, your odds might be -340, meaning you need to wager $340 to win $100.  That's a lot of money to risk for many bettors, so a point spread might be a better alternative.  To win $100 on the Spurs at -7.5, you need to wager $110.  For the Lakers at +7.5, you would also have to wager $110 to win $100.  Most sportsbooks have standard -110 odds for football and basketball games.  But some, like our #1-rated sportsbook, BetAnySports, offer reduced juice, which is a huge benefit for gamblers.  Then, the two teams in a football or basketball game would have odds of just -105.Half-pointsAs you can see in the example above, the point spread numbers carry a half-point rather than a round number.  Bookies came up with this to more easily balance their books, so they can have equal action on both sides, and earn their vigorish with less risk.  Additionally, half-numbers remove the possibility of a bet resulting in a push, which could always happen if the point spread is a whole number (like +/- 7).  When a wager ends in a tie, bettors get a refund of their stake, as no team covers the spread.  In those games, the bookmakers don’t earn any vigorish.Run lines and puck linesWe're continually talking about the NFL and the NBA.  The reason for this is because football and basketball are the most popular sports for the point spread bet.  Nevertheless, you can bet against the spread in hockey, baseball and soccer, as well -- but because there is a lot less scoring, most bettors in those sports still favor betting on the moneyline.  Of course, because there’s a lot less scoring, it's also harder for oddsmakers to come up with competitive spreads.  The bookies have solved for this problem by generally fixing the run-line (MLB), puck-line (NHL) or goal-line (soccer) to be +/- 1.5, and adjusting the moneyline from there.  This allows bettors to wager on baseball, hockey and soccer without having to deal with games of -200 (or higher) odds. How to use point spreads in your sports betting strategy As you can see, with a little research, and a little experience, point spread betting can be easily mastered.  It's the most popular form of wagering for a reason.  Now, with anything popular, there comes a lot of competition.  In sports betting, though, it’s all up to you.  Of course, you're betting against the house, but every bettor has the opportunity to do as much research as he wants to gain an edge.  We've been at this for a long time, and have gained tons of experience over the years.  Indeed, even though we’ve been doing this longer than most of our clients are alive, we still learn new things every sport season.  To give you a headstart over other bettors, we're sharing some of these lessons with you.Use line movement to your advantageThe moment a sportsbook publishes the betting lines for any matchup, bettors can start wagering.  Bear in mind that not every sportsbook will publish its initial odds at the same time.  Some, like BetOnline, BetAnySports, or BookMaker, are extremely early in their publication, while others will come to market later, after the early odds have been bet into, and settled a bit.  Sharp bettors will have accounts at many of the early books.  That means you don’t have to wait to start wagering.  If you notice a soft line, you can get down before it moves.  Remember, you always need to have accounts at multiple sportsbooks to shop the lines, to get down at the best numbers.  Moreover, if you get down early, you may set yourself up for an opportunity to hedge your bet and/or middle a game later, should there be a major line move.Once a betting market opens on a particular game, you will notice that the spread numbers change over time.  Let's imagine a sportsbook opens up its wagers on Sunday night for the following week with the following lines: San Francisco 49ers -5.5 (-115) Denver Broncos +5.5 (-105) Over the following days, thousands of sports bettors will start to place their wagers favoring one team or the other.  