ASA, Inc. - New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries

ASA WNBA Situational Slam! Line VALUE rout!

Handicapper
ASA, Inc.
League
WNBA
Competition
New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries
Release Date
06/25/2025 12:15 PM
Event Date
06/25/2025 10:00 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
New York Liberty -9.5 (-110) (BetMGM)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
ASA WNBA play on New York Liberty -9.5 vs. Golden State Valkyries 9pm ET - The Liberty’s league-leading pace (fastest in the WNBA) and high-scoring offense (averaging over 88 on the season) drive this prediction. Without Jonquel Jones (ankle injury), New York relies on Breanna Stewart (19.3 PPG) and Sabrina Ionescu (20ppg) to push the tempo, creating open looks and transition opportunities. The Valkyries are short 3 players who opted to play overseas for their National teams and lack depth at this point in time. The Valkyries are a great story to start the season and have over-achieved with a 7-6 SU record. GST will have a tough time keeping pace with the Liberty as they rank 12th in FG% overall and 13th in 3PT%. The Valkyries are 10th in the league in Offensive net rating. New York started 9-0 but has since lost 3 of their last four games. They are coming off a loss to Seattle and played that game without Ionescu. We like the Liberty to bounce back here and flex against the expansion Valkyries. NY has the best average point differential in the WNBA at +11.1ppg with 7 of their ten wins this season coming by 8 or more points. Golden State was recently an 11-point home underdog to the Fever, suggesting value with New York at -8. The Liberty have beaten this GST twice this season already and we expect that record to improve to 3-0 after tonight.

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