Fargo's NFL Thursday Enforcer 39-30-3 NFL Run
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
- Release Date
- 11/27/2024 09:20 PM
- Event Date
- 11/28/2024 12:30 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
- Chicago Bears +9.5 (-105) (BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Detroit remains atop the power rankings following its ninth straight win, a 24-6 win over Indianapolis which was the second straight game allowing just six points. Now it is back within the division as the Lions host the Bears before a pair of big games against Green Bay and Buffalo on deck. Detroit is No. 3 in Offensive EPA and No. 2 in Defensive EPA and along with Philadelphia, Buffalo and Green Bay, they are the only teams ranked in the top ten on both sides of the ball. While they are solid all around, they have been a fortunate team as they are No. 5 in the Luck Ratings. Despite 81 percent of the money on the Lions, the line has come down from the 11.5 opener. Chicago is on a five-game losing streak but three of those were within a possession thanks to a defense that has kept them competitive. The Bears are No. 9 in Defensive EPA thanks to the passing defense that is No. 7 in EPA. They will have to deal with the Lions strong rushing game and this could be one of the final few games that we see them put out a full effort as an eighth loss could signal the end of any playoff aspiration. The offense has been a different story as they are No. 22 in EPA but quarterback Caleb Williams is coming his best game in over a month. Chicago has been on the opposite end of fortunate as it is ranked No. 30 in the Luck Ratings. While public favorites have dominated on Thanksgiving, we are not buying that in this spot. 10* (305) Chicago Bears