Additionally, there’s always the chance that an essential player for either team could have his playing status changed.  Thus, the lines will move in concert with any of these factors.  By Thursday the lines could look like this: San Francisco 49ers -3.5 (-115) Denver Broncos +3.5 (-105) As you can see, the spread numbers have moved significantly -- by a full two points.  To use this line movement to your advantage, you need to be on top of things.  And that’s because the only way to be able to take advantage of it would be if you happened to bet on the Denver Broncos at +5.5.  But that’s what sharp bettors do.  They understand value, so they’ll get the best number more often than not.  And they also follow the injury reports for all the key players so they will know whether or not to bet early, or wait for possibly a better number later.Take your research seriously and gain experienceTo become better at handicapping, you need to combine two factors:  knowledge and experience.  Over time, you'll notice what works for you, and what makes an effective sports betting strategy in your case.  We can't stress enough how important it is to do the research necessary for any matchup to make a proper decision.  We know emotions and excitement might get the better of you, but we'll give you a few factors to consider when starting your research: Home field advantage:  Playing in your own trusted environment is always a nice feeling, but it's no guarantee for success.  Some teams will have a bigger advantage from playing at home than others.  Still, oddsmakers assign a variable number of points based on the home field advantage.  If your estimate of a team’s home field is different (and more accurate) than the oddsmaker’s, you can use this to your advantage! Statistics:  This is a broad term, and it differs for every sport.  But it's important to know what you want to search for.  In football, you'll be looking at yards per play, points per yard, red zone success, and turnover differential as a couple of examples of statistics.  With basketball, you're looking at 3-point shooting percentage, rebound success, turnovers, pace of play, and efficiency rating.  Every sport has different statistics, but the more you take in, the better you can make a decision.  Besides that, always look at the most recent form of both teams.  A team could be mired in a losing streak, or on a red-hot roll.  But beware:  oftentimes, teams playing exceptionally well run into a proverbial brick wall, and lose! Power rankings: ​​​​ Many sports betting websites offer insights on each team and rank them based on their statistics.  These “power rankings” are very useful as a base from which you can do research and adjust the numbers accordingly.Ask for the help of a professionalSome people are sports fanatics.  They have been going to the stadium since they were little and can easily talk, eat, and dream sports every day.  Others aren’t rabid sports fans, but are in the sports betting industry to make money.  If you are one of those who only want to win money, it might be hard to put in the long hours to do research.  You want the excitement of placing wagers and betting, but you don't want to deal with the hard work.  Then, a viable option would be to hire a professional.There are many professional handicappers with a proven track record dating back years that offer their services to the betting public.  Generally, you'll be able to try their services by using some free picks before you make a purchase.  Buying picks is not for everyone.  If you prefer to gamble purely for entertainment, then that's your way to go.  However, if you want to make serious cash through sports betting, it's often a smart choice to find an excellent handicapper to provide you with expert advice!The world of online sports gambling is an exciting arena that surprises you every day.  With the right strategies, nothing will hold you back from earning big profits, and enjoying a cocktail in the Bahamas.  Enjoy yourself, and always remember to have fun along the way!

