Matt Fargo - Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Fargo's MLB Monday Double Play

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
MLB
Competition
Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
Time
04/22/2024 06:50 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Tampa Bay Rays -103 (BetOnline)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a series loss in New York against the Yankees to fall to 12-11 on the season. It has been up and down but the Rays are in a good matchup with a solid starter and a great recent bullpen facing a very poor offense. Detroit has gotten off to a good start at 12-10 following a series win at Minnesota and the tigers are now 8-3 on the road. They have gotten it done with pitching with a solid rotation and a great bullpen but they are overvalued here. Zack Littell has allowed three runs or less in all four of his starts which has carried over from last season where he posted a 3.93 ERA in 26 games that included 14 starts where he allowed three runs or less in 11 of those. Tarik Skubal came in as a top contender for the Cy Young and he has lived up to it but has had a beneficial schedule as his last three starts have come at home and his only road start was against the woeful White Sox. Here, we play on American League teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season, after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. This situation is 53-24 (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (966) Tampa Bay Rays

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