Scott Italian Serie A Rout 12:30 ET! 17-6 RUN
- Handicapper
- Scott Rickenbach
- League
- SOCCER
- Competition
- Bologna vs AS Roma
- Time
- 04/22/2024 12:30 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Bologna vs AS Roma Over 2 (-125)
(Consensus 3)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Rotation #201353: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2 -125 in Roma vs Bologna @ 12:30 ET - This is a contrarian play. As long-time followers know, I like to use contrarian angles. The recent history of meetings between these clubs is very few goals. Also, both clubs enter this match in current form that has been trending under for weeks now. However, if you look at some of the key statistics like overall shots as well as shots on goal, there is an indication something different is brewing right now for each club! I particularly like the aggressiveness I have seen from Bologna recently on the attack and, being the road club in this one, I look for a strong push from the visitors and this will illicit a response from Roma. Note that Roma has scored an average of 2 goals per match in league action as a host but is allowing 1 goal per match even at home. Though Bologna does not score as well on the road as they do at home, they are still averaging 1 goal scored on the road and also allowing 1 goal per match as a traveler in league action. Roma does have a game in hand on Bologna but the fact they are trailing them by 4 points in the table, I do not foresee them settling for a share of the spoils here. That said, the odds of a draw are slim as Roma only has 3 draws in 16 matches on their home pitch this season. I look for each club to make the net ripple and then eventually this match finds itself at 2-1. The value of the over being available at 2 goals strengthens this spot and I will not hesitate to get involved. OVER 2 -125 in Roma