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Ness Notes: Tuesday, Nov 10

by Larry Ness

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2020

This column will be available Monday through Friday (posted no later than 1:00 ET), EXCLUSIVELY at BigAl.com. I like to call it my daily 'random thoughts' on the sports betting world, although I'll pass along that my therapist refers to it as "thoughtful commentary."Eights were wild in Week 9's MNF contest between the New England Patriots and the NY Jets. The Pats had won EIGHT consecutive meetings against the New York Jets, while the Jets had lost all EIGHT of their games this season. The Jets had mustered a league-low 94 points this season, 39 fewer than the next-closest team (Washington had played one fewer game) entering Week 9. They had only scored two TDs in their last four games and ranked last in total offense (259.0 YPG), last in passing (155.9 YPG) and last in third-down conversions (28.3 percent). However, the Jets took a 20-10 halftime lead, with their 20 points being more than the team had scored in SEVEN of its previous eight full games. Then, unfortunately for Jet fans, came the fourth quarter. The Pats trailed 27-17 but would score the game's final 13 points, with Nick Folk's 51 yard FG accounting for the game-winner on the contest's final play. Flacco had his best game as a Jet (262 passing yards with three TDs and one INT) but the Jets were outgained 433-to-322 in yards and 30-18 in FDs. The much-maligned Can Newton completed 27 of 35 for 274 yards and while he did not have a TD pass, he did not turn the ball over (Pats had zero for the game as a team). Newton ran for two TDs, as the Pats had 159 yards rushing to the Jets' 59. The Pats snapped their four-game slide and yes, the Jets remain the lone winless team in the NFL at 0-9 but they did easily cover.Week 9 was good to home dogs, which were just 1-4 SU but 4-1 ATS. However, home teams finished just 5-9 SU but led by those home dogs, managed to go 7-7 ATS. Checking in on the Y-T-D numbers, home teams fell below .500 at 65-67-1 (.492) on the season while going 60-71-2 ATS (45.8%). Home dogs are well below .500 at 12-33 (.267) SU but are a small money-maker in going 24-19-2 (55.8%) ATS. Scoring was robust, as games averaged 52.9 PPG, resulting in nine overs, four unders and one push. There have now been 69 overs, 60 unders and four pushes after nine weeks. Week 10 will kick off on Thursday, as the 5-3 Indianapolis Colts are in Nashville to take on the 6-2 Tennessee Titans in an AFC clash.Week 9 highlights: The Jets entered Week 9 as the NFL's lone winless team and despite their easy ATS win, will enter Week 10 at 0-9. In a somewhat similar situation, the Cowboys entered Week 9 at 2-6 but as the league's lone winless ATS team. Dallas' opponent was the NFL's lone unbeaten team, the 7-0 Pittsburgh Steelers (6-1 ATS). Similar to what the Jets did last night vs the Pats, the Cowboys took a 10-point lead into the 4th quarter (19-9) and just like the Jets, the Cowboys allowed the game's final 15 points in a 24-19 loss. However, as a 14-point home dog, Dallas earned its first ATS win of 2020. How 'bout dem Cowboys! Pittsburgh is 8-0 and its closest competitor for the NFL's best record is the defending champion KC Chiefs. Mahomes had four more TD passes (zero INTs), giving him 25 TDs and just one INT on the season (115.9 QB rating). However, the KC running game produced just 30 yards (2.5 YPC) and the defense allowed Carolina 435 yards. KC scored 33 points and when Carolina's 67-yard game-winning FG attempt was long enough but wide-right, the Chiefs held on for a two-point win.The SNF contest set up as a "classic," with Brees and Brady squaring off for the second time this season. However, it quickly turned into a R-O-U-T, as the Saints took over first place in the NFC South with a 38-3 win. New Orleans led 31-0 at the half and Tampa Bay's ONLY score came when the Bucs decided to kick a meaningless FG with just under 6:00 minutes to go (trailing 38-0), just to avoid a shutout (kind of sad). Brees was 26 of 32 for 222 yards with four TDs and zero INTs, while Brady threw for just 209 yards, was intercepted three times and sacked three times. FIVE of Brady's seven INTs in 2020 have come in the team's two losses to the Saints, as he owns an 18-2 ratio in Tampa Bay's other seven contests, in which the Bucs are 6-1.Seattle took its 6-1 record into Buffalo against the 6-2 Bills and neither team could run the ball, as Seattle had 57 yards on the ground (3.4 YPC) and Buffalo 34 (1.8 YPC). So it came down to a mano-a-mano showdown between QBs Russell Wilson and Josh Allen. Allen was the clear winner, completing 31 of 38 for 415 yards with three TDs and no INTs (138.5 QB rating). Wilson threw for 390 yards but had as many INTs (2) as TD passes (2). It was Tua vs Kyler in Phoenix and both played great. Tua moved to 2-0 as an NFL starter as the Dolphins scored the game's final 10 points (a familiar theme in Week 9) for a 34-31 win. Tua completed 20 of 28 for 248 yards with two TDs and no INTs (122.3 QB rating) plus added 35 rushing yards. However, Kyler outperformed him, completing 21 of 26 for 283 yards with three TDs and no INTs (150.5 rating) plus ran for 106 yards on 9.6 YPC with a TD.The Ravens outscored the Colts 17-0 in the second half (there's that recurring theme, again) of Baltimore's 24-10 win at Indianapolis. The Ravens are 6-2 but have lost their two biggest games of the season to the Chiefs and Steelers, both at home. QB Lamar Jackson has taken 'the heat' for those losses but with Sunday's win, he matched Dan Marino's 25-5 record as a starting QB to open one's career (in the Super Bowl era). Dan NEVER won a Super Bowl. Will Lamar follow the same path? Working in his favor is the fact that he's just 23 years-old!The new CFB week opens Tuesday night with MACtion, as six MAC schools play three games. 0-1 Akron is at 0-1 Ohio, 1-0 Kent is at 0-1 Bowling Green and 1-0 Miami-Ohio is at 1-0 Buffalo. Ohio is favored by 27 1/2 points, Kent by 20 1/2 and even though Miami won the MAC last season, Buffalo is favored by 9 1/2-points. Wednesday and Thursdays Notes will feature much more on CFB 2020.Good luck...Larry 

