NBA INDIANA-OKLAHOMA CITY ABC-TV SPECIAL
- Handicapper
- Hollywood Sports
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Release Date
- 06/08/2025 06:52 PM
- Event Date
- 06/08/2025 08:06 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 (-115)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oklahoma City Thunder (504) minus the points Indiana Pacers (503) in Game Two of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (79-20) had won two games in a row before their 111-110 upset loss at home to the Pacers as a 10-point underdog in the opening game of this series on Thursday. Indiana (62-36) has won seven of their last nine games after that triumph.
REASONS TO TAKE THE THUNDER MINUS THE POINTS: Oklahoma City had a 15-point lead with under 10 minutes to go — so it looked like we were cruising. But the Pacers have demonstrated that they should never be counted out. They were down nine points with under three minutes left before rallying to steal the victory. They had two victories earlier this season when they were trailing by seven points with less than a minute left in the game before somehow pulling the game. In the history of the NBA playoffs, teams trailing by seven or more points with less than a minute to go have a 3-1640 record — and two of those three wins were by Indiana this season. The Thunder have also demonstrated their style of play leaves them vulnerable to blow leads — so I do not make this endorsement lightly. But there are some areas where Oklahoma City should put up better numbers tonight. They only made 39.8% of their shots in Game One which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine games. Jalen Williams only hit 6 of his 19 shots from the field. Chet Holmgren was 2 of 9. The Thunder got out-rebounded by a 56-39 margin which suggests they were simply out-worked and out-hustled. Furthermore, while they forced 24 turnovers, they only scored 11 points off those Indiana mistakes. In their 11 opportunities to push for an offensive advantage off a forced turnover, they only scored at a 0.64 Points-Per-Possession rate. Oklahoma City has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home after an upset loss. They have covered the point spread in 34 of their last 49 home games when favored — and they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 40 games when laying 10 or more points. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games against teams from the Eastern Conference including 12 of those 15 games at home. Indiana played their best defensive game in their last seven contests by holding the Thunder to under 40% shooting. But the Pacers have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 33 games after a narrow win by six points or less in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road after winning their last game by six points or less. The underdog has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of the last 9 games between these two teams.
FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 opportunities for revenge including 13 of those 16 games played at home. 10* NBA Indiana-Oklahoma City ABC-TV Special with Oklahoma City Thunder (504) minus the points Indiana Pacers (503). Best of luck for us — Frank.
