NBA Friday Top Total (Win Late) *61% Wins*
- Handicapper
- Kyle Hunter
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns
- Time
- 04/26/2024 10:52 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Over 208 (-110)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- *3 Star Play Over* The Phoenix Suns offense has been terrible in the first two games of this series, but this totals adjustment is too large. The total in the first game was 213.5. We are down 5.5 points.
Phoenix was 10th in the NBA in offensive efficiency during the year. The Suns are likely to get better performances out of Booker and Beal in this game. The Suns defense is only average, and Minnesota can get into the paint against them on a consistent basis.
The pace of the first two games has been quick enough that even average or slightly below average offensive efficiencies for the teams will equal an over.
I expect this game to be a bit higher scoring and the total has moved down too much.
Take the over.
