Matt Fargo - Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Fargo's MLB Monday Double Play

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
MLB
Competition
Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
Time
04/22/2024 06:40 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Cincinnati Reds +107 (BetOnline)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. Philadelphia has won six straight games but the two series wins were against arguably the two worst teams in their respective leagues with Colorado and Chicago being two very bad teams. The Phillies are 14-8 overall and it has been a very favorable schedule with 16 of the 22 games taking place at home. Cincinnati is coming off a home sweep on the Angels over the weekend which came after getting swept on the road in Seattle. The Reds are 12-9 overall with a potent offense averaging 5.3 rpg including 5.5 rpg at home. Ranger Suarez is off to a great start with a 1.73 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in four starts and he has not allowed a run over his last two outings covering 15 innings. Hunter Greene had one bad start against Milwaukee but he has allowed two runs or less in his other three starts. Here, we play on National League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.7 or more rpg and hitting .230 or worse over their last 15 games going up against a team with a bullpen with an ERA of 4.50 or worse. This situation is 35-11 (76.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (954) Cincinnati Reds

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