TDG’s NBA DIVISION TOTAL OF THE YEAR
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers
- Time
- 04/25/2024 07:30 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers Over 204 (-110)
(Consensus 3)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year is with the New York/Philadelphia over at 7:40 pm et.
The Philadelphia 76ers return home in a must-win situation tonight since rallying from an 0-3 deficit in a playoff series is so difficult. Expect a spirited effort from them tonight after believing the officials played an unfair role in their 104-101 loss in New York on Monday. Joel Embiid scored 34 points in that loss as he plays through his injured left knee. Getting an additional day off should help him play well tonight, and the 76ers have played ten of their last twelve games over the number when playing with two days of rest. They have played thirteen of their last twenty games over the number after playing their last two games on the road, and they are averaging 115.2 points per game at home. Philadelphia is only averaging 102.5 points per game in this series yet both games finished over the total since the oddsmakers are installing the number no higher than 208 (in Game 1). The 76ers have covered the point spread in eighteen of their last twenty-five games when the oddsmakers installed the over/under from 3.5 to 9.5.
New York wants to speed up this game to pressure Embiid’s sore left knee. They are also scoring better in transition. While Jalen Brunson and the Knicks are struggling in their half-court offensive sets, they have a 164.3 offensive efficiency when playing in transition. New York has played seven straight overs, and while some bettors may conclude a contrarian under play is in order, those bettors would have lost six times in a row if applying that logic to the Knicks’ last six games. The Knicks have played fourteen of their last twenty-one games over the number after playing two or more overs in a row, and they have played ten of their last thirteen games over the number after playing three or more overs in a row. They have played seven of their last nine games over the number after playing four or more overs in a row. The Knicks have not shot better than 40.7% in this series, yet both games finished over the number. They hit the road again where they are averaging 114.4 points per game yet giving up 111.1 points per game. Play the over.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
