Amedeus Mastrangelo - Benfica vs Marseille

AMEDEUS' EUROPA LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Benfica vs Marseille
Time
04/18/2024 03:00 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Marseille +138 (BetOnline)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Marseille is coming into this match playing in awful form in their recent matches. They have lost their last 5 straight matches, but 4 of those losses were also away from home. When playing at home, they have actually been in much better form as they have won 4 of their last 5 matches there with their only loss in that span coming against PSG. Their attack has been much better at home as they have been averaging well over 2 goals scored per match in their last 5 matches there, scoring at least 3 goals in 3 of those matches, and their defense has also been much better as they have actually kept 2 clean sheets in their last 3 matches at home. They are going up against a Benfica side that has not been in great form in their recent matches. They have won their last 2 straight but those are also their only 2 wins in their last 4 matches. When playing away from home, they have been much worse as they have lost 3 of their last 5 matches with just 2 wins in their last 7 straight away from home, and their 2 wins in that span were both 1-0 wins against much weaker teams. Marseille is coming into this match down 2-1 on aggregate from the 1st leg, but they did not get dominated in that away match as they actually outshot Benfica and they did a very good job to get themselves back in the tie with a goal after going down 2-0. Marseille has been in much better form at home and they have no choice but to push for a win here as they need to win this match to tie it on aggregate and force extra time at least. Benfica has not been as strong away from home in their recent matches as they have lost to some good teams in their domestic league and Marseille's attack will be too overwhelming here at home to keep them out for 90 mins. Marseille will win this match at home and at least force extra time here. UEFA Europa League: Marseille ML, Rot. 224426

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