TOM'S 21-6 NBA PLAYOFF HIGH ROLLER BEST BET
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers
- Release Date
- 04/24/2025 11:50 AM
- Event Date
- 04/24/2025 10:05 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Los Angeles Clippers -5 (-110)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #550 LA CLIPPERS (-) over Denver at 10 PM EST
The Clippers took care of business in game two and they'll use the strength of their home court to gain an edge in game three against the Nuggets. Denver is a mediocre 12-12 SU and 7-17 ATS in its last 24 battles and the Intuit Dome isn't going to be kind in this critical situation.
Technically speaking, this is an ideal situation for the home squad. Since 1991, Round 1 Game 3 hosts that slip in with the series tied 1-1 own a respectable 59-45 SU and 59-44-1 ATS record. If our "play on" side is priced as a favorite of -2 or more, this power angle explodes to a magnificent 42-11 SU and 34-18-1 ATS including a solid 28-7 SU and 24-10-1 ATS provided its opponent sports a team won/loss percentage of .600 or higher. Additionally, Los Angeles seems to be peaking at the right time holding a powerful 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS mark in its last 23 games including a sensational 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS in its last 11 provided the Clips battled on the road in their last game.
The postseason road hasn't exactly been one of the Nuggets favorite places. As a playoff guest, Denver has struggled a touch inking a weak 21-50 SU and 32-39 ATS record in its last 71 tries including a stiff 7-29 SU and 13-23 ATS provided its opponent arrives with momentum off a straight up win. With those two parameters cranking away, interim head coach David Adelman and his crew fall to a horrible 3-24 SU and 6-21 ATS provided its foe holds a pointspread won/loss percentage of .522 or higher. Also, as a postseason underdog battling an opponent that hits the hardwood with confidence off a SU and ATS victory, the Nuggets own a nasty 7-35 SU and 14-28 ATS tally including a pitiful 5-30 SU and 10-25 ATS provided Denver carries a team won/loss percentage of .645 or less.
Clippers ace Kawhi Leonard has been playing at another level and he will be the key once again to this pointspread victory. Take Los Angeles. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