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The Masters Preview

by Matt Fargo

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2020

It may be close to seven months later than expected, but the 2020 Masters Tournament is finally upon us. There will be differences from the normal April slot but not enough to make a significant difference where we have to handicap this tournament another way. (By the way, don't miss my 5-Pack of Masters picks -- it's available right now.)  The cutline has been lowered from top 70 and ties, to top 50 and ties which is due to the amount of daylight available. Weather will play a factor as opposed to other years but it should not be significant. Temperatures will be cooler but only about 10 degrees less on average and there is rain in the forecast which could benefit the bombers if conditions become soggy. Augusta National measures 7,475 yards for a par 72, but with rain expected at times throughout the week, it will probably play longer than that. While crushing the ball off the tee might benefit some, ball striking is now a big factor as hitting greens in the right spots can lead to easier putts. Only three times in the last 16 years has the winner finished outside the top 26 in driving accuracy, and only twice have they finished out of the top 10 in greens in regulation. Basically, it is a second shot course which means the approaches are important just to get into position. Hitting an approach shot to the wrong place in some cases means not even being able to go after the pin, whether it be a chip shot or putt. That brings big scores into play so the thought process of shots is just as important as the physical part of the game. Americans dominated here early on with Gary Player being the only non-American to win through the first 43 years and he actually did it three times. Since then, it has been up for grabs as over the last 40 years, Americans have won the green jacket 21 times (nearly half of those by just three players) with the rest of the world not far behind with 19 wins. Past history plays a big part as you will see names near the top that you rarely see in other events as successful players here are usually successful a few times. Tiger Woods looks to become the first golfer in history to win the Masters in back-to-back years twice. The most shocking fact is that the European contingent has struggled at Augusta. Granted, it is a totally different experience but with the huge amount of world class players, a European had not won since 1999 (Jose Maria Olazabal) until when Danny Willett was the surprising winner in 2016 and then Sergio Garcia followed that up with a win in 2017. In total, the green jacket has been given to only eight European players (Nick Faldo 3 times, Jose Maria Olazabal 2 times, Seve Ballesteros 2 times, Bernhard Langer 2 times, Ian Woosnam, Sandy Lyle, Willett and Garcia). How do first time participants fare at Augusta? Not very well as a Masters rookie has not won here since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. There have been numerous close calls along the way but experience, even if it is just a little, has prevailed. Twenty-six participants will be playing the Masters for the first time, including world No. 4 Colin Morikawa and reigning PGA TOUR Rookie of the Year Scottie Scheffler. Three key metrics come into play at Augusta National. Strokes Gained: Total is a huge one considering players with the best all around game are rewarded. Over the last 36 rounds, the top five in this field are Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas and this list should come as no surprise. Next is Strokes Gained: Approach as mentioned before, hitting the right spots is massive. Over the last 36 rounds, the top five in this field are Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Matthew Wolff, Henrik Stenson and Chez Reavie. It should be noted that DeChambeau is No. 71 out of the 93 players in the field. The third important metric is Strokes Gained: Putting on fast bentgrass. Because of the date change, the bentgrass greens went through their hot summer and that type of strain heats up and comes under stress which makes for a slicker surface. Even with rain in the forecast, greens are projected to still run at a 13. Over the last 36 rounds, the top five in this field are Andrew Putnam, Brendon Todd, Patrick Reed, Brandt Snedeker and Jordan Spieth.  Notables: Dustin Johnson +900  Johnson led the field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee last week in Houston and was top 15 in putting. Since 2015 in four Masters starts, he has finished sixth, fourth, tenth and second.  Justin Thomas +1,300 Thomas has improved in every trip he has made here, going from T39 to T22, T17 and T12 in his next three. He has two runner-ups in his last four starts as well as an eighth and a tenth.  Xander Schauffele +1,600 Schauffele steps up on the big stage as has finished in the top-10 in six of the last 10 majors that he has played. He has a top 25 in 11 straight starts including two runner-ups in his last four.  Brooks Koepka +1,700 Koepka is back from his latest injury and he looked good in his first start back, placing fifth at the Houston Open. Improved each of four trips here, 33rd to 21st to 11th to second.  Jason Day +3,000 Day has made eight of nine cuts at Augusta including three top fives. Injuries are always a concern but he seems to be healthy at the moment. He finished seventh at Houston last week. Tony Finau +3,300 Finau will be a popular pick, both in the betting markets and DFS, and rightfully so with five tops tens in his last 10 starts. But he has just one career win. Two tops tens in two Masters starts. Bubba Watson +3,300 Watson comes in playing at a high level with four top 25s in his last five starts including a seventh and fourth in his last two. He is a two time champ here and has a 12th and fifth in his last two. 

