TOM'S 12-0 ATS NBA PERFECT ANGLE PLAY
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves
- Release Date
- 05/24/2025 10:15 AM
- Event Date
- 05/24/2025 08:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Minnesota Timberwolves +3 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #542 MINNESOTA (+) over Oklahoma City at 8:30 PM EST
Off a pair of blowout losses to the Thunder by finals of 114-88 and 118-103, the Timberwolves will approach Game 3 with a serious sense of urgency. Minnesota knows it can't afford to come back from an 0-3 deficit in this series and head coach Chris Finch will have his squad focused and ready for this battle.
Historically speaking, the T'Wolves have played well as an underdog in this series notching a strong 25-16 ATS record in the last 41 meetings. In this situation competing in the Twin Cities, Minnesota improves to a solid 13-3 ATS including a golden 12-0 ATS provided OKC owns a team won/loss percentage of .580 or higher. Equally impressive, when coming off two or more straight up losses, the Timberwolves have posted a powerful 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS mark.
It won't be easy fading the Thunder. However, since 1991, NBA Playoff Game 3 road teams that hold a 2-0 advantage in the series own a soft 32-46 SU and 30-45-3 ATS record provided they slip in off a 3-0 SU and ATS run or better. If our "play against" side hits the hardwood off a blowout victory of 10 points or more, this power angle falls to a shocking 22-35 SU and 18-36-3 ATS. Additionally, as a road favorite in the postseason, Oklahoma City holds a timid 10-16-1 ATS mark and has failed to cover in five straight (all this year).
With their proverbial backs to the wall, the Timberwolves will respond and pull off the upset. Take Minnesota. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
