TOM'S 20-4 NBA PLAYOFF HIGH ROLLER BEST BET
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Release Date
- 05/13/2025 12:15 PM
- Event Date
- 05/13/2025 09:45 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 (-115)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #582 OKLAHOMA CITY (-) over Denver at 9:30 PM EST
With the series tied 2-2 and arriving off a five-point road win at Denver, Oklahoma City will take control with a solid performance at home in this critical situation. The Thunder own a stunning 38-7 SU and 31-13-1 ATS record in their last 45 games inside the Paycom Center and head coach Mark Daigneault and his boys will find a way to get it done here.
Dating back to April 7th, 2024, OKC has been one of the NBA's best inking a stunning 85-21 SU and 67-36-3 ATS record in its last 106 games. In this setting busting in off a road game, Coach Daigneault and is crew have been at their financial best posting an elite 43-6 SU and 34-14-1 ATS mark including a phenomenal 23-3 SU and 20-5-1 ATS provided they hold a team won/loss percentage of .805 or higher. Lastly, dating back to April 29th, 2015, No. 1 seeds in the NBA Playoffs that hit the hardwood off back-to-back pointspread losses in the postseason hold a fantastic 38-10 SU and 36-11-1 ATS tally including a jaw-dropping 22-2 SU and 20-4 ATS provided they did not fall to the Las Vegas pointspread by 11.5-points or more last.
Holding a 20-18 SU and 15-22-1 ATS record, Denver hasn't been anything special in its last 38 games. In this run facing a foe that arrives with momentum off a straight up win, the Nuggets fall to a feeble 10-15 ATS. To make matters worse, as a playoff guest fighting a foe that storms the court with momentum off a straight up win, interim head coach David Adelman and his boys hold a timid 9-30 SU and 15-24 ATS mark including a rough 5-25 SU and 8-22 ATS tally provided their opponent carries a pointspread won/loss percentage of .522 or better.
The Thunder are gaining valuable playoff experience with every battle in this series and they will inch closer to a spot in the Western Conference Finals with another dub and cover here. Take Oklahoma City. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
