Sean's EARLY 10* NHL 1ST RD TOTAL OF THE YEAR
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NHL
- Competition
- Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues
- Release Date
- 04/26/2025 08:30 AM
- Event Date
- 04/27/2025 01:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues Under 5.5 (-140)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and St. Louis at 1 pm et on Sunday.
While St. Louis erupted for seven goals in Thursday's win, don't expect a repeat performance on Sunday. Winnipeg has consistently been one of the NHL’s stingiest defensive teams, allowing just 2.8 goals per game on the road, and should respond with a sharper effort after an uncharacteristic defensive lapse. Look for goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to lead the way, as he’s often bounced back strong after a tough outing.
Special teams could also play a big role in keeping this game low-scoring. The Blues have been outstanding on the penalty kill for an extended stretch, allowing just seven power play goals since early March. Meanwhile, Winnipeg’s power play continues to struggle, scoring more than one power play goal in a game only once since early March, and going just 2-for-10 with the man advantage so far in this series.
Also of note, the Blues have held opponents to only 2.7 goals per game at Enterprise Center, while the Jets’ scoring output tends to dip slightly away from home. In a critical Game 4, expect a tight, low-event style of play with both teams focusing on minimizing mistakes.
Take the 'under'. Projected score: Jets 3, Blues 1.