ASA MLB Late-Breaking Blowout! 8-0 (100%) RUN
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Time
- 04/22/2024 06:50 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Detroit Tigers -109
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #965 ASA PLAY ON Detroit Tigers -110 over Tampa Bay Rays, Monday at 6:50 PM ET - On the surface, with two teams having nearly identical records plus two starting pitchers having nearly identical ERA numbers, you might be surprised to see the road team is a slight favorite here. However, it is certainly no mistake. The Tigers are 8-3 on the road this season and the Rays are enduring a 4-5 stretch in which 2 of those 4 wins came in extra innings. Tampa Bay has struggled of late and starting pitcher Zack Littel has given up 14 hits in 10 innings over his last two starts. His low ERA is a bit deceiving and offers up some value here in backing the road team. The Tigers starter is scheduled to be Tarik Skubal and he has averaged 6 innings in his 4 starts and has given up only 14 hits in his 23.2 innings this season! Again, Littel has allowed 14 hits in just his last 10 innings on the mound! You can see the difference in this match-up with numbers like that. Also the Tigers have enjoyed road success this season and we look for that to continue here as they just took 2 of 3 at Minnesota and have yet to lose a series on the road this season. Neither team has hit particularly well this season but the Tigers bullpen ranks #1 in the majors and has a 1.65 ERA compared to the Rays bullpen having a 5.34 ERA ranking 27th in the majors. The bullpen edge is strongly in favor of Detroit here in addition to the starting pitching edge favoring the Tigers as well. Road team rolls in this one!
