TOM'S 100% MLB PERFECT HIGH ROLLER WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- New York Mets vs Texas Rangers
- Time
- 06/18/2024 08:05 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Texas Rangers -105
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #928 TEXAS with Lorenzen (-) over New York with Severino at 8:05 PM EST
Off four consecutive losses including last night's 14-2 beatdown to the Mets, the defending World Series Champions will bounce back in a big way in this right-back rematch. Texas is sitting 9.0-games back in the division and 7.0-games behind in its hunt for an AL Wild Card spot and manager Bruce Bochy needs to light a fire under his guys immediately.
Grabbing the pearl for the home team will be veteran right-hander Michael Lorenzen. With 11 starts in the books this year, No. 23 has been touched for only 21 earned runs and 49 hits in 66.0 innings of work. Michael whiffed 47 and walked 29 on his way to a 4-3 mark with a 2.86 ERA. Equally impressive, under the lights, Lorenzen has been right on the money surrendering only seven earned runs and 23 hits in 35.1 frames. That shakes down to a golden 3-0 record with a strong 1.78 ERA.
Former Yankees righty Luis Severino will counter for the visitors. So far this season, No. 14 has made 13 starts and been tapped for 27 earned runs and 62 hits in 78.0 innings. Luis fanned 60 and issued 30 free passes on his way to a 4-2 tally with a 3.12 ERA. Statistically speaking, Severino has been at his worst on the road allowing 14 earned runs and 25 hits in 30.2 frames. That adds up to a 1-1 mark with a 4.11 ERA.
There are a handful of powerful trends that support this investment. Texas has quietly won 10 straight when revenging a loss against a foe provided it was a home favorite and slipped. On the other side of the field, New York has fallen in 23 of its last 34 when playing on Tuesday, 36 of its last 59 in interleague play, and 16 of its last 20 with Severino holding the pearl and priced competitively from -125 to +125.
Respect is given to a Mets squad that has quietly won six straight. However, the Rangers have one of their most consistent arms on the bump and that will prove to be the difference. Take Texas with Lorenzen. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
