TOM'S 20-0 ATS NBA PLAYOFF PERFECT ANGLE
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
- Release Date
- 05/02/2025 10:23 AM
- Event Date
- 05/02/2025 09:12 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Golden State Warriors -5 (-112)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #530 GOLDEN STATE (-) over Houston at 9 PM EST
Off that ugly 131-116 road loss to the Rockets in game five and with a ticket to the Western Conference Semifinals on the line, the Warriors will make sure they take care of business here. The last thing head coach Steve Kerr and his crew want to do is go back to Toyota Center on Sunday for a decisive game seven.
Dating back to January 28th, Golden State has played solid basketball inking a 30-13 SU and 22-20-1 ATS record in its last 43 games. In this run checking in without confidence off a straight up loss, the Warriors improve to a healthy 11-2 SU and 9-3-1 ATS. Equally impressive, when coming off a straight up loss in the NBA Playoffs, Coach Kerr and his players have historically responded notching an elite 41-20 SU and 42-18-1 ATS record. Provided the Warriors are fighting an opponent that holds a pointspread won/loss percentage of .523 or higher, this angle tightens up to a spectacular 20-6 SU and 23-3 ATS including a stunning 20-0 ATS provided State carries a team won/loss percentage of .540 or higher.
This is actually a horrible wagering spot for the visitors. In game six of any playoff series, teams that trail 3-2 in a best-of-seven series sport a disturbing 9-28 SU and 9-27-1 ATS record provided they hit the hardwood with momentum off a blowout win of 10 points or more. As long as this is not the NBA Finals, this situation slips to a rough 8-25 SU and 7-25-1 ATS. Also, since November 8th, 1995, Houston has struggled on the road when checking in off a blowout victory of 15 points or more posting a woeful 36-62 SU and 37-60-1 ATS mark provided its opponent holds a pointspread won/loss percentage of .501 or higher. In this setting fighting a non-division foe, the Rockets fall to a horrible 23-44 SU and 24-43 ATS.
The Warriors are a seasoned group and they know what is on the line. The youthful Rockets will succumb to the pressure here. Take Golden State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
