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Super Bowl Betting Trends - 1981 to 2022

by Al McMordie

Monday, Feb 06, 2023

Super Bowl LVII is a fascinating match-up between coach Andy Reid's current team (Kansas City Chiefs) and his former team (Philadelphia Eagles).  The Eagles have been installed as a 1.5-point favorite, with a total of 50.5 (all odds from BetMGM).Let's take a look at some historical trends.Dating back to 1981, there have been 42 Super Bowls.The underdogs have gone 23-17-2 ATS, including 2-3 at less than 3 points.And there have been 23 Overs against 19 Unders, including 3-2 Over in games with totals in the 49 to 52-point range.There have been 27 meetings between teams that played earlier in the current season, or in the previous season.The revenge-minded team (here, Philadelphia) has gone 15-12 SU and 16-10-1 ATS.  When the revenger did not cover the spread in the previous meeting, it has gone 8-11 SU and 9-9-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.  But if it covered the spread in the previous meeting, it's gone 7-1 SU/ATS in the Super Bowl (Philly did not cover the point spread in last season's loss to Kansas City).With regard to rematches from the current or former season, the Super Bowls have gone Under six of 12 times when the previous meeting went Over the total.  When the previous match-up went Under the total, the Super Bowl has gone Over the total in eight of 15.There have been 19 games that involved two teams that earned a Bye to start the Playoffs.  Eleven of those 19 games have gone Over the total.  The favorite covered the spread 50% of the time in those games (9-9-1 ATS), including 5-2 ATS when favored by 3 points or less.The team which averaged more points on offense has gone 19-23 SU and 15-25-2 ATS, while the team which gave up less points on defense has gone 28-14 SU and 22-18-2 ATS.  With respect to Super Bowl 57, the Eagles have given up less points on defense than have the Chiefs, while the two teams have scored exactly the same number of points on the season.The team with the better win percentage has gone 18-18 SU and 13-21-2 ATS, including 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS when it was off an ATS loss.The team with the better ATS win percentage (here, Philadelphia) has gone 24-14 SU and 23-13-2 ATS, including 10-3 SU/ATS when the Super Bowl was competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less.I am wrapping up my 11th straight winning NFL season, and have released a Totals play in this game, as I look to stay red-hot (currently 21-1-2 my last 24 selections, as of this writing).  Don't miss my NFL Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 02/06/2023

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Feb 06, 2023

The Monday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, and NCAAB.The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Boston Celtics travel to Detroit to play the Pistons as an 11-point road favorite, with the total set at 229.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Cleveland Cavaliers play in Washington against the Wizards as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 221. The Los Angeles Clippers are in Brooklyn to play the Nets at 7:40 PM ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 218.5. Two NBA games start at 8:10 PM ET. The Chicago Bulls host the San Antonio Spurs as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 237. The Sacramento Kings play in Houston against the Rockets as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 234.5. The Utah Jazz are at home against the Dallas Mavericks at 9:10 PM ET as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 221. Two more games complete the NBA card at 10:10 PM ET. The Golden State Warriors host the Oklahoma City Thunder as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 237. The Milwaukee Bucks play in Portland against the Trail Blazers as a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 239.5. The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. Two NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The New York Islanders visit Philadelphia to play the Flyers as a -130 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning play in Florida against the Panthers as a -125 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Two more NHL games begin at 7:37 PM ET. The New York Rangers are at home against the Calgary Flames as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The New Jersey Devils host the Vancouver Canucks as a -245 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Dallas Stars play at home against the Anaheim Ducks at 8:37 PM ET as a -365 money line favorite with a total of 6. The Minnesota Wild are in Arizona to play the Coyotes at 9:07 PM ET as a -225 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The college basketball schedule has seven games on national television. Two NCAAB games on national television tip-off at 7 PM ET. Lafayette plays at Holy Cross on the CBS Sports Network as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 125. Miami (FL) is at home against Duke on ESPN as a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 146. The Hurricanes won for the third time in their last four games with a 78-74 upset victory at Clemson as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Blue Devils won for the third straight-time with their 63-57 victory against North Carolina as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Two NCAAB games on national television start at 9 PM ET. Texas Southern hosts Bethune Cookman on ESPNU at 9 PM ET as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 143.5. Kansas plays at home against Texas on ESPN. The Jayhawks lost for the fourth time in their last six games in a 68-53 defeat at Iowa State as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Longhorns won for the fourth time in their last five games with a 69-66 victory at Kansas State as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. Kansas is a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 143.5. Weber State travels to Northern Colorado on ESPNU at 11 PM ET. The Wildcats won for the fourth time in their last five games with a 72-71 victory at Idaho State as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. The Bears are on a three-game losing streak after their 75-62 loss at Montana State as an 11.5-point underdog on Saturday. Weber State is a 1-point road favorite with a total of 142.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 02/05/2023

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Feb 05, 2023

The Sunday sports card features action in the NBA, NCAAB, and EPL. The National Hockey League continues its All-Star Game break.The National Basketball Association has six games on its docket. The Charlotte Hornets host the Orlando Magic at 1:10 PM ET as a 1-point favorite (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to Indiana to play the Pacers at 5:10 pm et as a 4.5-point road favorite with the total set at 225.5. Two more NBA games tip off at 6:10 PM ET. The Memphis Grizzlies play at home against the Toronto Raptors as a 4.5-point favorite.The New York Knicks are at home against the Philadelphia 76ers on ESPN at 6:10 PM ET. The 76ers won for the ninth time in their last ten games in a 137-125 victory at San Antonio as a 10-point favorite on Friday. The Knicks lost for the third time in their last four games in a 134-128 loss in overtime to the Los Angeles Clippers as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. Philadelphia is a 5.5-point road favorite. Two games complete the NBA card at 7:10 PM ET. The Denver Nuggets visit Minnesota to play the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans host the Sacramento Kings as a 2-point favorite. The college basketball schedule has seven games on national television. Three NCAAB games on national television start at noon ET. Saint Joseph's plays at home against  LaSalle on ESPNU as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 141.5. Richmond is at home against Fordham on the USA Network as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 135.5. Seton Hall hosts DePaul on FS1 at noon ET. The Pirates won for the sixth time in their last seven games with an 84-72 victory at St. John's as a 2-point favorite on Wednesday. The Blue Demons lost their fourth straight game in a 90-76 loss to UConn as an 11-point underdog on Tuesday. Seton Hall is an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 138.5.Michigan plays at home against Ohio State on CBS at 1 PM ET. The Wolverines ended a two-game losing streak with a 68-51 upset victory at Northwestern as a 3.5-point underdog on Thursday. The Buckeyes lost for the eighth time in their last nine games in a 65-60 upset loss to Wisconsin as a 7.5-point favorite on Thursday. Michigan is a 4-point favorite with a total of 143.5. Two NCAAB games on national television start at 6 PM ET. Houston is at Temple on ESPN2 as an 11-point road favorite with an over/under of 131.5. Utah hosts California on ESPNU as a 16-point favorite with a total of 127.5.Colorado plays at home against Stanford on FS1 at 7 PM ET. The Buffaloes ended a two-game losing streak with a 59-46 victory against California as a 15.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Cardinal are on a five-game winning streak after their 78-72 victory at Utah as a 6-point underdog on Thursday. Colorado is a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 135.5. Matchweek 22 in the English Premier League continues with two matches. Leeds United plays at Nottingham Forest on the USA Network at 9 AM ET in a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Manchester City is at Tottenham on NBC at 11:30 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with a total of 3. 

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