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2020 NFL Trends Thru Week 9

by Al McMordie

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2020

We're roughly at the halfway point of the 2020 NFL season, so this is a good time to review how the season has gone, from a point spread perspective.The one thing which jumps out when you look at the numbers is that it's been a "dog" season.  No, I'm not referring to the quality of play, but rather the fact that the underdogs have barked loudly.Over the first nine weeks, underdogs have gone 77-56, 57.8%.And they've made money whether at home (27-27, 56.2%) or on the road (50-35, 58.8%).  And whether they were off a win (25-20, 55.5%) or off a loss (44-27, 61.9%).  And also whether their opponent was off a win (40-31, 56.3%) or a loss (30-15, 66.6%).They've been especially good in the weekday (non-Sunday) games, as they've cashed 14 of 21 (66.6%), including a perfect 9-0 ATS when priced as an underdog of +4.5 or less points.The worst category for underdogs has been if they were off an upset win.  In that instance, they've burned money with a 10-13 (43.4%) record.With respect to over/unders, the games have largely been high-scoring, with the Overs going 71-59-3.  In this set, the division games have largely been responsible for the Overs, as they've gone 27-17-1 Over, while non-division games have gone 44-42-2 Over.Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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NFL Thursday Night Football: Titans/Colts Preview

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2020

First place in the AFC South will be on the line for Thursday Night Football in a showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennessee Titans.Tennessee claimed first place in the division on Sunday with their 24-17 victory at home against Chicago as a 6.5-point favorite. That win snapped a two-game losing streak and raised their record to a 6-2 mark. The Titans won that game despite being outgained by 147 net yards. Tennessee scored on a 63-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown that turned out to be the difference in the game. The Titans’ signature victory this season was their 42-16 upset victory at home against Buffalo as a 3-point underdog in their first game back after the COVID outbreak that hit their team. Tennessee is outscoring their opponents by +3.9 points-per-game, but they are getting outgained by -10.2 net yards-per-game. The Titans have benefited from a +10 net turnover margin as they have only turned the ball over four times. Tennessee is seventh in the NFL with a 29.0 points-per-game scoring average, yet they have seen that mark drop to just a 22.7 points-per-game average in their last three games. Their 320.3 yards-per-game average on offense in those games is more than 63 yards-per-game below their season average.Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has thrown 19 touchdown passes to just three interceptions. He is completing 65.7% of his passes for 1981 yards with a 7.8 yards-per-attempt average. Running back Derrick Henry has rushed for 843 yards on 182 carries for a 4.6 yards-per-carry average. He has scored ten touchdowns on the ground.Indianapolis saw their record drop to a 5-3 mark on Sunday with their 24-10 loss at home to Baltimore as a 1-point favorite. The Colts outgained the Ravens by 139 net yards but could not overcome a 65-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown scored by the Baltimore defense. Indianapolis’ offense was only on the field for 26:34 minutes of the game. Colts’ quarterback Philip Rivers completed 25 of 43 passes for 227 yards with an interception in the defeat. Rivers is completing 67.9% of his passes this season for 2087 yards with a 7.6 yards-per-attempt average. The veteran has thrown ten touchdown passes along with seven interceptions. Indianapolis leads the NFL in total defense as they hold their opponents to 290.0 yards-per-game. The Colts are outscoring their opponents by 6.0 points-per-game while outgaining them by 70.5 net yards-per-game. However, Indianapolis’ strength-of-schedule has been questionable, with their victory over Chicago being their lone victory over a team with a winning record. Their wins against the Vikings, Jets, Bears, Bengals, and Lions are against a group of teams with a combined 13-28-1 record. These two teams split their two divisional meetings last year, with the road team winning in both instances. The Colts upset the Titans in Nashville on September 15th by a 19-17 score before Tennessee returned the favor in Indianapolis on December 1st with their 31-17 victory. Indianapolis will be without tight end Jack Doyle who is still recovering from a concussion. Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton practiced this week and will return to the field after being out with a groin injury. Tennessee will be without wide receiver Adam Humphries as he recovers from a concussion, along with cornerback Adoree’ Jackson, who is dealing with a knee injury. Defensive end Jadeveon Clowney should play tonight after practicing on Tuesday and Wednesday despite his knee issue.BookMaker currently lists Indianapolis as a 1-point favorite with the total set at 48.5. The kickoff on Fox and the NFL Network is at 8:20 PM ET.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAA Football Preview

