Matt Fargo - Tennessee vs Butler

Fargo's CBB Wednesday Enforcer 25-18 CBB Run

Handicapper

Matt Fargo

League

NCAAB

Competition

Tennessee vs Butler

Release Date

11/23/2022 06:09 AM

Event Date

11/23/2022 07:30 PM

Bet Type

Point Spread

Pick

Butler +7.5 (-110) (Caesars)

Outcome

Loss

Analysis

This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. The Battle 4 Atlantis tips off on Wednesday with a great group of teams all ranked within the top 71 (Sagarin) and the final game of the day pits No. 23 Tennessee against No. 31 Butler and we are grabbing the Bulldogs in a very inflated line. Butler is off to a 3-1 start with the lone loss coming against Penn St. and the gameplan in that game was executed perfectly to slow it down against the up tempo and solid shooting Nittany Lions but the Bulldogs had a horrible shooting night as they hit only 34 percent from the floor including 22 percent from long range. It will be a similar gameplan here for Butler which is loaded with talent with an experienced backcourt and help down low via the transfer portal. Guards Chuck Harris, Jayden Taylor, and Simas Lukosius have combined for 44.9 ppg and 8.6 apg while NC State transfer center Manny Bates is averaging 13.5 ppg, 8.5 rpg and 3.5 bpg. Tennessee rolled in its two wins over Tennessee Tech and Florida Gulf Coast as 36 and 21-point favorites respectively but were blown out against Colorado by 12 points as a 15-point favorite in its only game away from home. Out of 363 Division I teams, the Volunteers are No. 356 in shooting at 37.3 percent and they have put up a decent scoring average because of pace which Butler plans on limiting. Based on the power rankings, this is roughly a one-point line so there is a ton of value on the Bulldogs in a very winnable game. 10* (746) Butler Bulldogs