OSKEIM'S HUGE MLB INNER CIRCLE BLOWOUT
- Handicapper
- Oskeim Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Los Angeles Angels vs San Diego Padres
- Release Date
- 05/13/2025 09:03 AM
- Event Date
- 05/13/2025 09:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
San Diego Padres -200
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- San Diego right-hander Dylan Cease enters off an outing in which he allowed one run on one hit in six innings of work, which is noteworthy in that MLB favorites of -196 or greater with starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.08 or better with revenge are 617-236 SU (72.3%; +3.7% ROI) and 445-345 RL (56.3%; +4.5% ROI), including 317-110 SU (74.2%; +5.8% ROI) and 243-183 RL (57%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.3 runs per game. The Padres suffered a 9-5 loss to Los Angeles on Monday, which is significant in that .580 or greater favorites of -125 or greater coming off an upset loss as favorites are 1071-556 SU (65.8%; +3.3% ROI) and 745-786 RL (+1.1% ROI) in Game 2 (or beyond) of a series, including 446-212 SU (67.8%; +5.2% ROI) and 339-319 RL (+3.5% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.6 runs per game. Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same or better record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2472-992 SU (71.4%; +1.2% ROI) and 1605-1341 RL (+1.7% ROI) from Game 40 out, including 901-332 SU (73.1%; +2.4% ROI) and 687-545 RL (55.8%; +1.1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game.
Finally, since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2854-5086 SU (36%; -4.3% ROI) and 4054-3471 RL (-3.0% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 844-1675 SU (33.5%; -8.7% ROI) and 1256-1259 RL (-7.2% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game. Take San Diego and invest with confidence.