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2020

The Tuesday sports card features three college football in the Mid-American Conference.Akron travels to Ohio for a game that starts at 7 PM ET. Unfortunately for the Zips, they picked up last Wednesday right where they left off last season -- an 0-12 campaign -- with a 58-13 loss at home to Western Michigan.  Redshirt freshman Zach Gibson made his third career start under center for Akron with their senior quarterback, Kato Nelson, recovering from shoulder surgery over two months ago. Gibson completed 18 of 30 passes for 125 yards with a touchdown pass and an interception for second-year head coach Tom Arth. Thirteen starters are back from the team last year that is still looking to deliver their first victory to their head coach.The Bobcats were upset last Wednesday at Central Michigan by a 30-27 score as a 2.5-point favorite. Freshman quarterback, Kurtis O’Rourke, the younger brother of Ohio’s starting quarterback Nathan a season ago, completed 12 of 19 passes for 231 yards in his first career collegiate start with two touchdown passes and no interceptions. Head coach Frank Solich has 15 returning starters in his 16th year with the program from the team that finished 7-6 last season. The Bobcats culminated their season with a 30-21 victory over Nevada in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Ohio is a 27.5-point favorite with the total set at 57 (all odds from BetOnline). The CBS Sports Network has the broadcast.Bowling Green hosts Kent State at 7:30 PM ET. The Falcons come off a 38-3 loss at Toledo last Wednesday as a 24-point underdog. Boston College transfer Matt McDonald struggled in his first start for Bowling Green as he completed only 8 of 30 passes for 128 yards with two interceptions. Head coach Scott Loeffler has 12 starters back in the second year with the program from the team that finished 3-9 last season. The Golden Flashes defeated Eastern Michigan in their opening game last week by a 27-23 score as a 4.5-point favorite. Kent State’s Dustin Crum may be the best quarterback in the MAC. The senior completed 21 of 29 passes for 219 yards with two touchdown passes and an interception. He added another 35 yards on the ground with a touchdown. The Golden Flashes were 7-6 last season for third-year head coach Sean Lewis in a campaign that concluded with the first bowl win in school history in their 51-41 victory over Utah State in the Frisco Bowl. Thirteen starters are back from that team. Kent State is a 20.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 54.5. ESPNU broadcasts this game. ESPN has Miami (OH) visiting Buffalo at 8 PM ET. The RedHawks upset Ball State last Wednesday as a 1-point home underdog. Sophomore quarterback Brett Gabbert left that game with a head injury that leaves him questionable for this game. He completed 5 of 8 passes for 76 yards before being knocked out of that game. Redshirt sophomore A.J. Mayer completed 16 of 24 passes in relief for 212 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions to lead the team to victory. Miami won the MAC championship game by a 26-21 score against Central Michigan before losing to Louisiana in the Lending Tree Bowl by a 27-17 score to complete their 8-6 season. Head coach Chuck Martin has 17 starters back from that team in his seventh season with the program. Buffalo opened up their season last week with a 49-30 win at Northern Illinois as a 14.5-point favorite. The Bulls scored three defensive touchdowns to overcome only having the football for 22:49 minutes of that game. Junior Kyle Vantrease completed 12 of 18 passes for 178 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Fourteen starters are back from the team last year that finished 8-5 with a 31-9 victory over Charlotte in the Bahamas Bowl for head coach Lance Leipold in the sixth year with the school.Buffalo is a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 56.

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NFL Mid-Season Playoff Picture

by Wayne Root

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2020

If the NFL playoffs were to begin based on Week 9-ending records, this is how it would match up.  AFCPittsburgh has a Bye Raiders vs Bills Miami vs Kansas City Baltimore vs Tennessee NFCNew Orleans has a Bye LA Rams vs Seattle Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia  Arizona vs Green Bay  Looking to get into the playoffs  In the AFC, Cleveland and Indianapolis can certainly move up. Most after that would have to go on a 8-0 or 7-1 run. It’s possible but unlikely.  In the NFC, the Chicago Bears have an opportunity if they right the ship.  Value betting bottom teams? It will be interesting to see if a team that is 3-5, can finish the second half of the season 7-1 or 6-2 to finish at 10-6 or 9-7.  I think this week is the most critical week of the season. It might be a chance to see which coach can adapt, manage or MOTIVATE.  This will be followed up next week on the results of the upcoming games in Week 9. If you can identify a certain coach and why his team team fell behind at this point, there’s point spread value AND money to be made on these lower-tiered teams.  Finally  Good luck with all your football information and continue to come back for more thinking out of the box.

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What does "SU" Mean in Betting?

