Sean Murphy - San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Sean's MLB N.L. SUPREME TOTAL >> 29-15?

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
MLB
Competition
San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
Time
06/18/2024 06:40 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Over 8.5 (-105) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
My selection is on the 'over' between San Diego and Philadelphia at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. We're looking at almost a carbon-copy of last night in Philadelphia weather-wise on Tuesday with the temperature eclipsing 90 degrees and the wind blowing out to left-center. We saw plenty of runs on the board in the series opener and I expect more of the same in Game 2. Michael King gets the start for the Padres. He'll need to eat some innings in this game as the San Diego bullpen has been extremely overworked lately. King struck out 12 A's in his most recent start but still gave up a couple of runs and needed 98 pitches to get through five innings. He owns a pedestrian 4.16 FIP and 1.23 WHIP on the season. Current Phillies hitters have ripped King for 12 hits in 34 at-bats including five extra-base hits. Aaron Nola will counter for Philadelphia. He gave up eight earned runs on 11 hits in only 3 2/3 innings against the Red Sox in his most recent start. Nola still owns a 3.97 FIP and 1.08 WHIP on the season. He'll be starting on short rest (four days) and it's worth noting that he did need 90 pitches to get through those 3 2/3 innings last time out. Current Padres hitters are batting just .252 against Nola but have had plenty of looks with five different players getting in double-digit at-bats against him and nine of the 11 that have faced him recording multiple hits. Take the over (8*).

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