Yesterday’s Results for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

OSKEIM'S #1 MLB DIVISION GAME OF THE WEEK

Analysis: Since 2009, divisional home favorites of greater than -150 coming off a loss are 1225-620 SU (66.4%; +1.6% ROI) and 901-942 RL (+3% ROI), including 329-141 SU (70%; +5.2% ROI) and 252-218 RL (+8.4% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.84 runs per game. Since 2002, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.30 or better are 1183-614 SU (65.8%; +4.3% ROI) and 738-908 RL (+1% ROI) versus opposing starters whose ERA is 3.50 or better in May-August affairs. Since 2008, rested divisional home favorites are 581-334 SU (63.5%; +2.4% ROI) and 417-493 RL (+4.1% ROI) versus teams with a worse win percentage, including 182-95 SU (65.7%; +3.7% ROI) and 142-135 RL (+10.4% ROI) since 2019. Since 2008, .551 or greater divisional home favorites with revenge are 343-191 SU (64.2%; +4.5% ROI) and 257-275 RL (+10% ROI) in the first game of a series, including 93-37 SU (71.5%; +14.1% ROI) and 75-55 RL (57.7%; +24% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.72 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB home favorites coming off a game in which they gave up four or more home runs are 318-215 SU (59.7%), including 127-77 SU (62.3%; +2% ROI) since 2019. Finally, since 2001, MLB road underdogs coming off two or more consecutive wins are 1605-2424 SU (39.8%; -5.5% ROI) and 1921-1412 RL (-4.3% ROI) in the last game of a series, including 305-485 SU (38.6%; -7.2% ROI) and 447-342 RL (-3.9% ROI) since 2019. Take New York and invest with confidence.