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2020

What does SU mean in betting? In sports betting, there are many terms that bettors use to refer to different forms of wagering.  One of them is 'SU,' short for straight-up.  When you search for the meaning of this term, you might run into other meanings other than the actual sports betting term.  We're not here to tell you the other definitions -- we're all about sports betting.  Straight-up in sports betting refers to whether a team has won the game, without regard to the point spread.  And if a team wins the game, straight-up, then it also would be the winner with respect to moneyline wagers.When you’re poring over gambling stats, you’ll often see references to a team’s SU record, or its SU/ATS record.  Simply put, a team’s SU record is the same thing as its W/L record.  And a team’s SU/ATS record is a juxtaposition of a team’s straight-up record, and its against the spread record, which may, or may not be similar.  Thus, if a team is 10-5/7-8 SU/ATS that would mean it is 10-5 straight-up, but just 7-8 ATS.We'll refer to straight-up betting as moneyline betting from now on, but it is not too complicated.  It's one of the oldest ways to bet on a game, as sports bettors have wagered on this bet type for ages.  We'll quickly show you how a moneyline wager works and how you can soon master the moneyline wager.  Above all, we want you to get a solid handle on sports betting, in general, and that's why we want to share some more sports betting terms that might be of interest.So, in this betting guide, you'll go from a novice bettor, who doesn't know anything about straight-up bets, to an expert moneyline bettor who has the knowledge to start betting successfully. How does straight-up work in sports betting? A straight-up bet is pretty simple.  You just put your money on the team which you think will win the game.  Only if that team wins, you end up with a winning ticket, and you can collect your payout.  That means you need to do thorough research to determine not only which team is stronger than the other, but also where the value lies with respect to the betting odds.  Because when you take betting odds into account, not every bet on a team has value.  We'll explain why by displaying the betting lines for a sample NFL match between the New Orleans Saints and the Arizona Cardinals: New Orleans Saints -230 Arizona Cardinals +190 With every moneyline wager, there's a favored team and an underdog.  These are shown by the minus sign (-) and the plus sign (+).  In this case, the Saints are the favored team, while the Cardinals are the underdog.  The way these odds are displayed is with the moneyline odds (or American odds).  As a bettor, you pick the team which you think will win the game.  But not every wager will make a lot of sense when you take the betting odds into account.  The one thing to always remember is that anything can happen in a game.  In this example, the Saints are roughly a 2-1 favorite over the Cardinals, and would have to win 69.7% of the time for you to just break even.  Who knows what could happen, but you need to understand a game’s specific odds and probability prior to the start of your research process.Calculating your payout with straight-up betsIn the end, it all comes down to the money.  That's why most bettors are betting if we're all being sincere.  The betting odds are the starting point for seeing what the amount of money you could make from any bet.  We'll take the previous example as the starting point of our calculation: New Orleans Saints -230 Arizona Cardinals +190 These numbers alongside each team might look odd and foreign to you, but now you know what the plus and minus sign indicate.  With the numbers following the minus or plus sign, you can calculate your payout to see the amount of money you can take home.  In this example, that would lead to two possible scenarios: You pick the New Orleans Saints -- the favorite -- to win the moneyline bet.  The Saints win, and you have a winning bet.  Now, you earn $44 if your initial stake is $100.  That would make for a total payout of $144. If you wanted to earn $100 with this bet, you would have to wager $230 (for a total payout of $330). You pick the Arizona Cardinals -- the underdog -- to win the moneyline bet.  The Cardinals win, and you have a winning bet.  Now, you earn $190 if your initial stake is $100.  That would make for a total payout of $290. As you can tell, the bets are constructed based on the fact that most wagers are made to win (or lose) $100.  That's how the American odds system works, and what you have to keep in mind when checking out the odds for any given sporting event.  That's all there is to moneyline betting.  It's available for any matchup where two teams compete against each other -- hockey, football, baseball, basketball, soccer, tennis, mixed martial arts, and many others.Straight up betting in the NFLWhen you're researching any given NFL match, the Super Bowl, or just regular season, you'll stumble upon a lot of statistics.  There are giant tables behind every single team that carries many individual factors to calculate whether a team is in good form, or underperforming.  You'll look at the number of points they score each game, the yards they gain, but the most important factor is the number of games they win.  But as we’ve mentioned above, winning the game straight-up is not the same as covering the point spread.  We'll show you what spread betting is in the following paragraph.Using straight up when looking at spread bettingAnother popular form of betting is spread betting.  It's a form of betting that takes the final score of a matchup and then adds (or subtracts) a set number of points (i.e., the point spread) to determine which team won the bet.  