OSKEIM'S NBA PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK ($25K)
- Handicapper
- Oskeim Sports
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets
- Time
- 04/22/2024 10:14 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Denver Nuggets -7.5 (-110)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- Since 2006, NBA playoff favorites of -4 to -9.5 are 131-40 SU (76.6%) and 100-71 ATS (58.5%) in game 2 of a series, including 30-7 SU (81.1%) and 27-10 ATS (73%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average margin of +6.5 points per game. Since 2013, NBA playoff home favorites coming off a win are 53-37-1 ATS (58.9%) in game 2 of a series, including 20-4 SU (83.3%) and 18-6 ATS (75%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average of +4.6 points per game. Since 2009, NBA home favorites coming off a game that went under the total in games with totals of 222 and 231 points are 507-431-15 ATS (54.1%), including 449-368-13 ATS (55%) since 2018. Since 2004, NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back games as underdogs are 225-312-11 ATS (41.9%).
Since 2003, NBA playoff teams playing their third consecutive road game are 77-113-2 ATS (40.5%), including 15-27 ATS (35.7%) since 2019, failing to cover the spread by an average of -4.43 points per game. Finally, since 1999, NBA playoff home favorites or road favorites coming off a home win in which more than 76% of their points were not free throws are 83-52-3 ATS (61.5%) versus .300 or greater opponents. Take Denver and invest with confidence.
