Amedeus Mastrangelo - Aston Villa vs Lille

AMEDEUS' CONFERENCE LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Aston Villa vs Lille
Time
04/18/2024 12:45 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Aston Villa vs Lille Over 2.5 (-125) (Consensus 3)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Lille is coming into this match with a recent trend to the over in their matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight as well as 5 of their last 7 matches. Their attack has been very good in their recent matches as they have been averaging 2 goals scored per match in their last 3, but their defense has not been great as they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of their last 6 matches. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 as well as 8 of their last 10 matches there. They have been in very good form in those home matches and their attack has been on fire. They have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches there and they have scored at least 3 goals in a majority of those matches as well. Their defense has not been keeping many clean sheets there either as they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of their last 4 matches at home. They are going up against an Aston Villa side that has also been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches. Their attack has been great as they have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 3 as well as 4 of their last 5 matches, but their defense has also been conceding a lot as they have allowed 8 goals in their last 4 matches. Aston Villa is coming into this match with a 2-1 lead on aggregate from the 1st leg but Lille has been in very good form at home recently with a very potent attack there. Lille has no choice but to push for a goal here to tie it up on aggregate and Aston Villa is going to struggle to keep them out with that defense, but Lille will also open themselves up for Aston Villa to counter and Aston Villa is sure to find the net with that attack. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals. UEFA Europa Conference League: Lille/Aston Villa over 2.5 goals, Rot. 215221

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