It might be a little harder to understand than a simple moneyline bet, but a quick example will show you how spread betting works: New York Giants -11.5 Washington Redskins +11.5 We're using two NFC East division rivals in this illustration.  You have two teams here that are not competitive, on the surface.  The sportsbooks have installed the Giants as an 11.5-point favorite.  In this case, the Giants would have to win by more than 11.5 points to cover the spread.  The Redskins are the underdog, and they need to either win the game or lose by less than 11.5 points to cover the spread.Notice the half-point in the spread numbers.  Certainly, you can't score half-points in an NFL match, but oddsmakers utilize half-points for several reasons.  First, and most importantly, it allows a sportsbook to more easily balance the betting action between two sides.  And, a secondary reason is that a half-point removes the chance for a bet to end up as a tie.  When a wager ends up tied, it “pushes,” and the sportsbook will refund all monies to its players.  Bookmakers prefer that this doesn’t happen because, after all, they’re in the business to make a profit, and ties generally reduce their earnings. When you're analyzing whether a team will cover the spread, you can always use the straight-up statistics to inform your judgment for a successful spread bet.  But bear in mind that the two statistics may be wildly different for a team during a season.  And that’s especially true for teams that are either really good, or really bad, as the point spreads in either case will tend to be far away from PK’em.Spread betting line movementWith spread betting, you have a number alongside each team, which gets applied to a team’s final score.  You can make spread bets on any sport that has incremental scoring, but some sports, like hockey or baseball, work a little differently as their spreads are largely fixed.  And that’s because there isn’t much scoring in hockey or baseball games, as they average around six goals or nine runs in a game.  Thus, bookmakers typically set the run-lines and puck-lines at 1.5, and adjust the moneyline odds from there.  So, these bets are quite similar to point spread wagers -- but just with somewhat fixed spread numbers.However, football and basketball point spreads are not fixed, and can have a lot of movement.  So, a game between Army and Navy might open up with the Black Knights favored by 4.5 over the Midshipmen.  But by game day, the line might be down to Army -1.5.  That’s called “line movement.”  Additionally, the moneyline odds associated with a point spread bet can move, as well.  But they’re typically around -110 for football and basketball games (unless you bet with a reduced juice sportsbook, like BetAnySports, which has -105 odds on both sides).  As you can see, with point spreads in constant flux, it’s critical to have accounts at multiple sportsbooks so you can shop for the best number.  Any day that a matchup is online, the betting lines can change, and the spread number might vary.  That means two bettors who both bet on the same team might have completely different results, depending on their particular point spread.  Keeping an eye on multiple sportsbooks is crucial, so we strongly advise you to do so! What other sports betting terms are there? As promised, we want to share some other sports betting terms with you to give you the complete picture of what sports betting is all about.  See it as a short glossary of terms you can use as the start of your research. Without further ado, let's dive right in: Bankroll:  Your risk capital -- how much money you are willing to lose while gambling. Cover:  When a team covers the spread, they win for their bettors, based on the point spread. Edge:  This refers to an 'advantage.’  You have the edge over a sportsbook, for example, when you got down at the best number (in relation to the current or closing number). Exotic Wager:  Any other bets than moneyline or point spread wagers, such as parlays, teasers, round-robins, prop bets, etc. Futures bet:  A bet on a future event which is dependent on the outcome of other preceding events.  For example, you might predict the Super Bowl winner at the beginning of the season. Handicapping:  Handicapping is the method to calculate a team’s scoring advantage (or disadvantage) in order to project by how much a team might win (or lose).  Handicappers are those bettors who engage in the process of handicapping.  Hedging:  You can hedge a bet by placing a wager on the opposite side of your original bet to cover your losses and/or guarantee a profit. Juice:  This is another way to refer to 'vigorish' - the fee a bookmaker charges for each losing wager. Longshot:  Any team or horse which is very unlikely to win. Over/Under bet:  You can wager on the combined number of points scored by both teams to be over or under a set amount of points established by the oddsmakers. Parlay:  A single bet comprised of multiple bets.  Each element of a parlay needs to win for your parlay to be successful. Pick:  Often you'll see it written as PK or Pk'em.  It’s a term used when there's no clear favorite in a point spread, so the point spread is zero.  Whichever team wins the game, straight-up, will cover the Pk’em spread. Prop bet:  A wager on a particular factor within a sporting event, like the number of field goals made in the game, or percentage of three-pointers converted by Steph Curry. Totals bet:  Another way to refer to an over/under wager Value:  When you find value, you will have favorable odds on a betting proposition.  You’ll have an edge on the bookmaker. Please note that there are tons of other sports betting terms, but you now have insight into the sports betting world.  You know what SU means and how to implement it, and much more!  So, don't hesitate any longer -- go ahead and place some wagers!

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